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Tax Strategy: The difficult road to tax legislation in 2025

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Congress has started on the process of enacting major tax legislation in 2025. While both chambers of Congress and the Trump administration seem to want major tax legislation this year, and most expect them to somehow be able to achieve it, it looks like it is going to be a very difficult process.

As is often done with tax legislation by the party in the majority, to avoid the filibuster rules in the Senate requiring a 60-vote margin, the Republicans propose to pass the legislation under the budget reconciliation rules, requiring only a simple majority vote. Usually, the rules only permit one budget reconciliation bill per year; however, since no budget reconciliation bill was utilized in 2024, the rules permit two budget reconciliation bills this year.

At press time, the House was working on one large bill that includes taxes, border issues, and anything else related to revenue. The rules forbid inclusion of any provisions not germane to revenue. The Senate, however, is currently pursuing two budget reconciliation bills, with the first including everything except taxes, and taxes postponed to the second bill later in the year.

Before starting on the tax legislation itself, the House and Senate are required to agree on a budget framework, specifying how much in tax cuts and spending cuts may be included in the legislation.

A close up of the capital building with an American flag

The House, by a bare majority vote of 217-215, approved a budget resolution specifying $4.5 trillion in tax cuts and $2 trillion in spending cuts. The House resolution also assigned some allocations of spending cuts to specific committees, including an allocation of $880 billion to the House Energy and Commerce Committee, which is responsible for Medicaid.

The Senate has approved a budget number for its first budget reconciliation bill; however, it has not yet approved a budget number for the second reconciliation bill on tax matters. The House and Senate must agree on identical budget reconciliation numbers before proceeding to the legislative committees. It has been estimated that achieving this budget agreement alone could take into the mid-April time frame, and those estimates are usually optimistic.

Budget reconciliation also comes with some additional restrictions. In addition to all provisions being required to relate to revenue, budget reconciliation also requires that there be no projection of negative revenue impact beyond 10 years. This results in budget reconciliation bills often including temporary provisions, phase-ins and phase-outs to try to stay within the approved budget numbers.

The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act

The primary focus of the tax legislation this year is extending the individual provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act that expire at the end of 2025, a result of the TCJA itself having been passed under budget reconciliation with the budget number and 10-year restrictions.

There are also several business provisions that started to phase down a couple of years ago that the Republicans would also like to restore retroactively. Extending all these provisions permanently is estimated to cost over $4 trillion. It is estimated that a seven-year extension, as discussed in the House, would cost $3.7 trillion.

One key difference between the House and Senate is whether to just extend these provisions for some additional years or make them permanent. The Senate position currently is that they should be permanent, while the House appears willing to extend them for a shorter period in order to include some additional tax breaks. Both the House and Senate appear willing to utilize a current policy baseline in determining the extent to which tax provisions need to be offset to come within the budget reconciliation limitations.

Under the current policy baseline, merely extending provisions of the Tax Code already in effect does not require revenue offsets to avoid being counted in the budget restriction numbers. Congress has more commonly used a current law baseline, which would require extensions to be offset. This opens up $4 trillion for other tax cuts proposals; however, it still adds $4 trillion to any projected deficits. While it might work for budget reconciliation, it is likely to raise opposition from deficit hawks in Congress about its use greatly contributing to the deficit.

Other tax breaks

The legislation is also likely to consider additional tax breaks. In addition to the expiring TCJA provisions, additional expiring provisions likely to get consideration for extension include the Work Opportunity Tax Credit and the New Markets Tax Credit.

President Trump has also proposed several additional tax breaks: eliminating the tax on Social Security benefits, eliminating the tax on tips, eliminating the tax on overtime, exempting Americans living abroad from income tax, and reducing the corporate tax rate to 15% for domestic manufacturers and to 18% or 20% for other corporations.

Trump has also seemed open to modifying or eliminating the $10,000 state and local tax deduction limit included in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which might also be necessary to gain the support of Republicans in Congress from high-tax states, although there is also a proposal to include eliminating the pass-through entity work-around for the SALT deduction.

Republicans have also generally supported repeal of the estate tax and repeal of the corporate alternative minimum tax.

