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Dow drops on inflation and growth concerns, Meta slides

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Stocks tumbled Thursday after the latest U.S. economic data showed a sharp slowdown in growth and pointed to persistent inflation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 375.12 points, or 0.98%, to close at 38,085.80, weighed down by steep declines in Caterpillar and IBM. The S&P 500 dropped 0.46% to finish the session at 5,048.42, and the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.64% to 15,611.76.

U.S. gross domestic product expanded 1.6% in the first quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis said. Economists polled by Dow Jones forecast GDP growth would come in at 2.4%.

Along with the downbeat growth rate for the quarter, the report showed the personal consumption expenditures price index increased at a 3.4% pace, well above the previous quarter’s 1.8% advance. This raised concern over persistent inflation and put into question whether the Federal Reserve will be able to cut rates anytime soon. Taken together, both findings suggest a stagflationary environment — that is, a combination of slowing economic growth and rising inflation — and could add another headwind for policymakers moving forward.

“In the short term, the numbers don’t appear to be a green light for either bulls or bears…the uncertainty is unlikely to ease pressures in a market experiencing its deepest pullback since last year,” said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading and investing at E*Trade from Morgan Stanley.

Following the GDP print, traders moved down expectations for an easing of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Fed funds futures trading data suggests there will be just one interest rate cut this year, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

The lackluster GDP added further pressure to an already-tense market contending with concerns over a pullback in growth among technology earnings.

Meta plunged 10.5% after the social media giant issued light revenue guidance for the second quarter. International Business Machines also fell 8.3% after missing consensus estimates for first-quarter revenue.

“For all of the attention given to generative AI in the past nine months, the failure of Meta to attain its revenue growth projections in Q1 is raising questions about whether the monetization of this technology is as easy as what traders were led to believe by management,said Thierry Wizman, global FX and rates strategist at Macquarie.

Meta’s report raises concern ahead of other big tech releases. Microsoft and Alphabet are slated to post earnings after the close Thursday.

Correction: An earlier version misstated the day’s move for the Nasdaq Composite.

4:11 p.m.: Stocks close lower, Dow slides more than 300 points

Stocks closed lower on Thursday, with gross domestic product data fueling growth concerns and pressuring equities.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back 375.12 points, or 0.98%, to close at 38,085.80. The S&P 500 slipped 0.46% to finish the session at 5,048.42, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 0.64% to 15,611.76.

— Brian Evans

3:30 p.m.: Investor bullishness below historical average for first time since early November

Individual investor bullishness toward the outlook for stock prices slid to 32.1% in the latest week, the lowest since early November, which was also the last time enthusiasm was below the historical average of 37.5%. That marked the end of 25 straight weeks when bullishness was above normal.

The weekly survey from the American Association of Individual Investors showed neutral sentiment regarding the next six months surged to 33.9% from 27.8%. The historical average is 31.5%.

Bearish opinion was little changed at 33.9% vs. 34.0% last week (and above an historical average of 31% for a second week).

— Scott Schnipper

3:01 p.m.: Federal Reserve is ‘boxed in a corner’ after GDP report, strategist says

The softer-than-expected GDP report puts the Fed in a bind with inflation readings heating up, said Mike Cornacchioli, Citizens Private Wealth senior VP for investment strategy.

“The GDP report was two-pronged: bad and ugly,” Cornacchioli said.

And while the GDP pricing data is just one way to look at inflation, the upward trendline is now becoming clear, Cornacchioli said.

“I think we’ve moved past seeing this uptick in inflation being transitory. It’s now a real concern, and continuing data is reinforcing that, which is what the PCE price data shows us. The Fed is kind of boxed in a corner here,” he added.

Jesse Pound

2:34 p.m.: Stagflation fears are overblown, says BMO’s Yung-Yu Ma

Although GDP in the January-through-March period grew less than expected — while the inflation posted its biggest gain in a year — the economy is at little risk of falling into stagflation, according to BMO Wealth Management chief investment officer Yung-Yu Ma.

“We actually think growth is going to hold up pretty well,” Ma said. Much of the detractors of GDP growth were volatile one-time items, such as inventories, Ma noted, as well as underscoring strength in consumer and business spending.

