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IRS prepares for flood of last-minute returns

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The Internal Revenue Service is getting ready for an onslaught of tax returns arriving by Tax Day on Monday, though many taxpayers will be eligible for automatic extensions due to natural disasters across the country.

The tax deadline is April 15 for most taxpayers, but taxpayers in Maine and Massachusetts will have until April 17 because these states observe the Patriots’ Day holiday on April 15 this year and April 16 is the Emancipation Day holiday in the District of Columbia. Other taxpayers in disaster areas, certain active-duty military members and citizens living abroad automatically get more time to file.

The IRS estimates that 19 million taxpayers will file for an automatic extension this year. It’s already received over 100 million tax returns, and tens of millions more are expected to be filed as Tax Day approaches.

“Delivering tax season is a massive undertaking, and we greatly appreciate people in many different areas working long hours to serve taxpayers as the tax deadline approaches,” said IRS Commissioner Danny Werfel in a statement Friday. “This effort reaches far beyond the IRS and includes hard-working tax professionals, software providers, the payroll community as well as our colleagues in the state tax agencies. Their work helping taxpayers makes a difference.” 

He noted that millions of taxpayers across the nation will be working on their tax returns during the final hours. There are various free tools on IRS.gov to help answer basic tax law questions, provide free filing options, update refund status and even provide ways to request an extension for more time to file. The IRS has also expanded its special assistance for taxpayers through the final weekend of tax season with special Saturday hours at 70 Taxpayer Assistance Centers.

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The Internal Revenue Service building in Washington, D.C.

Samuel Corum/Bloomberg

This year’s tax season has gone relatively smoothly, thanks to the lack of major changes in the tax laws. The tax extenders legislation that passed in the House in January has so far remained stalled in the Senate amid growing opposition by Republicans on the Senate Finance Committee. It could have meant some mid-tax season adjustments by IRS programmers in how much could be claimed on the Child Tax Credit and revived a number of expired business tax breaks, with a flood of amended returns sure to follow. But without those changes, and many of the pandemic tax breaks lapsed, tax professionals are getting to experience a more normal tax season. The IRS is still able to draw on the expanded funding it received from the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 to improve its technology and customer service, although the $80 billion appropriated over a decade has since been reduced by around $20 billion.

Of the $60 billion in long-term modernization funds provided by the Inflation Reduction Act, the IRS through 2023 had spent about $4.4 billion of it, mostly on taxpayer services and operations support. “IRS employees have proven, once again, that the decision by Congress and the administration to invest in and rebuild the agency was a wise one,” said National Treasury Employees Union national president Doreen Greenwald in a statement Friday. “As more than 100 million taxpayers have witnessed so far this season, the IRS is better equipped to answer their questions, guide them toward filing accurate returns and deliver their refunds quickly.”

Tax professionals have noticed the difference. “I would say that overall, I feel like things are better, ” said Eric Bronnenkant, director of tax at the investment advisor Betterment. “Obviously, you compare them to during the pandemic, when they passed, when they had all these stimulus payments, and all sorts of special provisions due to the pandemic, that definitely made things a lot more complicated. While I know that there are many people who miss some of those special pandemic provisions, the fact that we’ve gotten back to a more stable normalized level has arguably made the overall tax-filing season smoother, but not perfect.”

The deadline for claiming one of those pandemic tax breaks is about to expire on May 17: the Recovery Rebate Credit. “The May 17, 2024 deadline is fast approaching for taxpayers who have not yet filed a 2020 tax return to claim a refund of withholdings, estimated taxes or their 2020 Recovery Rebate Credit,” wrote National Taxpayer Advocate Erin Collins in a blog post Thursday. “The IRS estimates that almost 940,000 of the nation’s taxpayers have unclaimed refunds totaling more than $1 billion for tax year 2020 and encourages eligible non-filers in 2020 to claim their Recovery Rebate Credit before the May 17 deadline.”

Taxpayers may still face some hurdles this tax season, especially if they worked in multiple states last year. “That’s an extra challenge, particularly for road warriors who could be filing in five or more states, depending on how many places that you’ve worked and what those specific state rules are,” said Bronnenkant. 

He noted that he often gets questions from clients about filing for tax extensions as the deadline approaches. “An extension to file is not an extension to pay,” said Bronnenkant. “You’re still expected to pay what you think that you owe when you file right now, or when you file for an extension. That doesn’t give you any more extra time to pay. It just gives you extra time to gather all your information. You still want to make the best guess of what you think that you’re going to owe and pay that now.”

Similarly with individual retirement account contributions, taxpayers who want to set aside money for retirement, can make up to $6,500 in IRA contributions if they’re under the age of 50, or $7,500 if they’re over age 50, up until April 15. “Even if you’re on an extension, that doesn’t give you any extra time to contribute to your traditional or Roth IRA,” said Bronnenkant. “Maximizing those tax-advantaged accounts is definitely on the top of people’s minds for sure.”

