Connect with us

Finance

Inflation eases in February, but Trump tariffs could derail progress

Published

on

Prices took a surprise dip in February, according to the latest inflation report. (iStock)

Annual inflation increased to 2.8% in February, an unexpected decline from 3.0% in January, according to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Inflation increased 0.2% monthly after rising 0.5% the previous month. Core inflation, which excludes volatile energy and food prices, grew at a higher pace of 3.1% in February from a year prior, decreasing slightly from the previous month’s rate of 3.3%. Housing inflation (shelter) increased by 4.2%, and food prices accelerated by 2.6% over the past 12 months, up slightly from 2.5% in January. Core inflation and housing recorded their lowest readings since 2021.

Both headline and core prices rose by 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with the Federal Reserve’s target. However, the looming uncertainty over President Donald Trump’s proposed import tariffs and their potential impact on future prices remains a cause for concern.   

“The uncertainty around tariffs remains a huge source of concern for investors, consumers, and businesses alike,” Jim Baird, Plante Moran Financial Advisors’ chief investment officer, said in a statement. “Understanding that the rules of the game are changing is one thing; understanding what those rules will be and when they’ll be clearly defined are another thing entirely.”

If you are struggling with high inflation, consider taking out a personal loan to pay down debt at a lower interest rate, reducing your monthly payments. Visit Credible to find your personalized interest rate without affecting your credit score.

CALIFORNIA’S HOMEOWNERS INSURANCE INDUSTRY FACES ROUGH ROAD AHEAD AS WILDFIRES CONTINUE

Fed still likely to hold off on rate cuts

According to First American Senior Economist Sam Williamson, the modest improvement in the CPI report is a positive sign for the Federal Reserve’s ongoing effort to bring down inflation. While it may not be enough to prompt a rate cut in March, it keeps rate cuts on the table. 

“Small downside surprise in today’s CPI report is an encouraging sign for the Federal Reserve’s ongoing effort to bring down inflation,” Williamson said. “However, the modest improvement is still not enough to prompt a March rate cut, but it does potentially give the Fed greater flexibility to consider more rate cuts later this year.”

The Federal Reserve, which held interest rates at 4.25% to 4.50% in January, is taking a cautious approach. This is in response to strong economic indicators that have given the central bank more room to wait. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the central bank intends to remain cautious about additional rate cuts, as long as the job market remains solid and prices continue to climb.

“Many categories made encouraging disinflation progress last month, including food, energy, and shelter,” Williamson said. “Prices for new vehicles and airline fares actually decreased month over month. However, the impact of new tariffs likely hasn’t materialized yet, leaving uncertainty around inflation as we approach spring, supporting the Fed’s cautious approach in the coming months.”

You can take out a personal loan before future rate hikes to help pay down high-interest debt. Visit Credible to find your personal loan rate without affecting your credit score.

FHFA ANNOUNCES HIGHER MORTGAGE LOAN LIMITS FOR 2025

Housing remains out of reach

Americans who rent or are looking to buy a home still feel the pain of surging housing costs. Shelter inflation, a significant component of overall inflation, is a key factor that needs to be addressed to bring inflation back to the Fed’s 2% target. However, lower shelter inflation won’t impact housing affordability or the lack of housing supply.

“The bad news is that rental rates and home prices aren’t going to decline en masse, particularly given the underinvestment in single-family homes in the post-housing bust era,” Baird said. “Higher prices are likely here to stay. The good news is that shelter inflation has fallen by nearly half from 8.2% nearly two years ago to 4.2% over the past year. That’s a considerable, persistent decline to date, with further runway to return to the pre-COVID era norm.”

A recent realtor.com report on the housing supply gap showed that it reached 3.8 million in 2024 and said it would take 7.5 years to close the housing gap and solve a supply shortage that has been the main driver of the housing affordability crisis. 

If you want to become a homeowner, you can find your best mortgage rates by shopping around. Visit Credible to compare your options without affecting your credit score. 

MORTGAGE RATES HIT A TWO-MONTH LOW THIS WEEK, REMAIN UNDER 7%

Have a finance-related question, but don’t know who to ask? Email The Credible Money Expert at [email protected] and your question might be answered by Credible in our Money Expert column.

Continue Reading

Finance

Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Cut Expectations Shift

Published

on

Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Cut Expectations Shift

Fixed-income markets recorded significant re-pricing during the week ending July 25, 2026, as a convergence of strong labor market metrics and surging energy costs drove U.S. Treasury yields higher across all maturities. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward 4.70%, reaching its highest point in several months. Institutional bond investors rapidly adjusted portfolio durations as expectations for near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve faded in response to inflation concerns.

