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Tax Strategy: Post-tax filing season update

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Form 1040

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It is getting a little difficult to talk about a post-tax filing season after April 15, 2025. With the use of tax extensions and the number of disaster-relief related extensions, many tax return preparers are seeing the tax filing season continue through the summer and fall.

It was the 70th anniversary of the April 15 tax filing deadline this year. Still, the statistics being reported by the Internal Revenue Service look fairly normal compared to the 2024 tax filing season. By April 18, 2025, the IRS reports that 140,633,000 tax returns had been filed, up about 1.1% from 2024. The IRS notes that typically an additional 10% of returns will be filed by the extended tax deadline of Oct. 15, 2025, representing an additional 16% of tax revenue.

(Read more: 2025 tax season wrap up: The final numbers.”)

Further, all or part of 10 states had filing deadlines extended due to natural disasters, with filing deadlines ranging from May 1, 2025, to Nov. 3, 2025. The IRS typically releases an additional filing update in mid-July.

Tax refunds for 2025 of 86,021,000 were similar to 2024. The refund amount was an average of $2,942, up 3.3% from 2024. E-filings by tax professionals were 72,504,000, up by 1.7% from 2024, while self-prepared e-filings were up more modestly to 63,726,000. One interesting statistic from the IRS was that visits to IRS.gov were down significantly from 571,496,000 in 2024 to 322,948,000 in 2025.

The 2025 tax return itself was not too different compared to 2024, except for the usual inflation adjustments. Additional Form 1099-K filings perhaps made the most significant change for 2025 filings.

There were a few provisions from prior tax legislation still coming into effect in 2024, such as the ability to transfer the Clean Vehicle Credit to the dealer, which did result in some confusion and at least temporarily rejected claims for the credit.

Congress in 2024 did not adopt any major tax legislation to add further changes. The 2026 tax filing season could look very different depending upon whether Congress manages to pass new tax legislation this year. Tax professionals will have the expiration of the individual provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act to deal with if Congress does not act, and potentially new changes to deal with if Congress does act, although it is not clear how many of those changes might be effective for 2025.

Congress

Congress has approved a budget framework for a budget reconciliation tax package with a focus on extending those individual provisions from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. However, Congress is also trying to squeeze in some or all of President Trump’s tax proposals, including no tax on Social Security benefits, no tax on overtime, no tax on tips, a possible reduction in the corporate tax rate for domestic manufacturers, a deduction for interest on car loans, and perhaps a modification of the state and local tax deduction limit.

A view of the U.S. Capitol Building

Possible revenue offsets to come within the budget framework numbers include spending cuts, tariff revenue, assumptions about economic growth resulting from the legislation, repeal of some clean energy credits, and using a budget gimmick to assume that extending current provisions in the Tax Code do not require revenue offsets, even though they add to the deficit.

It will be difficult to accomplish everything that congressional Republicans hope to include while also appeasing the deficit hawks among their members and Republican moderates vowing to preserve Medicaid.

The House has already introduced a series of tax bills addressing matters such as timing of receipt of electronic submissions, communication of math adjustments, disaster relief (including tying relief to state as well as federal disaster declarations), the ability to replace stolen checks electronically, and a bill to enhance certain administrative functions.

IRS

For the IRS, along with most of the federal government, it was far from a normal tax season. Having just staffed up for more enforcement, customer service, and technology improvements thanks to funding from the Inflation Reduction Act, the IRS is now facing a possible 25% reduction in its workforce through a deferred resignation program and a voluntary separation incentive program.

In addition, although it is still tied up in the courts, there may still be departures of provisional employees. Leadership at the IRS has also been unstable, with three interim IRS commissioners since IRS Commissioner Daniel Werfel resigned on Jan. 17, 2025.

Other changes announced by the IRS include elimination of the beneficial ownership information reporting requirement for domestic entities and declaring obsolescent a variety of old guidance.

(Read more:Lessons from tax season.“)

Congress acted to overturn the IRS requirement for crypto broker DeFi reporting on Form 1099-DA. The IRS also announced the withdrawal of the final regulations on partnership basis-shifting transactions involving related parties as a transaction of interest.

However, Revenue Ruling 2024-14 appears to remain in effect, providing that the economic substance doctrine applies where basis shifting among related parties does not have economic purpose or substance. There are also indications that the IRS Direct File program, which was around for 2024 and 2025, will not be continued for future years.

