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Recession may reveal new wave of Ponzi schemes

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Get ready to spot some frauds.

“Ponzi schemes don’t collapse when the markets are booming. They collapse when the music stops,” warned Jeffrey Schneider, managing partner at law firm Levins Kellogg Lehman Schneider + Grossman, describing how financial frauds typically unravel during recessions and why we should be on high alert. 

With recession odds jumping from 23% in January to 36% in March, according to CNBC’s Fed Survey, and J.P. Morgan putting the risk at 40% (likely higher after the latest round of tariff announcements), the economic pressure is mounting — and so is the potential for Ponzi schemes to implode.

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Bernard Madoff, whose Ponzi scheme was uncovered in 2008

Jin Lee/Bloomberg

During recessions, the influx of new investors dries up, while demand for withdrawals rise. “It’s a perfect storm that often reveals the unsustainable foundation of a Ponzi scheme,” according to Schneider. “As we’ve seen time and again — from 2008’s Great Recession to COVID-era fraud — downturns don’t just hurt the market, they expose what’s been lurking beneath it.”

Schneider is a trial attorney who has recovered more than $400 million for defrauded investors, including well-known frauds such as Jay Peak and Mutual Benefits. 

“When the economy is strong and investor optimism is high, Ponzi schemes can run for years undetected,” he said. “But when markets turn and recession fears grow, that’s when the house of cards begins to crumble. The influx of new investors dries up, and pressure mounts from existing investors trying to withdraw their money. That combination is deadly for fraudsters, and it’s often how their schemes are finally exposed.”

Ponzi schemes remain a serious issue in the U.S., even after the high-profile collapses of Bernie Madoff, Allen Stanford and Scott Rothstein, Schneider observed. 

“In 2023 alone, 66 Ponzi schemes were uncovered, which collectively involved nearly $2 billion of potential losses, according to Ponzitracker,” he explained. “And those are just the ones that have been caught. Many more fly under the radar until, in many cases, economic conditions bring them to light.”

Investors should remain vigilant and be on the lookout for common red flags that may signal a Ponzai scheme, Schneider emphasized. These include consistently high returns that appear unaffected by market conditions. If an investment opportunity seems too good to be true, it probably is, he advised. 

“A lack of transparency is another warning sign,” he continued. “If you can’t clearly understand how the investment works or where the returns are coming from, proceed with caution. Difficulty withdrawing funds or pressure to continually reinvest should also raise alarms, as legitimate investments typically allow for straightforward access to your money. It is also important to verify that both the investment products and the individuals offering them are properly registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission or FINRA. Unregistered entities are a major red flag.” 

“I’ve seen firsthand how devastating these schemes can be and how important it is to hold bad actors accountable,” Schneider said. “But the best defense is always prevention. In uncertain economic times like these, heightened vigilance is critical.”

Getting your own back

“Ponzi schemes are so prevalent that they have their own set of guidelines,” said Miami CPA Carrie Baron of Carrie Baron & Associates. 

For tax years 2018 through 2025, individuals can only deduct casualty or theft losses of personal-use property not connected with a trade or business or a transaction entered into for profit if the loss is attributable to a federally declared disaster. 

“But theft losses incurred in a transaction entered into for profit may still be deductible,” she noted. “The amount of the theft loss includes not only the investor’s [unrecovered investment], but also the amounts reported as income from the investment in prior years that were reinvested in the fraudulent investment arrangements, according to the IRS.”

“The defrauded investor can take an ordinary loss of 95% of the loss if they are not seeking recovery,” noted Baron. “The IRS says if you use the safe harbor they won’t challenge the Ponzi deduction.”

The safe harbor under the revenue procedure generally permits taxpayers to deduct in the year of discovery 95% of their net investment less the amount of any actual recovery in the year of discovery and the amount of any recovery expected from private or other insurance, such as that provided by the Securities Investor Protection Corporation. 

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Tax Fraud Blotter: Sick excuses

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By any other name; poor Service; a saga continues; and other highlights of recent tax cases.

Rockford, Illinois: Tax preparer Gretchen Alvarez, 49, has pleaded guilty to preparing and filing false income tax returns.

