Personal Finance
Freshmen college enrollment falls; FAFSA failures to blame, experts say
Fewer high school students pursued a four-year degree this year, new research shows. That’s largely because of last year’s botched rollout of the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, experts say.
The number of 18-year-old college freshmen sank 5% this fall compared with last year, with four-year colleges notching the largest declines, according to a new analysis by the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center.
The declines in first-year student enrollment were most significant at four-year colleges that serve low-income students, the report also found. At four-year colleges where large shares of students receive Pell Grants, first-year student enrollment sank more than 10%.
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“It is startling to see such a substantial drop in freshmen, the first decline since the start of the pandemic in 2020 when they plunged nearly 10%,” Doug Shapiro, the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center’s executive director, said in a statement.
‘Aftermath of the FAFSA fiasco’
Experts had warned that problems with the new FAFSA would result in fewer students applying for financial aid and fewer students enrolling in college.
“Freshman enrollment dropped by a dramatic 5% this fall in the aftermath of the FAFSA fiasco, reversing previous gains,” said higher education expert Mark Kantrowitz.
Last year, 45% of college applicants reported frustrations with the process and 12% said they ultimately chose a community college, technical school or other alternative because of their FAFSA experience, according to Jenzabar/Spark451′s college-bound student survey. The higher education marketing firm polled more than 5,400 recent high school graduates in September.
Submitting a FAFSA is one of the best predictors of whether a high school senior will go on to college, according to the National College Attainment Network. Seniors who complete the FAFSA are 84% more likely to enroll in college directly after high school, according to an NCAN study of 2013 data.
“FAFSA completion and college enrollment move in the same direction — that relationship is pretty consistent,” said Bill DeBaun, NCAN’s senior director.
“We remain committed to helping students get the financial aid they need to pursue a college education and are thankful for the guidance counselors, financial aid professionals and the network of organizations and individuals who dedicated tremendous amounts of time, energy, and expertise to navigate this year’s college and financial aid application processes,” a spokesperson for the U.S. Department of Education said.
The Supreme Court‘s ruling against affirmative action was also “a likely contributing factor,” Kantrowitz said.
The affirmative action ban may have especially impacted the enrollment of underrepresented minority students at the most selective colleges, he said.
Although freshmen enrollment declined across all racial groups, at highly selective colleges the differences were striking: White enrollment fell by 5% and Black enrollment plummeted 16.9%, the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center found.
Some of these students may have enrolled in Historically Black Colleges and Universities or minority serving institutions, Kantrowitz said, “others may have shifted enrollment to community colleges, which are lower cost, due to delays in receiving financial aid offers.”
‘This is not a blip’
Because the FAFSA serves as the gateway to all federal money, including loans, work-study and grants, FAFSA completion rates are also an indicator of students’ intent to re-enroll, particularly among low-income undergraduates, according to DeBaun.
But even though the 2025-26 FAFSA opened ahead of schedule with only minor issues, it will be harder to reach students from the Class of 2024 who opted out of college this year. “When you miss the immediate transition, it does decrease the likelihood of the enrollment down the line,” DeBaun said.
And, increasingly, rising college costs and ballooning student debt balances are causing more students to question college’s return on investment, DeBaun said. “This is not a blip, this is a big setback.”
More students qualify for federal aid
The new Free Application for Federal Student Aid was meant to improve access by expanding Pell Grant eligibility to provide more financial support to low- and middle-income families.
As a result of changes to the financial aid application, more students now qualify for a Pell Grant, a type of aid awarded solely based on financial need.
Recent data from the Department of Education shows that 5% more students are receiving federal financial aid and more than 13% more students are on track to receive Pell Grants this year.
But overall, the number of Pell Grant recipients is down significantly. In fact, the number of Pell Grant recipients peaked over a decade ago, when 9.4 million students were awarded grants in the 2011-12 academic year, and sank 32% to 6.4 million in 2023-24, according to the College Board, which tracks trends in college pricing and student aid.
Also, those grants have not kept up with the rising cost of a four-year degree. Currently, the maximum Pell Grant award rose to $7,395 — after notching a $500 increase in the 2023-34 academic year.
Meanwhile, tuition and fees plus room and board for a four-year private college averaged $58,600 in the 2024-25 school year, up from $56,390 a year earlier. At four-year, in-state public colleges, it was $24,920, up from $24,080, the College Board found.
Personal Finance
Biden signs Social Security bill to increase benefits for millions of public workers
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If you’re eager to save more for retirement, you could be overlooking ways to maximize your 401(k) plan, including key changes for 2025.
Some 40% of Americans are behind on retirement planning and savings, according to a CNBC poll conducted by SurveyMonkey, which polled 6,657 U.S. adults in August.
But before making 401(k) plan changes, experts say you should always review your financial situation, including your income, immediate spending needs and goals.