Summary

The relative stability of the 2025 tax filing season is likely to be very different next tax filing season. Congress hopes to pass major tax legislation, some of which will preserve the status quo but other parts of which will present new tax filing challenges.

It is still too early to ascertain the impact on the IRS; however, the loss of so many employees and leadership turnovers point to less enforcement and compliance activity, and less revenue collected from such activities, including a pullback of the effort to increase partnership audit activity. There could also be a return to declines in customer service.

At the American Bar Association Tax Section meeting in Los Angeles in February 2025, no representatives of the Treasury or the IRS were permitted to attend or participate in the usual discussion panels.

At the time of this writing, the next meeting of the Tax Section was due in mid-May, in Washington, D.C. It will be interesting to see if government panelists are permitted to go the few blocks to the conference. Usually, the exchange of ideas is very helpful to the tax professionals in attendance and to the government personnel seeking comments on proposed guidance.

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Accounting

Accounting firms seeing increased profits

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Accounting firms are reporting bigger profits and more clients, according to a new report.

The report, released Monday by Xero, found that nearly three-quarters (73%) of firms reported increased profits over the past year and 56% added new clients thanks to operational efficiency and expanded service offerings.

Some 85% of firms now offer client advisory services, a big spike from 41% in 2023, indicating a strategic shift toward delivering forward-looking financial guidance that clients increasingly expect.

AI adoption is also reshaping the profession, with 80% of firms confident it will positively affect their practice. Currently, the most common use cases for AI include: delivering faster and more responsive client services (33%), enhancing accuracy by reducing bookkeeping and accounting errors (33%), and streamlining workflows through the automation of routine tasks (32%).

“The widespread adoption of AI has been a turning point for the accounting profession, giving accountants an opportunity to scale their impact and take on a more strategic advisory role,” said Ben Richmond, managing director, North America, at Xero, in a statement. “The real value lies not just in working more efficiently, but working smarter, freeing up time to elevate the human element of the profession and in turn, strengthen client relationships.”

Some of the main challenges faced by firms include economic uncertainty (38%), mastering AI (36%) and rising client expectations for strategic advice (35%). 

While 85% of firms have embraced cloud platforms, a sizable number still lag behind, missing out on benefits such as easier data access from anywhere (40%) and enhanced security (36%).

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Private equity is investing in accounting: What does that mean for the future of the business?

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Private equity firms have bought five of the top 26 accounting firms in the past three years as they mount a concerted strategy to reshape the industry. 

The trend should not come as a surprise. It’s one we’ve seen play out in several industries from health care to insurance, where a combination of low-risk, recurring revenue, scalability and an aging population of owners create a target-rich environment. For small to midsized accounting firms, the trend is exacerbated by a technological revolution that’s truly transforming the way accounting work is done, and a growing talent crisis that is threatening tried-and-true business models.

How will this type of consolidation affect the accounting business, and what do firms and their clients need to be on the lookout for as the marketplace evolves?

Assessing the opportunity… and the risk

First and foremost, accounting firm owners need to be aware of just how desirable they are right now. While there has been some buzz in the industry about the growing presence of private equity firms, most of the activity to date has focused on larger, privately held firms. In fact, when we recently asked tax professionals about their exposure to private equity funding in our 2025 State of Tax Professionals Report, we found that just 5% of firms have actually inked a deal and only 11% said they are planning to look, or are currently looking, for a deal with a private equity firm. Another 8% said they are open to discussion. On the one hand, that’s almost a quarter of firms feeling open to private equity investments in some way. But the lion’s share of respondents —  87% — said they were not interested.

Recent private equity deal volume suggests that the holdouts might change their minds when they have a real offer on the table. According to S&P Global, private equity and venture capital-backed deal value in the accounting, auditing and taxation services sector reached more than $6.3 billion in 2024, the highest level since 2015, and the trend shows no signs of slowing. Firm owners would be wise to start watching this trend to see how it might affect their businesses — whether they are interested in selling or not.

Focus on tech and efficiencies of scale

The reason this trend is so important to everyone in the industry right now is that the private equity firms entering this space are not trying to become accountants. They are looking for profitable exits. And they will do that by seizing on a critical inflection point in the industry that’s making it possible to scale accounting firms more rapidly than ever before by leveraging technology to deliver a much wider range of services at a much lower cost. So, whether your firm is interested in partnering with private equity or dead set on going it alone, the hyperscaling that’s happening throughout the industry will affect you one way or another.

