After three straight years of decline, Chinese tech company Tencent is poised for gains in 2024. The stock is up more than 3% for the year so far, in contrast with a decline of more than 4% in Hong Kong’s main Hang Seng Index. Tencent, largely known for its gaming and social media businesses, is the biggest stock in the index with a market capitalization of more than $350 billion. The first quarter should “mark the trough” in Tencent’s games business, Morgan Stanley equity analyst Gary Yu and a team said in a report on April 14. “We expect games growth to be down 4% YoY (vs cons down 3% YoY) mainly due to soft domestic growth. That said, our previous expectation of 2Q seeing an inflection point remains intact.” The firm is overweight on Tencent shares, with a price target of 400 Hong Kong dollars ($51). That’s more than 30% above where the stock closed Friday. Chinese authorities resumed approvals of Tencent’s games in late 2022 after a freeze of more than a year. When asked in late March about the risk of new restrictions, management said that regulators have made it clear they intend to “provide a healthy environment for growing the industry rather than constraining the industry.” That’s according to a FactSet transcript of an earnings call. Most of Tencent’s gains this year have come after that quarterly earnings report. The company’s other major revenue generators include advertising, financial technology and business services. “Among our [Asia ex-Japan internet] stock coverage, Tencent is our top pick considering its diversified business models and margin expansion story,” Jefferies analysts said in a note on April 17 about their meetings in the last week with European investors. Also helping analysts’ optimism on the stock are Tencent’s share buybacks. Morgan Stanley’s Yu pointed out that Tencent has announced it would repurchase at least $13 billion in 2024 — more than double last year’s buyback program — for a yield of about 5%. The buybacks offset an ongoing sell-down by Prosus of its holdings in the Chinese company to fund its own share repurchase program. Prosus is a Netherlands-based company owned by Naspers, an early investor in Tencent. “Based on Prosus’ current run-rate of share sale in 1Q24, Tencent’s total buyback for 2024 will be around 2 times of Prosus’ share sale,” Charlene Liu, HSBC’s Head of Internet and Gaming Research, Asia Pacific, said in a report on April 16. “Tencent has increased its daily buyback to HKD1bn/day from HKD500m/day since mid-January,” the report said. HSBC has a buy rating on Tencent, with a target price of 385 Hong Kong dollars. The investment firm also expects Tencent’s game business to turn around soon, albeit not until the second half of this year. “While the inability to undertake buybacks during the blackout period [one month before earnings] can weigh on the share price near term, a persistent recovery in the games business and resilient growth from ads, fintech and business services can help to sustain earnings growth supported by improving margin,” the HSBC report said. Tencent is set to release first quarter results on May 14. Chinese internet companies Alibaba and JD.com have also announced share buyback programs this year. “I believe that we’re definitely seeing more mature performances or behavior patterns, if you will, especially for the list[ed] companies to do buybacks, to do dividends,” Grant Pan, CFO of China-based wealth management firm Noah Holdings, told me in an interview Friday. “In the past predominantly it’s a valuation-driven stock market,” he said. “But now I think people are really not just looking for the valuation but [the] actual value of the company. Instead of looking for multiples they’re looking for the earning power.” Pan said that low liquidity in Hong Kong has also affected share prices in that market, but he hopes that can improve with a new CEO. The Hong Kong exchange’s co-COO Bonnie Chan is set to become head of the business in late May. Noah’s clients have also started inquiring more over the last two to three quarters about investments in China, Pan said, noting that prices are nearing a level at which there may be opportunities to buy. — CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase, leaves the U.S. Capitol after a meeting with Republican members of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee on the issue of de-banking on Feb. 13, 2025.
Dimon, the veteran CEO and chairman of the biggest U.S. bank by assets, explained his worldview during his bank’s annual investor day meeting in New York. He said he believes the risks of higher inflation and even stagflation aren’t properly represented by stock market values, which have staged a comeback from lows in April.
“We have huge deficits; we have what I consider almost complacent central banks,” Dimon said. “You all think they can manage all this. I don’t think” they can, he said.
“My own view is people feel pretty good because you haven’t seen effective tariffs” yet, Dimon said. “The market came down 10%, [it’s] back up 10%; that’s an extraordinary amount of complacency.”
Dimon’s comments follow Moody’s rating agency downgrading the U.S. credit rating on Friday over concerns about the government’s growing debt burden. Markets have been whipsawed the past few months over worries that President Donald Trump‘s trade policies will raise inflation and slow the world’s largest economy.
