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Trump sparks lasting panic with funding ban that ended in two days

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The memo dropped late on Monday evening after a weeklong flurry of executive orders from President Donald Trump, and was rescinded less than 48 hours later. But the mandate to pause all federal loans and grants has reverberated across the country, from tiny nonprofits to sprawling health agencies. 

Providers of community services struggled to access government funds and now question what they can rely on going forward. Medical researchers are unclear how grants will be affected. States are grappling with how to plan their budgets.

The directive from the Office of Management and Budget, calling for a freeze on all federal grants, was temporarily blocked by a federal judge and raised questions about the limits of the president’s power. Yet the chaos it unleashed previews the types of fights to come in an administration that has made clear that it plans to reshape the U.S. government and eliminate what it considers to be wasteful spending and policies at odds with its conservative agenda.

“It’s hard for people to plan for the future and maintain current program services if they don’t think there’s going to be funding for those services going forward,” said Susanne Byrne, executive director of the York Street Project in Jersey City, New Jersey. 

Her organization, which offers rental assistance and operates a homeless shelter and a childhood development center, was set to make rent payments coming due on apartments for 45 different families using federal funds from the Department of Housing and Urban Development on Tuesday. The staff found themselves locked out of HUD’s payment portal.

Byrne spent Tuesday on numerous calls with other housing groups and with local representatives of HUD. Not only were the families she works with at risk of eviction if landlords didn’t receive payments by early February, but she worried how her own staffers might fare if the organization had to pare back its activity or lay off workers. 

“If people lose their jobs, how do they support their families themselves? They’re going to end up being people who need the services they used to provide to others,” she said. The group eventually regained access to the portal.

The White House abruptly rescinded the funding freeze memo on Wednesday, a move Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt immediately muddied with a social media post that said the rescission of the memo doesn’t end the pause on government money flows. Judges overseeing two pending legal challenges could rule in the coming days providing more clarity on what — if any — funds could continue to be held up. 

The confusion added to turmoil among federal workers who were already grappling with an executive order last week that banned diversity, equity and inclusion policies from the federal government. The order said the administration would cut off funding for programs that support those efforts, though the exact impact is still unclear.

The Department of Government Efficiency, led by Elon Musk, is trying to find ways to slash more expenses. Trump is offering buyouts to federal employees who were warned that he’s seeking a “more streamlined and flexible workforce.”

Agency anxiety

Already, the planned cutbacks to DEI have raised concerns about funding for medical research programs. The Trump administration sent a memo this week to organizations that have received funding from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and ordered them to end “all programs, personnel, activities, or contracts promoting” DEI, according to the document seen by Bloomberg News. 

Georges Benjamin, executive director of the American Public Health Association, said multiple health departments received the memo, and it wasn’t immediately clear how far-reaching the impact could be. He said it could affect the future of a wide range of public health projects, including research into the racial disparities of heart disease and cancer or programs for the disabled or elderly.

“The challenge is we’re allowing people to redefine DEI as not being merit-based when that’s not what it’s about,” Benjamin said. “It targets services to people who are more in need than others.”

The prospect of cuts has led to confusion and anxiety at the National Institute of Health, which invests most of its nearly $48 billion budget in medical research. Almost 83% of that goes toward grants awarded to outside scientists, institutions and medical schools across the US, according to the agency.

Employees have been advised to refrain from promoting certain funding opportunities related to disadvantaged populations so as not to draw attention to them, according to a person familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named speaking about internal discussions. NIH staffers have been warned against making social media posts that could put a target on their offices, the person said.

The NIH said in a statement that the Health and Human Services Department has issued a pause on mass communications and public appearances that aren’t related to emergencies to allow the new team “to set up a process for review and prioritization.” Clinical trials are continuing, though no new studies are being launched.

Within the Commerce Department, officials in charge of a $700 million effort to remake economically depleted cities into hubs of technological innovation scrambled in the wake of this week’s funding freeze announcement. The so-called Tech Hubs project was on a spreadsheet circulated by OMB that listed grants under scrutiny, instigating confusion among recipients of the grant funding, as well as former and current officials who helped to put the plan together.

The Tech Hubs initiative, funded by the Chips Act and a subsequent defense spending bill, poured hundreds of millions of dollars into technological projects in more than a dozen states, including red states like Indiana, Montana, South Carolina, Georgia and Ohio. Many of the projects focus on industries that the Trump administration has identified as key national security priorities, such as semiconductor manufacturing, quantum computing and critical mineral processing. 

But some of the hubs have programs aimed at including more women and minorities in the workforce, while others include “equity” or “climate resilience” in their missions.

