Connect with us

Economics

Here’s where the jobs are for November 2024 – in one chart

Published

on

The jobs report for November came in better than expected, and that growth came from several different areas of the U.S. economy, according to the data.

Health care and social assistance led the way yet again last month, seeing 72,300 new positions added in that area, per the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This comes after the group had the biggest contribution in October.

When including private education with the health-care category, as some economists do, the group’s growth would have increased even more to 79,000.

Leisure and hospitality had the second-biggest contribution last month, with 53,000 positions added. That also marks significant growth compared to its performance in October. The November gains were supported by employment in food services and drinking places, which trended up by 29,000.

Meanwhile, government – a category that had the second-biggest contribution two months ago – came in just behind leisure and hospitality last month. In November, the group grew by 33,000 jobs.

More notably, there was a stark rebound in manufacturing and professional and business services – two areas that suffered major losses in October as a result of the seven-week Boeing machinist strike and the impacts of Hurricanes Helene and Milton. Last month, those categories saw gains of 22,000 and 26,000 jobs, respectively.

“After a prior month of hurricanes and worker strikes, we did get a bounce back in the headline payroll numbers plus positive revisions,” Byron Anderson, head of fixed income at Laffer Tengler Investments, said in a statement. “Jobs creation may not be as robust as in the past years, but we are not seeing a disaster in the job market.”

While there were some gains in other areas as well like construction, Julia Pollak of ZipRecruiter noted that the gains are “very narrowly” concentrated and told CNBC that the growth in manufacturing is actually smaller than she expected to see.

Retail trade, which lost 28,000 jobs, was also a key weak spot of the report. And unless there’s a turnaround in other sectors soon, Pollak believes the pace of overall job growth will “slow further.”

“Some people are calling this a bounce back, [but] I think one should not be misled by the seemingly healthy payroll gain,” the firm’s chief economist said in an interview. “We always knew going in that this report would overstate the underlying strength of the labor market [and] be inflated by the return of workers following strikes and storms.”

On the other hand, Pollak pointed to financial activities as one bright spot in particular. That group experienced a gain of 17,000 jobs in November.

“Banks are getting … sort of bullish and excited about a Trump administration, which is seen as likely to relax financial regulations and take a more favorable approach towards mergers and acquisitions,” she added. “So, that is definitely one sector where we’re seeing more optimism and a bit more hiring in some places.”

Don’t miss these insights from CNBC PRO

Economics

Producer price index November 2024

Published

on

A measure of wholesale prices rose more than expected in November as questions percolated over whether progress in bringing down inflation has slowed, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday.

The producer price index, or PPI, which measures what producers get for their products at the final-demand stage, increased 0.4% for the month, higher than the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 0.2%. On an annual basis, PPI rose 3%, the biggest advance since February 2023.

However, excluding food and energy, core PPI increased 0.2%, meeting the forecast. Also, subtracting trade services left the PPI increase at just 0.1%. The year-over-year increase of 3.5% also was the most since February 2023.

In other economic news Thursday, the Labor Department reported that first-time claims for unemployment insurance totaled a seasonally adjusted 242,000 for the week ending Dec. 7, considerably higher than the 220,000 forecast and up 17,000 from the prior period.

On the inflation front, the news was mixed.

Final-demand goods prices leaped 0.7% on the month, the biggest move since February of this year. Some 80% of the move came from a 3.1% surge in food prices, according to the BLS.

Within the food category, chicken eggs soared 54.6%, joining an across-the-board acceleration in items such as dry vegetables, fresh fruits and poultry. Egg prices at the retail level swelled 8.2% on the month and were up 37.5% from a year ago, the BLS said in a separate report Wednesday on consumer prices.

Services costs rose 0.2%, pushed higher by a 0.8% increase in trade.

The PPI release comes a day after the BLS reported that the consumer price index, or CPI, a more widely cited inflation gauge, also nudged higher in November to 2.7% on a 12-month basis and 0.3% month over month.

Despite the seemingly stubborn state of inflation, markets overwhelmingly expect the Federal Reserve to lower its key overnight borrowing rate next week. Futures markets traders are implying a near certainty to a quarter percentage point reduction when the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee concludes its meeting Wednesday.

Following the release, economists generally viewed the data this week as mostly benign, with underlying indicators still pointing towards enough disinflation to get the Fed back to its 2% target eventually.

The Fed uses the Commerce Department’s personal consumption expenditures price index, or PCE, as its primary inflation gauge and forecasting tool. However, data from the CPI and PPI feed into that measure.

An Atlanta Fed tracker is putting November PCE at 2.6%, up 0.3 percentage point from October, and core PCE at 3%, up 0.2 percentage point. The Fed generally considers core a better long-run indicator. A few economists said the details in the report point to a smaller monthly rise in PCE inflation than they had previously expected.

“It appears that only an exogenous shock such as dramatic tariff policy shifts would be capable of derailing supply-side contributions toward inflation’s return to the Federal Reserve’s 2.0% average goal in the near term,” PNC senior economist Kurt Rankin wrote.

Stock market futures were slightly in negative territory following the economic news. Treasury yields were mixed while the odds of a rate cut next week were still around 98%, according to the CME Group.

One reason markets expect the Fed to cut, even amid stubborn inflation, is that Fed officials are growing more concerned about the labor market. Nonfarm payrolls have posted gains every month since December 2020, but the increases have slowed lately, and Thursday brought news that layoffs could be increasing as unemployment lasts longer.

Jobless claims posted their highest level since early October, while continuing claims, which run a week behind, edged higher to 1.89 million. The four-week moving average of continuing claims, which smooths out weekly volatility, rose to its highest level in just over four years.

Continue Reading

Economics

The Young Thug trial could be Fani Willis’s last big act

Published

on

It is a result that has the government licking its wounds. In May 2022 Fulton County prosecutors indicted 28 men from Cleveland Avenue, a rough part of Atlanta, for committing a string of killings, robberies and drug deals in service of a street gang led by Jeffery Williams, a rapper who goes by the name “Young Thug”. Over the past year the state presented a Georgia jury with nearly 200 witnesses and a barrage of rap verses that, it argued, proved that “YSL”, used to denote Mr Williams’s platinum-selling record label “Young Stoner Life”, also stood for “Young Slime Life” and was an affiliate of the notorious Bloods gang from Los Angeles. But when the alleged kingpin pleaded guilty in late October to overseeing crimes the judge chose to ignore the state’s recommendation to lock him up for decades, opting instead for 15 years probation and banishing him from Atlanta for ten.

Continue Reading

Economics

The Young Thug trial could be the district attorney’s last big act

Published

on

It is a result that has the government licking its wounds. In May 2022 Fulton County prosecutors indicted 28 men from Cleveland Avenue, a rough part of Atlanta, for committing a string of killings, robberies and drug deals in service of a street gang led by Jeffery Williams, a rapper who goes by the name “Young Thug”. Over the past year the state presented a Georgia jury with nearly 200 witnesses and a barrage of rap verses that, it argued, proved that “YSL”, used to denote Mr Williams’s platinum-selling record label “Young Stoner Life”, also stood for “Young Slime Life” and was an affiliate of the notorious Bloods gang from Los Angeles. But when the alleged kingpin pleaded guilty in late October to overseeing crimes the judge chose to ignore the state’s recommendation to lock him up for decades, opting instead for 15 years probation and banishing him from Atlanta for ten.

Continue Reading

Trending