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Students earning college degrees notched steepest decline on record

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College degree earners fall nearly 3%

For the second year in a row, the number of students earning a bachelor’s or associate degree declined, according to a recent report by the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center.

Overall, undergraduate degree earners fell nearly 3% in the 2022-23 academic year — the steepest decline ever recorded, the report found, while bachelor’s degree earners sank to the lowest level in nearly a decade after notching a one-year loss of almost 100,000 graduates.

Meanwhile, the number of students earning a certificate hit a 10-year high, largely due to the growth in vocational programs.

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“That number of newly minted college graduates has been shrinking,” said Doug Shapiro, executive director of the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center.

Nationwide, enrollment has lagged since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, when a significant number of students decided against a four-year degree in favor of joining the workforce or completing a certificate program instead.

High schoolers are putting more emphasis on career training and post-college employment, other reports also show.

Now, fewer students are pursuing a four-year degree and more students are stopping out, due to financial constraints, among other factors, Shapiro said.

“Shorter-term certificates have picked up some of the slack, accelerating declines in associate and bachelor’s degree earners mean fewer new college graduates this year.”

Community college pathway is ‘at risk’ 

Historically, a two-year degree was considered an economical alternative to a bachelor’s, or even a more affordable pathway to a four-year college. These days, the latter is less likely to be the case.

In fact, just 16% of all community college students ultimately attain a bachelor’s degree, according to recent reports by the Community College Research Center at Columbia University, the Aspen Institute College Excellence Program and the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center.

Community college as a stepping stone is “at risk,” Shapiro said, and “that’s very bad news.”

“That escalator… has been one of the most promising, if not always the most successful, paths to access to the bachelor’s degree for lower-income and disadvantaged students,” Shapiro said. “Those students, in particular, will face more challenges.”

(In his budget for fiscal 2025, President Joe Biden proposed expanding access to free community college across the U.S. to make higher education less costly.)

FAFSA issues could also hurt enrollment

FAFSA rollout bugs and blunders: Here's what you need to know

Ongoing problems with the new Free Application for Federal Student Aid have also discouraged many high school seniors from applying for the financial aid necessary to afford college. Those that opt out are often low-income students, who stand to benefit most from financial aid and increasingly feel priced out of a postsecondary education.

The FAFSA serves as the gateway to all federal aid money, including loans, work study and grants, the latter of which are the most desirable kinds of assistance because they typically do not need to be repaid.

Submitting a FAFSA is also one of the best predictors of whether a high school senior will go on to college, according to the National College Attainment Network. Seniors who complete the FAFSA are 84% more likely to immediately enroll in college. 

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As of the latest update, only roughly 7 million 2024-25 FAFSA applications have been submitted and sent to schools, according to the U.S. Department of Education, less than half of the more than 17 million students who use the FAFSA in ordinary years.

Still, it’s too soon to say whether those remaining students will ultimately apply for aid and how that could impact their decisions about college in the fall, according to Sandy Baum senior fellow in the Center on Education Data and Policy at the Urban Institute.

If students don’t fill it out, some will not go to college,” Baum said.

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Here’s how this DC-area high school is helping to close the wealth gap

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Hill Street Studios | Getty Images

Keith Harris, a 17-year-old high school senior at KIPP DC College Preparatory, has studied accounting, investing and budgeting, among other basic lessons, like his English, history and math curriculum.

Harris is enrolled in his high school’s NAF Academy of Business, a rigorous three-year finance program with a work-based learning component. 

Because Harris, who lives with his aunt, received a full scholarship to college next fall, he’s also able to set some of his part-time earnings aside and invest those funds.

“Through the program I developed a lot of skills, such as managing my finances and investing in stocks,” Harris said. “It laid down a good foundation for me.”

