Personal Finance
What that means for your money
The Federal Reserve announced Wednesday it will leave interest rates unchanged as inflation continues to prove stickier than expected.
However, the move also dashes hopes that the Fed will be able to start cutting rates soon and relieve consumers from sky-high borrowing costs.
The market is now pricing in one rate cut later in the year, according to the CME’s FedWatch measure of futures market pricing. It started 2024 expecting at least six reductions, which was “completely fantasy land,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.
That change in rate cut expectations leaves many households in a bind, he said. “Certainly from a budgetary standpoint, not only is inflation still high but that is on top of the cumulative increase in prices over the last three years.”
“Prioritizing debt repayment, especially of high-cost credit card debt, remains paramount as interest rates promise to remain high for some time,” McBride said.
More from Personal Finance:
Cash savers still have an opportunity to beat inflation
Here’s what’s wrong with TikTok’s viral savings challenges
The strong U.S. job market is in a ‘sweet spot,’ economists say
Inflation has been a persistent problem since the Covid-19 pandemic, when price increases soared to their highest levels since the early 1980s. The Fed responded with a series of interest rate hikes that took its benchmark rate to its highest level in more than 22 years.
The federal funds rate, which is set by the U.S. central bank, is the interest rate at which banks borrow and lend to one another overnight. Although that’s not the rate consumers pay, the Fed’s moves still affect the borrowing and savings rates they see every day.
The spike in interest rates caused most consumer borrowing costs to skyrocket, putting many households under pressure.
Increasing inflation has also been bad news for wage growth, as real average hourly earnings rose just 0.6% over the past year, according to the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Even with possible rate cuts on the horizon, consumers won’t see their borrowing costs come down significantly, according to Columbia Business School economics professor Brett House.
“Once the Fed does cut rates, that could cascade through reductions in other rates but there is nothing that necessarily guarantees that,” he said.
From credit cards and mortgage rates to auto loans and savings accounts, here’s a look at where those rates could go in the second half of 2024.
Credit cards
Since most credit cards have a variable rate, there’s a direct connection to the Fed’s benchmark. In the wake of the rate hike cycle, the average credit card rate rose from 16.34% in March 2022 to nearly 21% today — an all-time high.
Annual percentage rates will start to come down when the Fed cuts rates, but even then they will only ease off extremely high levels. With only a few potential quarter-point cuts on deck, APRs aren’t likely to fall much, according to Matt Schulz, chief credit analyst at LendingTree.
“If Americans want lower interest rates, they’re going to have to do it themselves,” he said. Try calling your card issuer to ask for a lower rate, consolidating and paying off high-interest credit cards with a lower-interest personal loan or switching to an interest-free balance transfer credit card, Schulz advised.
Mortgage rates
Although 15- and 30-year mortgage rates are fixed, and tied to Treasury yields and the economy, anyone shopping for a new home has lost considerable purchasing power, partly because of inflation and the Fed’s policy moves.
The average rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage is just above 7.3%, up from 4.4% when the Fed started raising rates in March 2022 and 3.27% at the end of 2021, according to Bankrate.
“Going forward, mortgage rates will likely continue to fluctuate and it’s impossible to say for certain where they’ll end up,” noted Jacob Channel, senior economist at LendingTree. “That said, there’s a good chance that we’re going to need to get used to rates above 7% again, at least until we start getting better economic news.”
Auto loans
Even though auto loans are fixed, payments are getting bigger because car prices have been rising along with the interest rates on new loans, resulting in less affordable monthly payments.
The average rate on a five-year new car loan is now more than 7%, up from 4% when the Fed started raising rates, according to Edmunds. However, competition between lenders and more incentives in the market have started to take some of the edge off the cost of buying a car lately, said Ivan Drury, Edmunds’ director of insights.
“Any reduction in rates will be especially welcome as there is an increasingly higher share of consumers with older trade-ins that have sat out the market madness waiting for an automotive landscape that looks more like the last time they bought a vehicle six or seven years ago,” Drury said.
Student loans
Federal student loan rates are also fixed, so most borrowers aren’t immediately affected. But undergraduate students who took out direct federal student loans for the 2023-24 academic year are now paying 5.50%, up from 4.99% in 2022-23 — and any loans disbursed after July 1 will likely be even higher. Interest rates for the upcoming school year will be based on an auction of 10-Year Treasury notes later this month.
Private student loans tend to have a variable rate tied to the prime, Treasury bill or another rate index, which means those borrowers are already paying more in interest. How much more, however, varies with the benchmark.
For those struggling with existing debt, there are ways federal borrowers can reduce their burden, including income-based plans with $0 monthly payments and economic hardship and unemployment deferments.
Private loan borrowers have fewer options for relief — although some could consider refinancing once rates start to come down, and those with better credit may already qualify for a lower rate.
Savings rates
While the central bank has no direct influence on deposit rates, the yields tend to be correlated to changes in the target federal funds rate.
