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Will Musk’s DOGE layoffs hurt the IRS’s fight against fraud?

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Layoffs and other executive moves at the Internal Revenue Service are the latest in a series of ripples the Trump administration has made in the tax arena, from proposed tariffs to extending the landmark Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017. 

Accountants and tax pros are left asking how new reporting standards, congressional budget efforts and a thinned-out IRS will impact the ongoing tax season.

Thousands of employees across the IRS’s divisions responsible for small business and self-employed filers, enforcement and collection duties and handling processing responsibilities were laid off on Feb. 20, further complicating the IRS’s struggles with retaining talent. Most of them were hired by the agency on a probationary basis with funding from the Inflation Reduction Act.

Most recently, the IRS is allegedly exploring further cuts that would lay off close to half of the agency’s 90,000 staff members.

These firings have former IRS commissioners concerned that the agency’s progress towards improving filing turnarounds will now be upended, leaving senior staffers to pick up the slack.

“A lot of these people have been there a year to two years, and are revenue agents and revenue officers, but also customer service,” John Koskinen, who was IRS commissioner from 2013-2017, told Accounting Today. “They can do more standard work, so the more senior people can handle a more complicated issue. … So when you wipe them out, the more senior people then have to fill the gaps to the extent they can.”

Read more: IRS COO named acting commissioner

Bipartisan legislators have been working to advance proposals that, if passed, would improve the digital filing process for taxpayers and provide more flexibility in the IRS’s “math error” calculations. The House Ways and Means Committee passed both bills in February.

Mark Giallonardo, tax partner-in-charge for Top 25 Firm Cherry Bekaert’s south Florida region, said that for now, accountants need to first manage filing expectations to help clients weather these delays, while prioritizing electronic filings and payments to minimize the slowdown in processing and problem resolution.

Fraud has also become a growing concern among accountants, as the IRS’s diminished enforcement capabilities fuel concerns of bad actors falling through the cracks.

Data released by the agency’s Criminal Investigations unit showed that for the 2024 fiscal year, IRS-CI was successful in identifying over $9.1 billion in total fraud, obtaining court orders totaling $1.7 billion in restitution to the IRS and seizing approximately $1.2 billion in criminal assets.

Noteworthy cases from the IRS-CI include one of the agency’s first indictments and guilty pleas of a U.S. taxpayer solely for not paying taxes on gains from cryptocurrency sales, as well as the $4 billion Binance settlement over violations of the Bank Secrecy Act.

All of that could change in the wake of widespread staff cuts, however.

Kevin Knull, chief executive of the Frisco, Texas-based tax record fintech TaxStatus, said that delays are only the tip of the iceberg.

“In the aftermath of massive data breaches in 2024, criminals are already using stolen taxpayer identification numbers to file fake and fraudulent returns, trying to claim the refunds before the legitimate taxpayer files or is aware of the issue,” Knull said. “When these fraudulent claims are uncovered, the legitimate taxpayer is forced to deal with the consequences, including working with the IRS to recover their rightful benefits or refunds.”

Read more: Tax Cuts and Jobs Act expiration: A guide for financial advisors

Layoffs and proposed regulations are only two pieces of the puzzle, the latest being a draft agreement between the IRS and Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency

Under the proposed arrangement, a joint task force of DOGE representatives and IRS software engineers would oversee debugging, software testing, programming and implementing safeguards to prevent fraud, according to the memo obtained by Bloomberg Tax. At the time of reporting, the memo did not limit what kinds of taxpayer information DOGE officials could access.

Legal experts with The W Tax Group, a tax defense company located in Southfield, Michigan, explained how DOGE’s involvement weighs the importance of protecting personal privacy against the significance of improving how the IRS operates.

“The reality is that the IRS already shares sensitive taxpayer information with contractors, congressional committees and Treasury personnel, [therefore] proper restrictions on DOGE, with limited and monitored access, will help root out mismanaged money and fraud without putting taxpayer privacy in danger,” Stephen Weisberg, principal attorney and founder, said. “If the process is handled appropriately, the risks are not as extreme as some suggest.”

