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How the 2024 election and Congress will decide taxes

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With next month’s election looming as a referendum on so many issues, the recent history of Congress offers a few hints on what may happen to taxes, according to legislative experts.

Financial advisors, tax professionals and their clients trying to prepare for changes to the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act ahead of the sunset date for many provisions in the law at the end of next year may want to read up on the Senate procedure known as “budget reconciliation” — a complicated means of passing a bill that doesn’t require a 60-vote supermajority in the chamber. Veteran Washington insiders speaking in a virtual panel held last month by law firm K&L Gates’ Public Policy and Law practice described the possible tax policy implications of that process. 

K&L Gates is one of the top lobbying firms with more than $47.8 million worth of business in the last three years per the Open Secrets database, and the roundtable shed light on how the next Congress and administration led by either former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris will move forward with taxes next year. That process will bring potential shifts in estate taxes, federal income brackets and the deduction for qualified business income — to name only a few policies hanging in the balance.

READ MORE: Economists want to trash the QBI deduction. What will voters say?

The upcoming deadline at the end of 2025 presents many different scenarios, according to Mary Burke Baker, a government affairs advisor who is the leader of the tax policy practice in the Washington, D.C. office of K&L Gates and a onetime 28-year veteran IRS staff member.

“Once there’s a tax title moving, then everybody wants to throw their thing at the wall and see if it sticks,” Baker said. “And, as we also all know, for better or worse, the tax code is seen as the solution by both parties for everything — whether it’s U.S. competitiveness, jobs, supply chain or social policies. So that’s going to put a lot of pressure on tax legislation next year.”

Advisors and their clients aiming to understand how the process will play out under either party should likely consult the recent history of budget reconciliation bills used by both Republicans and Democrats in the past 20 years or so and an aspect of the procedure called the “Byrd Rule,” said Mike Evans, a partner in the Washington office’s public policy and law practice who was formerly chief counsel to Democrats on two different Senate committees.

The Byrd Rule forbids the Senate from using the reconciliation process for any bills that raise the deficit beyond 10 years or make any changes to Social Security. That latter “fairly obscure” aspect of Byrd likely rules out any provisions “exempting Social Security benefits from income tax,” Evans said.

“That’s why the TCJA stuff expires now, because it had to, under the Byrd Rule, limit the duration of the bill,” he said. “It limits the scope of the bill. The Byrd Rule comes into effect, and that limits the scope of the bill. Obviously, things that are not budget related are not to be included. You have big debates about whether something is really incidental to the budget or not. But we have seen proposals regarding abortion, proposals regarding minimum wage and proposals regarding immigration reform excluded from the scope of the budget reconciliation bill because of the Byrd Rule.”

Even if former President Trump wins, Republicans are still “going to be very conscious of adding to the debt,” according to Ryan Carney, a government affairs advisor and member of the office’s public policy and law practice who was once chief of staff to two GOP members of Congress. He predicted that a Republican-led White House and Congress would consider how to address research and development tax credits, deductions for state and local duties and the child tax credit. The fact that the government’s debt has risen so sharply since 2017 “means that a full-on extension is going to be challenging,” Carney said.

“There’s some knowledge of how he would govern and what his tax priorities would be,” Carney said of Trump. “At the same time, his signature legislation from his first term is expiring, so, unsurprisingly, a big priority — should Republicans win and get the trifecta of the House, Senate and the White House — would be to extend the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, probably using the reconciliation vehicle. They would want to include bonus and research expensing into that 10-year extension as well. But 2025 is going to be a very different debt environment from 2017.”

READ MORE: Why tax-related services drive business for RIAs  

The question of whether one party will sweep Congress and the White House will decide whether the expiration of the laws provides “an opportunity with a capital ‘O’ or an opportunity with a small-case ‘O,'” according to Bruce Heiman, a partner in the public policy practice who was the legislative director and trade counsel to the late Sen. Daniel Patrick Moynihan, a Democrat from New York. If the Democrats use reconciliation, the legislation will “be partisan” and “move fast,” Heiman said.

