After three straight years of decline, Chinese tech company Tencent is poised for gains in 2024. The stock is up more than 3% for the year so far, in contrast with a decline of more than 4% in Hong Kong’s main Hang Seng Index. Tencent, largely known for its gaming and social media businesses, is the biggest stock in the index with a market capitalization of more than $350 billion. The first quarter should “mark the trough” in Tencent’s games business, Morgan Stanley equity analyst Gary Yu and a team said in a report on April 14. “We expect games growth to be down 4% YoY (vs cons down 3% YoY) mainly due to soft domestic growth. That said, our previous expectation of 2Q seeing an inflection point remains intact.” The firm is overweight on Tencent shares, with a price target of 400 Hong Kong dollars ($51). That’s more than 30% above where the stock closed Friday. Chinese authorities resumed approvals of Tencent’s games in late 2022 after a freeze of more than a year. When asked in late March about the risk of new restrictions, management said that regulators have made it clear they intend to “provide a healthy environment for growing the industry rather than constraining the industry.” That’s according to a FactSet transcript of an earnings call. Most of Tencent’s gains this year have come after that quarterly earnings report. The company’s other major revenue generators include advertising, financial technology and business services. “Among our [Asia ex-Japan internet] stock coverage, Tencent is our top pick considering its diversified business models and margin expansion story,” Jefferies analysts said in a note on April 17 about their meetings in the last week with European investors. Also helping analysts’ optimism on the stock are Tencent’s share buybacks. Morgan Stanley’s Yu pointed out that Tencent has announced it would repurchase at least $13 billion in 2024 — more than double last year’s buyback program — for a yield of about 5%. The buybacks offset an ongoing sell-down by Prosus of its holdings in the Chinese company to fund its own share repurchase program. Prosus is a Netherlands-based company owned by Naspers, an early investor in Tencent. “Based on Prosus’ current run-rate of share sale in 1Q24, Tencent’s total buyback for 2024 will be around 2 times of Prosus’ share sale,” Charlene Liu, HSBC’s Head of Internet and Gaming Research, Asia Pacific, said in a report on April 16. “Tencent has increased its daily buyback to HKD1bn/day from HKD500m/day since mid-January,” the report said. HSBC has a buy rating on Tencent, with a target price of 385 Hong Kong dollars. The investment firm also expects Tencent’s game business to turn around soon, albeit not until the second half of this year. “While the inability to undertake buybacks during the blackout period [one month before earnings] can weigh on the share price near term, a persistent recovery in the games business and resilient growth from ads, fintech and business services can help to sustain earnings growth supported by improving margin,” the HSBC report said. Tencent is set to release first quarter results on May 14. Chinese internet companies Alibaba and JD.com have also announced share buyback programs this year. “I believe that we’re definitely seeing more mature performances or behavior patterns, if you will, especially for the list[ed] companies to do buybacks, to do dividends,” Grant Pan, CFO of China-based wealth management firm Noah Holdings, told me in an interview Friday. “In the past predominantly it’s a valuation-driven stock market,” he said. “But now I think people are really not just looking for the valuation but [the] actual value of the company. Instead of looking for multiples they’re looking for the earning power.” Pan said that low liquidity in Hong Kong has also affected share prices in that market, but he hopes that can improve with a new CEO. The Hong Kong exchange’s co-COO Bonnie Chan is set to become head of the business in late May. Noah’s clients have also started inquiring more over the last two to three quarters about investments in China, Pan said, noting that prices are nearing a level at which there may be opportunities to buy. — CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Netflix — Shares popped more than 15% after the company announced a top- and bottom-line beat on Tuesday night. The streaming service earned $4.27 per share on $10.25 billion in revenue for the fourth quarter. Analysts surveyed by LSEG had expected earnings of $4.20 per share and revenue of $10.11 billion. Netflix also topped 300 million paid subscribers in the quarter. United Airlines — The airline stock rose 5% after issuing a better-than-expected outlook . United expects to earn 75 cents to $1.25 per share, after adjustments, in the first three months of 2025, which is more than the 54 cents analysts had expected, per LSEG. Trump Media & Technology — The parent company of Truth Social shed 2%, continuing its post-inauguration slide. Shares dropped around 11% on Tuesday. Procter & Gamble — Shares climbed 3% after P & G posted fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped analysts’ forecasts. The company reported adjusted earnings of $1.88 per share, while analysts had expected $1.86 per share, according to LSEG. Revenue came in at $21.88 billion, beating estimates of $21.54 billion. P & G cited growing demand for household staples. Oracle — Shares surged more than 10% on the back of President Donald Trump’s announcement of project “Stargate” on Tuesday, a joint venture with OpenAI, Oracle and Softbank to invest up to $500 billion in U.S. artificial intelligence infrastructure. Ford — The automaker’s shares slipped nearly 2% after