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5 biggest self-defeating mistakes investors make trying to beat market

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Stop being your own worst (financial) enemy

Index investing pioneer Charley Ellis says what gave rise to the success of the index fund remains true today: “It’s virtually impossible to beat the market,” he told CNBC’s Bob Pisani on last Monday’s “ETF Edge.”

But Ellis warns of another hurdle just as high as active management’s long-term underperformance that holds back many investors: You might be your own worst enemy when it comes to your investment strategy. 

The market’s complexities, volatility and an infinite number of other variables can cause unpredictable price fluctuations, but your own mindset is just as key among the variables that can set your financial portfolio back.

In his new book, “Rethinking Investing,” Ellis details a slew of unconscious biases that impact our thinking about money in the market. A few of the big ones he addresses in the book:

  • The gambler’s fallacy: The belief that because you were right picking one stock, you will be right picking all other stocks.
  • Confirmation bias: Seeking information that confirms pre-existing beliefs.
  • Herd mentality: Blindly following actions of a larger group.
  • Sunk cost fallacy: Continuing to invest in failing investments.
  • Availability: Being influenced by easily accessible information, whether it is actually valuable or not.

The impacts of these biases on your portfolio strategy can be major, Ellis says, and should lead investors to “rethink” their approach to the market.

“Instead of trying to get more, try to pay less,” he said. “That’s why ETFs … have made such great sense.”

Research shows that ETFs typically have lower fees than traditional actively managed mutual funds, though traditional index mutual funds such as S&P 500 funds from Vanguard and Fidelity are also have ultra-low fees (some are even management fee-free). 

Ellis argues that use of lower fee funds, combined with letting go of our behavioral biases, can help investors win years, or even decades, later. 

“They’re boring, so we leave them alone, and they do work out over the long run, very, very handsomely,” he said. 

Long-time ETF expert Dave Nadig, who appeared on “ETF Edge” with Ellis, agreed. 

“People trying to predict people always works out terribly,” Nadig said. A long-term investment in an index fund “helps you overcome an enormous number of these biases simply because you’ll pay less attention to it,” he added. 

He also pointed to the mistake many investors make of trying to beat the market by timing it, only to end up outsmarting themselves. “There are more good days than bad days,” Nadig said. “If you’re missing the 10 best days in the market and you missed the worst 10 days in the market, you’re still much worse off than if you just stayed invested. The math on that’s pretty hard to argue with.”

One more mindset shift tip Ellis offered on this past week’s “ETF Edge” for investors focused on having enough invested for a secure retirement: Start thinking about the income stream from Social Security in a new way.

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Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Cut Expectations Shift

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Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Cut Expectations Shift

Fixed-income markets recorded significant re-pricing during the week ending July 25, 2026, as a convergence of strong labor market metrics and surging energy costs drove U.S. Treasury yields higher across all maturities. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward 4.70%, reaching its highest point in several months. Institutional bond investors rapidly adjusted portfolio durations as expectations for near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve faded in response to inflation concerns.

The upward shift in sovereign yields reflects a broader fundamental reassessment of global monetary policy. Earlier in the quarter, money markets had priced in a series of rate reductions designed to support economic activity. However, with initial jobless claims falling to 187,000 and crude oil breaching $100 per barrel, fixed-income traders are pricing in a ‘higher-for-longer’ interest rate environment. The inversion between short-term Treasury bills and long-term bonds narrowed, indicating a shift toward term premium expansion.

Rising Treasury yields present both challenges and opportunities for institutional wealth managers. While commercial lenders and mortgage origination volumes face headwinds from elevated borrowing costs, fixed-income investors are locking in attractive real yields on high-quality sovereign and investment-grade corporate bonds. Institutional debt issuers, conversely, are recalibrating their capital structures, opting for shorter-term refinancing instruments or private credit facilities to avoid committing to elevated long-term coupon rates.

