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Some retirees ‘wish it would be more’

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People shop in Bayonne, New Jersey on April 8, 2025.

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Social Security and Supplemental Security Income beneficiaries will soon find out how much their benefit checks will increase next year.

Due to the federal government shutdown, the Social Security 2026 cost-of-living adjustment announcement, initially scheduled for Oct. 15, has been postponed to Friday. Nearly 75 million beneficiaries will see the COLA reflected in their January checks.

Experts have estimated the Social Security COLA for 2026 may be in the range of 2.7% to 2.8%, based on the latest available consumer price index data. That’s in line with the long-term average. But for retirees and other beneficiaries who rely on their benefit payments to cover essential expenses, the size of the increase might not ease their struggle with higher prices.

“I just wish it would be more,” said Kathryn Bailey, 74, of Washington, D.C.

What you need to know about Social Security

Bailey, a retired oncology researcher, remembers when the 8.7% cost-of-living adjustment was put in place in 2023 in response to the post-pandemic spike in inflation. That COLA set a four-decade record for the inflation adjustment.

The approximate $135 monthly increase Bailey received then “helped, but I used it all,” she said.

The projected increase for 2026 “won’t do anything,” she said, citing high health care, rent, food and other cost increases.

Retirees’ costs have outpaced inflation

Experts estimate the anticipated 2.7% to 2.8% possible increase for 2026 would add about $54 more to the average monthly retirement benefit check.

The size of the Social Security COLA is calculated each year based on the pace of inflation. So if the rate of inflation is higher, so is the COLA. And when inflation is lower, the annual adjustment is lower. In some years — most recently in 2016 — it has even been zero if there is no inflation increase from one year to the next.

Because the rate of inflation has come down in recent years, retirees and other Social Security beneficiaries have seen more modest cost-of-living adjustments. In 2024, the COLA was 3.2% and this year it was 2.5%.

The average COLA over the past 20 years has been 2.6%, according to The Senior Citizens League, a nonpartisan senior group.

The cost of retirement has outpaced inflation, according to recent research from Goldman Sachs Asset Management. While retirees’ spending increased at a 3.6% annual rate from 2000 to 2023, the consumer price index went up by 2.6% over that time, according to the firm.

While in recent years the pace of inflation has subsided overall from post-pandemic highs, some prices have stayed elevated.

The measurement used to calculate the COLA – the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W – shows that year-to-date increases for certain categories like household energy, motor vehicle maintenance and motor vehicle insurance have outpaced the average.

COLA provides ‘significant increases’ over time

Yet some experts say the Social Security cost-of-living adjustment provides inflation protection that is difficult to match elsewhere.

“A 20% lift over four years is life changing, even though it might not match the economy itself,” David Freitag, a financial planning consultant and Social Security expert at MassMutual, said of the recent cost-of-living adjustments.

“These are significant increases that make a difference in people’s lives,” Freitag said.

Very few pension-type income streams offer similar types of annual adjustments, Freitag said. Annuities that offer similar features are “incredibly expensive,” he said.

Starting at age 62, the cost-of-living adjustments are built into benefits, Freitag said. Prospective retirees do not have to claim benefits then in order for those increases to be recognized in their benefit checks once they do eventually claim, he said.

The COLA plays a “crucial role” in helping retirement income keep pace with inflation and is a “lifeline of independence and dignity” for older Americans, AARP CEO Dr. Myechia Minter-Jordan said in a statement.

“Yet even with the COLA, 77% of older adults still face challenges covering basic expenses,” Minter-Jordan said, citing forthcoming AARP research.

Proposals suggest other ways to measure future COLAs

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Stories for investors who are retired or are approaching retirement, and are interested in creating and managing a steady stream of income:

While Social Security’s chief actuary has estimated that using the CPI-E would increase future annual COLAs by about 0.2 percentage points, the Bipartisan Policy Center gauges that opting for the Chained CPI would reduce future annual COLAs by about 0.3 percentage points.

Increasing or reducing future COLAs would impact the solvency of Social Security’s trust funds, which already are projected to run out in 2034. At that point, 81% of benefits will be payable unless Congress enacts changes sooner, according to the latest annual report from Social Security’s trustees.

Another suggested change is limiting the size of the COLAs for individuals who receive the largest benefits. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates that one model of such a proposal could close one-tenth of Social Security’s solvency gap while still providing full inflation protection for most beneficiaries.

D.C.-based retiree Bailey said she would like to see the COLA calculated another way to match the actual increases showing up in areas like health care, mortgage, rent and utility costs.

“I wish they would sit down and consider the percentage of things that have gone up,” Bailey said.

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Personal Finance

Maximizing Returns in High Rate Climate and market uncertainty

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Maximizing Returns in High-Rate Climate

In the macroeconomic environment of late July 2026, personal cash management requires an active, structured approach to wealth preservation. With central bank benchmark rates remaining elevated to ensure long-term disinflation, conservative yield-bearing vehicles—such as short-term U.S. Treasury bills, money market funds, and high-yield savings accounts (HYSAs)—continue to offer reliable nominal returns between 4% and 5%. For individual investors, maximizing net returns requires moving beyond passive checking accounts and executing a disciplined cash laddering strategy.

