Pictured here is a Nio battery swapping station in Haikou, Hainan province, China, on May 9, 2023.
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BEIJING — Chinese electric car company Nio has been expanding its battery swap partnerships in a bid to gain an edge on the infrastructure side of the EV ecosystem.
Since November, Nio has partnered with at least four Chinese automakers — Changan, Geely, Chery and JAC — for developing battery swap standards and expanding the network in China.Nio also announced agreements earlier this year to work with two local battery companies on battery swap services.
All these efforts are aimed at alleviating consumers’ anxiety about driving range. While having a large network of battery charging stations helps address those concerns, battery swapping is a faster method as it takes only a few minutes.
“Swapping right now is mainly driven by Nio. Of course, Nio found out this is an ecosystem,” CLSA’s deputy head of research Ding Luo said in an interview. “If only one player is trying to build up the whole ecosystem, it’s impossible for [them]. That’s why they’re thinking whether they can invite some partners.”
Battery swapping still isn’t mainstream because the car batteries need to be standardized, he added.
While a charging station resembles a typical gas station, battery-swap technology is housed in a shed-like structure. It uses machines to automatically exchange depleted batteries for pre-charged ones in compatible cars.
Nio said in mid-March that it completed 40 million battery swaps compared with nearly 37 million charges at its public stations — Nio consumers can also access third-party charging stations, or install one at home.
“I think our outlook is very simple,” Shen Fei, senior vice president of Nio’s power division, said in Chinese translated by CNBC. “The first thing is to serve Nio’s users, and then provide a good battery charging and swapping experience, make charging more convenient than refueling, and at the same time help the company sell more cars.”
The company claims that with battery swap, drivers can get a fresh charge in three minutes, if they opt in for a paid battery service plan.
Shen said more car models will be added to Nio’s battery swap network, while adding that swapping can allow drivers to keep abreast with improvements in battery technology.He did not specify which automakers will likely be added to its network.
Power services and other products account for just about 10% of Nio’s total revenue. The company said that category of “other sales” for 2023 grew by 69% to 6.36 billion yuan ($895.9 million). Nio does not break out swap station revenue.
Battery swap’s checkered past
Battery swapping has been tried by the industry with mixed success, especially in the U.S.
Tesla and a startup called Better Space tried out swapping more than 10 years ago, but the venture soon closed.
While it’s not clear how much headway Ample has made in the U.S., the company has since expanded its partnerships overseas. Last month the company announced it would serve corporate car fleets in Kyoto, Japan, while it teamed up with Stellantis to roll out battery swaps this year in Madrid, Spain.
“For swapping to work it can’t be niche,” Tu Le, head of consultancy Sino Auto Insights, said. “Battery inventory investment is massive, so it needs to be amortized over lots of swapping.”
But he was cautious on whether Nio could sell enough of its own premium-priced cars to make the economics work. “For now I still think the combination of swapping and charging makes for a pretty attractive feature set, but swapping alone likely doesn’t help them sell that many more cars.”
“I think the nudge the Chinese government gave to encourage others to join forces with Nio on swapping could create the necessary pool of vehicles to make swapping viable,” he added.
The business of charging
Nio is the first major electric car company to roll out battery swap stations in addition to charging stations, alongside its own vehicles in mainland China and Europe.
The company has installed more than 2,300 battery swap stations, and plans to install 1,000 more this year.
Nio’s investment in battery swap stations is about two years ahead of market demand, CEO William Li said last month, adding that less than a fifth of battery swap stations that Nio operates are processing 60 orders a day, likely the minimum orders needed for a station to break even.
Nio’s battery charging stations, on the other hand, reached profitability last year, according to the company. It plans to build 20,000 more this year.
Passenger car battery swap stations can cost around $500,000 to build, while a relatively basic charging station with two ports costs around $200,000 to $300,000, according to Shay Natarajan, a North America-based partner at Mobility Impact Partners, a private equity fund that invests in transportation.
CLSA’s Luo said businesses also prefer to invest in normal charging stations than swap stations because they make a higher return. But if businesses want to install faster-charging stations, he said they might face power grid challenges.
CLSA’s analysis found that the power required for five superchargers in one location would be more than what 300 families would normally consume.
Tesla is also collaborating with automakers in battery charging, with its over 50,000 superchargers worldwide that claim to restore about two-thirds of a battery’s charge in 15 minutes.
The rapid development of electric cars, ostensibly aimed at reducing carbon emissions, also raises questions about battery waste.
Nio pointed out that recent growth of new energy vehicles, which include hybrids, means nearly 20 million batteries will be reaching the end of their eight-year warranty period between 2025 and 2032.
Last month, the company announced a partnership with battery giant Contemporary Amperex Technology to develop batteries with a longer lifespan, particularly for those used in swap stations.
Nio claimed that by using battery swap and big data, it can retain 80% of a battery’s capacity after 12 years of use. Nio also said last month that CATL will develop batteries with longer lives for the company.
— CNBC’s Lora Kolodny and Michael Wayland contributed to this report.
