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Republican election sweep emboldens Trump’s tax cut dreams

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The Republican sweep of the presidency and Congress has transformed what could have been a struggle to merely renew Donald Trump’s tax cuts into a multipronged campaign to slash levies in new and bigger ways.

The incoming Republican majorities in the House and Senate mean Trump can enact a tax bill without making concessions to Democrats. Republicans will only be constrained by how much deficit spending the party’s lawmakers and global financial markets can tolerate.

“That is the several trillion-dollar question,” said Rohit Kumar, co-leader of PwC’s national tax office and a former tax policy advisor to Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell. 

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Donald Trump during a campaign event in Las Vegas

Ian Maule/Getty Images

Owners of closely held companies and high-net worth families stand to benefit with Congress now more likely to renew expiring provisions in the 2017 law providing a 20% deduction on pass-through business income and an elevated estate tax exemption, said Gordon Gray, a former Republican Senate Budget Committee aide and now executive director of the Pinpoint Policy Institute.

Many Democrats campaigned on a tax-the-rich agenda and advocated paying for other tax cuts by targeting those provisions, as well as rolling back the law’s tax cuts for corporations and individuals making more than $400,000 per year.

Republicans’ election success not only bolsters the 2017 tax cuts but opens the way for consideration of ideas such as further cutting the corporate tax rate and exempting tips from federal income taxes, said Grover Norquist, an influential voice in Republican tax policy debates and president of the conservative group Americans for Tax Reform.

Trump enthusiastically promoted both the corporate-rate reduction and the break for tipped income during the presidential campaign and also promised myriad other tax breaks.

The first thing Republicans will have to negotiate is how large the tax-cut package will be and how much they’re willing to increase a federal deficit that reached $1.83 trillion in the fiscal year that ended Sept 30. Just extending the expiring tax cuts would drive up deficits by $4.6 trillion over 10 years, and all of Trump’s campaign plans would add as much as $7.75 trillion, according to estimates by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a nonpartisan fiscal watchdog group.

Stephen Moore, a senior fellow at the Heritage Foundation and informal Trump advisor, said the tax cuts will stimulate economic growth and Republicans can also cancel spending approved under President Joe Biden to help offset the cost of the cuts. Still, the bill is likely to have some level of deficit financing, he said.

That sets up a clash within the GOP between deficit hawks and lawmakers who don’t think revenue losses from tax cuts need to be offset, said Sage Eastman, a Republican strategist and former aide to the House Ways and Means Committee, which has jurisdiction over tax legislation.

Republican Senator Mike Crapo of Idaho, who is in line to chair the Senate Finance Committee, has said “pro-growth” tax policies don’t need to be paid for. The 2017 tax cuts did produce some positive economic effects, but they were far more modest than the Trump administration and some Republicans forecast, said Kyle Pomerleau, a senior fellow with the American Enterprise Institute.

“It will be important to watch to see if markets start to panic if enough deficit spending is being contemplated, or if they’ll decide to look through it,” said Martha Gimbel, executive director of The Budget Lab at Yale and a former White House economist under Biden.

Trump has vowed to impose a tariff of 10% to 20% on all imported goods plus 60% on Chinese products and promoted that as an offset for tax cuts. But lawmakers will have to decide whether to enact those tariffs in the tax bill so the revenue can be officially counted — a difficult vote for Republicans, especially those who want free trade. They could also just assume revenue would continue from presidentially imposed duties, even though Trump might later strike a trade deal that drops them.

“There’s always a way to make things work,” said Dave Camp, a senior policy advisor at PwC and a former Republican chairman of the House Ways and Means Committee.

The Peterson Institute for International Economics estimates the tariffs could raise only about $225 billion a year. Kimberly Clausing, a former Treasury Department official in the Biden administration and a UCLA professor of tax law, said the GOP will probably overestimate the revenue from tariffs and ignore the negative economic impact of the duties. 

Republicans have said they want to enact a tax bill within the first 100 days of Trump’s second term, though it’ll probably take longer to negotiate the details, Kumar said. 