Revenue raisers and spending cuts

President Trump has also mentioned some possible revenue raisers, which might provide a revenue offset for some of these tax cuts:

  • Taxing carried interests at ordinary income rates;
  • Increasing the tax on private university endowments;
  • Reducing deductions available to sports team owners;
  • Repealing or reducing the mortgage interest deduction;
  • Repealing some or all of the green energy tax credits included in the Inflation Reduction Act;
  • Ending the Employee Retention Credit;
  • Repealing the nonprofit status of hospitals;
  • Repealing the exclusion for municipal bond interest; and,
  • Pulling back some IRS enforcement funding.

Trump also views his tariff proposals as providing additional revenue offsets.
The spending cut provisions in the budget reconciliation will also require difficult decisions with respect to determining who will bear the burden of those cuts. We have already seen the disarray created by the efforts of the Department of Government Efficiency to reduce the federal workforce.

Narrow Republican margins

Not only are there differences between the Republicans in the House and Republicans in the Senate, there are also differences among the Republicans in each body.

The narrow Republican majorities in both the House and Senate means that passage requires attracting the votes of almost every Republican member. This has proved especially difficult for the House, as evidenced by the budget number approval passing by only a two-vote margin, and that was only achieved by getting members to put off their concerns until they could be addressed during the legislation drafting process.

Postponing those issues until later just adds more difficulty in crafting legislation in a way that will retain those votes. Some of those issues include the SALT deduction limit, the permanency of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act extension, potential reductions in Medicaid funding, and deficit concerns.

Summary

While the odds of major tax legislation this year still look good, it is likely to be a very difficult process that drags on through much of the year. It appears that either some of the proposed tax cuts will have to be passed on or put into effect for only a limited period, that deficits will be significantly increased, or that budget gimmicks such as use of the current policy baseline or taking tariffs into account will be used to try to claim compliance with the budget reconciliation numbers.

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IRS backs off Biden rule on partnership basis shifting

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An IRS proposal to drop a Biden administration rule targeting basis-shifting strategies by complex partnerships is getting support from key stakeholders, as well as calls for further relief.

But critics argue that dropping the regulation would let wealthy tax cheats off the hook. Even those who advocate getting rid of the rule say the IRS must take more action to remove enforcement risks around partnership basis-shifting strategies. 

The regulatory proposal last month to withdraw the Jan. 14 regulation cited President Donald Trump’s executive order that created the Department of Government Efficiency. It also mentioned the concerns of “taxpayers and their material advisors” about “imposing complex, burdensome, and retroactive disclosure obligations on many ordinary-course and tax-compliant business activities, creating costly compliance obligations and uncertainty for businesses.”

These transactions enable businesses to transfer tax basis out of assets where it was not generating savings to affiliated entities where it could gain benefits, such as moving it from stock or land holdings to the partnership’s equipment infrastructure and its depreciation capabilities. In its final days, the Biden administration issued a rule classifying them as “transactions of interest” (TOI) subject to increased scrutiny of the so-called “economic substance” of the basis-shift beyond simply tax savings. That followed an IRS memo from last June warning taxpayers, professionals and financial advisors that some common partnership basis-shifting transactions do not have the required economic substance. 

The fact that the Trump administration’s proposal wouldn’t also cancel the revenue ruling memo caught the attention of some antitax advocacy groups and industry professionals.

“Given that Revenue Ruling 2024-14 was not withdrawn, continued diligence is required in identifying any transactions that may fall within the scope of the revenue ruling or otherwise be subject to potential challenges under the economic substance doctrine, or other common law principles such as the substance-over-form doctrine or step transaction doctrine,” according to a blog on the rule proposal last month by accounting firm Grant Thornton. Nevertheless, the firm described the IRS proposal as “welcome relief for taxpayers and material advisors as the basis shifting TOI regulations would have imposed complex, burdensome and retroactive disclosure obligations on transactions that may have not been entered into with a tax avoidance purpose.”

READ MORE: What does an IRS in flux mean for financial advisors and clients?

The business backdrop

Regardless of their view of the proposal, President Trump, DOGE or tax-dodging efforts by wealthy households in general, advisors can provide value to clients by keeping abreast of IRS regulations, according to Jason Smith, CEO of Westlake, Ohio-based advisory practice JL Smith, registered investment advisory firm Prosperity Capital Advisors and training and consulting company Clarity 2 Prosperity Enterprises. Last month, Greenleaf Book Group released Smith’s latest book, “The Rainmaker Multiplier: How to Create a Self-Sustaining, Scalable Financial Planning Business.” The book includes a chapter on Smith’s view that tax preparation and strategies represent one of four “rainmaker multiplier essentials,” alongside holistic planning, marketing and a career path for incoming advisors.