There are some exceptions for Self-Employed Pension plans and the SEP IRAs associated with them. “For some self-employed people, they may also have a SEP,” said Bronnenkant. “For the SEP, if you’re on extension, you can actually contribute until October 15, so that gives you extra time. The rules for that are a little bit different than the traditional and Roth.”

Some taxpayers are bypassing their tax preparers and trying out the IRS’s new Direct File free tax software that’s being pilot tested in 12 states this tax season for those with simpler tax returns. The IRS launched the program last month and it’s seeing steadily increasing usage, recently, adding a new feature in recent days to automatically import a taxpayer’s adjusted gross income information from last year’s tax return.

The IRS hopes to expand the pilot program next year more widely with additional features, assuming the program isn’t shut down by Congress or the next administration after the November elections. 

“We are actually doing some more user research right now with Spanish-speaking filers,” said Ayushi Roy, deputy director of New America’s New Practice Lab, which helped carry out a feasibility study for developing the Direct File system. “We don’t have a clear sense which tax scenarios ought to be prioritized if this is continued. We might find that it’s something like student loans is actually maybe a scenario to cover, or joint filing or shared custody. We don;t have that information yet. There’s sort of a top 10, but whittling it down is still a work in progress.”

Even if the Direct File program continues, she doesn’t see that as a threat to professional tax preparers. “Last year, of the 162 million returns that were filed, 150 million were electronically filed, and more than half of that, 85 million specifically, were filed by tax professionals,” said Roy. “That’s a higher ratio of preparation by professionals than self-preparation by software than previous years. That trend is actually really interesting and I am interested in seeing how that figure ultimately lands this year. It is worth noting, though, it will be hard to evaluate by April 15 because we have so many natural disaster-related extended filers, particularly in California and some other states that dealt with fires and flooding in the past filing year, so I don’t know how much we’ll be able to tell from the data after the 15th versus data in the fall.”

There will still be a place for commercial tax software as well, and some of the vendors in the Free File program and beyond seem to be lowering their eligibility requirements. “The Direct File program is not in the business of taking over the process of tax preparation,” said Roy. “The tax preparation landscape is rightfully varied, with lots of options for different people that work for different situations. That’s the right way for the landscape to exist. The purpose of the Direct File program was an effort to fill a gap in an existing market, and if that gap can be filled through other means, including lifting income eligibility restrictions in TurboTax and H&R Block, that to me feels like a win.”

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Accounting firms seeing increased profits

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Accounting firms are reporting bigger profits and more clients, according to a new report.

The report, released Monday by Xero, found that nearly three-quarters (73%) of firms reported increased profits over the past year and 56% added new clients thanks to operational efficiency and expanded service offerings.

Some 85% of firms now offer client advisory services, a big spike from 41% in 2023, indicating a strategic shift toward delivering forward-looking financial guidance that clients increasingly expect.

AI adoption is also reshaping the profession, with 80% of firms confident it will positively affect their practice. Currently, the most common use cases for AI include: delivering faster and more responsive client services (33%), enhancing accuracy by reducing bookkeeping and accounting errors (33%), and streamlining workflows through the automation of routine tasks (32%).

“The widespread adoption of AI has been a turning point for the accounting profession, giving accountants an opportunity to scale their impact and take on a more strategic advisory role,” said Ben Richmond, managing director, North America, at Xero, in a statement. “The real value lies not just in working more efficiently, but working smarter, freeing up time to elevate the human element of the profession and in turn, strengthen client relationships.”

Some of the main challenges faced by firms include economic uncertainty (38%), mastering AI (36%) and rising client expectations for strategic advice (35%). 

While 85% of firms have embraced cloud platforms, a sizable number still lag behind, missing out on benefits such as easier data access from anywhere (40%) and enhanced security (36%).

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Private equity is investing in accounting: What does that mean for the future of the business?

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Private equity firms have bought five of the top 26 accounting firms in the past three years as they mount a concerted strategy to reshape the industry. 

The trend should not come as a surprise. It’s one we’ve seen play out in several industries from health care to insurance, where a combination of low-risk, recurring revenue, scalability and an aging population of owners create a target-rich environment. For small to midsized accounting firms, the trend is exacerbated by a technological revolution that’s truly transforming the way accounting work is done, and a growing talent crisis that is threatening tried-and-true business models.

How will this type of consolidation affect the accounting business, and what do firms and their clients need to be on the lookout for as the marketplace evolves?

Assessing the opportunity… and the risk

First and foremost, accounting firm owners need to be aware of just how desirable they are right now. While there has been some buzz in the industry about the growing presence of private equity firms, most of the activity to date has focused on larger, privately held firms. In fact, when we recently asked tax professionals about their exposure to private equity funding in our 2025 State of Tax Professionals Report, we found that just 5% of firms have actually inked a deal and only 11% said they are planning to look, or are currently looking, for a deal with a private equity firm. Another 8% said they are open to discussion. On the one hand, that’s almost a quarter of firms feeling open to private equity investments in some way. But the lion’s share of respondents —  87% — said they were not interested.