As a result, top-yielding online savings account rates have made significant moves and are now paying more than 5.5% — above the rate of inflation, which is a rare win for anyone building up a cash cushion, McBride said.
“The mantra of ‘higher for longer’ interest rates is music to the ears of savers who will continue to enjoy inflation-beating returns on safe-haven savings accounts, money markets and CDs for the foreseeable future,” he said.
Currently, top-yielding certificates of deposit pay over 5.5%, as good as or better than a high-yield savings account.
Prasit photo | Moment | Getty Images
As employers compete to attract and retain talent, equity compensation — or an ownership stake in the company — has become a key workplace benefit.
Some 72% of companies offer some form of equity compensation to certain employees, a 2023 survey from Morgan Stanley found. That’s up from 65% in 2021.
These perks motivate employees and boost their long-term investing goals, according to the Morgan Stanley survey, which polled 1,000 U.S. employees and 600 human resource executives.
However, some “miss the opportunity” because they don’t understand it, said certified financial planner Chelsea Ransom-Cooper, chief financial planning officer for Zenith Wealth Partners in New York.
More from Personal Finance:
This job perk is like a ‘cash bonus’ — but you need a long-term strategy, experts say
Employee stock purchase plans offer ‘free money’ — but also carry complexity and risk
Treasury Department announces new Series I bond rate of 4.28% for the next six months
Here’s what to know about three popular types of stock-based compensation, experts say.
There’s potential for ‘life-changing wealth’
Many employees receive so-called stock options as part of their compensation, which are the right to buy or “exercise” company shares at a preset price within a specific timeframe.
“It’s almost iconic to grant stock options in a startup private company,” said Bruce Brumberg, editor-in-chief and co-founder of myStockOptions.com, which covers various types of equity compensation.
Startups want to create the drive and incentive of ownership culture with the potential for “life-changing wealth,” he said.
Stock options become valuable when there’s a discount between your preset price and the market value, which makes it more attractive to exercise. However, the taxes can be complicated, depending on the type of stock options.
Incentive stock options can offer some tax benefits — if you meet certain rules — but could trigger the alternative minimum tax, a parallel system for higher earners.
Photo by LanaStock via Getty Images
By comparison, the more common nonqualified stock options generally have less favorable tax treatment and you’ll owe regular income taxes on the discount upon exercise.
But even with an initial discount, there’s no guarantee a company’s stock price won’t decrease after exercising a stock option.
“It could be worth nothing but a piece of paper,” Ransom-Cooper from Zenith Wealth Partners said.
Restricted stock units are ‘like a cash bonus’
Another benefit, restricted stock units, or RSUs, are company shares granted upon hiring, which vest over time. RSUs can also be tied to performance-based goals.
Some 94% of public companies offer RSUs to at least middle managers, according to a 2021 survey from the National Association of Stock Plan Professionals.
“I like to think of it like a cash bonus,” said Pittsburgh-based CFP Matthew Garasic, founder of Unrivaled Wealth Management.
I like to think of it like a cash bonus.
Matthew Garasic
Founder of Unrivaled Wealth Management
For example, if the stock price is $10 and 100 shares vest, it’s treated like $1,000 in compensation for that year, and the standard withholding of 22% might not be enough, depending on your tax bracket, he explained.
After vesting, the decision to sell or hold RSUs depends on your short- and long-term investing goals.
“We like to establish a target of what they like to hold in company stock,” said Garasic, who aims to keep allocations of a single stock to 10% or less. “Once we get above that target, we just sell at vest.”
Employee stock purchase plans offer ‘free money’
Many publicly traded companies may also offer discounted company shares via an employee stock purchase plan, or ESPP.
“There’s free money to be had” with an ESPP, Garasic explained.
However, the decision to participate typically depends on your short-term financial goals.
After enrolling, your ESPP collects a portion of after-tax money from each paycheck and uses the funds to buy discounted company stock on a specific date.
The gold standard is a 15% discount with a lookback feature, which bases the stock purchase price on the value at the beginning or end of the offering period, whichever is lower, experts say.
Any time you’re investing in a single company, there’s certainly a big risk.
Kristin McKenna
President of Darrow Wealth Management
You can typically sell after a set period, but there’s no guarantee you’ll make money, even with the built-in discount.
“Any time you’re investing in a single company, there’s certainly a big risk,” CFP Kristin McKenna, president of Darrow Wealth Management in Boston, previously told CNBC.
Yearly goals like investing up to your employer’s 401(k) match should come before your ESPP, especially with limited income, she added.
Teacher teaching her students in art class at school.
Fg Trade | E+ | Getty Images
The popular Public Service Loan Forgiveness program began a partial processing pause on May 1, which will likely run through July, the U.S. Department of Education recently said.
The temporary suspension comes as the Biden administration overhauls the once-troubled federal student loan program.
Here’s what borrowers should know.