Smith’s firm evolved from referring tax services to outside certified public accountants to hiring them and enrolled agents as a means of providing what he called the “trilogy” of tax planning, management and preparation.

“You could sit there and tout investment performance, but it’s not about what you make, it’s about what you keep,” Smith said. “I just don’t know how you can really say that you’re doing true wealth management without connecting those two, the investments and the taxes.”

READ MORE: Taxes + wealth: 2 connected but still (for now) distinct fields are merging

Reactions to repeal

For some business owners, the complex basis-shifting maneuvers among affiliated entities in a partnership provide substantial savings — although the last administration’s Treasury Department argued that verifying the economic substance of the transactions would save taxpayers $50 billion over a decade. Eliminating the Biden-era regulation would reopen a “tax loophole for the rich,” said Sen. Ron Wyden, a Democrat from Oregon who is the ranking minority member of the Senate Finance Committee.

“This is a ridiculous loophole that allows the ultra-rich to dodge taxes by shifting assets around on paper while adding zero value to our economy whatsoever,” Wyden said in a statement last month. “This is welfare for billionaire tax cheats and massive corporations, plain and simple.”

However, groups supporting the withdrawal of the rule include the American Institute of CPAs, the Taxpayers Protection Alliance and the National Taxpayers Union. In letters to the IRS earlier this month, the latter two organizations praised the move to drop the regulation and asked the agency to rescind the memo from last June as well.

“The previous administration’s near-obsessive focus on partnerships was driven by the belief that vast revenue collection potential exists in some sectors of our economy if only the IRS were handed sufficiently intimidating enforcement tools,” National Taxpayers Union President Pete Sepp wrote. “Unfortunately, history has shown that there are no gold mines leading to such easy riches for the government. Instead, the pursuit of the ‘shiny object’ leaves many innocent taxpayers harmed along the way, while distracting the Service’s attention from top-notch customer service and clear, consistent, guidance that provide the basis of respect for the law.”

READ MORE: Wealthy tax cheats set to benefit from Trump plans to halve IRS

Stay tuned, advisors and tax pros

An upcoming IRS notice of proposed rulemaking could address the full scope of the agency’s withdrawal of the prior regulation and its current stance on the economic substance of basis-shifting transactions by partnerships.

The Biden administration’s regulation would have exerted greater enforcement oversight in “tax-free transfers, distributions and liquidations of partnership interests to partners and other related parties or transferees, in which a basis increase provides related parties with an opportunity to decrease their taxable income through increased cost recovery deductions, including as property depreciation deductions, and decreased taxable gains (or increased taxable losses),” according to a blog posted this week by Alex Kenelby, a senior manager of tax services with Berkowitz Pollack Brant.

“This essentially provides taxpayers and their material advisors with immediate relief from retroactive reporting requirements and any related penalties for noncompliance,” Kenelby wrote. “The IRS is expected to issue a notice of proposed rulemaking in the coming months to finalize the details of repealing the basis-shifting regulations.”

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Inventor patents variation on double-entry accounting

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Edward Kellman, CEO and chief design engineer of Trakker Apps, holds two U.S. patents for an innovative take on double-entry accounting 

The system, known as the Double-Entry Multi-Extrinsic-Variable Accounting Method Database, aims to modernize financial tracking while preserving the essence of the traditional accounting system that was first described by Luca Pacioli back in 1494. It leverages artificial intelligence while generating and reconciling multiple financial ledgers by account, user, customer, job and vendor.

“I made a representation of the current double entry database, which basically collects a date, amount, a debit and a credit account, and that’s about as much of that calculation as you can do by hand,” said Kellman. “It’s been done by hand for hundreds of years. It’s very tedious, but nobody ever thought to expand the database now that you can use a computer to solve for these enormously complex database solutions.”

He expanded the database with new variables, which he calls extrinsic variables, and now it can track financial transactions by customer, job, user and vendor. “By doing that, I’ve created an enormous amount of new financial solutions that can be plucked from the database that never existed, and these are all financial analytics for your company, because the variables are the things that matter in your company: which jobs make the most money, which users produce the most income and expenses, and things of this nature,” said Kellman. “But because I expanded that database, and nobody thought to do this since 1494 when this system was first published. It’s totally modernized double entry accounting.”

He offers them as apps that can be downloaded from the Apple and Android app stores, along with a browser-based version through the Trakker Apps website. He is hoping to partner with financial institutions rather than accounting software companies since the system was developed as a BaaS, or banking-as-a-service, technology. The bank would be able to white label the program with its own branding.