Barclays downgraded shares to equal weight from overweight. The investment bank expects volume headwinds and cost improvement uncertainty will weigh on the stock. Abbott Labs — The health-care stock fell about 2% after fourth-quarter sales of $10.97 billion came in below the $11.03 billion expected by analysts, according to StreetAccount. Sales at its diagnostics division were down slightly year over year. Abbott expects to earn $1.05 to $1.09 per share on an adjusted basis in the first quarter, below the $1.11 per share expected by analysts, according to FactSet. Seagate Technology Holdings — Shares of the data storage company jumped more than 6% the day after it announced strong fiscal second-quarter results. Seagate Technology posted adjusted earnings of $2.03 per share on revenue of $2.33 billion. Analysts surveyed by LSEG had expected per-share earnings of $1.88 on revenue of $2.32 billion. GE Vernova — The energy company moved about 1% higher after reporting fourth-quarter earnings of $1.73 per share, and reiterating its outlook for 2025. Revenue of $10.56 billion, however, fell short of the $10.79 billion expected by analysts polled by LSEG. Travelers — The insurance stock jumped more than 5% after its fourth-quarter results came in well above estimates. Travelers earned $9.15 per share, topping estimates for $6.64 per share, according to LSEG. Revenue of $12.01 billion also beat analysts’ forecasts for $10.84 billion. Textron — Shares shed nearly 4% after the aviation and defense company missed top-line estimates. Textron posted revenue of $3.61 billion in the fourth quarter, while analysts had called for $3.81 billion, per LSEG. Meanwhile, the company posted adjusted earnings of $1.34 per share, which came in a penny above consensus forecasts. Johnson & Johnson — Shares dipped 1.5% after the drugmaker narrowly beat fourth-quarter expectations , driven by strong sales of its cancer treatment. However, the company’s sales forecast for 2025 was slightly lower than analysts were expecting. — CNBC’s Jesse Pound, Michelle Fox and Pia Singh contributed reporting
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Wednesday the looming tariffs that President Donald Trump is expected to slap on U.S. trading partners could be viewed positively.
Despite fears that the duties could spark a global trade war and reignite inflation domestically, the head of the largest U.S. bank by assets said they could protect American interests and bring trading partners back to the table for better deals for the country, if used correctly.
“If it’s a little inflationary, but it’s good for national security, so be it. I mean, get over it,” Dimon told CNBC’s Andrew Ross Sorkin during an interview at the World Economic Forum in Davos. “National security trumps a little bit more inflation.”
Since taking office Monday, Trump has been saber-rattling on tariffs, threatening Monday to impose levies on Mexico and Canada, then expanding the scope Tuesday to China and the European Union. The president told reporters that the EU is treating the U.S. “very, very badly” due to its large annual trade surplus. The U.S. last year ran a $214 billion deficit with the EU through November 2024.
Among the considerations are a 10% tariff on China and 25% on Canada and Mexico as the U.S. looks forward to a review on the tri-party agreement Trump negotiated during his first term. The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement is up for review in July 2026.
Dimon did not get into the details of Trump’s plans, but said it depends on how the duties are implemented. Trump has indicated the tariffs could take effect Feb. 1.
“I look at tariffs, they’re an economic tool, That’s it,” Dimon said. “They’re an economic weapon, depending on how you use it, why you use it, stuff like that. Tariffs are inflationary and not inflationary.”
Trump leveled broad-based tariffs during his first term, during which inflation ran below 2.5% each year. Despite the looming tariff threat, the U.S. dollar has drifted lower this week.
“Tariffs can change the dollar, but the most important thing is growth,” Dimon said.
Check out the companies making headlines in extended trading. Netflix — Shares soared more than 13% after the streaming giant surpassed 300 million paid memberships . Netflix also beat fourth-quarter expectations on the top and bottom lines, and it raised its revenue expectations for the full year 2025. United Airlines — Shares popped more than 3% after United Airlines’ fourth-quarter results came in better than expected. The airline operator posted adjusted earnings of $3.26 per share on revenues of $14.70 billion. Analysts surveyed by LSEG had expected per-share earnings of $3.00 on revenues of $14.47 billion. The company also issued a strong forecast for first-quarter earnings. Interactive Brokers Group — Shares jumped about 3% after the brokerage posted better-than-expected fourth-quarter results. Interactive Brokers reported adjusted earnings of $2.03 per share on revenues of $1.42 billion in the quarter. Analysts surveyed by LSEG had expected per-share earnings of $1.86 on revenues of $1.37 billion. Seagate Technology — Shares gained 1% after Seagate Technology surpassed second-quarter expectations, with adjusted earnings of $2.03 per share on revenues of $2.33 billion. Analysts polled by LSEG had expected per-share earnings of $1.88 on revenues of $2.32 billion. Capital One Financial — Shares dipped 0.5% after Capital One missed fourth-quarter revenue expectations, reporting $10.19 billion compared to the LSEG consensus estimate of $10.21 billion. On the other hand, adjusted earnings of $3.09 per share topped the anticipated $2.82 earnings per share.