She operated the tax prep business Sick Credit Repair Tax and Legal Services and represented herself as an income tax preparer. Alvarez did not have a PTIN and admitted that in 2019 and 2020 she misrepresented taxpayers’ eligibility for education credits and deducted fictitious business expenses from their taxable income to reduce tax liabilities and inflate refunds.

The tax loss totaled $356,881.

Sentencing is Sept. 17. Alvarez faces a maximum of three years in prison and a fine of up to $100,000.

Bangor, Maine: Paul Archer, a Florida resident formerly of Hampden and Orrington, Maine, has pleaded guilty to attempting to evade federal taxes and engaging in fraudulent transfers and concealment in a bankruptcy proceeding.

He operated an online marketing business for software installation, earning several million dollars from 2013 through 2015. After an IRS audit in 2016 assessed a federal tax debt totaling some $1 million, Archer concealed and transferred assets through two LLCs he controlled and began using third-party bank accounts to evade paying the tax debt. From April 2018 through November 2019, he transferred and concealed assets and income by using a series of bank accounts held in the names of Max Tune Up LLC; Stealth Kit LLC; his father; and his spouse. 

In March 2019, Archer filed for Chapter 7. In his paperwork and court statements, he falsely claimed less than $50,000 in assets; a single checking account; no other assets or property interests; no recent asset transfers; and no connections to any businesses or memberships in any LLCs. 

He faces up to five years in prison and a fine up to $250,000 on each of the two charges to which he pleaded guilty. Any sentence will be followed by up to three years of supervised release.

Fort Wayne, Indiana: Rakita Davis, 45, a former IRS employee, has been sentenced to two years of probation and ordered to pay $55,213.61 in restitution to the Small Business Administration after pleading guilty to wire fraud associated with pandemic relief.

Davis falsely claimed gross income for a business that did not exist when she applied for two Paycheck Protection Program loans in 2021. Employed by the IRS when she applied for the loans, Davis lied that she was the sole proprietor of a catering business when no such business existed. She received PPP funds that she spent on such personal items as jewelry, airfare, luxury car rentals and vacations.

Charleston, West Virginia: Business owner Luther A. Hanson has been sentenced to three years of probation and fined $5,000 for willful failure to pay over taxes.

From at least 2015 to September 2020, Hanson, who previously pleaded guilty, did not withhold or pay over some $149,905.38 in employment taxes to the IRS for two employees of his accounting businesses. Hanson owns and operates The Estate Planning Group Inc. and L.A. Hanson Accounting Services; the two employees provided accounting services for both.

Hanson admitted that prior to June 30, 2015, he and the two employees agreed that he would begin treating them as independent contractors. He also admitted that he knew this arrangement would relieve him of paying the employer portion of the employment taxes and of the employees’ withholdings. Neither employee changed their job duties.

He admitted that he knew that neither was an independent contractor while he paid each by check throughout their employment. Hanson further admitted that he did not pay the trust fund taxes to the IRS nor the employer’s share of employment taxes for the two employees each quarter during the arrangement.

The court previously determined that Hanson owed $146,771.37 to the U.S. after his scheme; Hanson paid that amount before sentencing. One of the employees paid a portion of the taxes owed, resulting in the adjusted figure of restitution Hanson owed.

Hands-in-jail-Blotter

Oakland, New Jersey: Business owner Walter Hass, of Hewitt, New Jersey, has been sentenced to four years in prison for his role in a $3.5 million payroll tax scheme.

Hass owned and operated a shipping and logistics company and since 2014 has operated the company under three different names. He failed to collect, account for and pay over payroll taxes to the IRS on behalf of each of these companies from 2014 to 2022, a total of at least $3.5 million.

Hass used company money to fund his personal lifestyle, including the purchase of luxury vehicles, high-end watches and jewelry, designer clothing, tickets to sporting events, home renovations, vacations, water sports vehicles and extravagant meals.

After signing his guilty plea in October 2023, he embarked on a campaign to avoid responsibility for his conduct. He lied to the court, to the U.S. Probation Office and to the government about a purported cancer diagnosis to delay the entry of his guilty plea and his sentencing. Hass fabricated three letters from physicians asserting that he had medical conditions, including kidney cancer, that prevented him from attending court proceedings. Hass did not have cancer and attempted to travel throughout the country and around the world during this time. 