Once a new IRS acting commissioner is confirmed, the agency’s path forward will start to come into focus and provide accountants with more clarity on what to expect from the service moving forward.

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Former IRS heads predict delays ahead for agency

Following numerous layoffs at the IRS, former agency leaders say processing delays are on the horizon.

More than 7,000 IRS staffers, most of whom were probationary employees, were dismissed last month as part of government-wide cuts. With the enforcement and collection areas sustaining the largest downsizes, past IRS commissioners said the decisions seemingly go against the mission to increase cost savings.

“The irony is this is an administration that claims to be worried about the deficit and claims to be looking for $2 trillion in savings. … And it seems to be nonsensical to think that one good way to do that is to hamstring your revenue arm, your accounts receivable division,” John Koskinen, who was IRS commissioner from 2013-2017, told Accounting Today.

Read more: Former IRS chiefs warn of tax season delays

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Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg

More than 7,000 IRS employees expected to be laid off

Tax season is well under way, and so are widespread staff cuts across the IRS.

Various news outlets reported significant numbers of employees at the agency being let go, ranging from more than 3,500 probationary staffers in the Small Business/Self-Employed division, roughly 5,000 from the enforcement and collection areas and close to 1,000 from the IRS’ processing operations in Ogden, Utah.

“Indiscriminate firings of IRS employees around the country are a recipe for economic disaster,” Doreen Greenwald, National Treasury Employees Union national president, said in a statement. “In the middle of a tax filing season, when taxpayers expect prompt customer service and smooth processing of their tax returns, the administration has chosen to decimate the whole operation by sending dedicated civil servants to the unemployment lines.”

Read more: IRS lays off thousands of employees

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Andrew Harnik/Getty Images North America

The Trump Administration is turning the tax world on its head

Death and taxes, as the old adage goes, are the only two things certain in life. But while taxes aren’t going away, the same can’t be said for the underlying regulations. 

Starting with President Trump’s Jan. 20 executive order enacting a lengthy hiring freeze at the IRS and continuing with the administration’s efforts to renew the expiring provisions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, there are numerous proposals in play that promise to bring widespread change.

In speaking with AT’s Michael Cohn, Mark Everson, a former IRS commissioner and current vice chairman of the Washington D.C.-based consulting firm Alliant, said the anti-DEI campaign from the Trump administration will be reflected in the IRS’s future.

“Consistent with the move against DEI, my guess would be a return to enforcement without scrutiny of results by racial grouping,” Everson said.

Read more: Expect a tempest in tax under Trump

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Bipartisan bills seek to modernize tax filing and admin at IRS

The Electronic Filing and Payment Fairness Act and IRS Math and Taxpayer Help Act are moving on with bipartisan support, both aiming to introduce more transparency and ease of access to taxpayers’ lives.

The first would introduce changes into the filing procedures by allowing electronically submitted documents to be afforded the same timeliness standards as paper counterparts, known as the “mailbox rule.” The second would mandate that the IRS provide taxpayers with justifications behind “math error” calculations and a 60-day comment period to refute the findings.

“The AICPA is pleased that these bills have been included in the markup and is encouraged by the momentum generated by these provisions moving forward in a bipartisan way,” Melanie Lauridsen, vice president of tax policy and advocacy for the AICPA, said in a statement.

Read more: House committee advances IRS legislation

IRS headquarters in Washington, D.C.

IRS hiring freeze, pulled job offers is cold start for 2025 tax season

It’s a cold start of tax season for the IRS, as a lengthy hiring freeze casts a great shadow over the agency.

President Trump’s executive order, simply named “Hiring Freeze,” established an indefinite hold on recruiting at the agency “until the Secretary of the Treasury, in consultation with the Director of the Office of Management and Budget and the Administrator of the United States DOGE Service, determines that it is in the national interest to lift the freeze,” according to the order.

In speaking with AT’s Michael Cohn, Bill Smith, managing director of CBIZ Advisors’ National Tax Office, said curtailing hiring efforts in an industry already starved for talent will prove troublesome for the IRS.

