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Trump sets 25% steel, aluminum tariffs, widening trade war

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President Donald Trump ordered a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, escalating his efforts to protect politically important U.S. industries with levies hitting some of the country’s closest allies.

The tariffs will apply widely to all U.S. imports of steel and aluminum, including from Canada and Mexico, among the country’s top foreign suppliers of the metals. The levies, which also include finished metal products, are meant to crack down on what administration officials said were efforts by countries like Russia and China to circumvent existing duties. 

Trump cast the effort as one that would help bolster domestic production and bring more jobs to the U.S., and warned that the rate on metal tariffs “may go higher.” The new rates will take effect on March 12, at 12:01 am Washington time, according to a pair of proclamations issued by the White House late Monday.

“It’s going to mean a lot of businesses are going to be opening in the United States,” Trump said Monday as he signed the measures in the Oval Office.

The announcement of Trump’s metals tariffs comes about a week after he added a 10% duty on all Chinese imports. Economists warn that higher border taxes paid by American importers risk raising costs for everything from groceries to gasoline — potentially stoking the very inflationary pressures the president campaigned on quelling. 

U.S. administration officials counter, however, that the levies are part of a broader economic strategy — including extended tax cuts and expanded domestic energy production — that will help lower costs overall.

Retaliation, costs

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. said Trump’s plan to impose 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports will largely be passed through to U.S. prices, if no major trading partners are exempted.

Trump’s tariffs will also provoke trading partners including the European Union to retaliate against American exports.

In response to Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said Tuesday in a statement that “unjustified tariffs on the EU will not go unanswered — they will trigger firm and proportionate countermeasures.”

In a speech, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said if the U.S. “leaves us no other choice, then the European Union will react to this as one. As the largest market in the world with 450 million citizens, we have the strength to do so.”

The EU should be able to retaliate quickly if the U.S. follows through on its threat. The bloc suspended tariffs on about $3 billion of American products in 2021 after it reached a deal with the Biden administration on steel and aluminium imports. It could quickly reinstitute those duties, which targeted iconic products including Harley-Davidson Inc. motorcycles and Levi Strauss & Co. jeans. could not be loaded, either because the server or network failed or because the format is not supported.

While the measures unveiled Monday didn’t include exemptions for trading partners — and U.S. officials said they were wary of granting any leeway — Trump indicated that he may consider a break for Australia, crediting the country’s import of U.S.-made aircraft.

After-hours movement was muted in shares of the major American steel and aluminum producers. Alcoa Corp., the largest American aluminum producer, gained about 1%, while Nucor Corp., the largest U.S. steelmaker, rose 0.5%. U.S. equity futures were down 0.2% during mid-day trade in Asia on Tuesday.

The U.S. president also reiterated his threat to levy reciprocal tariffs against countries that have levies on U.S. imports, saying those could be announced over the next two days. And he said the administration will be looking at levies on cars and semiconductors, as well as other potential sectors. not supported.

Trump authorized the new tariffs under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act, which gives the president broad authority to impose trade restrictions on domestic security grounds. It’s the same power that Trump used to levy steel and aluminum tariffs in 2018, during his first term. With his proclamations Monday, he is effectively reviving and expanding those tariffs.

The U.S. saw a bump in manufacturing employment fueled by Trump’s tax cuts early in his last administration. But things started to change after he introduced the steel and aluminum tariffs in March 2018 and also launched a trade war against China. 

In 2019, the first full year after Trump’s initial steel and aluminum tariffs went into effect, the U.S. actually lost manufacturing jobs and the broader factory sector entered a slump with industrial production falling.

A senior administration official said the new action was necessary because steel and aluminum exporters abused exceptions under the previous policy, which hurt U.S. producers. The official detailed the moves on a call with reporters earlier Monday on condition of anonymity.

Trump’s decision to include downstream finished products is a significant move that will have broad-reaching price impacts on a massive swath of U.S. consumers. 

Whereas Trump’s 2018 tariffs focused mostly on raw steelmaking and primary aluminum production, these new tariffs will include things like extrusions and slabs that are turned into value-added products needed in everything from automobiles to window frames and skyscrapers. The move would fulfill what the most extreme trade protectionists have sought for years.

In Washington, the National Association of Home Builders said that tariffs will likely hinder Trump’s goal to reduce housing costs and boost supply.

“His move to impose 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminum products imports into the U.S. runs totally counter to this goal by raising home building costs, deterring new development and frustrating efforts to rebuild in the wake of natural disasters,” NAHB Chairman Carl Harris said in an emailed statement.

Border checks

Trump will also direct U.S. Customs and Border Protection to step up oversight to prevent foreign countries from misclassifying steel products to evade tariffs, the officials said.

The effort reprises a strategy Trump adopted during his first term, when he imposed tariffs of 25% on steel and 10% on aluminum that prompted a decline in U.S. imports of the metals. 