The narrow GOP margin in the House gives small bands of Republican lawmakers leverage to demand specific tax breaks, and the Democratic strategy will be to focus on vulnerable Republican members in swing districts to push them to support or oppose individual provisions, said Scott Mulhauser, a Democratic strategist and veteran of legislative policy battles.

The Republican “trifecta” also sets up a lobbying free-for-all among business groups to persuade lawmakers and the White House to create new tax breaks to boost their industries. That intensifies the internecine struggle among Republicans over what to include in the package and how to contain the cost.

Skeptics said they doubt all of the tax cuts Trump proposed during the campaign — which grew so numerous that even some of his advisors are unclear about which proposals he’s most committed to — would be enacted because of the cost and difficulty of instituting the entire list.

Trump promised he would restore the full value of the state and local tax deduction, or SALT, a popular break in high-tax states including New York, New Jersey and California. Trump’s signature tax law capped the value of that deduction at $10,000, regardless of marital status.

While some changes to SALT such as raising the cap or doubling the deduction for married couples filing jointly are possible, eliminating the limit entirely isn’t likely because of the revenue loss: $1.2 trillion over 10 years, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

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Tax Fraud Blotter: Crooks R Us

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The shadow knows; body of evidence; make a Note of it; and other highlights of recent tax cases.

Newark, New Jersey: Thomas Nicholas Salzano, a.k.a. Nicholas Salzano, of Secaucus, New Jersey, the shadow CEO of National Realty Investment Advisors, has been sentenced to 12 years in prison for orchestrating a $658 million Ponzi scheme and conspiring to evade millions in taxes.

Salzano previously pleaded guilty to securities fraud, conspiracy to commit wire fraud and conspiracy to defraud the U.S., admitting that he made numerous misrepresentations to investors while he secretly ran National Realty. From February 2018 through January 2022, Salzano and others defrauded investors and potential investors of NRIA Partners Portfolio Fund I, a real estate fund operated by National Realty, of $650 million.

Salzano and his conspirators executed their scheme through an aggressive multiyear, nationwide marketing campaign that involved thousands of emails to investors, advertisements, and meetings and presentations to investors. Salzano led and directed the marketing campaign that was intended to mislead investors into believing that NRIA generated significant profits. It in fact generated little to no profits and operated as a Ponzi scheme.

Salzano stole millions of dollars of investor money to support his lavish lifestyle, including expensive dinners, extravagant birthday parties, and payments to family and associates who did not work at NRIA. He also orchestrated a separate, related conspiracy to avoid paying taxes on his stolen funds.

He was also sentenced to three years of supervised release and agreed to a forfeiture money judgment of $8.52 million, full restitution of $507.4 million to the victims of his offenses and $6.46 million to the IRS.

Marina del Rey, California: Tax preparer Lidiya Gessese has been sentenced to 41 months in prison for preparing and filing false returns for her clients and for not reporting her income.

Gessese owned and operated Tax We R/Tax R Us and Insurance Services from 2013 through 2019 and charged clients $300 to $800. Gessese would then prepare returns that included claims to deductions and credits she knew her clients were not entitled to, including falsely claiming dependents, earned income credits, the American Opportunity Credit, Child Tax Credits, business deductions, education expenses or unreimbursed employee business expenses. The illegitimate claims led to some $1,135,554.64 issued by the IRS for 2010 through 2018.

She failed to report, or underreported, her own income for 2010 through 2018, some of which included improperly diverted funds from clients’ inflated or fraudulent refunds, causing a tax loss of $488,276.

Gessese, who pleaded guilty in April, was also ordered to pay $1,096,034.01 to the IRS and $53,526.95 to her other victims.

Fullerton, California: In Chun Jung of Anaheim, California, owner of an auto repair business, has pleaded guilty to filing false returns for 2015 to 2022, underreporting his income by at least $1,184,914.

He owned and operated JY JBMT INC., d.b.a. JY Auto Body, which was registered as a subchapter S corp. Jung was the 100% shareholder.

Jung accepted check payments from customers that he and his co-schemers then cashed at multiple area check cashing services; the cashed checks totaled some $1,157,462. Jung withheld the business receipts and income from his tax preparer and omitted them on his returns.

He will pay $300,145 in taxes due to the IRS and faces a $250,000 penalty and up to three years in prison. Sentencing is Jan. 31.

