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Gender? Economy? Experts weigh in what could flip the presidential race

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Polls show a tight presidential race. Here's how a gender gap and enthusiasm could be decisive

When the votes are counted in U.S. presidential election, will it be the gender gap, the income gap, the Latino vote or the media and marketing campaigns that turned out to be decisive?

CNBC Senior Economics Reporter Steve Liesman sat down with four polling experts for an in-depth look into the data to see which ones could turn the election to either Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump. The panel included Steve Kornacki, NBC News national political correspondent; Mark Murray, NBC News senior political editor; Micah Roberts, Public Opinion Strategies partner and CNBC’s Republican pollsters; and Jay Campbell, Hart Research partner and CNBC’s Democratic pollster.

The conclusion? Yes, it’s likely to be the economy. But it’s also other factors such as character and turnout, which candidate represents change, who generates enthusiasm and who the persuadable voters finally decide to support that will help determine the outcome.

See the full video above to hear the discussion.

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Economics

Andrew Cuomo plots a comeback in New York City

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Political disgrace isn’t as constraining as it used to be. Andrew Cuomo, whose public career was thought to be dead just three years ago, is back in the spotlight as a newly declared candidate for mayor of New York City—and he is topping polls. Mr Cuomo resigned as governor of New York state in August 2021 amid multiple sexual-harassment allegations (which he denied). On March 1st he announced his comeback.

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Economics

Trump’s armed forces won’t look like Biden’s

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America is set to spend more—and differently

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Economics

Euro zone inflation February 2025

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Two parents and their two children walk through a section of sweet cakes, biscuits and jam.

Nicolas Guyonnet | Afp | Getty Images

Euro zone inflation eased to 2.4% in February but came in slightly above analyst expectations, according to flash data from statistics agency Eurostat.

Economists surveyed by Reuters had expected inflation to dip to 2.3% in February, down from the 2.5% reading of January.

Euro zone inflation re-accelerated in the fourth quarter, but European Central Bank policymakers remain optimistic about its trajectory. Accounts from the central bank’s January meeting last week showed that policymakers believed inflation was on its way to meeting the 2% target, despite some lingering concerns.

The ECB meets again later this week and is widely expected to announce another interest cut, which would mark its sixth reduction since it started easing monetary policy back in June.

Markets will also pay close attention to the ECB statement accompanying the rate decision, searching for clues on policymakers’ assessment of inflation and monetary policy restrictions.

The Monday data comes after several major economies within the euro zone reported inflation data last week. Provisional data showed that February inflation was unchanged at a higher-than-expected 2.8% in Germany, but eased sharply to 0.9% in France. The readings are harmonized across the euro zone to ensure comparability.

This breaking news story is being updated.

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