“We see a pretty healthy and stable growth environment; we aren’t especially concerned about growth pulling back much throughout this year. We actually think there’s a good prospect for acceleration as we go throughout the year,” said Ma.

Ma forecasts prices for most services and goods to moderate in the remainder of 2024.
“This GDP report might might actually mark a high point of worry for both inflation concerns and growth this year. We think both are going to turn the corner positive direction,” Ma said. “It might take a little bit of time, but we we don’t we don’t see these trends persisting throughout this year.”

With a forecast for a healthy growth environment, albeit a relatively neutral environment for inflation with regards to the Federal Reserve, Ma believes there is still a favorable backdrop for equities in 2024.
“It’s not as favorable — but it’s still a backdrop that we wouldn’t recommend investors take an overly conservative or cautious stance in the face of this outlook,” Ma said.

— Hakyung Kim

1:30 p.m.: Tech investor stands by Meta Platforms, but says stock needs to ‘find support’

Technology investor Paul Meeks is standing by Meta Platforms despite Thursday’s sell-off, but said it’s too soon to snatch up shares just yet.

The stock needs to “find support for at least a few trading session, so I’m more confident that the short-term selling has been exhausted,” said the co-chief investment officer and portfolio manager at Harvest Portfolio Management.

Meeks considers himself a long-term owner of the stock, but said he’s waiting for more earnings reports to trickle in. This includes results from his favorite AI names Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices.

— Samantha Subin

1:15 p.m.: Meta’s AI spending could benefit these stocks

Meta Platforms is down nearly 12% in midday training as investors react to the news that it will take a while to see the full benefits of the company’s rising investments in artificial intelligence. But one company’s loss could be another’s gain. As Meta’s spending could turn into bigger revenue at Super Micro, Arista Networks, Pure Storage, Broadcom and AMD, according to Wells Fargo.

Analyst Aaron Rakers estimates Meta was an approximately 10% customer for Super Micro in the fourth quarter of 2023, and for Pure Storage last year.

Arista Networks, which makes ethernet-based AI cables and other products, received about 21% of last year’s revenue from Meta, he said.

Rakers also said Meta has been using Broadcom’s custom networking chips and was one of the first customers for its new AI chip, the MI300X.

Chip stocks were trading higher on Thursday, against the broader market’s steep decline.

—Kristina Partsinevelos, Christina Cheddar Berk

12:41 p.m.: Check out the stocks making headlines in midday trading:

  • Victoria’s Secret — Shares dropped 3.5% after Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of the stock with a sell rating, saying it sees a “tough macro and ongoing competitive pressure” for the lingerie company in the near term. Longer term, the firm is constructive on the company’s loyalty initiatives and renewed merchandise focus.
  • Meta Platforms — The Facebook-parent company plunged more than 11%. Meta reported lighter-than-expected second-quarter revenue guidance on Wednesday, and CEO Mark Zuckerberg spoke about spending in areas such as AI and mixed reality that are not currently profitable.
  • Tech stocks — Shares of major tech giants dropped on Thursday as Meta’s lackluster revenue outlook led to declines across the sector. Microsoft and Alphabet shares dropped roughly 3% and 2%, respectively, ahead of their earnings due after the bell. Amazon’s stock price shed 2%.
  • Monster Beverage — JPMorgan downgraded Monster Beverage to neutral from overweight due to “cost pressure,” pushing shares roughly 3% lower.

For the full list, read here.

— Pia Singh

12:40 p.m.: Developed markets are showing signs of pressure from escalating geopolitical tensions, falling expectations of rate cuts and a recent equity sell off.

All of the major EPFR-tracked Developed Markets Equity Fund groups, with the exception of Canada Equity Funds, experienced net redemptions during the week ending April 17, according to EPFR.

During the period, U.S. equity funds saw their third outflow in five weeks.

— Hakyung Kim

12 p.m.: Thursday sell-off pulls Dow into negative territory on the week

Thursday’s drop yanked the Dow below its flatline for the week, underscoring the magnitude of the daily loss.