“If not, I think you’re going to have a lot more negotiation and compromise,” he said. “Whoever controls, there are going to be slim majorities. And so you’re going to have to be working with both sides. Second, Harris has just less experience working with Congress than Biden did, necessarily. She’s been newer to Congress, and she also has fewer personal relationships with members in a more polarized environment, too. All of which means it’s harder to get things done, a greater need for compromise and more pushing toward the middle.”

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SEC’s Semiannual Reporting Proposal Faces Investor Pushback: What CFOs Need to Know

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U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)

A proposal from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to potentially shift some public companies away from quarterly financial reporting toward a semiannual model is drawing significant pushback from investors, even as it continues moving through the regulatory process. The debate has direct implications for corporate finance teams, auditors, and the broader transparency of U.S. capital markets.

What the SEC Proposed

According to a summary published by accounting advisory firm Cohen & Co., the SEC issued a proposed rule on May 19, 2026, aimed at simplifying financial reporting requirements for many U.S. public companies. The proposal would potentially reduce the frequency of certain mandatory disclosures from quarterly to semiannual, a structural change that has not been made to core U.S. reporting requirements in decades.

The proposal follows an extended debate within U.S. policy circles, with proponents arguing that reduced reporting frequency could lower compliance costs and free up management time for longer-term strategic planning rather than quarter-to-quarter results management.

Why Investors Are Pushing Back

Comment letters submitted in response to the proposal have been extensive, and according to Cohen & Co.’s review of the public record, investors “appear to be largely opposed” to the shift, viewing frequent interim reporting as a core benefit of U.S. capital markets relative to other jurisdictions.

Accounting and law firms have taken a more measured position, generally urging any changes to remain aligned with the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB), whose existing disclosure requirements and guidance are built around a quarterly reporting cadence. A shift to semiannual reporting without corresponding changes to FASB guidance could create friction between SEC filing requirements and GAAP-based disclosure expectations.

Lessons From the U.K. Experience

The debate is not without precedent. The United Kingdom moved away from mandatory quarterly reporting for listed companies in 2014, returning to a semiannual disclosure requirement. According to Cohen & Co.’s analysis, that experience offers a cautionary data point: there was no measurable increase in capital expenditure or R&D investment following the change, while analyst coverage of affected companies declined as reliable interim information became less available — a particular risk for smaller and newly public companies that rely on analyst coverage to maintain investor visibility.

Practical Implications for Finance Teams

Beyond the debate over disclosure philosophy, the proposal carries practical complications. Many companies have debt covenants and credit agreements structured around quarterly financial delivery; a shift to semiannual reporting could require renegotiating those terms. Reduced reporting frequency would also extend the “window of market silence” between disclosures, a factor that governance and investor-relations teams would need to manage carefully to avoid information asymmetry.

Separately, and unrelated to the reporting-frequency debate, the SEC and FASB have continued finalizing more routine updates this year. New Accounting Standards Updates are taking effect for December 31, 2026, fiscal year-ends covering income tax disclosures, credit loss measurement, induced debt conversions, and stock compensation, according to Eide Bailly’s review of 2026 ASU activity. Additional guidance on paid-in-kind dividends and environmental credits is also on the near-term horizon.

What to Watch Next

The semiannual reporting proposal remains in the comment and review phase, and no final rule has been adopted as of this writing. Finance leaders should monitor the SEC’s regulatory agenda for further movement, while treating the current quarterly reporting requirement as the operative standard until any final rule is issued and an effective date is set.

Given the extent of investor opposition documented in the comment file, a full shift to mandatory semiannual reporting appears more likely to result in either a scaled-back compromise or continued study rather than swift adoption — though the SEC’s ultimate direction remains uncertain.

 

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AI-Driven Automation and Continuous Accounting Frameworks

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The accounting profession is undergoing a fundamental structural transition as enterprise finance departments shift from periodic month-end closes toward automated continuous accounting models. By integrating specialized machine learning algorithms directly into enterprise resource planning (ERP) platforms, chief accounting officers are transforming financial reporting from a retrospective exercise into a real-time operational asset.