Hass was also sentenced to three years of supervised release and ordered to pay $3,527,645 in restitution.

Atlanta: Attorney Vi Bui has been sentenced to 16 months in prison for obstructing the IRS in connection with his participation in the promotion of abusive syndicated conservation easement tax shelters.

Bui, who previously pleaded guilty, was a partner at the firm Sinnott & Co. and beginning at least in 2012 and continuing through at least May 2020 participated in a scheme to defraud the IRS by organizing, marketing, implementing and selling illegal syndicated conservation easement tax shelters created and organized by co-conspirators Jack Fisher, James Sinnott and others. (Fisher and Sinnott were convicted and sentenced to prison in January 2024.)

The scheme entailed creating partnerships that bought land and land-owning companies and donated easements over that land or the land itself. Appraisers generated fraudulent and inflated appraisals of the easements, and the partnerships then claimed a charitable contribution deduction based on the inflated value. Bui knew that to make it appear that the participants had timely purchased their units in the shelters, Fisher, Sinnott and others backdated and instructed others to backdate documents, including subscription agreements and checks.

Bui anticipated that the transactions would be audited. He and others created and disseminated lengthy documents disguising the true nature of the transaction, instituted sham “votes” for what to do with the land that the partnership owned despite knowing that outcome was predetermined, and falsified paperwork such as appraisals and subscription agreements. Bui earned substantial income for his role in the scheme.

He also used the fraudulent shelters to evade his own taxes, filing personal returns from 2013 through 2018 that claimed false deductions from the shelters.

He was also ordered to serve a year of supervised release and to pay $8,250,244 in total restitution to the IRS.

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ISSB standards adopted more widely across globe

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The International Financial Reporting Standards Foundation has posted profiles of 17 of the 36 jurisdictions around the world that have either adopted or used International Sustainability Standards Board disclosures or are in the process of finalizing steps to introduce the IFRS Sustainability Disclosure Standards in their regulatory frameworks.

The jurisdictional profiles include information about each jurisdiction’s stated target for alignment with ISSB standards and the current status of its sustainability-related disclosure requirements. 

“Why is the IFRS Foundation publishing these jurisdictional profiles, which set out by country or jurisdiction their approach to sustainability reporting. It’s really because we see this as part of our commitment to provide transparency to the market,” said ISSB vice chair Sue Lloyd during a press briefing. “It’s all very well talking about the use of our standards, but we know that different jurisdictions have made different decisions. They’re adopting the standards at a different pace, and by providing these profiles, we want to provide clarity, particularly for investors who are going to be relying on understanding the comparability of information between jurisdictions, to alert them to the similarities and differences in approach and to describe the extent to which we are achieving the global comparability that we have been working toward with the ISSB standards.”

She noted that the ISSB’s sister board, the International Accounting Standards Board, has also been publishing profiles on how different countries are complying with IFRS. In this case, it’s about sustainability reporting.

The profiles are accompanied by 16 snapshots that provide a high-level overview of other jurisdictions’ regulatory approaches that are still subject to finalization. Of the 17 jurisdictions profiled, 14 have set a target of “fully adopting” ISSB standards, two have set a target of ‘adopting the climate requirements’ of ISSB standards, and one targets “partially incorporating” ISSB Standards. The profiled jurisdictions cover Australia, Bangladesh, Brazil, Chile, Ghana, Hong Kong, Jordan, Kenya, Malaysia, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Chinese Taipei, Tanzania, Türkiye and Zambia.  

Accounting Today asked Lloyd about the United States, where the Securities and Exchange Commission’s climate reporting rule is on hold amid a spate of lawsuits and Trump administration policy on environmental issues.

“What we are seeing continue to be the case in the U.S. is very strong investor interest in sustainability information, including from the use of the ISSB standards,” Lloyd said. “We also have interest from companies who can choose to provide the information using our standards. Of course, many companies in the U.S. in the past have chosen to use the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board standards voluntarily, so that sort of voluntary adoption momentum is something we still see from the company and the investor side.”