Dimon said Monday that he believed Wall Street earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies, which have already declined in the first weeks of Trump’s trade policies, will fall further as companies pull or lower guidance amid the uncertainty.
In six months, those projections will fall to 0% earnings growth after starting the year at around 12%, Dimon said. If that were to happen, stocks prices will likely fall.
“I think earnings estimates will come down, which means PE will come down,” Dimon said, referring to the “price to earnings” ratio tracked closely by stock market analysts.
The odds of stagflation, “which is basically a recession with inflation,” are roughly double what the market thinks, Dimon added.
Separately, one of Dimon’s top deputies said that corporate clients are still in “wait-and-see” mode when it comes to acquisitions and other deals.
Investment banking revenue is headed for a “mid-teens” percentage decline in the second quarter compared with the year-earlier period, while trading revenue was trending higher by a “mid-to-high” single digit percentage, said Troy Rohrbaugh, a co-head of the firm’s commercial and investment bank.
On the ever-present question of Dimon’s timeline to hand over the CEO reins to one of his deputies, Dimon said that nothing changed from his guidance last year, when he said he would likely remain for less than five more years.
“If I’m here for four more years, and maybe two more” as executive chairman, Dimon said, “that’s a long time.”
Of all the executive presentations given Monday, consumer banking chief Marianne Lake had the longest speaking time at a full hour. She is considered a top successor candidate, especially after Chief Operating Officer Jennifer Piepszak said she would not be seeking the top job.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading. UnitedHealth — The health insurer’s stock popped roughly 7% as investors scooped up shares of the beaten-down name, which lost 23% last week. UnitedHealth had suspended its 2025 guidance, announced that its CEO is stepping down and is reportedly the subject of a U.S. Department of Justice investigation . Reddit — Shares of the social media stock dropped more than 4% following a downgrade to equal weight from overweight at Wells Fargo. The firm said search traffic disruptions at Reddit are likely to become lasting as Google’s search integrates full artificial intelligence capabilities. Tesla , Palantir — Shares of retail investor favorites Tesla and Palantir each slid more than 3% as key tech stocks led Monday’s stock market losses. Regeneron Pharmaceuticals — Shares of the drugmaker dropped about 1% after the company announced it had agreed to pay $256 million to buy most of the assets of genetic data company 23andMe out of bankruptcy. Regeneron’s deal does not include Lemonaid Health, 23andMe’s telehealth subsidiary. Bath & Body Works — Shares ticked 1% lower after the personal care retailer said CEO Gina Boswell would step down immediately. The company said former Nike executive Daniel Heaf would replace her. Alibaba — U.S.-listed shares of the Chinese e-commerce giant traded 1% lower after the New York Times reported that the Trump administration has raised concerns about Apple’ s plan to use Alibaba’s A.I. on iPhones in China. TXNM Energy — Shares of the energy company popped 7% after TXNM agreed to be acquired by Blackstone’s infrastructure unit. TXNM Energy shareholders will receive $61.25 in cash for each share as part of the deal. — CNBC’s Alex Harring, Jesse Pound and Michelle Fox contributed reporting.
Sebastian Siemiatkowski, CEO of Klarna, speaking at a fintech event in London on Monday, April 4, 2022.
Chris Ratcliffe | Bloomberg via Getty Images
Klarna saw its losses jump in the first quarter as the popular buy now, pay later firm applies the brakes on a hotly anticipated U.S. initial public offering.
The Swedish payments startup said its net loss for the first three months of 2025 totaled $99 million — significantly worse than the $47 million loss it reported a year ago. Klarna said this was due to several one-off costs related to depreciation, share-based payments and restructuring.
Revenues at the firm increased 13% year-over-year to $701 million. Klarna said it now has 100 million active users and 724,00 merchant partners globally.
It comes as Klarna remains in pause mode regarding a highly anticipated U.S. IPO that was at one stage set to value the SoftBank-backed company at over $15 billion.
Klarna put its IPO plans on hold last month due to market turbulence caused by President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariff plans. Online ticketing platform StubHub also put its IPO plans on ice.
Prior to the IPO delay, Klarna had been on a marketing blitz touting itself as an artificial intelligence-powered fintech. The company partnered up with ChatGPT maker OpenAI in 2023. A year later, Klarna used OpenAI technology to create an AI customer service assistant.
Last week, Klarna CEO Sebastian Siemiatkowski said the company was able to shrink its headcount by about 40%, in part due to investments in AI.