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Bonds as protection play against stock market volatility

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Why Bond ETFs may be right for you despite inflationary risks

Investors may want to get back to the basics when it comes to navigating the stock market volatility.

According to F/m Investments CEO Alex Morris, they should consider increasing their exposure to bonds.

“Particularly on the short end of the curve … there’s a lot of safe haven to be had there,” Morris said on CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “If you look at where the equity market is going, you didn’t like the wipeout of a couple of weeks ago — there’s some more banana skins ahead of us.”

His comments came from the site of Miami’s Future Proof conference, where financial advisors and wealth management executives traded ideas and discussed technology, including using generative artificial intelligence.

Morris’ firm provides investors with access to “innovative” strategies, which includes mitigating risks, according to the F/m Investments website.

Morris, who is also the firm’s chief investment officer, sees the economic backdrop and tariff risks as another reason to buy bonds.

“If [DC] policy stays where it is, the short end of the curve is going to be a great place to be,” Morris added.

TCW’s managing director Jeffrey Katz, who also attended the conference, sees benefits in fixed income right now, too. “Bonds are acting as they should in the context of a 60/40 portfolio,” he told “ETF Edge.”

Katz’s firm is behind the TCW Flexible Income ETF, which has been around since November 2018.

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TCW Flexible Income ETF Performance

As of Feb. 28, FactSet shows the exchange-traded fund’s top holdings included U.S. Treasury notes yielding above 4%. It is also rated four stars by Morningstar.

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Younger Americans are loving ROTH IRAs

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More savers are embracing the tax-advantaged accounts, and many will contribute leading up to tax day

Young savers are flocking to Roth IRAs

They are taking the advice of parents, workplace financial coaches and tax advisers, who have long preached the gospel of these accounts to save for retirement and even big purchases.

By getting the money in early, the thinking goes, they are giving it time to grow tax-free. In the run-up to tax day, more savers are making last-minute contributions to max out their individual retirement accounts.

Savers such as Maria Kyriakopoulos are opening Roth IRAs in addition to saving in their workplace retirement plans. After the 23-year-old got her first full-time job as an analyst at J.P. Morgan Private Bank last July, she immediately started saving in her 401(k).

She also opened a Roth IRA. She just finished contributing to hit the $7,000 maximum allowed for 2024 and contributed $700 to get a start on saving for 2025. 

“You have to save a little money on the side,” Kyriakopoulos said. She contributes anywhere from $250 to $800 a month, depending on how much she has left after paying rent, her student loan bills and other expenses.

5 STEPS TO HOME OWNERSHIP

Of those who contribute to an IRA or Roth IRA, 41% were under 40 in 2022, up from 28% in 2016, according to the latest data from the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. And most young contributors choose the Roth option, according to the Investment Company Institute.

Many of those opening accounts are customers of financial technology firms, including those that promise money akin to 401(k) matches. Robinhood, for example, offers to match up to 3% of users’ IRA contributions.

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HOOD ROBINHOOD MARKETS INC. 48.36 +4.00 +9.02%

It is “the young, hip and cool with their cellphones,” said Alicia Munnell, a senior adviser at the Center for Retirement Research.

Kelli Send, the co-founder of Francis, which provides financial planning advice to employees at their workplaces, says to first contribute to a workplace plan to take advantage of any employer match, and then open a Roth IRA. 

“It’s an escape valve, if you need it,” she said. Taxpayers can always access amounts up to their Roth IRA contributions with no tax hit or early-distribution penalties. Earnings generally can’t come out tax- and penalty-free until age 59½. 

HOW A DOGE DIVIDEND WOULD WORK

You can make IRA contributions for a given year any time between Jan. 1 and tax day of the following year. So taxpayers can still contribute for the 2024 tax year through April 15. 

Boris Wong, a 36-year-old researcher at Vanguard, says he makes the full contribution to his Roth IRA in January. “Why do I have this ritual? If you invest on Jan. 1, you have 15 months extra of compounding,” he said.

Taxpayers must have at least as much earned income as the amount of their IRA contributions, although there is an exception for spouses. With Roth IRAs, the ability to contribute directly depends on savers’ modified adjusted gross income. Those above the income limits can put money into a traditional IRA and move it into a Roth, though there are some pitfalls.

Contributions are in after-tax dollars, but withdrawals can be tax-free. As a result, Roth accounts can be a good choice for savers who expect their tax rate to be higher—or the same—at withdrawal versus at contribution.

RETIREMENT CONTRIBUTION LIMITS FOR 2025

With traditional IRAs, the opposite is the case: Contributions are often tax-deductible, and funds typically grow tax-deferred. So those accounts can make sense for savers who want to lower their taxable income now, and expect their tax bracket to be lower when they withdraw the money. 

“I wish I had put more money into Roths. Early diversification is a good idea,” said Munnell. Still working in her early 80s, she has found that she has to take more withdrawals from her traditional IRA than she needs and pay taxes. 