“I think it’s also important to remember that the SEC just recently reconfirmed that if information on things like climate is material, there’s already a requirement to provide material information in accordance with existing requirements in place,” she continued. “And the last thing I’d note on the U.S. front is that while the SEC has indeed moved away from their proposed rule, we do see action at a state level, including, for example, in California, where the CARB [California Air Resources Board] is looking at climate disclosures, including the potential to allow the use of the ISSB standards to meet those requirements, so we see progress, but in different ways perhaps.”

The ISSB inherited the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board standards as part of a consolidation in 2022. Besides California, a number of U.S. states are considering requiring climate-related reporting, including New York. Both the California law and a bill in New York address disclosure of climate risks and directly refer to ISSB standards. Other states, including Illinois, New Jersey and Colorado, are also considering climate reporting, and some reporting is also required under a Minnesota law. 

Of the 16 jurisdictional snapshots published by the IFRS Foundation, 12 propose or have published standards (or requirements) that are fully aligned with ISSB standards (such as Canada) or are designed to deliver outcomes functionally aligned with those resulting from the application of ISSB standards (such as Japan). Three propose standards (or requirements) that incorporate a significant portion of disclosures required by ISSB standards, and one is considering allowing the use of ISSB standards. For these jurisdictions, their target approach to adoption is yet to be finalized. Once jurisdictions have finalized their decisions on adoption or other use of ISSB standards, the IFRS Foundation plans to publish a profile for these jurisdictions.   

“The ISSB standards are bringing clarity to investors on the risks and opportunities lying in value chains across time horizons in a rapidly changing world,” said ISSB chair Emmanuel Faber in a statement Thursday. “A year ago, we committed to publishing detailed jurisdictional profiles describing adoption of our standards to complement our Inaugural Jurisdictional Guide. The profiles provide a detailed current state-of-play to investors, banks, and insurers who continue to struggle with the lack of appropriate, comparable and reliable information on these critical factors affecting business prospects. We have seen new jurisdictions joining the initial cohort of ISSB adopters every month, with a total of 36 today.” 

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IRS extends deadline on crypto broker reporting and withholding

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The Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service are giving cryptocurrency brokers additional time to comply with requirements to report on digital asset sales and withhold taxes.

In Notice 2025-33, they extended and modified the transition relief provided last year in Notice 2024-56 for brokers who are required to file Form 1099-DA, Digital Asset Proceeds From Broker Transactions to report certain digital asset sale and exchange transactions by customers.

In 2024, Treasury and IRS announced final regulations requiring brokers to report digital asset sale and exchange transactions on Form 1099-DA, furnish payee statements, and backup withhold on certain transactions starting Jan. 1, 2025. The IRS also announced in Notice 2024-56 transition relief from penalties related to information reporting and backup withholding tax liability required by these final regulations for transactions effected during 2025. Notice 2024-56 also provided limited transition relief from backup withholding tax liability for transactions effected in 2026.

The IRS said it has received and carefully considered comments from the public about the transition relief provided in Notice 2024-56 indicating that brokers needed more time to comply with the reporting requirements; today’s notice addresses those comments.

In the new Notice 2025-33, the Treasury and the IRS extended the transition relief from backup withholding tax liability and associated penalties for any broker that fails to withhold and pay the backup withholding tax for any digital asset sale or exchange transaction effected during calendar year 2026.

The Trump administration has been notably more supportive of the crypto industry since taking office, relaxing guidance at the Securities and Exchange Commission as well.

The notice also extends the limited transition relief from backup withholding tax liability for an extra year. That means brokers won’t be required to backup withhold for any digital asset sale or exchange transactions effected in 2027 for a customer (payee), if the broker submits that payee’s name and tax identification number to the IRS’s TIN Matching Program and receives a response that the name and TIN combination matches IRS records. They’re also granting relief to brokers that fail to withhold and pay the full backup withholding tax due, if the failure is due to a decrease in the value of withheld digital assets in a sale of digital assets in return for different digital assets in 2027, and the broker immediately liquidates the withheld digital assets for cash.

This notice also includes more transition relief for brokers for sales of digital assets effected during calendar year 2027 for certain customers that haven’t been previously classified by the broker as U.S. persons. 

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