Connect with us

Accounting

Private sector pulls back on hiring amid tariff worries

Published

on

Private sector hiring slowed in April as employers added only 62,000 jobs and annual pay grew 4.5% year over year, payroll processor ADP reported Wednesday, as worries grew over tariffs and a possible recession.

That was in contrast to the 155,000 jobs added in March, according to ADP’s report earlier this month. In the latest report, the service-providing sector added a total of 34,000 jobs, including 20,000 in financial activities like banking, but 2,000 jobs were lost in professional and business services like accounting and tax preparation. The goods-producing sector added 26,000 jobs this month, including 16,000 in construction and 4,000 in manufacturing. 

Small businesses with between one and 19 employees added 20,000 jobs, but businesses with between 20 and 49 employees lost 9,000 jobs. Medium-sized establishments added 40,000 jobs, including 21,000 in companies with between 50 and 249 employees, and 19,000 in businesses with 250 to 499 employees. Large establishments with 500 employees or more added only 12,000 jobs.

That represents “a real pullback in hiring, reflecting some of that uncertainty and unease in terms of where the economy is going,” said ADP chief economist Nela Richardson during a conference call Wednesday with reporters. 

“All of this does reflect some unease, and we’re seeing that different sectors are responding to uncertainty at different times, some last month and this month,” she added. “We expect that kind of rolling response will continue as sectors are really laser focused on what’s going on in their industry, as well as trying to reconcile that with the overall macro economy.”

Those concerns were highlighted by a decline in the gross domestic product number reported Wednesday by the Commerce Department, showing GDP fell 0.3% in the first quarter, the first decline since 2022.

Pay for employees who stayed in their jobs rose 4.5% in April from a year earlier, a slight deceleration from March. Year-over-year pay gains for people who changed jobs accelerated, rising from 6.7% in March to 6.9% in April. In professional and business services, the rate was 4.3% for job stayers.

Accounting Today asked whether former federal government employees who had been laid off were being hired in that sector, such as by accounting firms.

“In professional and business services, we actually saw a drop in hiring, down 2,000, so that suggests that this is not a sector that is really picking up those federal workers,” Richardson replied. “There probably won’t be a big swelling of workers from the federal side into the labor market in terms of looking for jobs until later in the fall, because a lot of them are still employed and receiving payment through the fiscal year. So we don’t expect to see those numbers quite this soon. We’ll probably see some trickling in from the federal side, but we’re not seeing anything in the private sector that looks like it’s a big hiring surge. There have been some shortages on the accounting side, so that is a sector that’s looking to hire to make up some of those longer, more persistent shortages.”

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Accounting

AI for CAS powerful, but fragmentation blunts potential

Published

on


When it comes to AI in accounting, the future is already here but not everyone seems to have noticed.

Continue Reading

Accounting

Managing expectations key to AI implementation for CAS

Published

on

AI implementation at a CAS practice is hard enough, but it becomes even more so when people don’t fully understand what AI can and cannot do. 

Speaking during the Information Technology Alliance’s spring collaborative in Memphis, Tennessee, Jessica Barnas, the partner leading the finance and accounting solutions advisory group for top 25 firm Wipfli, lamented that public discourse around AI has given people the impression it’s some sort of magic wand that can fix anything, which then leads to unrealistic expectations around its capabilities. 

“I talked to a lot of clients, I think they think that AI is like an elf that jumps out of the box and does things magically. They just say, ‘Can’t AI do that?’ I even had one of our partners [tell me this recently], we’re working on a five year revenue prediction—he said, ‘Well, can’t you just upload that to Copilot and have it spin up the business plan and everything?’ and I’m like, ‘Do you have any idea how generative AI works? It doesn’t do that.’ But I think that there’s just this misconception [that], oh, technology it is just this magic wand that’s going to make all of my accounting problems disappear,” Barnas said. 

Chris Gallo, director of outsourced business accounting services with Kansas-based firm Creative Planning and another one of the panelists, made a similar point, saying that it’s important to be realistic about what technology can do. While it can do a lot, he echoed Barnas in saying that some people seem to think it is magic. 

“If we believed everything that everybody told us you would be flying around in flying cars right now. I think we need to kind of take it with a grain of salt at some point. Because why wouldn’t we just say ‘ChatGPT build me a flying car,’ and then the bot people that you know Tesla’s building will just go do that. Right? It becomes a little bit ridiculous at some point too… There’s a lot of expectation, or unaligned expectations,” said Gallo. 