Recent private equity deal volume suggests that the holdouts might change their minds when they have a real offer on the table. According to S&P Global, private equity and venture capital-backed deal value in the accounting, auditing and taxation services sector reached more than $6.3 billion in 2024, the highest level since 2015, and the trend shows no signs of slowing. Firm owners would be wise to start watching this trend to see how it might affect their businesses — whether they are interested in selling or not.

Focus on tech and efficiencies of scale

The reason this trend is so important to everyone in the industry right now is that the private equity firms entering this space are not trying to become accountants. They are looking for profitable exits. And they will do that by seizing on a critical inflection point in the industry that’s making it possible to scale accounting firms more rapidly than ever before by leveraging technology to deliver a much wider range of services at a much lower cost. So, whether your firm is interested in partnering with private equity or dead set on going it alone, the hyperscaling that’s happening throughout the industry will affect you one way or another.

Private equity thrives in fragmented businesses where the ability to roll up companies with complementary skill sets and specialized services creates an outsized growth opportunity. Andrew Dodson, managing partner at Parthenon Capital, recently commented after his firm took a stake in the tax and advisory firm Cherry Bekaert, “We think that for firms to thrive, they need to make investments in people and technology, and, obviously, regulatory adherence, to really differentiate themselves in the market. And that’s going to require scale and capital to do it. That’s what gets us excited.”

Over time, this could reshape the industry’s market dynamics by creating the accounting firm equivalent of the Traveling Wilburys — supergroups capable of delivering a wide range of specialized services that smaller, more narrowly focused firms could never previously deliver. It could also put downward pressure on pricing as these larger, platform-style firms start finding economies of scale to deliver services more cost-effectively.

The technology factor

The great equalizer in all of this is technology. Consistently, when I speak to tax professionals actively working in the market today, their top priorities are increased efficiency, growth and talent. Firms recognize they need to streamline workflows and processes through more effective use of technology, and they are investing heavily in AI, automation and data analytics capabilities to do that. Private equity firms, of course, are also investing in tech as they assemble their tax and accounting dream teams, in many cases raising the bar for the industry.

The question is: Can independent firms leverage technology fast enough to keep up with their deep-pocketed competition?

Many firms believe they can, with some even going so far as to publicly declare their independence.  Regardless of the path small to midsized firms take to get there, technology-enabled growth is going to play a key role in the future of the industry. Market dynamics that have been unfolding for the last decade have been accelerated with the introduction of serious investors, and everyone in the industry — large and small — is going to need to up their games to stay competitive.

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Trump tax bill would help the richest, hurt the poorest, CBO says

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The House-passed version of President Donald Trump’s massive tax and spending bill would deliver a financial blow to the poorest Americans but be a boon for higher-income households, according to a new analysis from the Congressional Budget Office.

The bottom 10% of households would lose an average of about $1,600 in resources per year, amounting to a 3.9% cut in their income, according to the analysis released Thursday. Those decreases are largely attributable to cuts in the Medicaid health insurance program and food aid through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program.

Households in the highest 10% of incomes would see an average $12,000 boost in resources, amounting to a 2.3% increase in their incomes. Those increases are mainly attributable to reductions in taxes owed, according to the report from the nonpartisan CBO.

Households in the middle of the income distribution would see an increase in resources of $500 to $1,000, or between 0.5% and 0.8% of their income. 

The projections are based on the version of the tax legislation that House Republicans passed last month, which includes much of Trump’s economic agenda. The bill would extend tax cuts passed under Trump in 2017 otherwise due to expire at the end of the year and create several new tax breaks. It also imposes new changes to the Medicaid and SNAP programs in an effort to cut spending.

Overall, the legislation would add $2.4 trillion to US deficits over the next 10 years, not accounting for dynamic effects, the CBO previously forecast.

The Senate is considering changes to the legislation including efforts by some Republican senators to scale back cuts to Medicaid.

The projected loss of safety-net resources for low-income families come against the backdrop of higher tariffs, which economists have warned would also disproportionately impact lower-income families. While recent inflation data has shown limited impact from the import duties so far, low-income families tend to spend a larger portion of their income on necessities, such as food, so price increases hit them harder.

The House-passed bill requires that able-bodied individuals without dependents document at least 80 hours of “community engagement” a month, including working a job or participating in an educational program to qualify for Medicaid. It also includes increased costs for health care for enrollees, among other provisions.

More older adults also would have to prove they are working to continue to receive SNAP benefits, also known as food stamps. The legislation helps pay for tax cuts by raising the age for which able bodied adults must work to receive benefits to 64, up from 54. Under the current law, some parents with dependent children under age 18 are exempt from work requirements, but the bill lowers the age for the exemption for dependent children to 7 years old. 

The legislation also shifts a portion of the cost for federal food aid onto state governments.

CBO previously estimated that the expanded work requirements on SNAP would reduce participation in the program by roughly 3.2 million people, and more could lose or face a reduction in benefits due to other changes to the program. A separate analysis from the organization found that 7.8 million people would lose health insurance because of the changes to Medicaid.

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