Trump ended up granting duty-free status to several major exporters, including Canada, Mexico and Brazil. Former President Joe Biden expanded those exemptions.

It’s unclear how countries might respond to Trump’s latest decision on metals. New retaliatory Chinese levies over the 10% tariff on goods took effect on Monday. Last week Trump delayed until March 4 the imposition of a 25% tax on goods from Canada and Mexico.  

“Steel and aluminum tariffs on Canada, the United States’ closest ally, would be totally unjustified,” François-Philippe Champagne, Canada’s minister of Innovation, Science and Industry, said in a statement Monday night. “Canadian steel and aluminum support key industries in the U.S. from defense, shipbuilding, energy to automotive.”

The U.S. is heavily reliant on aluminum imports to meet domestic demand, with many of those supplies coming from Canada, the United Arab Emirates and China. Net imports of aluminum reached more than 80% in 2023, according to Morgan Stanley. 

Although foreign steel represents a smaller portion of overall consumption, the aerospace, auto manufacturing and energy sectors rely on imported specialty grades. 

Opponents overseas say the widespread tariffs violate global trading rules and are an affront to U.S. allies abroad.

The move comes before a visit from Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi this week. India is a supplier of steel to the U.S. and the Indian Steel Association, a lobbying group, has urged the government to take diplomatic action to secure exemptions from US trade restrictions. 

Trump made reviving U.S. steelmaking a signature aim of his agenda; it also was a potent political promise in Rust Belt states such as Ohio and Pennsylvania that have seen an erosion of industrial manufacturing jobs. While the United Steelworkers union, which is influential in such states, endorsed his general-election rival — former Vice President Kamala Harris — many local chapters backed Trump. 

On Friday, Trump declared he would continue blocking a bid by Japan’s Nippon Steel Corp. to take over United States Steel Corp. — a deal that is also opposed by the steelworkers union. Instead, the president said after a meeting with Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba that Nippon Steel might make a significant investment in the U.S. steelmaker, allowing it to remain an American company with significant foreign backing.

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Accounting firms seeing increased profits

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Accounting firms are reporting bigger profits and more clients, according to a new report.

The report, released Monday by Xero, found that nearly three-quarters (73%) of firms reported increased profits over the past year and 56% added new clients thanks to operational efficiency and expanded service offerings.

Some 85% of firms now offer client advisory services, a big spike from 41% in 2023, indicating a strategic shift toward delivering forward-looking financial guidance that clients increasingly expect.

AI adoption is also reshaping the profession, with 80% of firms confident it will positively affect their practice. Currently, the most common use cases for AI include: delivering faster and more responsive client services (33%), enhancing accuracy by reducing bookkeeping and accounting errors (33%), and streamlining workflows through the automation of routine tasks (32%).

“The widespread adoption of AI has been a turning point for the accounting profession, giving accountants an opportunity to scale their impact and take on a more strategic advisory role,” said Ben Richmond, managing director, North America, at Xero, in a statement. “The real value lies not just in working more efficiently, but working smarter, freeing up time to elevate the human element of the profession and in turn, strengthen client relationships.”

Some of the main challenges faced by firms include economic uncertainty (38%), mastering AI (36%) and rising client expectations for strategic advice (35%). 

While 85% of firms have embraced cloud platforms, a sizable number still lag behind, missing out on benefits such as easier data access from anywhere (40%) and enhanced security (36%).

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Private equity is investing in accounting: What does that mean for the future of the business?

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Private equity firms have bought five of the top 26 accounting firms in the past three years as they mount a concerted strategy to reshape the industry. 

The trend should not come as a surprise. It’s one we’ve seen play out in several industries from health care to insurance, where a combination of low-risk, recurring revenue, scalability and an aging population of owners create a target-rich environment. For small to midsized accounting firms, the trend is exacerbated by a technological revolution that’s truly transforming the way accounting work is done, and a growing talent crisis that is threatening tried-and-true business models.

How will this type of consolidation affect the accounting business, and what do firms and their clients need to be on the lookout for as the marketplace evolves?

Assessing the opportunity… and the risk

First and foremost, accounting firm owners need to be aware of just how desirable they are right now. While there has been some buzz in the industry about the growing presence of private equity firms, most of the activity to date has focused on larger, privately held firms. In fact, when we recently asked tax professionals about their exposure to private equity funding in our 2025 State of Tax Professionals Report, we found that just 5% of firms have actually inked a deal and only 11% said they are planning to look, or are currently looking, for a deal with a private equity firm. Another 8% said they are open to discussion. On the one hand, that’s almost a quarter of firms feeling open to private equity investments in some way. But the lion’s share of respondents —  87% — said they were not interested.

Recent private equity deal volume suggests that the holdouts might change their minds when they have a real offer on the table. According to S&P Global, private equity and venture capital-backed deal value in the accounting, auditing and taxation services sector reached more than $6.3 billion in 2024, the highest level since 2015, and the trend shows no signs of slowing. Firm owners would be wise to start watching this trend to see how it might affect their businesses — whether they are interested in selling or not.

