Connect with us

Accounting

Paying respondents, IRS records and other pitches to improve US labor data

Published

on

Poor response rates used to compile vital U.S. economic surveys have some pitching an unconventional solution: paying respondents to answer questions.

It’s one of several ways economists have proposed the Bureau of Labor Statistics strengthen its data collection and compilation. Others include allowing it to use certain Internal Revenue Service business records and leaning harder on private data and artificial intelligence.

There’s no simple solution for the statistical agency, which has long been trying to boost waning response rates among households and businesses. Skepticism about the accuracy of government statistics has been festering in recent years, but reached a fever pitch when President Donald Trump fired the head of the BLS this month after the agency said job growth in recent months was dramatically weaker than previously reported.

While many of the possible approaches are unorthodox or costly, and would take months or even years to implement, there’s broad agreement the BLS must consider changes to improve America’s economic data.

Here’s a few of those proposals:

Incentives

Using incentives, including paying cash for participation, may be gaining traction after one of the president’s top economists acknowledged their possible use. It’s not a new idea. Years ago, the government conducted several experiments to determine the impact on responses, and some showed promise, according to a BLS paper.

“I think that we can start thinking about incentive schemes to drive response rates higher,” Stephen Miran, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers and Trump’s pick to fill a vacated seat on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, said Aug. 12 on CNBC.

Still, some economists see risks of sampling bias that favors people who are idle or short of cash. It could also be expensive at a time when Trump is seeking to trim the size of government.

Erica Groshen, the BLS commissioner for four years in the 2010s, worries that incentives could bias the sample of respondents, and they could be problematic if some people are compensated and others aren’t.

Response rates for the BLS household survey, which is used to calculate unemployment and labor force participation, have fallen below 70% since late last year. That’s well below the roughly 90% seen a little more than a decade ago. Each month, about 60,000 households are contacted by telephone or personal visit.

“You’re being contacted by strangers, when everyone hates being contacted by strangers,” said Ron Hetrick, a former BLS economist now with the workforce consulting firm Lightcast. He added that “money would certainly help. Modernization would certainly help.”

The BLS’s monthly survey of businesses, which it uses to estimate job totals, has also seen initial monthly responses slip to less than 60% all too frequently over the past couple of years, the agency’s data show. A decade ago, the first collection rate was close to 80%.

That data, which was at the center of Trump’s frustration earlier this month, appears to also be a focus for his new choice to lead the agency. Before he was picked, EJ Antoni said the BLS should suspend the monthly jobs report “until it is corrected.”

IRS records

Another option that has long been floated to enhance not only the BLS establishment survey, but the statistical system as a whole, would be allowing the agency to use certain IRS business records.

The tax agency collects data about new firms created and employee headcount. Those figures could help the BLS keep track of how many workers are being hired when new businesses start up, and how many are let go when firms shut down, Groshen said.

Estimating payrolls of newly opened — or closed — businesses has always been tricky, but a surge of new business formations during the pandemic recovery only made it harder. Some economists said this so-called “birth-death model” was at the root of a 589,000 downward revision to seasonally adjusted employment counts in the year through March 2024.

Still, allowing BLS to use IRS tax records has been a hard sell on Capitol Hill, where elected representatives and congressional staff “nearly never want to deviate from saying no” to expanding access, Groshen said.

Umbrella agency

A related idea to encouraging greater cooperation within government is creating an economic statistics super-agency. The upshot is that it would allow for a more seamless flow of data between the existing agencies. Currently, a substantial portion of official federal statistics is produced by 13 agencies. That’s at odds with some other countries, including Canada with its Statistics Canada, that have a more centralized approach.

In its budget proposal earlier this year, the Trump administration suggested a smaller step — bring BLS under the Commerce Department with the Census Bureau and the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Frequent benchmarking

Once a year, the BLS benchmarks its payrolls estimate, which is drawn from monthly surveys of about 121,000 establishments and government agencies, to a more robust count gleaned from state unemployment insurance records.

This process is laborious because the BLS has to gather the unemployment insurance records from all the states. Streamlining collection efforts with states has the potential of producing more accurate national payrolls figures. If the BLS benchmarks its employment figures twice a year, it could improve the nation’s job counts, said William Beach, a former BLS commissioner. He estimates that would cost around $25 million a year.

Alternative data

Given the spread of artificial intelligence and alternative data, many are also pushing for the BLS and other federal agencies to embrace new, more modern collection methods than traditional phone calls and surveys. BLS already uses some third-party data for its monthly consumer price index report, including vehicle prices from J.D. Power. And the Census Bureau has not only tapped alternate data sources but also experimented with satellite imagery.

The process for making job estimates is “obsolete and error-prone,” Ray Dalio, the billionaire founder of hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, said in a post on LinkedIn after Trump dismissed the BLS commissioner. Private estimates “were in fact much better,” he said. Dalio declined to comment or clarify what private data he was referring to when reached by phone afterward.

Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Accounting

Continuous Auditing Transforms Corporate ERPs

Published

on

continuous auditing transforms corporate erps

As corporate accounting departments cross the threshold into late July 2026, the adoption of continuous, automated auditing systems has reached a definitive turning point. Driven by advances in artificial intelligence and deep integration with modern Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) platforms, leading finance organizations are moving away from traditional, periodic post-hoc audits in favor of real-time, 100% transactional verification. This technological transition is redefining internal control environments, reducing compliance costs, and eliminating the structural delays inherent in legacy quarterly closing processes.

Unlike traditional auditing frameworks that rely on statistical sampling—a process that inevitably leaves operational blind spots—continuous auditing software monitors operational data feeds continuously. Every purchase order, electronic invoice, payroll disbursement, and cross-border wire transfer is automatically cross-referenced against established corporate governance parameters, regulatory tax schedules, and anti-fraud algorithms in real time. Anomalies or unauthorized ledger entries are flagged instantly, allowing internal audit teams to investigate and remediate compliance gaps immediately rather than months after the close of a financial period.

