Finance
The US added over 300,000 jobs in March and the unemployment rate dropped slightly
The unemployment rate decreased from 3.9% to 3.8% in March. (iStock)
The unemployment rate decreased marginally in March to 3.8%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics noted in its Employment Situation Report. Last month, the unemployment rate sat at 3.9%. The rate dropped, in part, due to the additional 303,000 jobs added in March.
The unemployment rate hasn’t shifted much over the last few months. It’s been ebbing and flowing between 3.7% and 3.9% since August 2023.
Currently, there are 6.4 million unemployed people in the U.S. The number of long-term unemployed people — those who have been jobless for at least 27 weeks — reached 1.2 million this month, barely changing since February.
The industries that saw the largest gains include health care, government and construction. The healthcare industry added 72,000 jobs, which is higher than the average monthly gain of 60,000 over the last year.
The U.S. government added 71,000 jobs, also higher than the average in the last 12 months. The construction industry added 39,000 jobs, which is nearly double the average monthly gain of 19,000 in the last 12 months.
Some industries saw little to no change in jobs last month. The mining, quarrying, oil, gas and manufacturing industries saw hardly any change to job numbers.
The building materials and equipment industry as well as automotive parts dealers saw job losses. Builders and equipment dealerships lost 10,000 jobs and automotive parts makers lost 3,000 jobs.
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HIGH DEBT IS CAUSING MORE CONSUMERS TO LIVE PAYCHECK-TO-PAYCHECK
Inflation is back up slightly
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index (CPI) — a major measure of inflation — increased by 0.4%, after rising 0.3% in January.
The index for shelter rose by 0.4% in February and the gasoline index rose by 3.8%. These two indexes drove inflation the most. The food index remained steady, with no change between January and February.
A couple of the indexes within the CPI decreased by small margins. The medical care services index decreased by 0.1%. The new vehicles decreased by the same 0.1%.
While new cars dropped in price in February, the cost of used vehicles went up. The used car index rose by 0.5%.
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THESE 5 CITIES HAVE THE LARGEST INFLATION PROBLEM: SURVEY
Home prices remain unaffordable despite rising incomes
Although the job market is staying strong, housing remains unaffordable for both buyers and renters.
The average sale price for a single-family home was 5.6 times higher than the average income, a study from the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University recently revealed. This is higher than it’s ever been on record, dating back to the 1970s.
In 2019, before the pandemic, the national price-to-income ratio stood at 4.1, today it stands at 5.6. A high price-to-income ratio indicates low homebuyer affordability.
During the pandemic, low mortgage rates helped balance out high prices, but now, the average 30-year mortgage rate sits at 6.82%, Freddie Mac recently reported. Plus, high homeowners insurance rates and lingering high home prices, are also pushing many buyers out of the market.
Renters aren’t fairing much better than buyers. Another recent Joint Center study measured affordability for renters. It found that, in 2022, half of renters in the U.S. were cost burdened, spending more than 30% of their incomes on rent and utilities.
The number of renters spending 30% of their incomes rose by two million and has reached a record high of 22.4 million. During the pandemic, there were more resources to help renters deal with these high costs.
“As these resources have expired, however, the housing safety net is once again overwhelmed and underfunded,” Chris Herbert, the managing director of the Joint Center, said in a press release.
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THIS IS THE #1 CITY FOR FIRST-TIME HOMEBUYERS, AND OTHER HOT US HOUSING MARKETS
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It appears T. Rowe Price is benefitting from the record growth in actively managed exchange traded funds.
Tim Coyne, the firm’s head of ETFs, reports the firm is seeing significant growth in the area — listing the T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF (TCAF) and T. Rowe Price U.S. Equity Research ETF (TSPA) as two established strategies that can satisfy investor demand.
“I think having that professionally managed portfolio is really beneficial to clients,” Coyne told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “We’re seeing just… greater volatility [and] uncertainty across both the equity and fixed income markets.“
According to Coyne, the T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF suits investors who are looking for long-term growth.
“The objective of the fund is to outperform the S&P 500 with lower volatility and greater tax efficiency,” he said. “It’s also a more concentrated portfolio, typically holding around a hundred names.”
As of April 24, the fund’s top holdings include Microsoft, Amazon, and Apple according to the T. Rowe Price website. But it’s not all Big Tech. The ETF also features smaller positions in companies like Becton Dickinson and Roper Technologies.
The T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation Equity ETF is down about 5% so far this year while the S&P 500 is off about 7% However, the ETF is up close to 8% over the past year — roughly identical to the S&P 500’s performance.
Coyne notes the T. Rowe Price U.S. Equity Research ETF follows a similar strategy, but with a heavier weighting in top tech stocks.
“This is more of a large-cap growth product [T Rowe Price U.S. Equity Research ETF],” he said. “There are components of characteristics of both passive and active here. This fund is actually managed by our North American directors of research. So again, strong fundamental research is going into the stock selection.”
Both the T. Rowe Price U.S. Equity Research ETF and S&P 500 are down around 7% since the beginning of the year. Meanwhile, the fund is up almost 9% over the past year. That’s less than one percent better than the S&P 500’s performance.
T. Rowe Price U.S. Equity Research ETF vs. S&P 500
‘Some form of bear market’
Strategas Securities’ Todd Sohn thinks investment demand for active managers will continue to be strong.
“This is the type of the environment where it [active management] can actually shine,” the firm’s senior ETF and technical strategist said. “We are in some form of bear market. This is where the active manager really can come into hand and offer their solution they are doing right.”
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