Focus on tech and efficiencies of scale

The reason this trend is so important to everyone in the industry right now is that the private equity firms entering this space are not trying to become accountants. They are looking for profitable exits. And they will do that by seizing on a critical inflection point in the industry that’s making it possible to scale accounting firms more rapidly than ever before by leveraging technology to deliver a much wider range of services at a much lower cost. So, whether your firm is interested in partnering with private equity or dead set on going it alone, the hyperscaling that’s happening throughout the industry will affect you one way or another.

Private equity thrives in fragmented businesses where the ability to roll up companies with complementary skill sets and specialized services creates an outsized growth opportunity. Andrew Dodson, managing partner at Parthenon Capital, recently commented after his firm took a stake in the tax and advisory firm Cherry Bekaert, “We think that for firms to thrive, they need to make investments in people and technology, and, obviously, regulatory adherence, to really differentiate themselves in the market. And that’s going to require scale and capital to do it. That’s what gets us excited.”

Over time, this could reshape the industry’s market dynamics by creating the accounting firm equivalent of the Traveling Wilburys — supergroups capable of delivering a wide range of specialized services that smaller, more narrowly focused firms could never previously deliver. It could also put downward pressure on pricing as these larger, platform-style firms start finding economies of scale to deliver services more cost-effectively.

The technology factor

The great equalizer in all of this is technology. Consistently, when I speak to tax professionals actively working in the market today, their top priorities are increased efficiency, growth and talent. Firms recognize they need to streamline workflows and processes through more effective use of technology, and they are investing heavily in AI, automation and data analytics capabilities to do that. Private equity firms, of course, are also investing in tech as they assemble their tax and accounting dream teams, in many cases raising the bar for the industry.

The question is: Can independent firms leverage technology fast enough to keep up with their deep-pocketed competition?

Many firms believe they can, with some even going so far as to publicly declare their independence.  Regardless of the path small to midsized firms take to get there, technology-enabled growth is going to play a key role in the future of the industry. Market dynamics that have been unfolding for the last decade have been accelerated with the introduction of serious investors, and everyone in the industry — large and small — is going to need to up their games to stay competitive.

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Trump tax bill would help the richest, hurt the poorest, CBO says

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The House-passed version of President Donald Trump’s massive tax and spending bill would deliver a financial blow to the poorest Americans but be a boon for higher-income households, according to a new analysis from the Congressional Budget Office.

The bottom 10% of households would lose an average of about $1,600 in resources per year, amounting to a 3.9% cut in their income, according to the analysis released Thursday. Those decreases are largely attributable to cuts in the Medicaid health insurance program and food aid through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program.

Households in the highest 10% of incomes would see an average $12,000 boost in resources, amounting to a 2.3% increase in their incomes. Those increases are mainly attributable to reductions in taxes owed, according to the report from the nonpartisan CBO.

Households in the middle of the income distribution would see an increase in resources of $500 to $1,000, or between 0.5% and 0.8% of their income. 

The projections are based on the version of the tax legislation that House Republicans passed last month, which includes much of Trump’s economic agenda. The bill would extend tax cuts passed under Trump in 2017 otherwise due to expire at the end of the year and create several new tax breaks. It also imposes new changes to the Medicaid and SNAP programs in an effort to cut spending.

Overall, the legislation would add $2.4 trillion to US deficits over the next 10 years, not accounting for dynamic effects, the CBO previously forecast.

The Senate is considering changes to the legislation including efforts by some Republican senators to scale back cuts to Medicaid.

The projected loss of safety-net resources for low-income families come against the backdrop of higher tariffs, which economists have warned would also disproportionately impact lower-income families. While recent inflation data has shown limited impact from the import duties so far, low-income families tend to spend a larger portion of their income on necessities, such as food, so price increases hit them harder.

The House-passed bill requires that able-bodied individuals without dependents document at least 80 hours of “community engagement” a month, including working a job or participating in an educational program to qualify for Medicaid. It also includes increased costs for health care for enrollees, among other provisions.

More older adults also would have to prove they are working to continue to receive SNAP benefits, also known as food stamps. The legislation helps pay for tax cuts by raising the age for which able bodied adults must work to receive benefits to 64, up from 54. Under the current law, some parents with dependent children under age 18 are exempt from work requirements, but the bill lowers the age for the exemption for dependent children to 7 years old. 

The legislation also shifts a portion of the cost for federal food aid onto state governments.

CBO previously estimated that the expanded work requirements on SNAP would reduce participation in the program by roughly 3.2 million people, and more could lose or face a reduction in benefits due to other changes to the program. A separate analysis from the organization found that 7.8 million people would lose health insurance because of the changes to Medicaid.

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