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Tucson, Arizona: Tax preparer Nour Abubakr Nour, 34, has been sentenced to 30 months in prison.

Nour, who pleaded guilty a year ago, operated the tax prep business Skyman Tax and for tax years 2016 through 2018 prepared and filed at least 27 false individual federal income tax returns for clients.

These returns included falsely claimed business income that inflated refunds so that he could pay himself large prep fees. Nour’s clients had no knowledge that he was filing false tax returns under their names.

Nour was also ordered to pay $150,154 in restitution to the United States for the false tax refunds.

Farmington, Connecticut: Tax preparer Mark Legowski, 60, has been sentenced to eight months in prison, to be followed by a year of supervised release, for filing false returns.

From January 2015 through December 2017, Legowski was a self-employed accountant and tax preparer doing business as Legowski & Co. Inc. He prepared income tax returns for some 400 to 500 individual clients and some 50 to 60 businesses.

To reduce his personal income tax liability for 2015 through 2017, Legowski underreported his practice’s gross receipts by excluding some client payment checks. He then filed false personal income tax returns that failed to report more than $1.4 million in business income, which resulted in a loss to the IRS of $499,289.

Legowski, who pleaded guilty earlier this year, has paid the IRS that amount in back taxes but must still pay penalties and interest. He has also been ordered to pay a $10,000 fine.

Wheeling, West Virginia: Dr. Nitesh Ratnakar, 48, has been convicted of failing to pay nearly $2.5 million in payroll taxes.

Ratnakar, who was found guilty of 41 counts of tax fraud, owned and operated a gastroenterology practice and a medical equipment manufacturer in Elkins, West Virginia. He withheld payroll taxes from employees’ paychecks and failed to make $2,419,560 in required payments to the IRS. Ratnakar also filed false tax returns in 2020, 2021 and 2022.

He faces up to five years in prison for each of the first 38 tax fraud counts and up to three years for the remaining counts.

Orlando, Florida: Two men have been sentenced for their involvement in the “Note Program,” a tax fraud.

Jasen Harvey, of Tampa, Florida, was sentenced to four years in prison and Christopher Johnson, of Orlando, was sentenced to 37 months for conspiring to defraud the U.S.

From 2015 to 2018, they promoted a scheme in which Harvey and others prepared returns for clients that claimed that large, nonexistent income tax withholdings had been paid to the IRS and sought large refunds based on those purported withholdings. The conspirators charged fees and required the clients to pay a share of the fraudulently obtained refunds to them.

Overall, the defendants claimed more than $3 million in fraudulent refunds on clients’ returns, of which the IRS paid about $1.5 million.

Both were also ordered to serve three years of supervised release. Johnson was also ordered to pay $864,117.42 in restitution to the United States; Harvey was ordered to pay $785,858.42 in restitution. Co-defendant Arthur Grimes will be sentenced on Jan. 13.

Ft. Lauderdale, Florida: Tax preparer Jean Volvick Moise, 39, has been sentenced to three years in prison for filing false income tax returns.

Moise prepared false returns for clients to inflate refunds. He prepared returns which included, among other things, false dependents, false 1099 withholdings, false educational credits and false Schedule C expenses, often for businesses which did not exist. Moise’s fee was larger than the typical one charged by a tax preparer.

Moise filed hundreds of false returns that caused the IRS to issue more than $574,000 in fraudulent refunds.

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Accounting in 2025: The year ahead in numbers

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With 2025 almost upon us, it’s worth thinking about what the new year will bring, and what accounting firms expect their next 12 months to look like.

With that in mind, Accounting Today conducted its annual Year Ahead survey in the late fall to find out firms’ expectations for 2025, including their growth expectations, their hiring plans, their growth expectations, how they think tax season will play out and much more. The overall theme: Thing are going well, but there are elements of friction holding them back, particularly when it comes to moving to more of a focus on advisory services.

You can see the full report here; a selection of key data points are presented below.

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On the move: Withum marks over a decade of Withum Week of Caring

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Citrin Cooperman appoints CIO; PKF O’Connor Davies opens new Fort Lauderdale office; and more news from across the profession.

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