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Canada flexes economic muscle as tariff negotiations continue

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A “Shop Canadian” sign is seen at the entrance of a supermarket in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, March 4, 2025. 

Liang Seng | Xinhua News Agency | Getty Images

Canadians are swapping their friendly auras for a fierce sense of nationalism amid U.S. President Donald Trump’s attacks on the country’s trade and sovereignty.

Trump’s mostly delayed plans for 25% tariffs on Canadian goods and his calls for the country to become an American state has spurned citizens of the U.S.’s northern neighbor and key trade partner. As a result, Canadians have rejected American imports and issued other economic punishments in an unusual show of patriotism.

“It really feels for most Canadians like we’ve been backstabbed, that the person that we trusted the most is now sort of turning on us and attacking us for no apparent reason,” said Joel Bilt, an economics professor focused on international trade at the University of Waterloo in Ontario. “That has really unified people.”

Grocery stores have encouraged visitors to “shop Canadian” with signs and special labels in aisles alerting them to which products were made domestically. A popular Facebook group focused on buying Canadian-made goods first reported on by NBC News has seen its membership more than double since early February as the on-again-off-again tariff policy played out.

A “Shop Canadian” sign is seen at the entrance of a supermarket in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, March 4, 2025. 

Liang Seng | Xinhua News Agency | Getty Images

More than 60% of Canadians reported buying fewer American products when shopping either in store or online, according to a survey from market research firm Leger of more than 1,500 residents conducted between March 7 and March 10. Just over seven out of 10 said they upped their purchases of goods made within the country, which has the ninth largest economy in the world.

The Liquor Control Board of Ontario went even further, barring its members from ordering American alcohol. Because the LCBO sells upwards of $1 billion in American liquor each year, the move has raised alarm for U.S.-based spirit makers like Jack Daniel’s parent Brown-Forman.

“That’s worse than a tariff,” said Lawson Whiting, chief executive of Brown-Forman, on the Kentucky-based company’s earnings call this month. “It’s literally taking your sales away.”

Empty shelves remain with signs ”Buy Canadian Instead” after the top five U.S. liquor brands were removed from sale at a B.C. Liquor Store, as part of a response to U.S. President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on Canadian goods, in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, February 2, 2025. 

Chris Helgren | Reuters

Ontario also said it would implement a 25% surcharge on electricity exported to Michigan, Minnesota and New York. But Ontario Premier Doug Ford said that he would temporarily halt this tax after U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick agreed to restart negotiations.

Trump initially responded by calling to raise tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum to 50%, but the White House told CNBC that he backed down following the conversation between Lutnick and Ford.

Still, Trump’s now-withdrawn plan for higher taxes on the metals put the United Steelworkers union — which represents about 850,000 people in the U.S., Canada and the Caribbean — on alert. USW International President David McCall said in a March 11 statement that the North American arms of the international trade organization would “fight together” against the proposed levies, which he said threatens jobs on both sides of the U.S.-Canadian border.

A ‘pushback’

Even as the tariff negotiations remain in flux, travel to the U.S. is already taking a hit. Return trips by Canadians from the U.S. by vehicle tumbled around 23% in February from the same month a year ago, according to government statistics.

Government data also showed the number of Canadians flying back into the country from international locations declined in February from a year ago, signaling a pullback in tourism abroad. That comes as Air Canada announced plans to cut capacity to warm U.S. locations like Florida, Arizona and Nevada beginning this month.

Trump’s threats have prompted some cancellations to the Wildwoods in New Jersey, a popular beach destination for travelers from places like Montreal and Quebec, according to Ben Rose, marketing and public relations director at the Greater Wildwoods Tourism Authority. But he said these rescissions haven’t been as widespread as initially expected. Canadians are also weighing concerns around the exchange rate, he added.

Air Canada planes are seen at the gates at Montréal-Pierre Elliott Trudeau International Airport in Dorval, Quebec, Canada on April 2, 2024. 

Daniel Slim | Afp | Getty Images

At consumer travel shows in Toronto and Montreal, the authority received some comments from potential Canadian travelers about how Trump’s plan for levies has deterred vacationing in America. Rose said his team reminds uneasy Canadians that it has been a welcoming destination for them over several decades and provides unique value as a location within driving distance.