Traditional IRAs require annual payouts once you reach 73. Withdrawals are taxed as ordinary income. By contrast, you don’t have to take any distributions from a Roth during your lifetime.

At work, Kyriakopoulos noticed a trend among young rich clients. Many of them inherited money and even though they earn, say, $50,000 at an entry-level white-collar job, they have substantial taxable portfolios. So they move money religiously to Roth IRAs.

US hundred dollar bills on table

Two Bay Area, California cities have the highest cost of living in the country according to a list published by GOBankingRates. (Matias Baglietto/NurPhoto via Getty Images / Getty Images)

John Longoria II rolled leftover funds from a 529 college savings plan into his Roth IRA.

John Longoria II, 24, who is making just over $40,000 as a digital marketing intern in Chicago, is drawing partly from a taxable account his parents helped him set up as a child to fund his Roth IRA. He’s also rolling over leftover funds from a 529 college savings plan into the Roth IRA, and adding some money from his paycheck. 

“I try to save money any which way I can,” Longoria said, noting that he has four roommates. 

One drawback of Roth IRAs is that, unlike 401(k)s where many employers automatically enroll employees in the plan and deduct contributions from their paychecks, IRA savers have to set up the accounts, make contributions and be diligent about sticking with it. Most IRA custodians let customers set up direct deposits into their IRAs.

Still, you have to pick your investments and stay on top of changing contribution limits.

Mel Meagher, a 37-year-old human resources manager in Brownsville, Wis., opened a Roth IRA at Vanguard in 2023, when the contribution limit was $6,500. She didn’t increase her contributions when the limit went to $7,000 for 2024.

Now, she is having to make up the $500 difference for 2024, on top of starting her 2025 contributions. She also puts 5% of her pay into her 401(k), which has a 5% employer match. 

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Why a Roth?

“I don’t want to pull it out early, but I like that there is that flexibility if something happens down the road,” she said.

Write to Ashlea Ebeling at [email protected]

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Appeared in the March 24, 2025, print edition as ‘Roth IRAs Are In Vogue With the Young Crowd.’

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China invites U.S. business leaders to Beijing, tries to gauge Trump

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Attendees pose for a group photo before the opening ceremony of the China Development Forum 2025 at the Diaoyutai Guesthouse on March 23, 2025, in Beijing.

China News Service | China News Service | Getty Images

BEIJING — China courted the executives of major U.S. businesses at an annual conference this week in a sign of how Beijing seeks to offset trade pressures, rather than retaliate forcefully.

China has long sought to attract foreign investment as a way to bolster growth, while tapping business interests for potential influence on the White House, particularly under U.S. President Donald Trump. The U.S. has twice increased tariffs across all Chinese goods since January, but Beijing has only announced targeted duties and restrictions on a handful of American companies.

Conversation on the sidelines of the state-organized China Development Forum this week in Beijing reinforced a more conciliatory stance than official rhetoric this month about how China is prepared to fight “any type of war” with the United States.

Chinese conference attendees weren’t that focused on what can be done to respond to U.S. tariffs, Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale Law School’s Paul Tsai China Center, told CNBC.

“The questions I’ve been getting more [are], why is Trump doing this? What is he trying to achieve? What does he think it takes to really make America great?” Roach said. He has attended the event since the early 2000s.

China courts global business leaders at China Development Forum

“My answer is this is an unprecedented period for America’s role in the world economy. We’re going back to a tariff regime that history tells us can be extremely destructive,” Roach said, adding he expects more policy uncertainty in the U.S. and around the world “for a long, long time.”

U.S. stocks have swung in recent weeks as investors try to assess the economic impact of Trump’s changing plans for tariffs on major U.S. trading partners. U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last week said tariffs could delay progress on lowering inflation in the U.S.

A message of ‘reassurance’

At this week’s conference, China was trying to send a message of “reassurance” — on how it plans to boost consumption and how the country is headed in a “modestly positive direction” relative to what is happening in the U.S., said Scott Kennedy, senior advisor and trustee chair in Chinese business and economics at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a think tank based in Washington, D.C.

If the U.S. imposes significantly large tariffs in early April, “then you go from managing costs and de-risking to possibly de-coupling,” Kennedy told CNBC. “And then that might mean the game is up. So I think the level of anxiety is pretty high. And that’s why China is trying to provide this message of reassurance.”

The Trump administration has threatened a swath of new tariffs on major trading partners starting early April. China has increased its trade with Southeast Asian countries and the European Union, but the U.S. remains Beijing’s largest trading partner on a single-country basis.

The China Development Forum ran Sunday and Monday. Apple CEO Tim Cook was among the executives who attended, but Tesla CEO Elon Musk was not.

“The increased optimism this year compared to last year at the CDF has been just so heart warming,” Ken Griffin, CEO of hedge fund Citadel, said during an official panel at the forum.

Trump “is committed to American companies having access to a global market,” Griffin said. “And the President is willing to use tariffs to seek to enforce this worldview.”