The upward shift in sovereign yields reflects a broader fundamental reassessment of global monetary policy. Earlier in the quarter, money markets had priced in a series of rate reductions designed to support economic activity. However, with initial jobless claims falling to 187,000 and crude oil breaching $100 per barrel, fixed-income traders are pricing in a ‘higher-for-longer’ interest rate environment. The inversion between short-term Treasury bills and long-term bonds narrowed, indicating a shift toward term premium expansion.

Rising Treasury yields present both challenges and opportunities for institutional wealth managers. While commercial lenders and mortgage origination volumes face headwinds from elevated borrowing costs, fixed-income investors are locking in attractive real yields on high-quality sovereign and investment-grade corporate bonds. Institutional debt issuers, conversely, are recalibrating their capital structures, opting for shorter-term refinancing instruments or private credit facilities to avoid committing to elevated long-term coupon rates.

Navigating the current bond market landscape demands strict duration management and credit selection. Wealth advisors recommend maintaining flexible fixed-income allocations, combining short-duration Treasuries with inflation-protected securities (TIPS) to shield capital against potential energy-driven inflation spikes while earning dependable nominal income.

Continue Reading

Finance

Private Credit Expansion Transforms Corporate Loans

Published

on

Private Credit Expansion Transforms Corporate Loans

Private credit markets reached a pivotal milestone during the week ending July 25, 2026, as non-bank direct lending consortiums captured a record share of middle-market corporate debt originations. With commercial banks maintaining conservative credit standards and public bond yields remaining elevated, corporate borrowers are increasingly turning to private fund managers for customized capital solutions. This expansion marks a permanent structural shift in enterprise finance, establishing private credit as a primary pillar of institutional corporate liquidity.

The acceleration of private credit deals is driven by speed, deal certainty, and flexible terms. Unlike traditional syndicated bank loans that require lengthy underwriting, credit rating approvals, and public roadshows, private direct lenders can structure tailored financing packages within days. Middle-market firms facing upcoming debt maturities are utilizing private debt facilities to execute recapitalizations, strategic acquisitions, and growth capital deployments without risking execution delay in public markets.

However, financial regulators and central bank supervisors are scrutinizing the sector’s rapid growth. Supervisory agencies are evaluating potential systemic risks associated with non-bank leverage, valuation transparency, and liquidity mismatches during economic downturns. Despite regulatory interest, major pension funds, insurance firms, and sovereign wealth entities continue to expand capital allocations to private credit funds, attracted by reliable floating-rate yields that outperform public fixed-income benchmarks.

As private credit matures into a dominant asset class, corporate chief financial officers must evaluate non-bank lenders alongside traditional banking relationships. Direct lending partnerships provide valuable balance sheet resilience, enabling companies to secure flexible financing terms even during periods of public market turbulence.

Continue Reading

Finance

Tokenized Debt Shifts How Corporate Manage Short Term Liquidity

Published

on

Tokenized Debt Shifts Corporate Liquidity

The landscape of institutional debt markets is undergoing a profound structural shift on July 21, 2026, as major corporate issuers and commercial banks rapidly accelerate the deployment of tokenized debt instruments. Data published by leading capital market consortiums indicates that primary issuances of digital commercial paper and tokenized corporate bonds have reached record volumes this month. By moving legacy debt origination, underwriting, and secondary distribution onto permissioned distributed ledgers, corporate treasurers are unlocking unprecedented operational flexibility and instantaneous cross-border liquidity.

The adoption of tokenized debt is fundamentally altering how enterprise balance sheets manage short-term liquidity needs. Traditional corporate bond settlement cycles historically required multi-day clearing processes involving numerous intermediaries, custodial entities, and clearinghouses. Through programmable smart contracts on distributed ledgers, issuers can now execute atomic settlement—enabling continuous, 24/7 access to institutional capital pools. This instantaneous clearing mechanism drastically reduces counterparty risk, eliminates costly settlement friction, and allows treasury teams to dynamically optimize working capital in real time.

A major catalyst driving this institutional migration is the establishment of comprehensive digital asset regulatory frameworks across major financial hubs. Clear legal guidelines regarding ledger-based securities ownership have provided institutional compliance officers with the regulatory confidence necessary to transition multi-billion-dollar liquidity facilities onto digital platforms. Furthermore, the integration of automated regulatory reporting directly into token smart contracts simplifies ongoing compliance audits, ensuring that secondary market trades automatically enforce investor accreditation limits and tax withholding requirements.

For chief financial officers and institutional portfolio managers, tokenized debt represents a fundamental evolution in fixed-income strategy. Companies that embrace ledger-based debt structures gain direct access to a broader, global base of digital-native institutional investors while substantially reducing borrowing overhead. As ledger interoperability continues to improve across global exchanges, tokenized debt is poised to become the standard infrastructure for global corporate finance.

Continue Reading

Trending