Why the pause is happening
The PSLF program, signed into law by President George W. Bush in 2007, allows certain not-for-profit and government employees to have their federal student loans canceled after 10 years of on-time payments.
However, the program has been plagued by problems, making people who actually get the relief a rarity.
Borrowers often believe they’re paying their way to loan cancellation only to discover at some point in the process that they don’t qualify, usually for confusing technical reasons. Lenders have been blamed for misleading borrowers and botching their timelines.
More from Personal Finance:
Advice about 401(k) rollovers is poised for a big change. Here’s why
IRS free filing pilot processed more than 140,000 returns, commissioner says
Here’s why new home sales inch higher despite 7% mortgage rates
The Biden administration has been trying to reform the program. As part of that overhaul, it is changing how loan servicing works for public servants, and some of the customer service will soon be handled by the government itself.
“After the improvements, PSLF borrowers will have all of their PSLF information centralized on StudentAid.gov so that the Department can provide real-time and more accurate information on payment counts and form processing,” the Education Department wrote in a recent blog post.
Previously, only one company managed the servicing for PSLF borrowers on behalf of the government: first, FedLoan, and more recently, Mohela, or the Missouri Higher Education Loan Authority. Going forward, a number of different companies will service the accounts, along with the Education Department.
What borrowers can expect during the transition
The Education Department will not review PSLF form submissions for roughly a two-month period, it says. (The exact dates will depend on how long the changes take place to complete.)
Meanwhile, from May 1 through July, it says, “borrowers will not be able to see their PSLF payment counts on MOHELA’s website.”
“During the transition, PSLF forgiveness will be suspended,” said higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz.
Borrowers will be able to continue making their loan payments, and these months will count on their timeline to loan forgiveness. Borrowers should also be able to submit a form to certify public service employment and to apply for loan forgiveness if they are at the 10-year mark.
“Forms will be reviewed as soon as the transition is complete,” the Education Department says.
If you qualify for debt cancellation during the transition, you can request a forbearance from your servicer in the meantime, it says, adding that any overpayments should be refunded.
If you’ve opted into your employer’s Roth 401(k) after-tax matching contributions this year, it could trigger a tax surprise without proper planning, experts say.
Enacted in 2022, Secure 2.0 ushered in sweeping changes for retirement savers, including the option for employers to offer 401(k) matches in Roth accounts. These accounts are after-tax, meaning employees pay upfront taxes but growth and withdrawals in retirement are tax-free. Previously Roth 401(k) matches went into pretax accounts.
Roughly 12% of employers with 401(k) plans said they are “definitely” adding the feature and 37% are “still considering it,” according to a recent survey from the Plan Sponsor Council of America.
However, those new matching Roth contributions could have “unintended consequences” at tax time, according to Tommy Lucas, a certified financial planner and enrolled agent at Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo in Orlando, Florida.
More from Personal Finance:
IRS aims to more than double its audit rate on wealthiest taxpayers
Here are three ways to lower your credit card annual percentage rate, experts say
Why your financial advisor may not give you the best Social Security advice
“If you go this route, you’ll want to know that you’re basically getting extra income” and taxes aren’t automatically withheld, Lucas said.
“You’re increasing your adjusted gross income by taking this match as a Roth,” he said.
“If you go this route, you’ll want to know that you’re basically getting extra income.”
Tommy Lucas
Financial advisor at Moisand Fitzgerald Tamayo
For example, let’s say your salary is $100,000 with a 6% employer match in 2024. If you designate your $6,000 employer match as Roth and you’re in the 22% federal income tax bracket, you could have an extra $1,320 in tax liability, according to Lucas.
“There’s probably something on top of that for state income taxes,” depending on where you live, he said.
Plus, you won’t see your employer’s matching Roth contribution reported on Form W-2, according to IRS guidance released late last year. Instead, you’ll receive Form 1099-R, which could be confusing, Lucas said.
How to plan for income from Roth 401(k) matches
If you’ve chosen your company’s Roth matches for 2024, you need to prepare for the extra income, said CFP Jim Guarino, managing director at Baker Newman Noyes in Woburn, Massachusetts. He is also a certified public accountant.
You can increase your federal and state withholdings with your employer or boost your quarterly estimated tax payments, he said.
For example, if you expect to incur $1,320 more in federal taxes, you could divide that amount by your remaining 2024 paychecks and include that “extra withholding” on Form W-4 for your employer, Lucas said.
Of course, you’ll need to double-check that the change is reflected on future paychecks, he said.
“In either case, working with a trusted tax advisor would help to optimize overall tax planning and eventual tax reporting for the year,” Guarino added.
Betting on the Kentucky Derby? Here’s how to think like a professional handicapper.
Warren Buffett says Greg Abel will make Berkshire Hathaway investing decisions when he’s gone
EV makers win 2-year extension to qualify for tax credits
Are American progressives making themselves sad?
‘Best Firms for Tech’ 2024 deadline extended to April 10