Private equity thrives in fragmented businesses where the ability to roll up companies with complementary skill sets and specialized services creates an outsized growth opportunity. Andrew Dodson, managing partner at Parthenon Capital, recently commented after his firm took a stake in the tax and advisory firm Cherry Bekaert, “We think that for firms to thrive, they need to make investments in people and technology, and, obviously, regulatory adherence, to really differentiate themselves in the market. And that’s going to require scale and capital to do it. That’s what gets us excited.”

Over time, this could reshape the industry’s market dynamics by creating the accounting firm equivalent of the Traveling Wilburys — supergroups capable of delivering a wide range of specialized services that smaller, more narrowly focused firms could never previously deliver. It could also put downward pressure on pricing as these larger, platform-style firms start finding economies of scale to deliver services more cost-effectively.

The technology factor

The great equalizer in all of this is technology. Consistently, when I speak to tax professionals actively working in the market today, their top priorities are increased efficiency, growth and talent. Firms recognize they need to streamline workflows and processes through more effective use of technology, and they are investing heavily in AI, automation and data analytics capabilities to do that. Private equity firms, of course, are also investing in tech as they assemble their tax and accounting dream teams, in many cases raising the bar for the industry.

The question is: Can independent firms leverage technology fast enough to keep up with their deep-pocketed competition?

Many firms believe they can, with some even going so far as to publicly declare their independence.  Regardless of the path small to midsized firms take to get there, technology-enabled growth is going to play a key role in the future of the industry. Market dynamics that have been unfolding for the last decade have been accelerated with the introduction of serious investors, and everyone in the industry — large and small — is going to need to up their games to stay competitive.

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Trump tax bill would help the richest, hurt the poorest, CBO says

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The House-passed version of President Donald Trump’s massive tax and spending bill would deliver a financial blow to the poorest Americans but be a boon for higher-income households, according to a new analysis from the Congressional Budget Office.

The bottom 10% of households would lose an average of about $1,600 in resources per year, amounting to a 3.9% cut in their income, according to the analysis released Thursday. Those decreases are largely attributable to cuts in the Medicaid health insurance program and food aid through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program.

Households in the highest 10% of incomes would see an average $12,000 boost in resources, amounting to a 2.3% increase in their incomes. Those increases are mainly attributable to reductions in taxes owed, according to the report from the nonpartisan CBO.

Households in the middle of the income distribution would see an increase in resources of $500 to $1,000, or between 0.5% and 0.8% of their income. 

The projections are based on the version of the tax legislation that House Republicans passed last month, which includes much of Trump’s economic agenda. The bill would extend tax cuts passed under Trump in 2017 otherwise due to expire at the end of the year and create several new tax breaks. It also imposes new changes to the Medicaid and SNAP programs in an effort to cut spending.

Overall, the legislation would add $2.4 trillion to US deficits over the next 10 years, not accounting for dynamic effects, the CBO previously forecast.

The Senate is considering changes to the legislation including efforts by some Republican senators to scale back cuts to Medicaid.

The projected loss of safety-net resources for low-income families come against the backdrop of higher tariffs, which economists have warned would also disproportionately impact lower-income families. While recent inflation data has shown limited impact from the import duties so far, low-income families tend to spend a larger portion of their income on necessities, such as food, so price increases hit them harder.

The House-passed bill requires that able-bodied individuals without dependents document at least 80 hours of “community engagement” a month, including working a job or participating in an educational program to qualify for Medicaid. It also includes increased costs for health care for enrollees, among other provisions.

More older adults also would have to prove they are working to continue to receive SNAP benefits, also known as food stamps. The legislation helps pay for tax cuts by raising the age for which able bodied adults must work to receive benefits to 64, up from 54. Under the current law, some parents with dependent children under age 18 are exempt from work requirements, but the bill lowers the age for the exemption for dependent children to 7 years old. 

The legislation also shifts a portion of the cost for federal food aid onto state governments.

CBO previously estimated that the expanded work requirements on SNAP would reduce participation in the program by roughly 3.2 million people, and more could lose or face a reduction in benefits due to other changes to the program. A separate analysis from the organization found that 7.8 million people would lose health insurance because of the changes to Medicaid.

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