So far, the tech hubs haven’t received any guidance from the Commerce Department, said spokespeople for six of the hubs. People within the hubs are setting up meetings with their lawmakers and trading texts with staffers on Capitol Hill, seeking a full-throated commitment that they won’t lose funding. The Commerce Department didn’t immediately return a request for comment.

‘Unnecessary disruption’

At the local government level, the questions over federal aid introduce new uncertainty at a time many states are preparing their budgets for fiscal 2026, said Lucy Dadayan, principal research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute.

This has “caused unnecessary disruption and confusion, as well as considerable anxiety regarding the amount of federal funds that will be allocated to the states,” she said.

Local organizations are preparing for more shocks. The childcare industry, for one, is bracing for potential changes that could upend businesses already on the brink of collapse. Federal dollars are states’ main funding source for subsidies that help low-income families afford child care. Some 1.8 million children receive them each year, according to the U.S. Government Accountability Office.

Easterseals, a 106-year-old nonprofit that provides services to people with disabilities, senior citizens, veterans and their families, was concerned about funding troubles when its payment system portal shut off hours before the OMB memo was released, said Kendra Davenport, CEO of its national office. The group’s affiliates use this portal to access federal grants to cover operational costs and payroll. 

“It really was foreboding not knowing how quickly we were going to have to shut down programs that are 100% funded with federal funds and how quickly we would have to determine how many people we were going to lay off,” Davenport said.

After hearing about the freeze, Easterseals assessed whether it could maintain programs without federal funding but knew that most nonprofits, including its own, operate on tight margins. Most affiliates are so focused on programmatic work that they don’t have time to raise private funding that would fill gaps, Davenport said.

As the national office looks at future revenue, staff are scrutinizing nonessential expenses that can be taken out of the budget and put into reserves. 

“We now know we are operating in a very different federal funding climate,” Davenport said. “So we have been very careful.”

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Accounting firms seeing increased profits

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Accounting firms are reporting bigger profits and more clients, according to a new report.

The report, released Monday by Xero, found that nearly three-quarters (73%) of firms reported increased profits over the past year and 56% added new clients thanks to operational efficiency and expanded service offerings.

Some 85% of firms now offer client advisory services, a big spike from 41% in 2023, indicating a strategic shift toward delivering forward-looking financial guidance that clients increasingly expect.

AI adoption is also reshaping the profession, with 80% of firms confident it will positively affect their practice. Currently, the most common use cases for AI include: delivering faster and more responsive client services (33%), enhancing accuracy by reducing bookkeeping and accounting errors (33%), and streamlining workflows through the automation of routine tasks (32%).

“The widespread adoption of AI has been a turning point for the accounting profession, giving accountants an opportunity to scale their impact and take on a more strategic advisory role,” said Ben Richmond, managing director, North America, at Xero, in a statement. “The real value lies not just in working more efficiently, but working smarter, freeing up time to elevate the human element of the profession and in turn, strengthen client relationships.”

Some of the main challenges faced by firms include economic uncertainty (38%), mastering AI (36%) and rising client expectations for strategic advice (35%). 

While 85% of firms have embraced cloud platforms, a sizable number still lag behind, missing out on benefits such as easier data access from anywhere (40%) and enhanced security (36%).

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Accounting

Private equity is investing in accounting: What does that mean for the future of the business?

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Private equity firms have bought five of the top 26 accounting firms in the past three years as they mount a concerted strategy to reshape the industry. 

The trend should not come as a surprise. It’s one we’ve seen play out in several industries from health care to insurance, where a combination of low-risk, recurring revenue, scalability and an aging population of owners create a target-rich environment. For small to midsized accounting firms, the trend is exacerbated by a technological revolution that’s truly transforming the way accounting work is done, and a growing talent crisis that is threatening tried-and-true business models.

How will this type of consolidation affect the accounting business, and what do firms and their clients need to be on the lookout for as the marketplace evolves?

Assessing the opportunity… and the risk

First and foremost, accounting firm owners need to be aware of just how desirable they are right now. While there has been some buzz in the industry about the growing presence of private equity firms, most of the activity to date has focused on larger, privately held firms. In fact, when we recently asked tax professionals about their exposure to private equity funding in our 2025 State of Tax Professionals Report, we found that just 5% of firms have actually inked a deal and only 11% said they are planning to look, or are currently looking, for a deal with a private equity firm. Another 8% said they are open to discussion. On the one hand, that’s almost a quarter of firms feeling open to private equity investments in some way. But the lion’s share of respondents —  87% — said they were not interested.

Recent private equity deal volume suggests that the holdouts might change their minds when they have a real offer on the table. According to S&P Global, private equity and venture capital-backed deal value in the accounting, auditing and taxation services sector reached more than $6.3 billion in 2024, the highest level since 2015, and the trend shows no signs of slowing. Firm owners would be wise to start watching this trend to see how it might affect their businesses — whether they are interested in selling or not.