Leaving substantial liquid capital in traditional bank deposits creates an invisible drag on personal net worth due to ongoing inflation. By implementing a tiered liquidity framework, individuals can split emergency cash reserves and short-term capital allocations across rolling maturities. Allocating cash into 4-week, 8-week, and 13-week Treasury bills creates a continuous cycle of maturing liquidity, allowing investors to continuously reinvest capital at prevailing market yields while maintaining immediate access to emergency funds.

Tax efficiency represents a critical dimension of high-yield cash optimization. For high-earning individuals residing in states with substantial local income taxes, direct holdings in short-term U.S. Treasury instruments often deliver superior net post-tax yields compared to standard commercial bank HYSAs. Because interest earned on federal Treasury bills is strictly exempt from state and local taxation, investors can retain a larger portion of their compounding interest gains without taking on additional credit or market risk.

Ultimately, personal wealth accumulation in mid-2026 relies on intentional capital deployment. Cash should be managed as a productive asset class that generates consistent, risk-free returns. Regularly auditing account yield terms, automating recurring transfers, and leveraging tax-advantaged fixed-income instruments ensures that personal liquidity remains fully optimized against macroeconomic fluctuations.

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Algorithmic Wealth Management: Balancing Automated Financial Planning with Human Oversight

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Balancing Automated Financial Planning with Human Oversight

The personal finance industry in July 2026 is experiencing a technological evolution, driven by the wide deployment of next-generation algorithmic wealth management tools. Modern digital financial platforms have expanded far beyond basic automated index investing; today’s robo-advisors utilize real-time tax-loss harvesting, dynamic portfolio rebalancing, and hyper-personalized spending analysis to optimize retail investor outcomes. However, as these digital solutions become ubiquitous, investors face the crucial challenge of balancing automated execution with human strategic judgment.

The core advantage of automated financial planning platforms lies in their ability to remove emotional bias from investment execution. During periods of market volatility or localized sector realignments, automated algorithms systematically rebalance portfolios back to target asset allocations without falling victim to panic selling or speculative enthusiasm. Furthermore, integrated cash-flow monitoring algorithms analyze individual spending patterns in real time, automatically sweeping surplus income into designated retirement or debt-liquidation accounts to accelerate net worth accumulation.

Despite these operational advantages, algorithmic tools have inherent structural limitations when addressing complex, highly personalized financial life events. Decisions involving multi-generational estate planning, highly complex tax strategies, small business exits, or nuanced real estate transactions require contextual human judgment that software models cannot replicate. Relying solely on automated models without periodic human professional review can result in misaligned risk profiles or overlooked tax liabilities during major life transitions.

The optimal approach for personal financial planning in late 2026 is a hybrid advisory model. Individuals should utilize automated platforms for routine asset allocation, continuous tax optimization, and low-cost passive index tracking, while engaging qualified human financial advisors for periodic strategic planning, estate structuring, and qualitative risk evaluations. This dual approach ensures maximum cost efficiency and disciplined execution while retaining essential strategic guidance.

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High-Yield Optimization: Structuring Personal Cash Reserves in a Sustained Rate Environment

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Structuring Personal Cash Reserves in a Sustained Rate Environment

In the financial environment of mid-2026, personal cash management has re-emerged as a vital component of holistic wealth building. With central bank policy rates holding firm to maintain long-term price stability, yield-bearing instruments such as money market funds, high-yield savings accounts (HYSAs), and short-term Treasury bills continue to offer compounding returns around 4% to 5%. For individual investors, effectively structuring cash reserves requires shifting away from passive bank deposits toward active yield optimization.

A frequent pitfall in personal asset management is leaving substantial liquid capital in traditional checking or low-yield savings accounts, where real returns are continuously eroded by baseline inflation. By implementing a disciplined ‘cash ladder’ strategy—allocating liquid funds across tiered maturities using ultra-short Treasury instruments and FDIC-insured high-yield accounts—individuals can secure maximal yields while retaining immediate liquidity for emergency expenses or tactical investment opportunities.

Simultaneously, investors must evaluate the tax efficiency of their cash holdings based on their tax bracket and geographic location. For high earners situated in states with high local income taxes, direct holdings in short-term U.S. Treasury bills often yield a higher net post-tax return than standard high-yield savings accounts, as Treasury interest is strictly exempt from state and local taxation. Understanding these nuanced tax distinctions allows individuals to capture significant incremental gains without taking on additional market risk.

Ultimately, personal financial health in late 2026 hinges on intentional liquidity management. Cash reserves should not be viewed merely as static emergency funds, but as a dynamic asset class that contributes positively to net worth growth. Regularly auditing yield terms, automating cash transfers, and optimizing for post-tax efficiency ensures that personal capital remains fully productive across all economic conditions.

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