The implications for executive financial management are far-reaching. By embedding continuous verification directly into daily transaction workflows, chief financial officers gain uninterrupted visibility into the organization’s true financial standing. Real-time balance sheet auditing eliminates the severe operational bottlenecks associated with month-end and quarter-end financial reconciliations, freeing accounting professionals to focus on strategic financial modeling, tax planning, and capital allocation rather than manual data entry and spreadsheet consolidation.

However, implementing continuous auditing requires accounting leadership to invest heavily in data governance and technical upskilling. Internal audit teams must evolve from manual ledger reviewers into system architects capable of auditing complex algorithms and validating automated data pipelines. Accounting firms and corporate controllers that master continuous auditing will establish a resilient compliance framework capable of meeting stringent international regulatory standards with total transparency.

Continue Reading

Accounting

U.S. Imposes New 50% Tariffs on Canadian Imports Under Rare Legal Provision

Published

on

U.S. Imposes New 50% Tariffs on Canadian Imports Under Rare Legal Provision

WASHINGTON — In a major escalation of cross-border trade friction, U.S. President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing new 50% tariffs on a wide selection of Canadian exports, citing discriminatory practices by Ottawa targeting American auto, dairy, and beverage industries.

The new duties, announced Monday, will take effect in 30 days. They target a broad spectrum of consumer and industrial goods—ranging from wine, liquor, and milk products to commercial cement, furniture, clothing, and hockey equipment.

Untested Legal Mechanism

To enact the sweeping measures, the administration invoked Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930—a rarely used legal provision allowing the executive branch to levy additional tariffs of up to 50% on foreign nations deemed to discriminate against U.S. commerce.

White House officials noted that Section 338 addresses trade discrimination rather than national security or economic emergencies. The move comes months after prior global emergency tariffs faced legal challenges in domestic courts, signaling Washington’s pivot toward alternate statutory authorities to maintain import duties.

Senior administration officials briefed reporters that the measure directly responds to Canadian provincial bans on U.S. alcohol, restrictions on American vehicle exports, and import quota disparities affecting U.S. dairy and cheese producers relative to third-party trading partners.

“While the administration continues to secure reciprocal trade agreements globally, Canada retaliated against efforts to protect domestic industry,” U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer stated.

USMCA Impact and Carve-Outs

Significantly, the newly ordered 50% duties will apply to designated items even if they otherwise comply with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

However, the administration confirmed key targeted exemptions:

  • Energy products (including oil and natural gas)
  • Potash and critical minerals
  • Fish and seafood
  • Goods already governed by sector-specific duties (such as existing steel and aluminum tariffs)

Administration representatives emphasized that the tariffs do not stem from recent disputes concerning drifting Canadian wildfire smoke, noting that policy options regarding environmental spillover remain under separate review.

Canadian Response and Market Reaction

Following the White House announcement, the Canadian dollar experienced a sharp decline against the U.S. dollar, falling approximately 0.4% during evening trading.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney issued a statement emphasizing that Canada’s earlier counter-duties had merely matched previous U.S. trade actions. “Canada stands ready to engage intensively to address outstanding issues with the U.S. to the mutual benefit of our citizens,” Carney stated, pointing to detailed proposals Ottawa submitted to modernize the USMCA framework.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford took a firmer stance, urging a “dollar-for-dollar” reciprocal response if the measures go into effect on August 19.

With a 30-day implementation window before the duties officially lock in, industry associations and trade groups on both sides of the border are calling for urgent bilateral negotiations to avert further supply chain disruption across North America.

Continue Reading

Accounting

Automated Continuous Auditing: Transforming Compliance and Real-Time Financial Oversight

Published

on

Transforming Compliance and Real-Time Financial Oversight

The traditional accounting paradigm—defined by periodic monthly closures and post-hoc annual audits—is rapidly giving way to continuous, automated financial oversight. As of July 2026, forward-thinking accounting practices and multinational corporate finance departments are leveraging continuous auditing systems powered by advanced machine learning models. These systems monitor operational transactions in real time, shifting audit methodologies from sample-based post-analysis to absolute, 100% transaction-level verification.

The operational advantages of continuous auditing are transformative. Standard auditing procedures historically relied on statistical sampling, which, despite rigorous methodology, inherently left gaps where anomalies or fraudulent transactions could go undetected for months. Modern continuous auditing platforms integrate directly with enterprise resource planning (ERP) databases, instantly cross-referencing purchase orders, invoices, bank feeds, and tax records. Any deviation from established control parameters or unusual transaction behavior triggers immediate flags for internal audit teams, dramatically reducing detection lag from quarters to seconds.

Beyond fraud prevention, continuous auditing fundamentally alters internal reporting and decision-making. Executive leadership no longer has to wait weeks after the close of a quarter to evaluate precise financial standing; real-time verified ledger data provides an uninterrupted view of operating margins, tax liabilities, and cash flow dynamics. This real-time visibility enables corporate controllers to adjust capital allocation strategies dynamically, mitigating liquidity constraints and capitalizing on emerging commercial opportunities far more efficiently than competitors bound to legacy reporting cycles.

However, implementing continuous auditing requires accounting professionals to acquire new analytical capabilities. The role of the auditor is evolving from manual data reconciliation toward system validation, algorithmic model governance, and strategic risk interpretation. Accounting firms and corporate finance departments must invest in continuous technical education, ensuring that audit staff possess the data engineering skills necessary to design, maintain, and evaluate complex automated compliance systems.

Continue Reading

Trending