Focus on tech and efficiencies of scale

The reason this trend is so important to everyone in the industry right now is that the private equity firms entering this space are not trying to become accountants. They are looking for profitable exits. And they will do that by seizing on a critical inflection point in the industry that’s making it possible to scale accounting firms more rapidly than ever before by leveraging technology to deliver a much wider range of services at a much lower cost. So, whether your firm is interested in partnering with private equity or dead set on going it alone, the hyperscaling that’s happening throughout the industry will affect you one way or another.

Private equity thrives in fragmented businesses where the ability to roll up companies with complementary skill sets and specialized services creates an outsized growth opportunity. Andrew Dodson, managing partner at Parthenon Capital, recently commented after his firm took a stake in the tax and advisory firm Cherry Bekaert, “We think that for firms to thrive, they need to make investments in people and technology, and, obviously, regulatory adherence, to really differentiate themselves in the market. And that’s going to require scale and capital to do it. That’s what gets us excited.”

Over time, this could reshape the industry’s market dynamics by creating the accounting firm equivalent of the Traveling Wilburys — supergroups capable of delivering a wide range of specialized services that smaller, more narrowly focused firms could never previously deliver. It could also put downward pressure on pricing as these larger, platform-style firms start finding economies of scale to deliver services more cost-effectively.

The technology factor

The great equalizer in all of this is technology. Consistently, when I speak to tax professionals actively working in the market today, their top priorities are increased efficiency, growth and talent. Firms recognize they need to streamline workflows and processes through more effective use of technology, and they are investing heavily in AI, automation and data analytics capabilities to do that. Private equity firms, of course, are also investing in tech as they assemble their tax and accounting dream teams, in many cases raising the bar for the industry.

The question is: Can independent firms leverage technology fast enough to keep up with their deep-pocketed competition?

Many firms believe they can, with some even going so far as to publicly declare their independence.  Regardless of the path small to midsized firms take to get there, technology-enabled growth is going to play a key role in the future of the industry. Market dynamics that have been unfolding for the last decade have been accelerated with the introduction of serious investors, and everyone in the industry — large and small — is going to need to up their games to stay competitive.

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Trump tax bill would help the richest, hurt the poorest, CBO says

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The House-passed version of President Donald Trump’s massive tax and spending bill would deliver a financial blow to the poorest Americans but be a boon for higher-income households, according to a new analysis from the Congressional Budget Office.

The bottom 10% of households would lose an average of about $1,600 in resources per year, amounting to a 3.9% cut in their income, according to the analysis released Thursday. Those decreases are largely attributable to cuts in the Medicaid health insurance program and food aid through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program.

Households in the highest 10% of incomes would see an average $12,000 boost in resources, amounting to a 2.3% increase in their incomes. Those increases are mainly attributable to reductions in taxes owed, according to the report from the nonpartisan CBO.

Households in the middle of the income distribution would see an increase in resources of $500 to $1,000, or between 0.5% and 0.8% of their income. 

The projections are based on the version of the tax legislation that House Republicans passed last month, which includes much of Trump’s economic agenda. The bill would extend tax cuts passed under Trump in 2017 otherwise due to expire at the end of the year and create several new tax breaks. It also imposes new changes to the Medicaid and SNAP programs in an effort to cut spending.

Overall, the legislation would add $2.4 trillion to US deficits over the next 10 years, not accounting for dynamic effects, the CBO previously forecast.

The Senate is considering changes to the legislation including efforts by some Republican senators to scale back cuts to Medicaid.

The projected loss of safety-net resources for low-income families come against the backdrop of higher tariffs, which economists have warned would also disproportionately impact lower-income families. While recent inflation data has shown limited impact from the import duties so far, low-income families tend to spend a larger portion of their income on necessities, such as food, so price increases hit them harder.

The House-passed bill requires that able-bodied individuals without dependents document at least 80 hours of “community engagement” a month, including working a job or participating in an educational program to qualify for Medicaid. It also includes increased costs for health care for enrollees, among other provisions.

More older adults also would have to prove they are working to continue to receive SNAP benefits, also known as food stamps. The legislation helps pay for tax cuts by raising the age for which able bodied adults must work to receive benefits to 64, up from 54. Under the current law, some parents with dependent children under age 18 are exempt from work requirements, but the bill lowers the age for the exemption for dependent children to 7 years old. 

The legislation also shifts a portion of the cost for federal food aid onto state governments.

CBO previously estimated that the expanded work requirements on SNAP would reduce participation in the program by roughly 3.2 million people, and more could lose or face a reduction in benefits due to other changes to the program. A separate analysis from the organization found that 7.8 million people would lose health insurance because of the changes to Medicaid.

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