The blue-chip average tumbled more than 1.5% in late morning trading. It was now down about 0.4% on the week, despite pacing for a gain of more than 1% heading into the session.

With that decline, the Dow sat within 0.5% of its flatline for 2024.

While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also fell in Thursday’s session, both remained on track to end the week higher. The broad S&P 500 was poised to finish up by 0.8%, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq was heading toward a 1% gain.

— Alex Harring

11: 24 a.m.: Chipmaker ETFs are a rare bright spot for investors Thursday

Semiconductor ETFs are performing well on Thursday even as the broader market struggles.

The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) was up about 0.7% on the session, while the Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF (SOXQ) was up about 0.9%.

The iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) added about 0.5%.Nvidia was helping to lead the group higher, rising more than 2%. The chip giant had a 10% sell-off of its own last week, but is starting to claw back those losses.

— Jesse Pound

10:46 a.m.: IBM and Caterpillar lead Dow lower

The Dow has dived almost 700 points in early Thursday trading, putting the blue-chip average on track for its worst day this year.

IBM and Caterpillar led the 30-stock index into the red, dropping more than 9% and 7%, respectively, on the back of earnings. Both missed analyst estimates for revenue in the quarter.

Big technology names Microsoft and Amazon were the next worst performers, shedding nearly 4% and 3%, respectively.

More than two out of every three Dow stocks traded down in the session. Merck, which reported better-than-anticipated earnings this morning, and UnitedHealth bucked the downtrend, with each up more than 1% in the session

— Alex Harring

10:22 a.m.: Meta shares on pace for worst day since October 2022

Meta Platforms shares plummeted 11.34% on Thursday. The losses put the stock on pace for its worst day since October 27, 2022, when Meta declined 24.56%.

Shares fell after Meta issued weak revenue guidance that overshadowed its better-than-expected earnings in the first quarter. The sell-off intensified following CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s comments on the company’s long-term investments in artificial intelligence and the metaverse.

— Hakyung Kim

10:04 a.m.: New York Stock Exchange decliners lead advancers 10-1

About 10 stocks traded lower at the New York Stock Exchange on Thursday for every one advancer, as the latest GDP report and new tech earnings dampened investor sentiment. Overall, 2,386 NYSE-listed stocks fell, while 210 advanced.

— Fred Imbert

9:52 a.m.: The U.S. GDP report was the ‘worst of both worlds,’ investor says

A disappointing U.S. GDP print could spell trouble ahead for the equity market if inflation continues to prove sticky, one investor said.

“This report was the worst of both worlds: economic growth is slowing and inflationary pressures are persisting,” wrote Chris Zaccarelli, investment chief at Independent Advisor Alliance.

“The Fed wants to see inflation start coming down in a persistent manner, but the market wants to see economic growth and corporate profits increasing, so if neither are headed in the right direction then that’s going to be bad news for markets,” he continued.

The data also raises the stakes for the personal consumption expenditures report that is set to release Friday. Investors are hoping the PCE report, which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, will show an improvement in pricing pressures after the March consumer inflation report came in hotter than expected.

— Sarah Min

9:33 a.m.: Stocks fall after GDP data shows slowing economic growth

Stocks opened lower on Thursday, with equities selling off after fresh gross domestic product data signaled signs of slowing economic growth.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back 500 points, or 1.3%. The S&P 500 pulled back 1.4%, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 2.3%.

— Brian Evans

8:58 a.m.: 10-year Treasury yield jumps to highest level since November

The 10-year Treasury yield broke above 4.7% following the GDP report, hitting its highest level since November.

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Apple iPhone assembly in India won’t cushion China tariffs: Moffett

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Street's biggest Apple bear says a production move to India is unrealistic

Leading analyst Craig Moffett suggests any plans to move U.S. iPhone assembly to India is unrealistic.

Moffett, ranked as a top analyst multiple times by Institutional Investor, sent a memo to clients on Friday after the Financial Times reported Apple was aiming to shift production toward India from China by the end of next year.

He’s questioning how a move could bring down costs tied to tariffs because the iPhone components would still be made in China.