“Some of the pushback we’ve been getting is that: ‘You know we love Americans, and we know they love us, but we’ll see you in four years,'” Rose said. “They can’t go along with the administration.”

Political, cultural efforts

Canadians’ stance against Trump’s policies has spilled into culture and media as the issue captured the country’s interest.

Canadians booed the U.S. national anthem before major-league sporting games against American teams. During an appearance on Saturday Night Live this month, Canadian celebrity Mike Myers donned a shirt that reads “Canada is not for sale” alongside the country’s red-and-white flag.

(l-r) Musical guest Tate McRae, host Shane Gillis, and special guest Mike Myers during Goodnights & Credits on Saturday, March 1, 2025.

Will Heath | NBCUniversal | Getty Images

Tariffs have become a focal point of Canada’s government, which saw ex-central banker Mark Carney clinch the prime minister title this month. Carney succeeds Justin Trudeau, who Trump had begun referring to as “governor” in reference to his hopes of making Canada a U.S. state.

The British Columbia government and its power operator said they would exclude Tesla products from certain green-energy rebates as of March 12, an action done to give “preference” to Canadian-made alternatives. Tesla is run by CEO Elon Musk, who has come under fire from critics for his leadership of Trump’s controversial government efficiency initiative.

Waterloo’s Bilt said Canadians’ anger is focused mainly on Trump rather than Americans at large, meaning personal relationships between citizens of each country likely wouldn’t be frayed as a result. However, he said American businesses should expect Canadians — once known as a laid-back, polite group that didn’t think twice about shopping U.S. brands or vacationing south of its border — to rebuff them until Trump backs down.

“It really has elicited the kind of response that I have never seen before,” Bilt said. “Canadians are not fundamentally nationalistic, but this really sort of hit something strong at the core of the average Canadian.”

— NBC News and CNBC’s Dan Mangan and Laya Neelakandan contributed to this report.

Disclosure: Saturday Night Live is part of NBCUniversal, which also owns CNBC.

Economics

UK Has a New Prime Minister Without a General Election

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UK Has a New Prime Minister Without a General Election

On July 20, Andy Burnham has been chosen to be the next Prime Minister in UK. The appointment of a new Prime Minister in the United Kingdom often raises questions from people outside the country, especially when no nationwide election has taken place. Many wonder how a new national leader can assume office without voters casting ballots. The answer lies in the UK’s parliamentary system, where the Prime Minister is not directly elected by the public but is instead chosen based on who commands the confidence of the House of Commons.

How the UK Selects Its Prime Minister

Unlike presidential systems where citizens vote directly for the head of government, the United Kingdom elects Members of Parliament (MPs) during a general election. The political party that secures a majority of seats in the House of Commons usually forms the government, and that party selects its own leader to serve as Prime Minister.

If the leader resigns, becomes unable to continue, or is replaced by their party, the governing party can choose a new leader without triggering a general election. As long as the new leader is able to maintain the confidence of Parliament, they can immediately become Prime Minister after being formally appointed by the monarch.

Why No Election Was Required

A general election is not automatically required every time the office of Prime Minister changes hands. The governing party retains its parliamentary majority because voters elected MPs rather than an individual Prime Minister. If the ruling party chooses a new leader through its internal leadership process, the government continues to operate without interruption.

This constitutional arrangement provides stability and allows the government to continue functioning during periods of political transition. It also avoids the expense and disruption of holding a nationwide election every time party leadership changes.

The King’s Constitutional Role

After a governing party elects a new leader, the monarch invites that individual to form a government. This constitutional step is largely ceremonial and follows long-established conventions. The King appoints the person most likely to command a majority in the House of Commons, ensuring continuity of government.

Although the monarch formally appoints the Prime Minister, political power rests with Parliament and the elected representatives of the British people.

Could an Election Still Happen?

Yes. A newly appointed Prime Minister has the authority to request a general election if they believe it is politically advantageous or if they seek a stronger public mandate. Parliament can also reach a point where a government loses the confidence of the House of Commons, potentially leading to an election or the formation of a new government.

In many cases, however, a new Prime Minister continues governing until the next scheduled general election.

What This Means for the UK

The UK’s parliamentary democracy is designed to ensure government continuity while respecting the results of the most recent general election. Leadership changes within the governing party do not automatically alter the composition of Parliament, which is why a new Prime Minister can take office without another nationwide vote.