The Shift from Periodic Close to Continuous Financial Reporting
Traditional accounting workflows heavily relied on manual data reconciliation, spreadsheet calculations, and multi-week closing cycles at the end of each fiscal period. In contrast, continuous accounting frameworks utilize automated software agents to process, validate, and post transactional data in real time as business activities occur.

Automated bank reconciliation tools cross-reference incoming bank feeds, invoice records, and purchase orders automatically. By resolving transactional variances instantly throughout the month, corporate accounting teams eliminate the traditional workload spikes associated with quarterly and annual closes.

Machine Learning in Audit Trails and Anomaly Detection
Advanced natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning tools are redefining internal audit and financial control environments. Automated systems analyze 100% of general ledger entries, identifying anomalous transactions, duplicate payments, and unauthorized journal entries in real time.

Rather than relying on random statistical sampling, corporate internal auditors can focus their attention on high-risk flags automatically surfaced by algorithmic monitoring platforms. This continuous risk assessment strengthens internal controls over financial reporting (ICFR) and significantly reduces fraud risk.

Evolving Roles for Accounting Professionals
As routine data entry and manual reconciliation tasks become fully automated, the skill set required for accounting professionals is shifting toward data analysis, system design, and strategic business advisory.
– Systems Governance: Accountants are increasingly responsible for monitoring algorithmic accuracy and managing data integration pipelines.
– Business Partnership: Finance professionals leverage real-time financial dashboards to advise operational leaders on margin management and working capital allocation.
– Regulatory Compliance Management: Accounting teams utilize automated platforms to ensure compliance with dynamic tax codes and international accounting standards.

Core Implementation Recommendations
1. Deploy Automated Reconciliation Tools: Integrate continuous transaction processing modules into existing enterprise ERP architectures.
2. Establish Algorithmic Governance Controls: Implement strict internal testing protocols to ensure automated accounting rules comply with GAAP/IFRS standards.
3. Reskill Accounting Teams: Invest in training finance staff on data analytics, workflow automation, and predictive financial modeling.

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Global ESG Reporting Standards and Double Materiality Compliance

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Corporate accounting departments face expanding reporting expectations as international sustainability disclosure standards achieve regulatory enforcement across major global jurisdictions. Chief Accounting Officers (CAOs) and corporate controllers are establishing rigorous internal accounting controls to treat Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) metrics with the same data precision, auditability, and governance as traditional financial statements.

Regulatory Harmonization Under Global Sustainability Frameworks
The implementation of standardized sustainability reporting frameworks—notably rules established by international sustainability accounting boards—has created unified expectations for public and large private enterprises. Corporations must report standardized metrics covering greenhouse gas emissions (Scope 1, 2, and material Scope 3), energy utilization, workforce demographics, and supply chain governance.

In Europe and other participating international jurisdictions, double materiality principles are mandatory. Under double materiality, organizations must report both how external sustainability risks impact corporate financial performance, and how internal corporate operations affect surrounding environmental and social structures.

Integrating Sustainability Metrics into Core ERP Systems
To provide auditable non-financial data, enterprise organizations are integrating specialized carbon accounting and ESG management platforms directly into core ERP systems. Automated data collectors capture energy utility invoices, logistics fuel consumption metrics, and vendor compliance records in real time.

Establishing automated, traceable data pipelines ensures that non-financial reporting is supported by clear audit trails. This structured approach allows external financial auditors to provide reasonable assurance on sustainability disclosures during annual corporate reporting cycles.

Financial Impacts and Capital Market Disclosure
Accurate ESG reporting directly influences corporate cost of capital and institutional credit ratings. Commercial lenders and institutional asset managers systematically incorporate sustainability metrics into risk pricing models. Companies that demonstrate transparent, verifiable progress in operational energy efficiency and climate risk mitigation benefit from expanded access to green bond markets and lower debt pricing.

Action Steps for Accounting Leadership
1. Implement Double Materiality Frameworks: Conduct comprehensive assessments to identify material financial and operational sustainability metrics.
2. Build Auditable Non-Financial Data Pipelines: Automate ESG data collection within core accounting software to ensure data integrity.
3. Align Sustainability with Annual Financial Filings: Prepare non-financial disclosures concurrently with financial statements to satisfy regulatory audit expectations.

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