Billionaire investor Ron Baron, a longtime Tesla bull and shareholder, believes the electric vehicle company could hit a $5 trillion market capitalization in a decade, saying CEO Elon Musk has an even higher number in mind longer term. “Tesla, I think, is going to be worth $3 or $4 trillion — $5 trillion in 10 years, based upon the business plan that I am aware of. Then Elon believes that longer term it’s going to be worth $30 trillion,” Baron said on CNBC’s ” Squawk Box ” Friday. At $3.65 trillion, Nvidia had the largest market value in the U.S. as of Thursday’s market close, bigger than Apple and Microsoft , according to FactSet data. Tesla closed Thursday with a market cap of $1.12 trillion. Baron first invested $400 million in Tesla between 2014 and 2016, and said the early bet has made him $6 billion so far as the EV company gained mainstream acceptance. Tesla represents 10% of Baron’s entire portfolio across different funds. TSLA ALL mountain Tesla Tesla is seen as a big beneficiary of promised Trump administration policies as Musk has this year been a prominent backer and donor to the president-elect. Musk recently got assigned a starring role by Trump, leading the so-called Department of Government Efficiency , along with Vivek Ramaswamy, former Republican presidential candidate. Shares of Tesla have surged about 25% in November alone during the postelection rally to return to a $1 trillion market cap. Baron said he will hold onto his Tesla shares for the long run. “No way I’m going to sell shares. If they get too big I will have to trim a little bit, but no I have no intention” of exiting, he said. The Baron Capital chair has also built his bullish case for Tesla on the prospect for its Optimus humanoid robot now in development. Last month at a ‘ We, Robot ‘ event, Musk said Tesla has made progress on Optimus and that it will eventually cost between $20,000 and $30,000, adding it will “be a teacher, babysit your kids, walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries … Whatever you can think of it will do.” “The idea is that these robots … he thinks it will be his biggest business ever,” Baron said. “He says everyone will have robots.”
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell. Applied Materials — Shares tumbled more than 8% after the semiconductor equipment manufacturer offered weak revenue guidance for the current quarter. Applied Materials said it forecasts $7.15 billion in the first fiscal quarter, under the estimate of $7.224 billion from analysts polled by LSEG. The company also reported better-than-expected fiscal fourth-quarter results and provided a strong outlook for adjusted earnings per share. Alibaba — S hares jumped more than 3% after the Chinese e-commerce giant beat profit expectations in its fiscal second quarter , although its sales disappointed as the company continues to grapple with weaker consumer spending in China. Alibaba’s net income rose 58% year-on-year, on the back of its equity investment performance. Its revenue of 236.5 billion yuan came out 5% higher year-on-year but below analysts’ expectations of 238.9 billion yuan, according to LSEG data. Moderna — The biotech company’s shares fell 1.8%, continuing its decline from Thursday following the news that Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a prominent vaccine skeptic, was announced as President-elect Donald Trump’s nominee for secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services. Domino’s Pizza , Pool Corp. — Shares of the pizza chain jumped about 6% after Warren Buffett ‘s Berkshire Hathaway announced a new stake in Domino’s in a regulatory filing. Berkshire Hathaway bought more than 1.2 million shares, making the investment worth around $550 million at the end of September. Pool Corp. also gained 6% as the conglomerate purchased around 404,000 shares of the swimming pool supplier, worth $152 million at the end of the period. Ulta Beauty – Shares slipped 5% after Berkshire Hathaway revealed in a regulatory filing that it had nearly dissolved its position in the beauty retailer, selling around 97% of its shares. Ulta was a new bet for Berkshire, which had just bought the stock in the second quarter. Palantir — The defense tech stock rose more than 2% after saying it was moving its listing to the Nasdaq Global Select Market from the New York Stock Exchange. The company said it expects to be eligible to join the Nasdaq-100 Index once it makes the switch. — CNBC’s Jesse Pound, Lisa Kailai Han and Pia Singh contributed reporting
Pictured here is a Shanghai development under construction on Nov. 4, 2024.
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BEIJING — China’s National Bureau of Statistics is scheduled Friday to release retail sales, industrial production and fixed-asset investment data for October.
Retail sales are expected to have picked up to 3.8% year-on-year growth, according to analysts polled by Reuters, after rising by 3.2% in September.
Industrial production was forecast to have risen by 5.6%, the poll showed, up from 5.4% the prior month.
Fixed-asset investment, reported on a year-to-date basis, was anticipated to post 3.5% growth from a year ago, up from the 3.4% pace in September, according to the poll.
Chinese authorities have ramped up stimulus announcements since late September, fueling a stock rally. The central bank has cut interest rates and extended existing real estate support.
On the fiscal front, the Ministry of Finance last week announced a five-year 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) program to address local government debt problems, and hinted more fiscal support could come next year.
Imports, however, fell as domestic demand remained soft. The core consumer price index that strips out more volatile food and energy prices rose by 0.2% in October from a year ago, modestly better than the 0.1% increase seen in September.
China’s Golden Week holiday in early October affirmed a trend in more cautious consumer spending, but several consultants said that sales during the Singles Day shopping festival, which recently ended, had beat low expectations.
The country’s gross domestic product in the first three quarters of the year grew by 4.8%. The country has set a target of around 5% growth for the year.
This is a developing story. Please check back later for updates.