“A third of the workforce is eligible for retirement, and if you hire new people, they don’t come in as senior auditors, they come in out of college or relatively inexperienced for the most part,” Smith said. “It takes two years to train them and get them marginally effective. … If you kill all that, there will be a tremendous amount of natural attrition at the service, and the attrition is going to be at the most experienced level, which will have a huge impact.”

Read more: IRS starts tax season with hiring freeze and rescinded job offers

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Accounting firms seeing increased profits

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Accounting firms are reporting bigger profits and more clients, according to a new report.

The report, released Monday by Xero, found that nearly three-quarters (73%) of firms reported increased profits over the past year and 56% added new clients thanks to operational efficiency and expanded service offerings.

Some 85% of firms now offer client advisory services, a big spike from 41% in 2023, indicating a strategic shift toward delivering forward-looking financial guidance that clients increasingly expect.

AI adoption is also reshaping the profession, with 80% of firms confident it will positively affect their practice. Currently, the most common use cases for AI include: delivering faster and more responsive client services (33%), enhancing accuracy by reducing bookkeeping and accounting errors (33%), and streamlining workflows through the automation of routine tasks (32%).

“The widespread adoption of AI has been a turning point for the accounting profession, giving accountants an opportunity to scale their impact and take on a more strategic advisory role,” said Ben Richmond, managing director, North America, at Xero, in a statement. “The real value lies not just in working more efficiently, but working smarter, freeing up time to elevate the human element of the profession and in turn, strengthen client relationships.”

Some of the main challenges faced by firms include economic uncertainty (38%), mastering AI (36%) and rising client expectations for strategic advice (35%). 

While 85% of firms have embraced cloud platforms, a sizable number still lag behind, missing out on benefits such as easier data access from anywhere (40%) and enhanced security (36%).

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Private equity is investing in accounting: What does that mean for the future of the business?

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Private equity firms have bought five of the top 26 accounting firms in the past three years as they mount a concerted strategy to reshape the industry. 

The trend should not come as a surprise. It’s one we’ve seen play out in several industries from health care to insurance, where a combination of low-risk, recurring revenue, scalability and an aging population of owners create a target-rich environment. For small to midsized accounting firms, the trend is exacerbated by a technological revolution that’s truly transforming the way accounting work is done, and a growing talent crisis that is threatening tried-and-true business models.

How will this type of consolidation affect the accounting business, and what do firms and their clients need to be on the lookout for as the marketplace evolves?

Assessing the opportunity… and the risk

First and foremost, accounting firm owners need to be aware of just how desirable they are right now. While there has been some buzz in the industry about the growing presence of private equity firms, most of the activity to date has focused on larger, privately held firms. In fact, when we recently asked tax professionals about their exposure to private equity funding in our 2025 State of Tax Professionals Report, we found that just 5% of firms have actually inked a deal and only 11% said they are planning to look, or are currently looking, for a deal with a private equity firm. Another 8% said they are open to discussion. On the one hand, that’s almost a quarter of firms feeling open to private equity investments in some way. But the lion’s share of respondents —  87% — said they were not interested.

Recent private equity deal volume suggests that the holdouts might change their minds when they have a real offer on the table. According to S&P Global, private equity and venture capital-backed deal value in the accounting, auditing and taxation services sector reached more than $6.3 billion in 2024, the highest level since 2015, and the trend shows no signs of slowing. Firm owners would be wise to start watching this trend to see how it might affect their businesses — whether they are interested in selling or not.

Focus on tech and efficiencies of scale

The reason this trend is so important to everyone in the industry right now is that the private equity firms entering this space are not trying to become accountants. They are looking for profitable exits. And they will do that by seizing on a critical inflection point in the industry that’s making it possible to scale accounting firms more rapidly than ever before by leveraging technology to deliver a much wider range of services at a much lower cost. So, whether your firm is interested in partnering with private equity or dead set on going it alone, the hyperscaling that’s happening throughout the industry will affect you one way or another.

