The Trump administration’s resumption of collection efforts on defaulted federal student loans has far-reaching consequences for delinquent borrowers.

For starters, borrowers who are in default may have wages, tax returns and Social Security payments garnished.

But involuntary collections could also have a “spillover effect,” which puts consumers at risk of falling behind on other debt repayments, according to a recent report from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York,

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The U.S. Department of Education’s crack down on student loan repayments could take billions of dollars out of consumers’ pockets, reports show. Monthly collections on defaulted loans may reduce disposable personal income between $3.1 billion to $8.5 billion a month, according to research by JPMorgan.

“Part of the reason that some people are adding to credit card debt is because they have student loan payments — that’s the spillover effect,” said Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate. “Something’s got to give.”

Until earlier this month, the Department of Education had not collected on defaulted student loans since March 2020. After the Covid pandemic-era pause on federal student loan payments expired in September 2023, the Biden administration offered borrowers another year in which they would be shielded from the impacts of missed payments. That on-ramp officially ended on Sept. 30, 2024, and the Education Department restarted collection efforts on defaulted student loans on May 5.

Whether borrowers face garnishment, or opt to resume payments to get current on their loan, that’s likely to have a significant impact on their wallet.

“It’s just money that can’t go to other financial things,” said Matt Schulz, chief credit analyst at LendingTree. 

After the five-year pause ended and collections are resumed, the delinquency rate for student loan balances spiked, the New York Fed found. Nearly 8% of total student debt was reported as 90 days past due in the first quarter of 2025, compared to less than 1% in the previous quarter.

Currently, around 42 million Americans hold federal student loans and roughly 5.3 million borrowers are in default, according to the Education Department. Another 4 million borrowers are in “late-stage delinquency,” or over 90 days past due on payments.

Among borrowers who are now required to make payments — not including those who are in deferment or forbearance or are currently enrolled in school — nearly one in four student loan borrowers are behind in their payments, the New York Fed found.  

As borrowers transition out of forbearance and into repayment, those borrowers may also face challenges making payments, according to a separate research note by Bank of America. “This transition will likely drive delinquencies and defaults on student loans higher and could have further knock-on effects for consumer finance companies,” Bank of America analyst Mihir Bhatia wrote to clients on May 15.

In a blog post, the New York Fed researchers noted that “it is unclear whether these penalties will spill over into payment difficulties in other credit products, but we will continue to monitor this space in the coming months.”

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In April, U.S. President Donald Trump enacted sweeping tariffs of varying rates affecting more than 180 countries and territories. Last week, the U.S. and China struck a deal to temporarily suspend most tariffs on each other’s goods. The U.S. also recently unveiled a trade agreement with the United Kingdom. 

Despite the recent trade agreements and deals, consumers still face an overall average effective tariff rate of 17.8%, the highest since 1934, according to a recent report by the Yale Budget Lab. 

James Lee, president of the Identity Theft Resource Center, said it’s not unusual for scammers to take a government action — whether that’s a new program or policy — and use it for the basis of a scam.

Scammers “will use the fact that people don’t know a lot about tariffs,” Lee said.

The PreCrime Labs team at BforeAI, a cybersecurity company, discovered about 300 domain registrations from cybercriminals related to tariffs in the first few months of the year. Some spread misinformation while others are financial scams aimed at businesses and consumers.

One site the company found was a newly registered phishing domain positioned to lead consumers to believe they are required to make payments to a legitimate governmental entity.

“Such payment requests are likely to be spread using email or messaging campaigns with a theme of urgent, pending payments, directing victims to the fraudulent site where their actions will result in financial losses,” researchers noted.

There are some cases where consumers might legitimately pay for products purchased from another country, namely, customs duties. Sometimes the U.S. Customs and Border Protection will charge consumers a processing fee in order to release an imported good. 

“That’s not common, but it’s also not unusual,” said Lee. “It really does depend on what it is, where it’s coming from.”