Misconceptions about AI capabilities also serve to drive fear on the part of accountants. Barnas said that a big part of the change management process when it comes to implementing AI is allaying fears from staff that they’re not going to fire everyone and replace them with bots. While there have been major improvements in AI over the years, she does not believe it is in the position to wholesale replace human accountants just yet. Instead, it has become a great way to augment those humans and make them more competitive against the humans who are not using AI. 

“They think ‘AI will eliminate my job!’ So we talk about our philosophy. We’re looking to adopt these tools to help you get bigger and better and embrace the advisory role, but the only way AI will replace you is if a person using AI will replace you. You need to give that level of comfort to your teams so that everyone knows we’re just trying to get better, we’re just picking up new tools, this is not a replacement for you,” Barnas said. 

There is a similar fear when it comes to billable hours, also explored in another panel (see other story), of what happens when a process that normally takes 8 hours now only takes 1. Barnas first described the billable hour as “the enemy of all of us here in the room” but also conceded it is a real anxiety for practices that have built their foundation on it. She suggested, in response to this concern, to take a page from Google and encourage people to develop pet projects using AI and rewarding them if it turns into something useful for the entire team; and if it really does lead to a reduction in billable hours, don’t punish people with less money when they’ve done what you wanted them do in the first place. Overall, a firm’s business model should not be one that punishes efficiency: a practice should value results, not burning hours. She conceded that, for certain firms set in their ways, this might need retraining. 

“Okay, I took this process down from seven hours to half hour every week. Now what? Teach me how to do advisory. Because being a CFO, doing modeling and projections, it is not something [you learn] from reading a book or sitting in on one webinar. We would all be doing that if that were the case. So how can we train our teams on what to do next? All of that is involved in change management: being a guide and providing the safety for each step,” she said. 

Gregg Landers, the last panelist and managing director of client accounting and advisory services and internal control services with Top 10 firm CBIZ, talked about how a lot of the misunderstandings and misconceptions regarding AI can be allayed from people just experimenting with it themselves, which not only lets them get a better impression of its current capabilities but will train them in using those capabilities to their fullest potential. 

“I’ve been encouraging some of my teams to use their personal generative AI a little Black Mirror-like, [where you] keep talking to it, and it talks back. You get accustomed to how to give a context, how to get better answers. Sometimes, if you’re nice to it, [you get] a tighter answer than if you’re not. So experiment around with it. 

He gave an example from his own life, where he needed to learn more about digital services taxes. Through an extended conversation with an LLM  he was able to understand what the DST is and how it works and how accountants manage it. He was able to get good outputs from the model, though, because previous experience taught him that he needs to provide more context and information for a decent answer, because these models can get tripped up by ambiguities. He compared it to a fortune cookie that could be interrupted in many ways, people should be clear and concise when prompting AIs. 

“We’ve become a society of fortune cookies. I may ask ‘how is that project going’ and you tell me ‘it’s going good’ but what I mean is ‘is it on time?’ and what you might mean is ‘I had this hiccup that put me two weeks behind but now it is resolved so it is good.’ We can’t have fortune cookies when interacting with generative AI. You need clear, concise, contextual communication,” he said.

Continue Reading

Accounting

Deloitte to move North American headquarters to Hudson Yards

Published

on

Deloitte is moving its North American headquarters to Hudson Yards in New York City.

The Big Four Firm committed to 800,000 square feet of the 1.1 million-square-foot tower known as 70 Hudson Yards, the Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday. Deloitte has been headquartered at 30 Rockefeller Plaza since January 2011.

A logo sits above the head office of Deloitte LLP in Warsaw, Poland, on Monday, Jan. 9, 2017. Investors in Poland are betting that the nation’s central bank will raise its benchmark rate faster than stated. Photographer: Piotr Malecki/Bloomberg

Related Companies, the real estate developer behind the more-than 60-floor tower, reportedly reached an agreement with Deloitte before construction even began, which is slated for June.

Related Companies and Oxford Properties Group, the codeveloper of Hudson Yards, declined to comment. Deloitte did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

KPMG is also planning to move its headquarters to Manhattan’s West Side. In August 2022, it announced it would move by the end of 2025 and downsize its office space by over 40%. 

KPMG currently leases approximately 800,000 square feet at 345 Park Avenue, where its worldwide headquarters are located, as well as 560 Lexington avenue and 1350 Sixth Avenue. In its relocated headquarters, it will occupy approximately 450,000 square feet across 12 floors in the new 58-story Two Manhattan West building, which finished construction in January 2024.

Continue Reading

Trending