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Unlike other one-semester high school personal finance courses across the country, more than 160 students enrolled in the KIPP DC College Preparatory’s NAF Academy of Business program study budgeting, saving, investing and managing risk, as well as other topics, right through graduation. Some receive NAFTrack certification, a credential that demonstrates a high standard of college and career readiness.

Many students also choose to enroll in the First Generation Investors program, where they can complete capstone projects while being tutored by students from Georgetown University’s McDonough School of Business. 

Additionally, internship opportunities pair students with nearby employers, including Ernst & Young, the Navy Federal Credit Union and Verizon.

The program is paid for, in part, through federal and local funding and administered by the DC Office of the State Superintendent of Education.

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The goal of the program, according to Shavar Jeffries, chief executive officer of the the non-profit KIPP Foundation, is “breaking cycles of poverty.”

KIPP DC College Prep caters to an underserved population of teens, and yet 100% of the senior class are accepted into at least one college, Jeffries noted, which is largely consistent with last year’s numbers.

“Economic security has to be a key part of it,” Jeffries said. “We have too many young people who don’t have the knowledge base to make smart financial decisions. When we can add that value and students bring these lessons home, that is also very powerful.”

Donyae Vaughan, 18, a senior at KIPP DC College Prep, will graduate this spring with a number of financial classes under her belt, including Accounting 1 and 2. She also landed a summer internship at consulting firm Accenture.

“Most people my age don’t get to learn about this stuff,” she said. 

Vaughan, who has plans to attend dental school, said the coursework compliments what she has been taught at home. “My family is big on saving,” she said.

“Last year we learned a lot about investments, savings and stocks and how we can grow our money,” she said. “Every time I learn something new, I would go home and talk about it with my mom.”

Vaughan said she also learned about the merit of locking in a top-yielding certificate of deposit through the program.

A trend toward in-school finance classes

“The three years is a level of robust programming we don’t typically see,” said Raven Newberry, managing director of policy at the National Endowment for Financial Education.

As of 2024, about half of all states require or are in the process of requiring high school students to take at least one financial literacy course before they graduate, according to the latest data from Next Gen Personal Finance, a nonprofit focused on providing financial education to middle and high school students.

Although some schools and school districts have required students receive some financial education even without a state mandate, it is the schools that serve students from lower socio-economic backgrounds that tend to fall short in financial education offerings, according to Newberry.

“When a state requires it, that helps close that gap,” she said.

Financial literacy leads to financial wellbeing

In addition, a 2018 report by the Brookings Institution found that teenage financial literacy is positively correlated with asset accumulation and net worth by age 25.

Among adults, those with greater financial literacy find it easier to make ends meet in a typical month, are more likely to make loan payments in full and on time and less likely to be constrained by debt or be considered financially fragile.

They are also more likely to save and plan for retirement, according to data from the TIAA Institute-GFLEC Personal Finance Index based on research collected annually since 2017.

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If interest rates stay ‘higher for longer,’ the winners are those with cash accounts

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Images By Tang Ming Tung | Digitalvision | Getty Images

Many people, especially those with debt, will be discouraged by the recent Federal Reserve forecast of a slower pace of interest rate cuts than previously forecast.

However, others with money in high-yield cash accounts will benefit from a “higher for longer” regime, experts say.

“If you’ve got your money in the right place, 2025 is going to be a good year for savers — much like 2024 was,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.

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It started throttling them back in September. However, Fed officials projected this month that it would cut rates just twice in 2025 instead of the four it had expected three months earlier.

“Higher for longer is the mantra headed into 2025,” McBride said. “The big change since September is explained by notable upward revisions to the Fed’s own inflation projections for 2025.”

The good and bad news for consumers

The bad news for consumers is that higher interest rates increase the cost of borrowing, said Marguerita Cheng, a certified financial planner and CEO of Blue Ocean Global Wealth in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

“[But] higher interest rates can help individuals of all ages and stages build savings and prepare for any emergencies or opportunities that may arise — that’s the good news,” said Cheng, who is a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council.

