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Accountants tackle tariff increases after ‘Liberation Day’

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President Trump’s imposition of steep tariffs on countries around the world is likely to drive demand for accounting experts and consultants to help companies adjust and forecast the ever-changing percentages and terms.

On April 2, which Trump dubbed “Liberation Day,” he announced a raft of reciprocal tariffs of varying percentages on trading partners across the globe and signed an executive order to put the import taxes into effect. Finance executives have been gaming out how to respond to the potential tariffs that Trump has been threatening to impose since before he was re-elected, far exceeding those he actually levied during his first term.

“A lot of CFOs are thinking they are going to pass along the tariffs to their customer base, and about another half are thinking we’re going to absorb it and be more creative in other ways we can save money inside our company,” said Tom Hood, executive vice president for business engagement and growth at the AICPA & CIMA. 

The AICPA & CIMA’s most recent quarterly economic outlook survey in early March polled a group of business executives who are also CPAs and found that 85% said tariffs were creating uncertainty in their business plans, while 14% of the business execs saw potential positive impacts for their business from the prospect of tariffs as increased cost of competing products would benefit them, and 59% saw potential negative impacts to their businesses from the prospect of tariffs. This in turn has led to a dimming outlook on the economy among the executives polled.

“CFOs in our community are telling us that, effectively, they’re looking at this a lot like what happened over COVID with a big disruption out of nowhere,” said Hood. “This one, they could see it coming. But the point is they had to immediately pivot into forecasting and projection with basically forward-looking financial analysis to help their companies, CEOs, etc., plan for what could be coming next. This is true for firms who are advising clients. They might be hired to do the planning in an outsourced way, if the company doesn’t have the finance talent inside to do that.”

The tariffs are not set in stone, and other countries are likely to continue to negotiate them with the U.S., as Canada and Mexico have been doing in recent months.

“The one thing that I think we can all count on is a certain amount of uncertainty in this process, at least for the next several months,” said Charles Clevenger, a principal at UHY Consulting who specializes in supply chain and procurement strategy. “It’s hard to tell if it’s going to go beyond that or not, but it certainly feels that way.”

Accountants will need to make sure their companies and clients stay compliant with whatever conditions are imposed by the U.S. and its trading partners. “This is a more complex tariff environment than most companies have experienced in the past, or that seems to be where we’re headed, and so ensuring compliance is really important,” said Clevenger.

Big Four firms are advising caution among their clients.

“Our point of view is we’re advising all of our clients to do a few things right out of the gate,” said Martin Fiore, EY Americas deputy vice chair of tax, during a webinar Thursday. “Model and analyze the trade flows. Look at your supply chain structures. Understand those and execute scenario planning on supply chain structures that could evolve in new environments. That is really important: the ability for companies to address the questions they’re getting from their C-suite, from their stakeholders, is critical. Every company is in a different spot according to the discussions we’ve had. We just are really emphasizing, with all the uncertainty, know your structure, know your position, have modeling put in place, so as we go through the next rounds of discussions over many months, you have an understanding of your structure.”

Scenario planning will be especially important amid all the unpredictability for companies large and small. “They’re going to be looking at all the different countries they might have supply chains in,” said Hood. “And then even the smaller midsized companies that might not be big, giant global companies, they might be supplying things to a big global company, and if they’re in part of that supply chain, they’ll be impacted through this whole cycle as well.”

Accountants will have to factor the extra tariffs and import taxes into their costs and help their clients decide whether to pass on the costs to customers, while also keeping an eye out for pricing among their competitors and suppliers.

“It’s just like accounting for any goods that you’re purchasing,” said Hood. “They often have tariffs and taxes built into them at different levels. I think the difference is these could be bigger and they could be more uncertain, because we’re not even sure they’re going to stick until you see the response by the other countries and the way this is absorbed through the market. I think we’re going through this period of deeper uncertainty. Even though they’re announced, we know that the administration has a tendency to negotiate, so I’m sure we’re going to see this thing evolve, probably in the next 30 days or whatever. The other thing our CFOs are reminding us of is that the stock market is not the economy.”

Amid the market fluctuations, companies and their accountants will need to watch closely as the rules and tariff rates fluctuate and ensure they are complying with the trading rules. “Do we have country of origin specified properly?” said Clevenger. “Are we completing the right paperwork? When there are questions, are we being responsive? Are we close to our broker? Are we monitoring our customs entries and all the basic things that we need to do? That’s more important now than it has been in the past because of this increase in complexity.”

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Accounting

Employers added 228K jobs in March, but lost 700 in accounting

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Employment rose by a stronger than expected 228,000 jobs in March, although the unemployment rate inched up one-tenth of a point to 4.2%, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday.