Understanding this process helps explain why political transitions in the United Kingdom can appear different from those in countries with presidential systems. While the Prime Minister may change, the democratic mandate of Parliament remains in place until voters elect a new House of Commons at the next general election.

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Economics

Global Grid Upgrades Reshape Macro Economics

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Global grid upgrades reshape macro economics

On July 21, 2026, global economic analysis shifts focus toward a defining structural macroeconomic trend: the massive expansion of public and private capital deployment into high-capacity electrical grid infrastructure. As industrial electrification, automated data center hubs, and renewable energy integration accelerate worldwide, sovereign governments and institutional investors are facing a monumental economic challenge. Updating legacy power grids to meet skyrocketing demand has emerged as a primary driver of long-term capital expenditures and industrial productivity across both developed and emerging market economies.

According to international economic policy updates released this week, grid infrastructure investments are projected to exceed multi-trillion-dollar thresholds over the coming decade. Economic planners caution that without modernized, high-voltage transmission networks, regional manufacturing sectors face severe energy bottlenecks, localized power price volatility, and operational constraints. Consequently, infrastructure spending is rapidly transitioning from passive utility maintenance into a vital component of national economic competitiveness and industrial policy.

The macroeconomic ripple effects of this capital deployment are being felt across global commodity markets and labor networks. High demand for structural industrial inputs—such as copper, aluminum, specialized electrical steel, and high-capacity transformers—has created sustained pricing support for critical material producers. Simultaneously, the specialized technical labor required to manufacture and deploy modern grid hardware is driving wage growth in industrial sectors, adding a complex new layer to central bank disinflation trajectories.

For global policymakers and strategic investors, the economics of energy grid modernization represent a double-edged sword. While massive infrastructure investment boosts short-term gross domestic product (GDP) and strengthens domestic industrial foundations, it requires disciplined fiscal allocation to prevent inflationary crowding-out of private capital. Countries that efficiently streamline grid infrastructure permitting and mobilize private investment will secure lower long-term energy costs, attracting high-tech manufacturing and reinforcing sustainable economic growth.

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Economics

Global Trade Realignment and Supply Chains in 2026

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Global Trade Realignment and Supply Chains in 2026

The international trade architecture entering the second half of 2026 is undergoing a profound structural pivot. As major sovereign economic blocs adjust to the long-term impact of unilateral tariffs and escalating regional subsidies, traditional globalized supply chains are being rapidly replaced by bilateral trade corridors and regional alliance networks. Data released in late July 2026 highlights a significant divergence: while cross-continental freight volumes between non-aligned partners have cooled, intra-regional trade throughout North America, Southeast Asia, and Eastern Europe has surged to record levels. This shift reflects a broader macroeconomic strategy wherein multinational corporations prioritize geopolitical resilience over pure cost minimization.

The primary economic catalyst behind this regionalization is the proliferation of sector-specific tariffs targeting critical industries, notably battery components, clean energy technology, and advanced semiconductor hardware. In response, global manufacturers have adopted multi-tier sourcing models that distribute production across intermediate partner nations before final assembly. While this strategy successfully bypasses primary import duties, it adds structural layers of logistical complexity and administrative oversight. Economists note that while total output remains robust, aggregate production costs have drifted upward, contributing to persistent baseline inflation across major consumer markets.

Simultaneously, currency settlement patterns within these regional blocs are experiencing a notable transformation. Sovereign central banks and commercial institutions are increasingly utilizing localized currency swap lines and digital clearing mechanisms to settle cross-border trade transactions. This transition reduces direct exposure to foreign exchange volatility and mitigates third-party liquidity constraints, further solidifying regional economic cohesion. However, for developing economies situated outside these primary trading alliances, the tightening of international trade networks presents severe challenges, restricting access to key export markets and foreign direct investment.

For corporate strategists and policy analysts navigating late 2026, success requires a thorough understanding of these emerging trade corridors. Organizations must conduct regular risk assessments of their multi-tier supplier networks, model tariff sensitivities under shifting geopolitical scenarios, and invest in real-time supply chain telemetry. As regional economic blocs strengthen their regulatory borders, supply chain agility and compliance fortitude will distinguish market leaders from vulnerable enterprises in the evolving global economy.

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