The system leverages artificial intelligence to automate data entry. “I didn’t want it to become a tedious process for entering data, so we basically wrote these AI data entry algorithms that collect the data and fill in the data when it knows it right away,” said Kellman. “You can enter these transactions really just as quickly, if not quicker, on a smartphone than you can on any other accounting system, because of the data entry algorithms that just collect the data really quickly. And once you hit Enter and record that transaction, that’s all stored in the cloud. All your business is digitized.”

He did beta testing for a year on the app stores, where the program had around 6,000 downloads. But then he shut down the program because he didn’t want to be the cloud host responsible for storing thousands of people’s financial data so he is searching for a banking partner to host it securely. The system provides a kind of ERP platform that combines banking and accounting. 

“Instead of printing profit and loss reports and balance sheet reports and trial balance summary reports just for the whole company, I can print them individually, for each individual user or each individual job,” said Kellman. “Or if you have multiple users, like in a law firm on one job, you can select the job and the user and print just the transactions that apply to those variables that you’ve selected, and now you’ve got a wealth of information about your company that never existed before.”

Trakker Apps’ BaaS fintech platform includes Business Trakker, Invoice 4 Business, Expense Trakker, Balance Sheet Trakker and Escrow Trakker for Lawyers.

It took four years before Kellman was able to patent the technology. “Normally, when you apply for a patent, they spend a lot of time on a patent search, where they investigate all the previous patents to see if you’re in violation of any other patents, or any other art that exists,” he said. “My patents are the only patents ever issued for a double entry accounting system, and there was no prior art. It took about four years to get it, and then I got a second one after that.”

Kellman isn’t planning to challenge other accounting software companies now that he has the patents, which are actually for the ledger. “No, I don’t want to challenge other companies,” he said. “You can’t patent a software program. My program produces what we call a multivariable ledger that you can hold in your hand. It’s a financial ledger, and that’s what’s patented.”

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COSO, NACD propose corporate governance framework

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The Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission and the National Association of Corporate Directors have released an exposure draft of their Corporate Governance Framework and are asking for public comments until July 11.

Last May, COSO and the NACD selected PwC to be the lead author to develop a comprehensive corporate governance framework offering principles-based guidance for organizations to establish and strengthen their governance practices, beginning in the boardroom and spreading throughout the organization. Last December, COSO released a governance framework for internal controls over robotic process automation.

The Corporate Governance Framework is designed to complement and align with COSO’s longstanding Internal Control and Enterprise Risk Management frameworks. It includes practices to help organizations improve their governance effectiveness, manage risks proactively and create long-term value. COSO is jointly sponsored by the American Accounting Association, the American Institute of CPAs, Financial Executives International, the Institute of Management Accountants and the Institute of Internal Auditors.  

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Lucia Wind

“Resilient and well-structured corporate governance is the foundation of trust in capital markets, ethical business practices, and sustainable financial performance,” said COSO executive director and chair Lucia Wind in a statement Tuesday. “This framework provides organizations with a structured yet flexible approach to governance, ensuring they can navigate today’s complex regulatory and risk landscape with confidence, enable organizational effectiveness, while building long term value for its shareholders.”

Public comments will be accepted until July 11, 2025. The COSO website provides additional submission information.

COSO and the NACD are encouraging a holistic approach to defining corporate governance, extending beyond the boardroom to encompass the practices, information channels, and processes that govern how an entity is being directed, managed and controlled.  

“Strong corporate governance creates a competitive advantage for organizations of all sizes, stages of maturity, and growth strategies,” said NACD president and CEO Peter Gleason in a statement. “This framework will help boards and management align on the importance and scope of governance in a time of tremendous complexity and disruption. When adapted to fit an organization’s specific needs, the framework will help drive better business outcomes and higher-quality board and management performance.”

COSO and the NACD see corporate governance as involving the oversight and processes by which an informed board and management team steers an entity toward executing its strategies and goals while maximizing long-term shareholder value in an ethical manner and within the relevant legal and regulatory environment.   

“By providing a common language and practical guidance, it empowers boards, management, and employees to work together in building resilient, accountable organizations that can adapt, compete, and deliver long-term value to shareholders and other key stakeholders,” said Lillian Borsa and Brian Schwartz, PwC US principals and co-leads of the COSO Corporate Governance Framework, in a joint statement.

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