The logo of German bank Commerzbank seen on a branch office near the Commerzbank Tower in Frankfurt.
Daniel Roland | Afp | Getty Images
Germany’s second-largest lender Commerzbank on Thursday announced it will eliminate 3,900 full-time positions by 2028, largely in its native Germany, as it unveiled a spate of new strategic targets.
The job cuts will be accompanied by increases in staffing in “selected areas” such as in international locations, resulting in a broadly constant global headcount of 36,700, the bank said in its strategic update.
The lender anticipates around 700 million euros ($730.7 million) of before-tax restructuring costs in 2025, targeting a net result of 2.4 billion euros after these charges for the year. It plans a payout ratio of more than 100% over the 2025-2028 period, after the deduction of restructuring costs and Additional Tier 1 (AT 1) bond coupons.
Revenue in 2024 came in at 11.1 billion euros, compared with 10.461 billion euros in 2023.
Commerzbank had disclosed its “record” annual performance two weeks before the scheduled release of its financial results, in a bid to fall in step with German legal requirements when a company’s capital return significantly exceeds the expectations of capital markets.
At the time, it said net profit hiked by 20% to a forecast-beating 2.68 billion euros ($2.78 billion) in 2024, outlining plans to repurchase 400 million euros of shares and boost its dividend payout to 0.65 euros per share, compared with 0.35 euros per share in the previous year.
UniCredit stake
Commerzbank has been advocating its case to stand alone since last year’s surprise build of a stake by UniCredit fueled market talk that Italy’s second-largest lender could be on the hunt for a cross-border takeover. UniCredit currently holds a direct 9.5% stake and a 18.5% stake via derivatives in Commerzbank.
The German government has opposed the prospect of such a cross-border consolidation, with Finance Minister Jörg Kukies slamming UniCredit’s “very aggressive, very opaque” bid in a CNBC interview in January.
Split between the German overture and a takeover offer for Italian lender Banco BPM, UniCredit CEO Andrea Orcel has kept his cards close to chest over his company’s ultimate intentions regarding Commerzbank.
Speaking to CNBC this week after UniCredit reported a fourth-quarter profit beat and guided a slowdown in 2025 revenues, Orcel stressed that Commerzbank remains an investment — but also that he is “quite optimistic of being able to convince everybody, not only on the premises of how we got to this investment, but also that a combination between the two banks has massive value to be created, not only for the two banks and the stakeholders, but also for Germany and for Europe.”
Former Walmart U.S. CEO Bill Simon contends the retailer’s stock sell-off tied to a slowing profit growth forecast and tariff fears is creating a major opportunity for investors.
“I absolutely thought their guidance was pretty strong given the fact that… nobody knows what’s going to happen with tariffs,” he told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Thursday, the day Walmart reported fiscal fourth-quarter results.
But even if U.S. tariffs against Canada and Mexico move forward, Simon predicts “nothing” should happen to Walmart.
“Ultimately, the consumer decides whether there’s a tariff or not,” said Simon. “There’s a tariff on avocados from Mexico. Do you have guacamole with your chips or do you have salsa and queso where there is no tariff?”
Plus, Simon, who’s now on the Darden Restaurants board and is the chairman at Hanesbrands, sees Walmart as a nimble retailer.
“The big guys, Walmart,Costco,Target, Amazon… have the supply and the sourcing capability to mitigate tariffs by redirecting the product – bringing it in from different places [and] developing their own private labels,” said Simon. “Those guys will figure out tariffs.”
Walmart shares just saw their worst weekly performance since May 2022 — tumbling almost 9%. The stock price fell more than 6% on its earnings day alone. It was the stock’s worst daily performance since November 2023.
Simon thinks the sell-off is bizarre.
“I thought if you hit your numbers and did well and beat your earnings, things would usually go well for you in the market. But little do we know. You got to have some magic dust,” he said. “I don’t know how you could have done much better for the quarter.”
It’s a departure from his stance last May on “Fast Money” when he warned affluent consumers were creating a “bubble” at Walmart. It came with Walmart shares hitting record highs. He noted historical trends pointed to an eventual shift back to service from convenience and price.
But now Simon thinks the economic and geopolitical backdrop is so unprecedented, higher-income consumers may shop at Walmart permanently.
“If you liked that story yesterday before the earnings release, you should love it today because it’s… cheaper,” said Simon.
Walmart stock is now down 10% from its all-time high hit on Feb. 14. However, it’s still up about 64% over the past 52 weeks.
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Investors may want to reducetheir exposure to the world’s largest emerging market.
Perth Tolle, who’s the founder of Life + Liberty Indexes, warns China’s capitalism model is unsustainable.
“I think the thinking used to be that their capitalism would lead to democracy,” she told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “Economic freedom is a necessary, but not sufficient precondition for personal freedom.”
She runs the Freedom 100 Emerging Markets ETF — which is up more than 43% since its first day of trading on May 23, 2019. So far this year, Tolle’s ETF is up 9%, while the iShares China Large-Cap ETF, which tracks the country’s biggest stocks, is up 19%.
The fund has never invested in China, according to Tolle.
Tolle spent part of her childhood in Beijing. When she started at Fidelity Investments as a private wealth advisor in 2004, Tolle noted all of her clients wanted exposure to China’s market.
“I didn’t want to personally be investing in China at that point, but everyone else did,” she said. “Then, I had clients from Russia who said, ‘I don’t want to invest in Russia because it’s like funding terrorism.’ And, look how prescient that is today. So, my own experience and those of some of my clients led me to this idea in the end.”
She prefers emerging economies that prioritize freedom.
“Without that, the economy is going to be constrained,” she added.
ETF investor Tom Lydon, who is the former VettaFi head, also sees China as a risky investment.
“If you look at emerging markets… by not being in China from a performance standpoint, it’s provided less volatility and better performance,” Lydon said.
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway raised its stakes in Mitsubishi Corp., Mitsui & Co., Itochu, Marubeni and Sumitomo — all to 7.4%.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Warren Buffett released Saturday his annual letter to shareholders.
In it, the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway discussed how he still preferred stocks over cash, despite the conglomerate’s massive cash hoard. He also lauded successor Greg Able for his ability to pick opportunities — and compared him to the late Charlie Munger.