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“401(k) investing focuses on long-term retirement goals,” said certified financial planner Salim Boutagy, partner at Moneco Advisors in Fairfield, Connecticut. But it should work alongside other savings that cover your midterm goals, emergencies and immediate spending needs.
If you’re ready to boost retirement savings, here are some key things to know about your 401(k) for 2025.
Use higher 401(k) contribution limits as a ‘prompt’
Starting in 2025, employees can defer $23,500 into 401(k) plans, up from $23,000 in 2024. The catch-up contribution limit remains at $7,500 for investors age 50 and older.
“This higher ceiling isn’t just a win for high earners,” said CFP Jon Ulin, managing principal of Ulin & Co. Wealth Management in Boca Raton, Florida. “It’s a prompt for everyone to consider boosting their savings rate,” Ulin added.
Even 1% yearly increases “can make a substantial difference” thanks to compound growth over time, he said.
The retirement plan savings rate for the third quarter of 2024, including employee deferrals and company contributions, was an estimated 14.1% as of Sept. 30, according to Fidelity Investments, based on an analysis of 26,000 corporate plans.
Leverage the 401(k) ‘super max catch-up’
On top of higher 401(k) deferral limits, there is also a new “super max catch-up” opportunity for some older investors in 2025, said CFP Dinon Hughes, a greater Boston area-based financial consultant with Nvest Financial.
If you are between the ages of 60 and 63 in 2025, the catch-up contribution limit increases to $11,250, which brings the total deferral cap to $34,750 for this group.
Only about 14% of employees maxed out 401(k) plans in 2023, according to Vanguard’s 2024 How America Saves report, based on data from 1,500 qualified plans and nearly five million participants.
However, there is “one major caveat,” Hughes said.
Your 401(k) must allow the increased catch-up contributions. Otherwise, payroll could flag the added funds as excess 401(k) deferrals, he said. There can be tax consequences if excess deferrals are not removed.
“Check with your employer now to avoid a much bigger headache at the end of 2025,” Hughes said.
Check for ‘true up’ before maxing out early
Generally, experts recommend investing sooner to boost compound growth over time. But you could lose part of your employer’s matching contribution by maxing out your 401(k) early — unless your plan has a special feature.
Typically, your employer’s 401(k) match uses a formula to deposit extra money into your account. You must defer a certain percentage of income from each paycheck to receive your full employer match for the year.
Some plans offer a “true-up,” or deposit of the remaining employer match, for employees who max out their 401(k) plan before year-end.
If your plan offers this feature, it’s a green light to contribute aggressively in January, maximizing market exposure from day one.
Jon Ulin
Managing principal of Ulin & Co. Wealth Management
“If your plan offers this feature, it’s a green light to contribute aggressively in January, maximizing market exposure from day one,” Ulin said.
Some 67.4% of plans made true-up matches when matches were not made annually in 2023, according to the Plan Sponsor Council of America’s latest yearly survey. The feature is most common in larger plans.
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Retirees can expect to see some big changes in 2025 when it comes to their Social Security and Medicare benefits.
President Joe Biden is expected to sign a bill that will increase Social Security benefits for certain pensioners. Additionally, the annual Social Security cost-of-living adjustment goes into effect for all beneficiaries.
And Medicare enrollees who are worried about health-care costs now have a $2,000 annual out-of-pocket Part D prescription drug cap aimed at helping to reduce those financial pressures.
Here are some important changes to note for the coming year.
Some pensioners could get benefit increase
The Senate passed a bill in the final legislative days of 2024 to boost Social Security payments for millions of people who receive pensions from work in federal, state and local government, or in public service jobs such as teachers, firefighters and police officers. The House had passed the bill in November.
Now, Biden is expected to sign the bill into law in the coming days.
The Social Security Fairness Act eliminates two provisions that reduce Social Security benefits for certain individuals who also have pension income from public work where Social Security payroll taxes were not paid.
That includes the Windfall Elimination Provision, or WEP, which reduces Social Security benefits for individuals who also receive pension or disability benefits from employers who did not withhold Social Security taxes.
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It also includes the Government Pension Offset, or GPO, which reduces Social Security benefits for spouses, widows and widowers who receive their own government pensions.
Together, the rules affect around 2.5 million beneficiaries, according to the Congressional Research Service. Once enacted, the law may provide higher benefit payments to those individuals.
Notably, it may provide retroactive payments of those benefit increases for the months after December 2023.
The legislation marks the biggest change to Social Security since certain couples claiming strategies were phased out in 2016, said Martha Shedden, president of the National Association of Registered Social Security Analysts.
“We’re sort of in limbo as to how that process will proceed, when people will see that increase and how the retroactive [benefits] will be applied,” Shedden said.