First step toward Xi-Trump meeting?

Also on Sunday, U.S. Republican Senator Steve Daines met Chinese Premier Li Qiang in Beijing — the first time a U.S. politician has visited China since Trump began his latest term in January.

“This was the first step to an important next step, which will be a meeting between President Xi and President Trump,” Daines told the Wall Street Journal. “When that occurs and where it occurs is to be determined.”

The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Li urged cooperation and said no one can gain from a trade war, according to state media.

FedEx CEO Raj Subramaniam, Boeing Senior Vice President Brendan Nelson, Cargill CEO Brian Sikes, Medtronic CEO Geoffrey Martha, Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla, Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon, UL Solutions CEO Jennifer Scanlon and U.S. China Business Council President Sean Stein were also present at Daines’ meeting with Li, according to a foreign media pool report.

China, the world’s second-largest economy, remains a significant source of revenue for many multinational corporations, not to mention a major part of their supply chains.

Despite its efforts to bolster international business ties, the country has warned of countermeasures on U.S. tariffs and taken incremental steps.

Following U.S. sanctions on Chinese telecommunications giant Huawei during Trump’s first term as president, Beijing launched an unreliable entities list that restricts foreign business activity with China.

China added Calvin Klein parent PVH and a few other U.S. companies to the list after this year’s tariff increases. On Monday, China also said it would soon reveal new measures that would give it a legal basis for countering foreign pressure.

Economic factors

For U.S. companies in China, the state of the economic recovery has also been an important factor for local business plans.

Since late September, China has stepped up efforts to support the economy. Top policymakers earlier this month affirmed stimulus plans and a recent effort to encourage private-sector tech entrepreneurs in the wake of DeepSeek’s artificial intelligence breakthroughs.

“This year, you feel a lot of positive momentum beginning in China. So I feel like recovery is underway,” Wendell P. Weeks, CEO of Corning, told CNBC.

However, China’s economy has struggled with deflationary pressure and a real estate slump, weighing on regional growth prospects for international businesses.

Even Beijing’s push to support high-tech manufacturing has so far only added an average 1.1 percentage points to gross domestic product growth in each of the last three years — not enough to offset the 1.7 percentage point drag from real estate during that time, according to Goldman Sachs estimates.

“We will remain optimistic because the role of technology is important, I think more than ever,” Qualcomm’s Amon told CNBC. “I think technology is going to be part of economic growth.”

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Big Tech, Mag 7 fueling market rally, not tariff hopes: Morgan Stanley

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Morgan Stanley's CIO Mike Wilson sees beaten-up Mag 7 stocks playing key role in market rebound

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson sees a meaningful rotation back into U.S. stocks, and he sees one beaten-up group as a winner.

“It started out with a low-quality rally, which is what we expect – meaning a short squeeze,” the firm’s chief investment officer told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Monday. “Then, what we noticed is the revision factors on the Mag Seven are actually starting to stabilize a bit. So, the last couple of days though stocks have acted better, and that can take the index higher. How high? 5,900. So, we’re almost there.”

The major indexes had a notable start to the week. The S&P 500 gained roughly 1.8% and closed at 5,767.57 — about 6% below its all-time high. Meanwhile, the Dow jumped almost 600 points while the Nasdaq Composite surged more than 2%.

The “Magnificent Seven” had a big role in Monday’s rally. Its members include Apple, Nvidia, Meta Platforms, Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft and Tesla. The electric vehicle maker registered its best daily performance since November.

But Wilson, who’s also the firm’s chief U.S. equity strategist, suggests a narrow window for gains. He focused his Monday research note on the idea.

“Stronger seasonals, lower rates and oversold momentum indicators support our call for a tradeable rally from ~5500,” he wrote. “A weaker dollar and stabilizing Mag 7 EPS [earnings per share] revisions can drive capital back to the US. Beyond the tactical rally, volatility will likely persist this year.”

And, he won’t rule out new lows for the year.

“Whatever rally we’re getting now, we think probably end up fading into earnings, into May and June,” he added. “Then, we’ll probably make a more durable low later in the year.”

According to Wilson, the market weakness is mostly tied to fundamentals and technicals.

‘Nothing to do with tariffs’

“The reason the markets are lower over the course of the last three or four months has nothing to do with tariffs,” said Wilson. “It’s mostly to do with the fact that earnings revisions have rolled over. The Fed stopped cutting rates. You had stricter enforcement on immigration. You have [Department of Government Efficiency]. All of those things are growth negative.”

Wilson’s S&P 500 year-end target is 6,500, which implies a nearly 13% gain from Monday’s close.

“Could we make a new high in the second half of the year as people look forward to 2026? Yeah,” Wilson said.

Join us for the ultimate, exclusive, in-person, interactive event with Melissa Lee and the traders for “Fast Money” Live at the Nasdaq MarketSite in Times Square on Thursday, June 5th.

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