Private equity thrives in fragmented businesses where the ability to roll up companies with complementary skill sets and specialized services creates an outsized growth opportunity. Andrew Dodson, managing partner at Parthenon Capital, recently commented after his firm took a stake in the tax and advisory firm Cherry Bekaert, “We think that for firms to thrive, they need to make investments in people and technology, and, obviously, regulatory adherence, to really differentiate themselves in the market. And that’s going to require scale and capital to do it. That’s what gets us excited.”

Over time, this could reshape the industry’s market dynamics by creating the accounting firm equivalent of the Traveling Wilburys — supergroups capable of delivering a wide range of specialized services that smaller, more narrowly focused firms could never previously deliver. It could also put downward pressure on pricing as these larger, platform-style firms start finding economies of scale to deliver services more cost-effectively.

The technology factor

The great equalizer in all of this is technology. Consistently, when I speak to tax professionals actively working in the market today, their top priorities are increased efficiency, growth and talent. Firms recognize they need to streamline workflows and processes through more effective use of technology, and they are investing heavily in AI, automation and data analytics capabilities to do that. Private equity firms, of course, are also investing in tech as they assemble their tax and accounting dream teams, in many cases raising the bar for the industry.

The question is: Can independent firms leverage technology fast enough to keep up with their deep-pocketed competition?

Many firms believe they can, with some even going so far as to publicly declare their independence.  Regardless of the path small to midsized firms take to get there, technology-enabled growth is going to play a key role in the future of the industry. Market dynamics that have been unfolding for the last decade have been accelerated with the introduction of serious investors, and everyone in the industry — large and small — is going to need to up their games to stay competitive.

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Trump tax bill would help the richest, hurt the poorest, CBO says

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The House-passed version of President Donald Trump’s massive tax and spending bill would deliver a financial blow to the poorest Americans but be a boon for higher-income households, according to a new analysis from the Congressional Budget Office.

The bottom 10% of households would lose an average of about $1,600 in resources per year, amounting to a 3.9% cut in their income, according to the analysis released Thursday. Those decreases are largely attributable to cuts in the Medicaid health insurance program and food aid through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program.

Households in the highest 10% of incomes would see an average $12,000 boost in resources, amounting to a 2.3% increase in their incomes. Those increases are mainly attributable to reductions in taxes owed, according to the report from the nonpartisan CBO.

Households in the middle of the income distribution would see an increase in resources of $500 to $1,000, or between 0.5% and 0.8% of their income. 

The projections are based on the version of the tax legislation that House Republicans passed last month, which includes much of Trump’s economic agenda. The bill would extend tax cuts passed under Trump in 2017 otherwise due to expire at the end of the year and create several new tax breaks. It also imposes new changes to the Medicaid and SNAP programs in an effort to cut spending.

Overall, the legislation would add $2.4 trillion to US deficits over the next 10 years, not accounting for dynamic effects, the CBO previously forecast.

The Senate is considering changes to the legislation including efforts by some Republican senators to scale back cuts to Medicaid.

The projected loss of safety-net resources for low-income families come against the backdrop of higher tariffs, which economists have warned would also disproportionately impact lower-income families. While recent inflation data has shown limited impact from the import duties so far, low-income families tend to spend a larger portion of their income on necessities, such as food, so price increases hit them harder.

The House-passed bill requires that able-bodied individuals without dependents document at least 80 hours of “community engagement” a month, including working a job or participating in an educational program to qualify for Medicaid. It also includes increased costs for health care for enrollees, among other provisions.

More older adults also would have to prove they are working to continue to receive SNAP benefits, also known as food stamps. The legislation helps pay for tax cuts by raising the age for which able bodied adults must work to receive benefits to 64, up from 54. Under the current law, some parents with dependent children under age 18 are exempt from work requirements, but the bill lowers the age for the exemption for dependent children to 7 years old. 

The legislation also shifts a portion of the cost for federal food aid onto state governments.

CBO previously estimated that the expanded work requirements on SNAP would reduce participation in the program by roughly 3.2 million people, and more could lose or face a reduction in benefits due to other changes to the program. A separate analysis from the organization found that 7.8 million people would lose health insurance because of the changes to Medicaid.

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