Navigating the current bond market landscape demands strict duration management and credit selection. Wealth advisors recommend maintaining flexible fixed-income allocations, combining short-duration Treasuries with inflation-protected securities (TIPS) to shield capital against potential energy-driven inflation spikes while earning dependable nominal income.

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Private Credit Expansion Transforms Corporate Loans

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Private Credit Expansion Transforms Corporate Loans

Private credit markets reached a pivotal milestone during the week ending July 25, 2026, as non-bank direct lending consortiums captured a record share of middle-market corporate debt originations. With commercial banks maintaining conservative credit standards and public bond yields remaining elevated, corporate borrowers are increasingly turning to private fund managers for customized capital solutions. This expansion marks a permanent structural shift in enterprise finance, establishing private credit as a primary pillar of institutional corporate liquidity.

The acceleration of private credit deals is driven by speed, deal certainty, and flexible terms. Unlike traditional syndicated bank loans that require lengthy underwriting, credit rating approvals, and public roadshows, private direct lenders can structure tailored financing packages within days. Middle-market firms facing upcoming debt maturities are utilizing private debt facilities to execute recapitalizations, strategic acquisitions, and growth capital deployments without risking execution delay in public markets.

However, financial regulators and central bank supervisors are scrutinizing the sector’s rapid growth. Supervisory agencies are evaluating potential systemic risks associated with non-bank leverage, valuation transparency, and liquidity mismatches during economic downturns. Despite regulatory interest, major pension funds, insurance firms, and sovereign wealth entities continue to expand capital allocations to private credit funds, attracted by reliable floating-rate yields that outperform public fixed-income benchmarks.

As private credit matures into a dominant asset class, corporate chief financial officers must evaluate non-bank lenders alongside traditional banking relationships. Direct lending partnerships provide valuable balance sheet resilience, enabling companies to secure flexible financing terms even during periods of public market turbulence.

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Tokenized Debt Shifts How Corporate Manage Short Term Liquidity

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Tokenized Debt Shifts Corporate Liquidity

The landscape of institutional debt markets is undergoing a profound structural shift on July 21, 2026, as major corporate issuers and commercial banks rapidly accelerate the deployment of tokenized debt instruments. Data published by leading capital market consortiums indicates that primary issuances of digital commercial paper and tokenized corporate bonds have reached record volumes this month. By moving legacy debt origination, underwriting, and secondary distribution onto permissioned distributed ledgers, corporate treasurers are unlocking unprecedented operational flexibility and instantaneous cross-border liquidity.

The adoption of tokenized debt is fundamentally altering how enterprise balance sheets manage short-term liquidity needs. Traditional corporate bond settlement cycles historically required multi-day clearing processes involving numerous intermediaries, custodial entities, and clearinghouses. Through programmable smart contracts on distributed ledgers, issuers can now execute atomic settlement—enabling continuous, 24/7 access to institutional capital pools. This instantaneous clearing mechanism drastically reduces counterparty risk, eliminates costly settlement friction, and allows treasury teams to dynamically optimize working capital in real time.

A major catalyst driving this institutional migration is the establishment of comprehensive digital asset regulatory frameworks across major financial hubs. Clear legal guidelines regarding ledger-based securities ownership have provided institutional compliance officers with the regulatory confidence necessary to transition multi-billion-dollar liquidity facilities onto digital platforms. Furthermore, the integration of automated regulatory reporting directly into token smart contracts simplifies ongoing compliance audits, ensuring that secondary market trades automatically enforce investor accreditation limits and tax withholding requirements.

For chief financial officers and institutional portfolio managers, tokenized debt represents a fundamental evolution in fixed-income strategy. Companies that embrace ledger-based debt structures gain direct access to a broader, global base of digital-native institutional investors while substantially reducing borrowing overhead. As ledger interoperability continues to improve across global exchanges, tokenized debt is poised to become the standard infrastructure for global corporate finance.

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