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November inflation increase won’t derail Fed interest rate cuts

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Sticky inflation numbers for November show the Fed still has more work to do. (iStock)

Annual inflation increased to 2.7% in November, rising modestly above the 2.6% annual inflation rate of the previous month, according to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). 

Inflation increased 0.3% on a monthly basis in November following four months of registering 0.2% monthly increases, according to BLS. The cost of housing was the most significant contributor to the monthly increase in November, accounting for nearly 40% of the monthly increase in all items. The price of food also increased by 0.4% in November. Energy prices rose 0.2% after being unchanged in October.

For now, the modest jump in inflation isn’t expected to dissuade the Federal Reserve from cutting interest rates later this month. However, it does signal that the central bank may face an uphill battle in getting inflation to the 2% target rate, which may impact rate cuts in the New Year, according to Jim Baird, chief investment officer with Plante Moran Financial Advisors.

“The real questions relate to what comes next,” Baird said in a statement. “The path for 2025 is less clear, but a course correction by the Fed toward holding rates a bit higher for a bit longer appears increasingly probable.”

Last month, the Fed announced a highly anticipated quarter-point cut, lowering interest rates to 4.5% to 4.75%. Although inflation has moderated substantially over the last two years from a peak of 7% to 2.6%, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the Fed remains committed to returning inflation to its 2% goal. 

“Inflation continues to weigh down the wallets of the average American family, along with persistently high interest rates impacting everything from credit card spending to mortgage refinancing,” Gabe Abshire, CEO of Move Concierge, said in a statement. “While the Fed will likely cut interest rates again next week, it will still take time before this will bring household costs down. If consumer prices don’t start dipping down soon, and inflation remains stubborn, the Fed likely won’t substantially cut interest rates in the near term.

If you are struggling with high inflation, you could consider taking out a personal loan to pay down debt at a lower interest rate, reducing your monthly payments. Visit Credible to find your personalized interest rate without affecting your credit score.

THE FED JUST CUT INTEREST RATES AGAIN, THIS TIME BY A QUARTER OF A PERCENTAGE POINT 

Mortgage rates dip

For housing, it’s more of the same. High mortgage rates and home prices have kept buyers away. Mortgage rates have decreased in sync with the Fed’s interest rate cut. Last week, according to Freddie Mac, they decreased to their lowest level in over a month.  

The Fed is not likely to put the brakes on rate cuts, and that is good news for the mortgage market, according to Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale. 

“In the Fed’s most recent September projections, members anticipated a policy rate of 3.4% by the end of 2025, but the typical investor has currently priced in just 3.9%–two fewer cuts by the end of 2025,” Hale said in a statement. “The upside of this positioning is that there may be room for market interest rates to move lower if the Fed’s projection winds up closer to reality.” 

Hale said Realtor.com anticipates that market mortgage rates will decrease to 6.2% by the end of 2025, which, combined with other factors, should help buyers access housing. 

“This will help sales eke out a small gain in 2025 of 1.5% even as price increases of 3.7% keep monthly payments relatively steady for homebuyers,” Hale said. “Steady monthly payments and income gains from a still robust economy and healthy labor market will help affordability improve marginally in the year ahead.”

If you’re looking to purchase a home in today’s market, you can explore your mortgage options by visiting Credible to compare rates and lenders in minutes.

THE U.S. ADDED 227,000 JOBS IN NOVEMBER, SETTING IN MOTION POTENTIAL FED RED CATS IN DECEMBER

Car insurance prices ease

Car insurance decreased again in November with the rate of annual increase dropping for a seventh straight month, according to today’s CPI report. The 12.7% annual rise was the smallest since September 2022. 

Insurance costs are still high, but the signs are that the worst rate hikes may be over, according to Josh Damico, VP for insurance operations at Jerry. Damico said that repair costs are still rising fast, but most claims-related costs that have driven insurers’ rate increases, including vehicle prices and parts and equipment, have fallen or flatlined in recent months. Prices of used cars and trucks are down 16% from their early 2022 peak. 

“Today’s data aligns with what we’re hearing from carriers,” Damico said. “They’re starting to see some relief in the cost of claims, so they’re pausing rate increases and reassessing the situation, and in some cases looking to roll back a bit of those recent rate hikes.”

If you are looking to save money on your car costs, you could consider changing your auto insurance provider to get a lower monthly rate. Visit Credible to shop around and find your personalized premium.

FHFA ANNOUNCES HIGHER MORTGAGE LOAN LIMITS FOR 2025

Have a finance-related question, but don’t know who to ask? Email The Credible Money Expert at [email protected] and your question might be answered by Credible in our Money Expert column.

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Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Cut Expectations Shift

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Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Cut Expectations Shift

Fixed-income markets recorded significant re-pricing during the week ending July 25, 2026, as a convergence of strong labor market metrics and surging energy costs drove U.S. Treasury yields higher across all maturities. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward 4.70%, reaching its highest point in several months. Institutional bond investors rapidly adjusted portfolio durations as expectations for near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve faded in response to inflation concerns.