“You have a tremendous menu of problems created by tariffs, and moving to India doesn’t solve all the problems. Now granted, it helps to some degree,” the MoffettNathanson partner and senior managing director told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Friday. “I would question how that’s going to work.”

Moffett contends it’s not so easy to diversify to India — telling clients Apple’s supply chain would still be anchored in China and would likely face resistance.

“The bottom line is a global trade war is a two-front battle, impacting costs and sales. Moving assembly to India might (and we emphasize might) help with the former. The latter may ultimately be the bigger issue,” he wrote to clients.

Moffett cut his Apple price target on Monday to $141 from $184 a share. It implies a 33% drop from Friday’s close. The price target is also the Street low, according to FactSet.

“I don’t think of myself as the biggest Apple bear,” he said. “I think quite highly of Apple. My concern about Apple has been the valuation more than the company.”

Moffett has had a “sell” rating on Apple since Jan. 7. Since then, the company’s shares are down about 14%.

“None of this is because Apple is a bad company. They still have a great balance sheet [and] a great consumer franchise,” he said. “It’s just the reality of there are no good answers when you are a product company, and your products are going to be significantly tariffed, and you’re heading into a market that is likely to have at least some deceleration in consumer demand because of the macro economy.”

Moffett notes Apple also isn’t getting help from its carriers to cushion the blow of tariffs.

“You also have the demand destruction that’s created by potentially higher prices. Remember, you had AT&T, Verizon and T. Mobile all this week come out and say we’re not going to underwrite the additional cost of tariff [on] handsets,” he added. “The consumer is going to have to pay for that. So, you’re going to have some demand destruction that’s going to show up in even longer holding periods and slower upgrade rates — all of which probably trims estimates next year’s consensus.”

According to Moffett, the backlash against Apple in China over U.S. tariffs will also hurt iPhone sales.

“It’s a very real problem,” Moffett said. “Volumes are really going to the Huaweis and the Vivos and the local competitors in China rather than to Apple.”

Apple stock is coming off a winning week — up more than 6%. It comes ahead of the iPhone maker’s quarterly earnings report due next Thursday after the market close.

To get more personalized investment strategies, join us for our next “Fast Money” Live event on Thursday, June 5, at the Nasdaq in Times Square.

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Warren Buffett’s top stock picks come with 15% income bonus in new ETF

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Invest like Buffett: VistaShares CEO on new ETF that follows the investor

In a year that hasn’t been kind to many big-name stocks, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway is standing near the top. Berkshire shares have posted a 17% return year-to-date, while the S&P 500 index is down 6%.

That performance places Berkshire among the top 10% of the U.S. market’s large-cap leaders, and the run has been getting Buffett more attention ahead of next weekend’s annual Berkshire Hathaway shareholder meeting in Omaha, Nebraska. It’s also good timing for the recently launched VistaShares Target 15 Berkshire Select Income ETF (OMAH), which holds the top 20 most heavily weighted stocks in Berkshire Hathaway, as well as shares of Berkshire Hathaway. 

Berkshire is currently the biggest holding in the ETF, at 10.6% of the fund. Other top holdings in the ETF from among the ranks of Berkshire’s biggest bets include Apple, American Express, Kroger, VeriSign, Bank of America, Citigroup, Visa and of course Coca-Cola, a long time favorite of the man known as the Oracle of Omaha.

“It’s a really well-balanced portfolio chosen by the most successful investor the world has ever seen,” Adam Patti, CEO of VistaShares, said in an appearance this week on CNBC’s “ETF Edge.”

Berkshire’s outperformance of the S&P 500 isn’t limited to 2025. Buffett’s stock has tripled the performance of the market over the past year, and its 185% return over the past five years is more than double the performance of the S&P 500.

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Berkshire Hathaway is one of 2025’s top performing stocks.

In addition to this long-term track record of success in the market, Berkshire Hathaway is getting a lot of attention right now for the record amount of cash Buffett is holding as he trimmed stakes in big stocks including Apple, which has proven to be a great strategy. The S&P 500 has experienced extreme short-term volatility since President Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20. Even after a recent recovery, the S&P is still down 8% since the start of Trump’s second term.