Despite the mostly upbeat jobs report, the stock markets nevertheless plunged amid widespread concern over the steep “reciprocal” tariffs announced Wednesday by President Trump. 

The professional and business services sector added 3,000 jobs, but lost 700 jobs in accounting, tax preparation, payroll and bookkeeping services. The biggest job gains occurred in health care, social assistance, transportation and warehousing. Employment also grew in the retail trade industry, in part due to the return of workers from a strike in the food and beverage industry. But federal government employment declined by 4,000 in March, after a loss of 10,000 in February, amid job cuts ordered by the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency. However, the Internal Revenue Service is reinstating approximately 7,000 probationary employees who had been placed on paid administrative leave and asking them to return to work by April 14.

Average hourly earnings rose in March by 9 cents, or 0.3%, to $36.00. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased 3.8%.

Trump boasted about the jobs report in an all-caps post on Truth Social, writing, “GREAT JOB NUMBERS, FAR BETTER THAN EXPECTED. IT’S ALREADY WORKING. HANG TOUGH, WE CAN’T LOSE!!!”

Congressional Democrats disagreed. “Unemployment is rising, and this seems to be the last report buoyed by Democrats’ blockbuster job creation,” said House Ways and Means Committee ranking member Richard Neal, D-Massachusetts, in a statement. “Recession odds are getting higher by the day as Trump plagues our economy with the largest tax hike in decades. Wages would need to skyrocket for the people to weather Trump’s higher prices and needless uncertainty. This report doesn’t yet reflect the dangerous firings of thousands of public servants or the layoffs that started hours after he announced the Trump Tariff Tax. This administration is ruling through the lens of billionaires — sacrificing workers’ paychecks, destroying trillions of dollars in savings and retirement wealth, readying more than $7 trillion in tax giveaways to primarily benefit the rich, all to bring down interest rates, and ultimately, pad their own pockets.”

Economists are predicting fallout from the historic tariff increases announced by Trump. “We now have more clarity on the trade policy following ‘Liberation Day’ on April 2,” wrote Appcast chief economist Andrew Flowers. “The average effective tariff rate is now above the level set by the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in 1930. This is one of the largest changes to economic and global trade policy since President Nixon’s decision to move away from the gold standard more than 50 years ago. The impending fallout from retaliatory tariffs from our trading partners across Europe and Asia will radically shift employment growth across manufacturing, retail and construction as consumer goods prices rise.”

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Accounting

Tech news: AvidXchange releases new AI agents

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Plus, Solver Releases xFP&A Nonprofit Industry Solution Models; CPAClub launches “Club 22” professional network; and other accounting tech news.

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Accounting

IRS recalls fired workers as April 15 tax crush looms

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After a court ordered the Internal Revenue Service to rehire some 7,000 probationary workers, the employees were put on administrative leave — kept on the federal payroll, but not back at work.

Now it’s tax season and the bosses at the IRS need those erstwhile employees at their desks.

A notice to probationary employees — fired in February and reinstated in March — directed workers at the U.S. tax collector to prepare to return to “full duty” by April 14 — one day before the country’s taxes are due, according to a copy viewed by Bloomberg News.

Between now and the agency’s most important date on the calendar, workers will be picking up new federal ID badges, powering up computers they turned in when the terminations hit in February and negotiating remote work arrangements in cities where the IRS doesn’t have office space. 

For employees who don’t want to come back, the notice provides an out: workers can send an email to decline to return and resign from the agency.

But management said workers don’t need to give up jobs they took in the weeks since the Department of Government Efficiency first initiated the firings — in what could be a sign of the IRS’ manpower needs as tax returns roll in.

“Please know that outside employment does not necessarily prevent you from returning to work,” the message read.

The IRS declined to comment.

These roughly 7,000 employees were fired in February as part of Elon Musk’s DOGE effort to slash the U.S. government’s workforce. But a federal judge in Maryland ruled last month that 18 agencies, including the Treasury Department which oversees the IRS, had to reinstate their fired probationary workers, as the courts continue to weigh the legality of the job cuts.

At the time, unions said that bringing workers back onto the federal payroll, even keeping them on leave, would reverse the economic hit of the layoffs and restore affected employees’ health benefits. 

Still, the Trump administration’s longterm goal of cutting the IRS workforce in half is expected to dramatically raise wait times for customer service functions, including helping individual filers with tax returns. It’s also likely to be good news for tax cheats, tax experts said, since it will cramp the agency’s ability to audit returns, including some of the wealthiest people in the country.

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