Private sector employment grew by 122,000 jobs in July, while annual pay increased 4.8% year-over-year, payroll giant ADP reported Wednesday. However, the 122,000 represented a deceleration from the average job gains seen over the second quarter of the year.
The service-providing sector gained 85,000 jobs, but within that category the professional and business services sector lost 37,000 jobs, and the information sector lost 18,000. On the other hand, the trade, transportation and utilities sector gained 61,000 jobs, leisure and hospitality 24,000 jobs, education and health services 22,000, and financial activities gained 14,000 jobs. But even in leisure and hospitality there appeared to be a slowdown.
The goods-producing sector added 37,000 jobs, including 39,000 in construction, offset by a loss of 4,000 in manufacturing.
An ADP sign at the TechFair LA job fair in Los Angeles.
Patrick T. Fallon/Bloomberg
“This is evidence of the continued narrative of a slowdown, for sure, even if you took in some weather effects and you caveat it for that, it’s clear that the labor market is slowing steadily,” said ADP chief economist Nela Richardson during a conference call with reporters Wednesday, noting there might have been some impact from the recent hurricane in Houston. “Now, when we talk about a cooldown, we often reference the cooldown without referencing the context in which this cooldown is taking place. We’ve seen really strong, solid job gains and a remarkable job to market, and it is a normalization that we’ve seen in the data, back toward a normal means gain.”
Small businesses lost 7,000 jobs in July, with a gain of 15,000 jobs among small businesses with between one and 19 employees offset by a loss of 22,000 in businesses with between 20 and 49 employees. Medium-sized establishments added 70,000 jobs during the month, including 55,00 in businesses with between 50 and 249 employees and 15,000 in companies with between 250 and 499 employees. Large businesses with 500 employees or more added 62,000 jobs.
Year-over-year pay gains for people who stayed at their jobs slowed to 4.8% in July, which was the slowest pace of growth in three years. Job-changers saw a big drop, with pay gains slowing to 7.2% from 7.7 %. In professional and business services, the median change in annual pay for job stayers was 4.7%.
“If inflation picks up, and no one thinks that’s likely right now, it won’t be because of labor,” said Richardson. “We’re seeing continued, steady decline in wage growth that fits with the overall inflation picture also cooling along with the labor market.”
Gary Shapley, who was named only days ago as the acting commissioner of the Internal Revenue Service, is reportedly being replaced by Deputy Treasury Secretary Michael Faulkender amid a power struggle between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Elon Musk.
The New York Times reported that Bessent was outraged that Shapley was named to head the IRS without his knowledge or approval and complained to President Trump about it. Shapley was installed as acting commissioner on Tuesday, only to be ousted on Friday. He first gained prominence as an IRS Criminal Investigation special agent and whistleblower who testified in 2023 before the House Oversight Committee that then-President Joe Biden’s son Hunter received preferential treatment during a tax-evasion investigation, and he and another special agent had been removed from the investigation after complaining to their supervisors in 2022. He was promoted last month to senior advisor to Bessent and made deputy chief of IRS Criminal Investigation. Shapley is expected to remain now as a senior official at IRS Criminal Investigation, according to the Wall Street Journal. The IRS and the Treasury Department press offices did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Faulkender was confirmed last month as deputy secretary at the Treasury Department and formerly worked during the first Trump administration at the Treasury on the Paycheck Protection Program before leaving to teach finance at the University of Maryland.
Faulkender will be the fifth head of the IRS this year. Former IRS commissioner Danny Werfel departed in January, on Inauguration Day, after Trump announced in December he planned to name former Congressman Billy Long, R-Missouri, as the next IRS commissioner, even though Werfel’s term wasn’t scheduled to end until November 2027. The Senate has not yet scheduled a confirmation hearing for Long, amid questions from Senate Democrats about his work promoting the Employee Retention Credit and so-called “tribal tax credits.” The job of acting commissioner has since been filled by Douglas O’Donnell, who was deputy commissioner under Werfel. However, O’Donnell abruptly retired as the IRS came under pressure to lay off thousands of employees and share access to confidential taxpayer data. He was replaced by IRS chief operating officer Melanie Krause, who resigned last week after coming under similar pressure to provide taxpayer data to immigration authorities and employees of the Musk-led U.S. DOGE Service.
Krause had planned to depart later this month under the deferred resignation program at the IRS, under which approximately 22,000 IRS employees have accepted the voluntary buyout offers. But Musk reportedly pushed to have Shapley installed on Tuesday, according to the Times, and he remained working in the commissioner’s office as recently as Friday morning. Meanwhile, plans are underway for further reductions in the IRS workforce of up to 40%, according to the Federal News Network, taking the IRS from approximately 102,000 employees at the beginning of the year to around 60,000 to 70,000 employees.
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