The upward shift in sovereign yields reflects a broader fundamental reassessment of global monetary policy. Earlier in the quarter, money markets had priced in a series of rate reductions designed to support economic activity. However, with initial jobless claims falling to 187,000 and crude oil breaching $100 per barrel, fixed-income traders are pricing in a ‘higher-for-longer’ interest rate environment. The inversion between short-term Treasury bills and long-term bonds narrowed, indicating a shift toward term premium expansion.

Rising Treasury yields present both challenges and opportunities for institutional wealth managers. While commercial lenders and mortgage origination volumes face headwinds from elevated borrowing costs, fixed-income investors are locking in attractive real yields on high-quality sovereign and investment-grade corporate bonds. Institutional debt issuers, conversely, are recalibrating their capital structures, opting for shorter-term refinancing instruments or private credit facilities to avoid committing to elevated long-term coupon rates.

Navigating the current bond market landscape demands strict duration management and credit selection. Wealth advisors recommend maintaining flexible fixed-income allocations, combining short-duration Treasuries with inflation-protected securities (TIPS) to shield capital against potential energy-driven inflation spikes while earning dependable nominal income.

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Private Credit Expansion Transforms Corporate Loans

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Private Credit Expansion Transforms Corporate Loans

Private credit markets reached a pivotal milestone during the week ending July 25, 2026, as non-bank direct lending consortiums captured a record share of middle-market corporate debt originations. With commercial banks maintaining conservative credit standards and public bond yields remaining elevated, corporate borrowers are increasingly turning to private fund managers for customized capital solutions. This expansion marks a permanent structural shift in enterprise finance, establishing private credit as a primary pillar of institutional corporate liquidity.

The acceleration of private credit deals is driven by speed, deal certainty, and flexible terms. Unlike traditional syndicated bank loans that require lengthy underwriting, credit rating approvals, and public roadshows, private direct lenders can structure tailored financing packages within days. Middle-market firms facing upcoming debt maturities are utilizing private debt facilities to execute recapitalizations, strategic acquisitions, and growth capital deployments without risking execution delay in public markets.

However, financial regulators and central bank supervisors are scrutinizing the sector’s rapid growth. Supervisory agencies are evaluating potential systemic risks associated with non-bank leverage, valuation transparency, and liquidity mismatches during economic downturns. Despite regulatory interest, major pension funds, insurance firms, and sovereign wealth entities continue to expand capital allocations to private credit funds, attracted by reliable floating-rate yields that outperform public fixed-income benchmarks.

As private credit matures into a dominant asset class, corporate chief financial officers must evaluate non-bank lenders alongside traditional banking relationships. Direct lending partnerships provide valuable balance sheet resilience, enabling companies to secure flexible financing terms even during periods of public market turbulence.

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Tokenized Debt Shifts How Corporate Manage Short Term Liquidity

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Tokenized Debt Shifts Corporate Liquidity

The landscape of institutional debt markets is undergoing a profound structural shift on July 21, 2026, as major corporate issuers and commercial banks rapidly accelerate the deployment of tokenized debt instruments. Data published by leading capital market consortiums indicates that primary issuances of digital commercial paper and tokenized corporate bonds have reached record volumes this month. By moving legacy debt origination, underwriting, and secondary distribution onto permissioned distributed ledgers, corporate treasurers are unlocking unprecedented operational flexibility and instantaneous cross-border liquidity.

The adoption of tokenized debt is fundamentally altering how enterprise balance sheets manage short-term liquidity needs. Traditional corporate bond settlement cycles historically required multi-day clearing processes involving numerous intermediaries, custodial entities, and clearinghouses. Through programmable smart contracts on distributed ledgers, issuers can now execute atomic settlement—enabling continuous, 24/7 access to institutional capital pools. This instantaneous clearing mechanism drastically reduces counterparty risk, eliminates costly settlement friction, and allows treasury teams to dynamically optimize working capital in real time.

A major catalyst driving this institutional migration is the establishment of comprehensive digital asset regulatory frameworks across major financial hubs. Clear legal guidelines regarding ledger-based securities ownership have provided institutional compliance officers with the regulatory confidence necessary to transition multi-billion-dollar liquidity facilities onto digital platforms. Furthermore, the integration of automated regulatory reporting directly into token smart contracts simplifies ongoing compliance audits, ensuring that secondary market trades automatically enforce investor accreditation limits and tax withholding requirements.

For chief financial officers and institutional portfolio managers, tokenized debt represents a fundamental evolution in fixed-income strategy. Companies that embrace ledger-based debt structures gain direct access to a broader, global base of digital-native institutional investors while substantially reducing borrowing overhead. As ledger interoperability continues to improve across global exchanges, tokenized debt is poised to become the standard infrastructure for global corporate finance.

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