“The market has been momentum driven for many years, the switch has flipped and we’re looking at quality in terms of exposure, and Berkshire Hathaway has performed incredibly well this year, handily outperforming the S&P 500,” said Patti.

Berkshire Hathaway famously doesn’t pay a dividend, with Buffett holding firm over many decades in the belief that he can re-invest cash to create more value for shareholders. In a letter to shareholders in February, Buffett wrote that Berkshire shareholders “can rest assured that we will forever deploy a substantial majority of their money in equities — mostly American equities.”

The lack of a dividend payment has been an issue over the years for some shareholders at Berkshire who do want income from the market, according to Patti, who added that his firm conducted research among investors in designing the ETF. “Who doesn’t want to invest like Buffett, but with income?” he said.

So, in addition to being tied to the performance of Berkshire and the stock picks of Buffett, the VistaShares Target 15 Berkshire Select Income ETF is designed to produce income of 15% annually through a strategy of selling call options and distributing monthly payments of 1.25% to shareholders. This income strategy has become more popular in the ETF space, with more asset managers launching funds to capture income opportunities and more investors adopting the approach amid market volatility.

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More Americans buy groceries with buy now, pay later loans

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People shop for produce at a Walmart in Rosemead, California, on April 11, 2025. 

Frederic J. Brown | Afp | Getty Images

A growing number of Americans are using buy now, pay later loans to buy groceries, and more people are paying those bills late, according to new Lending Tree data released Friday

The figures are the latest indicator that some consumers are cracking under the pressure of an uncertain economy and are having trouble affording essentials such as groceries as they contend with persistent inflation, high interest rates and concerns around tariffs

In a survey conducted April 2-3 of 2,000 U.S. consumers ages 18 to 79, around half reported having used buy now, pay later services. Of those consumers, 25% of respondents said they were using BNPL loans to buy groceries, up from 14% in 2024 and 21% in 2023, the firm said.

Meanwhile, 41% of respondents said they made a late payment on a BNPL loan in the past year, up from 34% in the year prior, the survey found.

Lending Tree’s chief consumer finance analyst, Matt Schulz, said that of those respondents who said they paid a BNPL bill late, most said it was by no more than a week or so.

“A lot of people are struggling and looking for ways to extend their budget,” Schulz said. “Inflation is still a problem. Interest rates are still really high. There’s a lot of uncertainty around tariffs and other economic issues, and it’s all going to add up to a lot of people looking for ways to extend their budget however they can.”

“For an awful lot of people, that’s going to mean leaning on buy now, pay later loans, for better or for worse,” he said. 

He stopped short of calling the results a recession indicator but said conditions are expected to decline further before they get better.  

“I do think it’s going to get worse, at least in the short term,” said Schulz. “I don’t know that there’s a whole lot of reason to expect these numbers to get better in the near term.”

The loans, which allow consumers to split up purchases into several smaller payments, are a popular alternative to credit cards because they often don’t charge interest. But consumers can see high fees if they pay late, and they can run into problems if they stack up multiple loans. In Lending Tree’s survey, 60% of BNPL users said they’ve had multiple loans at once, with nearly a fourth saying they have held three or more at once. 

“It’s just really important for people to be cautious when they use these things, because even though they can be a really good interest-free tool to help you kind of make it from one paycheck to the next, there’s also a lot of risk in mismanaging it,” said Schulz. “So people should tread lightly.” 

Lending Tree’s findings come after Billboard revealed that about 60% of general admission Coachella attendees funded their concert tickets with buy now, pay later loans, sparking a debate on the state of the economy and how consumers are using debt to keep up their lifestyles. A recent announcement from DoorDash that it would begin accepting BNPL financing from Klarna for food deliveries led to widespread mockery and jokes that Americans were struggling so much that they were now being forced to finance cheeseburgers and burritos.

Over the last few years, consumers have held up relatively well, even in the face of persistent inflation and high interest rates, because the job market was strong and wage growth had kept up with inflation — at least for some workers. 

Earlier this year, however, large companies including Walmart and Delta Airlines began warning that the dynamic had begun to shift and they were seeing cracks in demand, which was leading to worse-than-expected sales forecasts. 

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