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Here’s the average payment through Jan. 31

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Tax season has kicked off, and the IRS has issued roughly 3.2 million refunds this year as of Jan. 31, the agency reported. 

This represents current-year returns filed.

The average refund was $1,928 over the first four days of the filing season.

However, the IRS expects more than 140 million individual filings through the April 15 deadline, so the average refund could change throughout the season.

Typically, you can expect a refund when you overpay taxes throughout the year via paycheck withholdings or estimated payments.

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As of Dec. 27, the average refund for the 2024 season was $3,138, which is about 1% lower than the average payment in 2023, according to the IRS.

You can check the status of your refund for the 2025 season via the “Where’s My Refund?” tool or the IRS2Go app.

How to get a faster tax refund

“Filing electronically and selecting direct deposit is the best way to get your refund quickly,” former IRS Commissioner Danny Werfel said in early January.

Typically, the IRS issues most refunds in less than 21 days, but several factors can impact your refund timing, according to the agency.

By law, the IRS can’t issue earned income tax credit or additional child tax credit refunds before mid-February. Those refunds should arrive by March 3 if there are no issues with your tax refund, the agency said. 

Tax Tip: Earned Income Credit

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Personal Finance

Here’s how to reduce capital gains on your home sale

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As U.S. home equity climbs, owners are more likely to face capital gains taxes from selling property. But a lesser-known tax strategy could help shrink your bill, experts say.

When selling your main home, there’s a special tax break that shields up to $250,000 of profits for single filers and $500,000 for married couples filing jointly. However, you need to meet certain rules.

An increasing number of home sellers are exceeding those thresholds, according to a 2024 report from real estate data firm CoreLogic. Nearly 8% of U.S. homes sold in 2023 exceeded the capital gains tax limit of $500,000 for married couples, up from about 3% in 2019, the report found.

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Those percentages were even higher in high-cost states like Colorado, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York and and Washington, according to the CoreLogic report.  

Exceeding the $250,000 and $500,000 exclusions is “becoming more common,” said Tommy Lucas, a certified financial planner and enrolled agent at Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo in Orlando, Florida.

Home sale profits above the $250,000 or $500,000 thresholds are subject to capital gains taxes of 0%, 15% or 20%, depending on your taxable income.

Increase your ‘basis’ to reduce profits

Many home sellers don’t realize they can reduce capital gains by increasing their “basis,” or the home’s original purchase price, according to Mark Baran, managing director at financial services firm CBIZ’s national tax office. 

You can increase your basis by adding “capital improvements,” such as renovations, adding a new roof, exterior upgrades or replaced systems.  

Your “adjusted basis” is generally the cost of buying your home plus any capital improvements made while you own the property.

“That adds up over time and can bring them fully within the [$250,000 or $500,000 capital gains] exclusion,” Baran said.

However, you cannot add home repairs and maintenance, such as fixing leaks, holes, cracks or replacing broken hardware, according to the IRS.

Tax Tip: 401(K) limits for 2025

You also can reduce your home sale profit by adding fees and closing costs from the purchase and sale of the home, according to Lucas.

The IRS says some of these expenses could include:

  • Title fees
  • Charges for utility installation
  • Legal and recording fees
  • Surveys
  • Transfer taxes
  • Title insurance
  • Balances owed by the seller

“Maybe that gets you an extra few thousand” to reduce the profit, Lucas added.

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A 20% S&P 500 ‘three-peat’ is unlikely in 2025, market strategist says

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Traders on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange at the opening bell in New York City on Feb. 12, 2025. 

Angela Weiss | Afp | Getty Images

Stock market investors enjoyed lofty annual returns over the past two years. However, 2025 may not offer a “three-peat,” investment analysts say.

The S&P 500 stock market index yielded a 23% return for investors in 2024 and 24% in 2023. (Those returns were 25% and 26%, respectively, with dividends.)

Three consecutive years of total returns of more than 20% for U.S. stocks is a historical rarity. It has only happened once — in the late 1990s — dating back to 1928, according to Scott Wren, senior global market strategist at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.

“Do we expect an S&P 500 Index three-peat in 2025? In short, no,” Wren wrote in a market commentary Wednesday.

S&P 500 could still see double-digit gains despite higher yields: Strategist

The U.S. stock market has delivered average annual returns of roughly 10% since 1926, according to Dimensional, an asset manager. After accounting for inflation, stocks have consistently returned an average 6.5% to 7% per year dating to about 1800, according to a McKinsey analysis.

“We have been spoiled as investors” the past two years, said Callie Cox, chief market strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management.

“Twenty-percent gains haven’t been the norm,” Cox said. “Twenty percent gains are the exception.”

What might ruin the party?

While history “isn’t gospel,” there are reasons to think the stock market may not perform as well in 2025, Cox said.

For one, there are many uncertainties that could negatively impact the stock market, including tariffs and a potential rebound in inflation, Wren said. A surge in bond yields might also pose a headwind, Wren wrote in a market commentary. (Higher yields could dampen demand for U.S. stocks.)

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Additionally, technology companies have been a major driver of S&P 500 returns in recent years but may not be poised for the same outperformance this year, Cox said.

Tech stocks suffered a rout in late January, for example, amid fears of a Chinese artificial intelligence startup called DeepSeek undercutting major U.S. players. Those stocks have largely recovered since then, however.

In all, a rosy backdrop of solid economic growth and consumer spending, coupled with relatively low unemployment, may push the S&P 500 up by about 12% in 2025, Wren wrote. That would be slightly better than the long-term historical average, he said.

“So do not be disappointed,” Wren wrote. “We think investors should be optimistic.”

However, investors shouldn’t let high expectations cloud judgment about market risks, Cox said.  

The current environment is one in which investors should “prioritize portfolio balance” and long-term investors should ensure their portfolio is in line with their targets, she said.

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U.S. appeals court blocks Biden SAVE plan for student loans

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US President Joe Biden speaks about student loan debt relief at Madison Area Technical College in Madison, Wisconsin, April 8, 2024. 

Andrew Caballero-Reynolds | AFP | Getty Images

A U.S. appeals court on Tuesday blocked the Biden administration’s student loan relief plan known as SAVE, a move that will likely lead to higher monthly payments for millions of borrowers.

The 8th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals sided with the seven Republican-led states that filed a lawsuit against the U.S. Department of Education’s plan. The states had argued that former President Joe Biden lacked the authority to establish the student loan relief plan.

This is breaking news. Please check back for updates.

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