All Social Security beneficiaries to get 2.5% COLA
In 2025, all beneficiaries will see a 2.5% increase to their Social Security benefit checks, thanks to an annual cost-of-living adjustment.
Of note, the 2024 increase was 3.2%. This year’s COLA is the lowest increase beneficiaries have seen since a 1.3% increase in 2021, reflecting a decrease in the pace of inflation.
The change will be effective with January checks for more than 72.5 million Americans, including Supplemental Security Income beneficiaries.
The average worker retirement benefit will be $1,976 per month, up from $1,927 in 2024, according to the Social Security Administration.
Monthly Medicare Part B premiums go up
Monthly Medicare Part B premiums — which are often deducted directly from Social Security checks — may affect just how much of a bump beneficiaries see in their 2025 benefit payments.
Medicare Part B covers physician, outpatient hospital and certain home health services, as well as durable medical equipment.
In 2025, the standard monthly Part B premium will be $185 per month — a $10.30 increase from $174.70 in 2024.
Part B deductibles will also rise, to $257, in 2025 — a $17 increase from the $240 annual deductible for 2024.
Medicare Part B premiums are based on a beneficiary’s modified adjusted gross income, or MAGI, from their tax returns from two years prior. In 2025, beneficiaries who had less than or equal to $106,000 in MAGI in 2023 will pay the standard monthly Part B premium, as will married couples with less than or equal to $212,000.
Beneficiaries with higher incomes will be subject to income-related adjustment amounts, or IRMAA, that increase their monthly premium payments.
Medicare $2,000 prescription drug cap goes into effect
Annual out-of-pocket Medicare Part D drug costs will now be capped at $2,000, as changes enacted with the Inflation Reduction Act go into effect.
Beneficiaries with Medicare Part D drug plans that have a deductible will pay out-of-pocket costs until that threshold is met. In 2025, the highest deductible for those plans is $590.
Once beneficiaries pay their full deductible, they will owe 25% of the cost of coinsurance until their out-of-pocket spending on both generic and brand-name drugs reaches $2,000. After that, those beneficiaries will have what’s known as catastrophic coverage, which means they won’t be on the hook to pay out-of-pocket Part D costs for the rest of 2025.
However, beneficiaries will also have the option to pay out-of-pocket costs monthly over the course of the year, instead of all at once.
Notably, insulin costs have also been capped at $35 per month, both under Medicare Part D covered treatments and Medicare Part B covered insulin used with pumps.
Social Security trust fund depletion dates get closer
In 2024, the Social Security trustees projected the trust fund the program relies on to help pay retirement benefits may be depleted in 2033. At that time, just 79% of those benefits may be payable, unless Congress acts sooner.
Social Security’s combined trust funds — used to pay both retirement and disability benefits — are projected to run out in 2035.
Now that the calendar has turned to a new year, those depletion dates are closer.
Notably, the previously mentioned Social Security Fairness Act that will provide increased benefits to some pensioners may move the trust fund depletion date six months closer.
“That’s the major looming issue right now, is what can be done to shore up those trust funds,” Shedden said. “That’s going to require very comprehensive, bipartisan changes to multiple parts of the Social Security rules in the program.”
However, most financial advisors emphasize that shouldn’t affect personal claiming decisions.
For younger generations, there could be changes to future benefits, said George Gagliardi, a certified financial planner and founder of Coromandel Wealth Strategies in Lexington, Massachusetts.
“But for those already receiving or about to get Social Security checks, I don’t think that there is anything to worry about,” Gagliardi said.
Other important changes to note
- Maximum taxable earnings — the amount of wages subject to Social Security payroll taxes — will rise to $176,100 in 2025, up from $168,600 in 2024. Once workers hit that cap, they no longer pay into the program for the rest of the year.
- Social Security beneficiaries who claim benefits before their full retirement age and who continue to work face what is known as a retirement earnings test. The earnings exempt from the retirement earnings test is now $23,400 per year in 2025 for those under full retirement age, up from $22,320 per year in 2024. For every $2 in earnings above the limit, $1 in benefits is withheld. For the year an individual reaches retirement age, a higher threshold of $62,160 in earnings applies, up from $59,520 in 2024. For every $3 in earnings above the limit, $1 in benefits is withheld. Of note: this only applies to the months before a beneficiary turns full retirement age. Starting from their birthday month, the retirement earnings test no longer applies. Importantly, once a beneficiary reaches full retirement age, any previously withheld benefits are applied to monthly benefits.
- Do you want to talk to the Social Security Administration face to face? Starting Jan. 6, the agency is requiring appointments for local office services, such as obtaining Social Security cards. To improve efficiency, the agency is directing individuals who need help to first try its online or automated telephone services. However, people who are unable to schedule in-person appointments, particularly vulnerable individuals, may still come in and get in-person service.
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