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Jobs market may determine if credit scores continue declining in 2026

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A strong credit score can be the key to major financial purchases and affordable loans, but some states saw notable declines that created a “perfect storm” for Americans’ wallets, according to a credit repair expert.

On Thursday, WalletHub released its list of the states with the largest credit score decreases, and Micah Abigail LLC founder and social media influencer Micah Smith broke down what it means for those residents in the top – and bottom – states.

“What we’re seeing right now is a very clear trend, especially when it comes to missed student loan payments, and it’s having a real impact on credit across the country. Once payments resumed, we actually saw the national average credit score drop. Over 4.5 million Americans were caught off guard,” Smith told Fox News Digital.

THIS IS WHY YOU MAKE SIX FIGURES AND STILL LIVE PAYCHECK TO PAYCHECK

“And from a credit specialist’s perspective, this is where the real problem comes in. . . .  When you combine higher interest rates, no more free money in the economy and a student loan system that reports harshly and in ways most consumers don’t understand, it created the perfect storm we’re seeing now in consumer credit.”

Couple looks stressed over credit scores

A couple looks stressed over credit reports, as scores dropped nationwide, according to a new WalletHub report. (Getty Images)

1. Missouri

Missouri’s average credit score in Q3 2025 was 654, a 1.51% decrease from the year prior. This marks the largest fall in average credit scores across all 50 states.

“It’s not random. There are very real structural and policy-driven factors at play,” Smith said.

WalletHub reports that Missouri’s payment behavior drives this data, with median credit card debt at $2,622. The state also ranks 25th nationally for financial distress.

2. Georgia

Georgia’s average credit score dropped from 662 to 653, a 1.36% dip. The state’s delinquency rate is above average, and missed payments are high, which WalletHub notes likely contributed to the decline.

“Georgia is a particularly important case study,” Smith said. “Georgia prohibits traditional credit repair, and while that may sound consumer-protective on paper, in practice it often does the opposite. It limits access to education, advocacy and remediation for consumers who don’t fully understand how credit reporting works.”

Credit doesn’t fix itself. And when people don’t have lawful support navigating disputes, errors or even the timing of how accounts report, they tend to remain stuck with credit damage longer — which absolutely drags down statewide averages,” she added.

3. Delaware

Delaware residents saw a 1.2% decrease in their average credit score, going from 669 to 661. WalletHub reports that it is among the states adding the most debt, thus putting pressure on scores and higher balances. Delaware additionally has the seventh-highest debt delinquency rate in the U.S.

Conversely, states including Utah, North Dakota and Iowa saw the smallest declines at 0.14%, 0.15% and 0.28%, respectively.

“What you’re actually seeing in states like Utah, North Dakota and Iowa is that consumers tend to carry lower debt than the national average, and that really matters,” Smith explained. “Generally speaking, people who manage their credit card utilization well are simply less risky on paper. They have stronger financial histories, better spending habits and more consistent payment behavior.”

“That consistency gives them a buffer. So when interest rates rise and minimum payments increase,” she added, “they’re better positioned to absorb that change without missing payments. Lower balances mean lower stress when the environment tightens.”

Lower credit scores come down to a lack of understanding of how missed payments and prolonged debt actually impact a score, Smith added.

“There’s often an expectation of a quick recovery, and unfortunately, we’re the ones who have to be the bearers of bad news. The reality is that once you’ve had missed payments, charge-offs and extended periods of nonpayment, credit recovery is a long road. There are no shortcuts — it requires consistency, patience and [persistence] to rebuild the credit profile.”

Whether scores continue to decline in 2026 largely depends on the state of the job market.

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“We are seeing people lose jobs, and when income is disrupted, credit almost always follows. That said, if someone was disciplined and saved for a rainy day, they’re going to be in a much better position to weather that kind of disruption,” Smith said. “I am optimistic overall, but the patterns don’t lie. Credit is cyclical.”

“If you don’t ask for help, and you keep things to yourself, you’re never going to get better,” she continued. “Credit touches everything. It’s not optional. Invest in learning about it, manage it intentionally and build timeless habits. Your credit is your financial fingerprint — it follows you, it speaks for you, and it tells a story whether you realize it or not.”

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Private Credit Expansion and Regulatory Oversight in 2026 Capital Markets

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The global private credit market has solidified its role as a fundamental pillar of enterprise finance, expanding rapidly across middle-market lending, asset-backed finance, and infrastructure financing. As non-bank financial institutions capture a larger share of corporate debt origination, global regulatory bodies are increasing oversight to evaluate market transparency and systemic risk interconnections.

Growth Drivers in Direct Lending
Direct lending platforms have continued to attract substantial institutional allocations from pension funds, sovereign wealth entities, and insurance companies seeking attractive risk-adjusted yields. Private debt funds offer corporate borrowers customized financing structures, faster execution timelines, and confidentiality compared to syndicated loan markets.

In 2026, private credit managers are increasingly financing larger corporate transactions, providing multi-billion-dollar credit facilities for buyout deals and corporate restructurings. The flexibility of private debt contracts—featuring unitranche pricing and tailored covenant packages—has made direct lending the preferred capital source for middle-market enterprise sponsors.

Regulatory Scrutiny and Systemic Risk Assessment
The rapid growth of non-bank intermediation has drawn heightened scrutiny from financial regulators in North America and Europe. Because private debt agreements are negotiated privately without public exchange disclosures, central banks are evaluating potential vulnerabilities related to asset valuation consistency and fund liquidity profiles.

Regulatory agencies are introducing guidelines aimed at improving reporting standards for private investment vehicles managing institutional assets. Key focus areas include monitoring leverage ratios within private credit funds and evaluating indirect credit exposures between commercial banking institutions and private debt funds.

