Billionaire investor Ray Dalio thinks it’s still tricky to invest in China right now as Beijing may be seeking to structurally move the country away from capitalism. The founder of Bridgewater Associates, one of the world’s largest hedge funds, said investors should take a nuanced and cautious approach to investing in the developing region as it undergoes a regime shift. “There’s something big going on that they had a debt crisis and they also had a capitalism crisis. Are they … favorable to capitalism as we knew it before? I do not believe they are in the same way,” Dalio said Tuesday at the Greenwich Economic Forum in Greenwich, Connecticut. “There are structural changes that are taking place that have to do with the government’s desire to retain complete control, and that affects the economy,” he added. His comments came as excitement over investing in China has recently reignited. The government signaled a flood of stimulus measures in a bid to revive growth and avoid a deep slump in the world’s second-largest economy. These policy steps included interest rate cuts and reducing the amount of cash banks need to hold, known as the reserve requirement ratio. However, investors were disappointed Tuesday as Chinese officials fell short of announcing any concrete stimulus plans when laying out further actions to boost the economy during a highly anticipated news conference. The rally in Chinese markets lost steam with the CSI 300 blue-chip index cutting gains to a 5% rise after skyrocketing over 10% earlier Tuesday. “I would say don’t watch [the Chinese markets] day by day,” Dalio said. Hedge funds have been piling into beaten-down Chinese stocks, propelled by hopes for more stimulus. David Tepper of Appaloosa Management told CNBC recently that he’s buying “everything” related to China because of the latest government support. The high-profile investor even said he is raising his usual allocation limit and is not hedging his big China bet. In the past few years, Beijing introduced stricter regulations on its domestic technology sector in a bid to rein in the power of some of its biggest companies. In the wide-ranging interview, Dalio also commented on the Federal Reserve’s path of easing monetary policy. Dalio said he doesn’t expected big rate cuts as the economy remains in solid shape. “I don’t think you’re going to get significant cuts in rates. I think the economy by and large right now itself is in relatively good balance,” he said.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading: American Airlines — Shares slipped less than 1%, recovering from earlier losses, after the airline temporarily grounded all of its flights due to a technical issue. Broadcom — The semi stock added 2%, extending its December rally. Shares have surged more than 46% this month, propelling its 2024 gain above 112%. Big banks — Shares of some big bank stocks rose more than 1% amid news that a group of banks and business groups are suing the Federal Reserve over the annual stress tests, saying it “produces vacillating and unexplained requirements and restrictions on bank capital.” Citigroup , JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs shares gained more than 1% each. Arcadium Lithium — Shares rose more than 4% after the company announced its shareholders have approved the $6.7 billion sale to Rio Tinto . The deal is expected to close in mid-2025. International Seaways — The energy transportation provider surged 8% after an announcement that the company would be added to the S & P SmallCap 600 index, effective Dec. 30. The company will replace Consolidated Communications , which is soon to be acquired. Crypto stocks — Shares of stocks tied to the price of bitcoin rose as the cryptocurrency gave back recent losses amid a climb in tech names broadly. Crypto services provider Coinbase gained almost 3% and bitcoin proxy MicroStrategy gained more than 5%. Miners Riot Platforms and IREN gained 6% and 4%, respectively. U.S. Steel — The steel producer’s stock hovered near the flatline amid news that President Joe Biden will decide on the fate of its proposed acquisition by Japan’s Nippon Steel after a government panel failed to reach a decision . Apple — Apple shares gained 0.9% to notch a new all-time high. The stock has rallied nearly 34% year to date. — CNBC’s Sean Conlon, Lisa Han, Tanaya Macheel and Alex Harring contributed reporting.
A general view of the Federal Reserve Building in Washington, United States.
Samuel Corum | Anadolu Agency | Getty Images
The biggest banks are planning to sue the Federal Reserve over the annual bank stress tests, according to a person familiar with the matter. A lawsuit is expected this week and could come as soon as Tuesday morning, the person said.
The Fed’s stress test is an annual ritual that forces banks to maintain adequate cushions for bad loans and dictates the size of share repurchases and dividends.
After the market close on Monday, the Federal Reserve announced in a statement that it is looking to make changes to the bank stress tests and will be seeking public comment on what it calls “significant changes to improve the transparency of its bank stress tests and to reduce the volatility of resulting capital buffer requirements.”
The Fed said it made the determination to change the tests because of “the evolving legal landscape,” pointing to changes in administrative laws in recent years. It didn’t outline any specific changes to the framework of the annual stress tests.
While the big banks will likely view the changes as a win, it may be too little too late.
Also, the changes may not go far enough to satisfy the banks’ concerns about onerous capital requirements. “These proposed changes are not designed to materially affect overall capital requirements, according to the Fed.
The CEO of BPI (Bank Policy Institute), Greg Baer, which represents big banks like JPMorgan, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, welcomed the Fed announcement, saying in a statement “The Board’s announcement today is a first step towards transparency and accountability.”
However, Baer also hinted at further action: “We are reviewing it closely and considering additional options to ensure timely reforms that are both good law and good policy.”
Groups like the BPI and the American Bankers Association have raised concerns about the stress test process in the past, claiming that it is opaque, and has resulted in higher capital rules that hurt bank lending and economic growth.
In July, the groups accused the Fed of being in violation of the Administrative Procedure Act, because it didn’t seek public comment on its stress scenarios and kept supervisory models secret.