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High-yield savings accounts that pay an interest rate between 4% and 5% are “still prevalent,” McBride said.

By comparison, top-yielding accounts paid about 0.5% in 2020 and 2021, he said.

The story is similar for money market funds, he explained.

Money market fund interest rates vary by fund and institution, but top-yielding funds are generally in the 4% to 5% range.

However, not all financial institutions pay these rates.

The most competitive returns for high-yield savings accounts are from online banks, not the traditional brick-and-mortar shop down the street, which might pay a 0.1% return, for example, McBride said.

Things to consider for cash

There are of course some considerations for investors to make.

People always question which is better, a high-yield savings account or a CD, Cheng said.

“It depends,” she said. “High-yield savings accounts will provide more liquidity and access, but the interest rate isn’t fixed or guaranteed. The interest rate will fluctuate, nor your principal. A CD will provide a fixed guaranteed interest rate, but you give up liquidity and access.”

Additionally, some institutions will have minimum deposit requirements to get a certain advertised yield, experts said.

Further, not all institutions offering a high-yield savings account are necessarily covered by Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. protections, said McBride. Deposits up to $250,000 are automatically protected at each FDIC-insured bank in the event of a failure.

“Make sure you’re sending your money directly to a federally insured bank,” McBride said. “I’d avoid fintech middlemen that rely on third-party partnerships with banks for FDIC insurance.”

A recent bankruptcy by one fintech company, Synapse, highlights that “unappreciated risk,” McBride said. Many Synapse customers have been unable to access most or all of their savings.

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Credit card debt set to hit record levels as consumer holiday spending rises

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A woman shops at a Target store in Chicago on Nov. 26, 2024.

Kamil Krzaczynski | AFP | Getty Images

Heading into the holidays, many Americans were already saddled with record-breaking credit card debt. And yet, consumer spending is set to reach a fresh high this season. 

The National Retail Federation reported last week that spending between Nov. 1 and Dec. 31 is “clearly on track” to reach a record, between $979.5 billion and $989 billion.

“Job and wage gains, modest inflation and a heathy balance sheet have led to solid holiday spending,” the NRF’s chief economist, Jack Kleinhenz, said in a statement.

But other reports show that many shoppers are increasingly leaning on credit cards to manage their holiday purchases.

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To that point, 36% of consumers have taken on debt this season, a recent report by LendingTree found. And those who dipped into the red racked up an average of $1,181, up from $1,028 in 2023, according to the survey of more than 2,000 adults.

“No one should be surprised that so many Americans took on debt this holiday season. Prices are still really high and that means that lots of Americans simply didn’t have any choice,” said Matt Schulz, LendingTree’s chief credit analyst.

“Inflation is still a big deal in this country, and it’s having a huge impact on people’s finances, including their holiday spending,” he said.

Credit card debt is at an all-time high

Heading into the peak holiday shopping season, credit card balances were already 8.1% higher than a year ago, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s report on household debt.

Further, 28% of credit card users had not paid off the gifts they bought last year, according to another holiday spending report by NerdWallet, which polled more than 1,700 adults in September.

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In some cases, Americans’ willingness to spend is a sign of confidence, Schulz noted. “Some surely took on debt because they didn’t have any other choice, while others did so because they wanted to splurge a bit and weren’t concerned about paying a little extra interest in order to get what they or their loved one really wanted.”

However, credit cards continue to be one of the most expensive ways to borrow money. The average credit card rate is currently more than 20% — near an all-time high. Some retail card APRs are even higher.

The problem with credit cards

Of those with debt, 21% expect it’ll take five months or longer to pay it off, LendingTree also found. At that rate, sky-high interest charges will exact a heavy toll, according to Schulz.

“That means less money to put towards other big goals for the new year, such as growing an emergency fund or saving for college,” he said. “In more extreme cases, it may mean you’re less able to pay essential bills or keep food on the table. In either case, it’s a big deal.”

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