Navigating Elevated Refinancing Costs
With benchmark interest rates remaining elevated, private debt borrowers face higher debt service obligations on floating-rate credit facilities. Financial advisory firms report an increase in proactive liability management strategies, including payment-in-kind (PIK) interest options, equity infusions from sponsors, and covenant modifications.

Private credit managers with deep operational capabilities are actively working alongside portfolio companies to optimize working capital and maintain cash flow coverage ratios during periods of higher borrowing costs.

Key Financial Takeaways
1. Mainstream Asset Class: Private credit has expanded beyond niche alternative asset status into a core corporate finance solution.
2. Enhanced Transparency Standards: Regulatory frameworks are evolving toward greater disclosure requirements for private debt managers.
3. Proactive Risk Management: Lenders and sponsors must prioritize debt sustainability and active portfolio monitoring amid high benchmark rates.

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Venture Capital and Startup Valuations in 2026: Focus on Unit Economics and Sustainable Growth

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The global venture capital (VC) ecosystem is operating under a disciplined investment framework in 2026. Following years of valuation adjustments and shifting liquidity environments, venture capital firms and private equity investors are prioritizing proven unit economics, positive cash flow pathways, and capital efficiency over rapid, unconstrained user acquisition.

The Shift Toward Disciplined Startup Valuations
Early-stage and growth-stage startup valuations have stabilized at sustainable historical averages. Venture capital partners are conducting rigorous due diligence processes before deploying capital, scrutinizing gross margins, customer acquisition costs (CAC), net revenue retention (NRR), and lifetime value (LTV) metrics.

While total capital deployed remains robust, seed and Series A funding rounds are taking longer to finalize. Founders are expected to demonstrate clear product-market fit and defensible intellectual property rather than relying on top-line revenue projections unsupported by strong underlying economics.

M&A Activity and Liquidity Solutions
The market for venture-backed exits is seeing renewed momentum through strategic mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and secondary market liquidity facilities. Established corporate enterprises are acquiring high-performing technology startups to integrate proprietary artificial intelligence models and specialized software solutions into their product ecosystems.

Simultaneously, secondary market transactions have become an essential liquidity mechanism for early employees and institutional investors. Specialized secondary funds are purchasing pre-IPO shares at discounted valuations, providing liquidity opportunities while companies remain private for longer durations.

Sector Allocation: Deep Tech, Clean Energy, and Enterprise Automation
Venture capital investment is heavily concentrated in deep technology and capital-intensive engineering sectors. High-growth investment themes include:
– Next-Generation Semiconductors: Hardware startups designing specialized AI processors and energy-efficient microchip architectures.
– Clean Technology: Battery chemistry innovations, carbon capture solutions, and grid-scale energy storage startups.
– Enterprise Process Automation: Software platforms that automate complex workflows in healthcare, financial services, and industrial logistics.

Key Insights for Entrepreneurs and Investors
1. Prioritize Capital Efficiency: Startups focused on achieving operational profitability receive higher valuation premiums from institutional investors.
2. Strategic Exit Planning: Corporate M&A is serving as a primary exit route for venture-backed startups navigating prolonged IPO windows.
3. Focus on High-Moat Technologies: Deep tech and proprietary software architectures are securing the majority of growth-stage capital allocations.

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Finance

The Evolution of Digital Payments: Cross-Border Settlement and Central Bank Digital Currencies in 2026

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The infrastructure supporting global commerce is undergoing a major technological upgrade as real-time digital payment rails, cross-border settlement solutions, and Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) pilot programs achieve widespread commercial adoption. Financial institutions and fintech developers are reimagining payment processing to eliminate friction, lower transaction fees, and accelerate settlement speed.

Transforming Cross-Border Settlement Infrastructure
For decades, international corporate payments relied on legacy correspondent banking networks characterized by multi-day settlement delays, opaque fee structures, and high foreign exchange markups. In 2026, modern cross-border payment networks are enabling near-instantaneous settlement for international trade transactions.

Financial technology platforms are leveraging distributed ledger technology and real-time gross settlement (RTGS) interconnections to settle transactions in seconds. International trade participants benefit from reduced working capital requirements and minimized foreign exchange volatility risks during cross-border transfers.

Commercial Expansion of Central Bank Digital Currencies
Central banks representing major global economies are advancing CBDC initiatives from research phases into active commercial deployment. Wholesale CBDCs—designed specifically for interbank settlement and financial institution clearing—are demonstrating substantial efficiency gains in domestic and international transactions.

At the retail level, several nations have introduced public digital currency options alongside existing commercial banking networks. These sovereign digital payment channels aim to expand financial inclusion, lower consumer transaction fees, and improve the efficiency of government-to-citizen financial disbursements.

Open Banking and Embedded Finance Ecosystems
Alongside settlement infrastructure upgrades, open banking regulations and embedded finance frameworks are transforming merchant-consumer interactions. Commercial businesses across retail, travel, and business-to-business (B2B) services are integrating seamless payment APIs directly into their customer software interfaces.

Through open banking frameworks, consumers can initiate secure bank-to-bank payments without relying on traditional credit card networks, significantly reducing merchant processing fees. Integrated Buy-Now-Pay-Later (BNPL) options and point-of-sale credit facilities continue to expand, driving higher conversion rates for digital commerce platforms.

Strategic Financial Takeaways
1. Treasury Optimization: Corporate treasurers should leverage instant cross-border payment platforms to minimize liquidity buffers and foreign exchange exposure.
2. CBDC Integration: Financial institutions must prepare internal core banking systems to interface with emerging wholesale CBDC payment rails.
3. Merchant Fee Reduction: Enterprise merchants can lower payment processing overhead by adopting account-to-account (A2A) open banking checkout solutions.

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