Some consumers have also recently reported receiving legitimate payment requests from carrier companies after a purchase in order to receive their shipments, the Washington Post reports.

Some carriers are acting as the importer of record, meaning they are responsible for any duties, taxes and fees that are applied to the delivery, said Bernie Hart, vice president of customs of Flexport, a logistics firm.

If the carrier did not collect those additional fees for the product up front, the carrier will charge the end consumer those additional costs through a follow-up bill, he said.

This tactic might not last, because it creates a lot of inconvenience for both companies and shoppers, Hart said: “It’s not good for anybody in this process to give somebody a surprise bill.”

If you receive a request to pay import fees or duties on a purchase, look for the form 7501, which is an official government document detailing the import, said Hart.

Moody’s decision to downgrade the U.S. credit rating may have consequences for your money, experts say.

The debt downgrade put immediate pressure on bond prices, sending yields higher on Monday morning. The 30-year U.S. bond yield traded above 5% and the 10-year yield topped 4.5%, hitting key levels at a time when the economy is already showing signs of strain from President Donald Trump’s unfolding tariff policy.

Treasury bonds influence rates for a wide range of consumer loans like 30-year fixed mortgages, and to some extent also affect products including auto loans and credit cards.

“It’s really hard to avoid the impact on consumers,” said Brian Rehling, head of global fixed income strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

The major credit rating agency cut the United States’ sovereign credit rating on Friday by one notch to Aa1 from Aaa, the highest possible.

In doing so, it cited the increasing burden of the federal government’s budget deficit. Republicans’ attempts to make President Donald Trump’s 2017 tax cuts permanent as part of the reconciliation package threaten to increase the federal debt by trillions of dollars.

“When our credit rating goes down, the expectation is that the cost of borrowing will increase,” said Ivory Johnson, a certified financial planner and founder of Delancey Wealth Management in Washington, D.C.

That’s because when “a country represents a bigger credit risk, the creditors will demand to be compensated with higher interest rates,” said Johnson, a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor council.

Americans struggling to keep up with sky-high interest charges aren’t likely to get much relief any time soon amid Moody’s downgrade.

“Economic uncertainty, especially regarding tariff policy, has the Fed — and a lot of businesses — on hold,” said Ted Rossman, a senior industry analyst at Bankrate.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Monday that he now sees only one rate cut this year as the central bank tries to balance inflationary pressures with worries of a potential recession. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell also recently noted that tariffs may slow growth and boost inflation, making it harder to lower the central bank’s benchmark as previously expected. 

Douglas Boneparth, another CFP and the president of Bone Fide Wealth in New York, agreed that the downgrade could translate to higher interest rates on consumer loans.

“Downgrades can raise borrowing costs over time,” said Boneparth, who is also on CNBC’s FA council.

“Think higher rates on mortgages, credit cards, and personal loans, especially if confidence in U.S. credit weakens further,” he said.

Although credit cards and auto loan rates more directly track the federal funds rate, the nation’s financial challenges also play a key role in the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates. “The fed funds rate is higher than it would be if the U.S. was in a better fiscal situation,” Rehling said.

Since December 2024, the overnight lending rate has been in a range between 4.25%-4.5%. As a result, the average credit card rate is currently 20.12%, down only slightly from a record 20.79% set last summer, according to Ted Rossman, a senior industry analyst at Bankrate. 

Credit card rates tend to mirror Fed actions, so “higher for longer” would keep the average credit card rate around 20% through the rest of the year, Rossman said.

Before its downgrade, Moody’s was the last of the major credit rating agencies to have the U.S. at the highest possible rating.

Standard & Poor’s downgraded the nation’s credit rating in August 2011, and Fitch Ratings cut it in August 2023. “We’ve been through this before,” Rehling said.

Still, the move highlights the country’s fiscal challenges, Rehling said: “The U.S. still maintains its dominance as the safe haven economy of the world, but it puts some chinks in the armor.”