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State child tax credits held down kids poverty rates, study shows

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The dozen U.S. states that implemented a refundable child tax credit program in the wake of the pandemic held down child poverty rates relative to states that didn’t act, according to an analysis by Columbia University’s Center on Poverty and Social Policy.

The research evaluated how many children were projected to be lifted out of poverty because of the state initiatives, and how that compared with the impact from a one-year Covid-era federal program that expired at the end of 2021.

Many of the state-level credits were set in place or expanded as it became clear Congress wouldn’t quickly come to a consensus on continuing with the enlarged federal benefit. The state credits are much smaller in size, have stricter income limits than the federal credits and often exclude older children.

Still, the analysis suggests they helped mitigate the loss of expanded federal aid for many families. In a comparable year, Minnesota’s credit of as much as $1,750 per child up to age 17 would move 13,000 children out of poverty – nearly half of the estimated 31,000 if the federal credit had remained in place. Minnesota provides an added tax break for older children.

Vermont’s program also had a notable impact, while California and Illinois would move a fraction of kids out of poverty compared with the federal credit, according to the data, which was compiled for Bloomberg News.

“This is going to have a smaller effect than you might expect for the federal policy, but there are families that are still benefiting under this,” said Ryan Vinh, a research analyst at the Columbia CPSP. “Like families with young children that are in deep poverty, you might see them lifted out of deep poverty, which we would define as being below half of the poverty line.”

The study offers some hindsight into various initiatives now that Republicans have included a federal child tax credit of as much as $2,200 in their recently enacted fiscal package — saying the expansion will do more to help working families. The new credit isn’t fully refundable, meaning low-income families who owe little or nothing in taxes to the government generally wouldn’t get the higher value, according to an analysis from the Yale Budget Lab.

Back in 2021, the fully refundable credit of up to $3,600 provided in the “American rescue plan” helped bring child poverty rates to a record low of 5.2%. However, the scope of the credit made it costly for the federal government.

Poverty surge

After it expired, 12 states created or expanded their own versions of a refundable credit. Five other states have implemented nonrefundable credits.

National child poverty surged back up after the federal program ended. The rate stood at 13.7% in 2023, according to the latest data available from the Census Bureau, which uses varying income thresholds depending on family size and composition for its definition. Last year, one measure of the poverty level for a household with two adults and two children was roughly $39,000. 

Columbia University’s CPSP has compiled a more timely gauge, using a different method. Their tracker showed some 22.5% of children were living in poverty as of December, up from 14.7% during the same month four years ago.

The CPSP data showed that Colorado’s program was projected to move the most children out of poverty compared to the “American Rescue Plan” credit — 36,000 versus the 41,000 lifted by the federal program if it had remained in place. But that was partially due to the fact that the state offers an additional tax break for families on top of the child tax credit in years when the state has a surplus of revenue.

‘Lifesaver’ aid

Other states like Massachusetts, which offers a much smaller credit up to $440 per child who is younger than 13, had some impact, but were projected to have moved fewer children out of poverty.

Huong Vu, a 40-year old Massachusetts resident, said the monthly payments from the 2021 expanded credit were a “lifesaver” for her family, which includes her husband and daughters now aged 12 and 13. It allowed her family to cover more than just basic needs when Vu’s job was made part-time during the pandemic.

Since then, the Massachusetts credit implemented in 2023 has helped Vu’s family amid higher prices for everyday expenses, including groceries and gas. It’s also enabled sending her children to summer and sports programs they otherwise wouldn’t be able to join.

President Donald Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill” boosted the federal credit for tax filers to up to $2,200 per eligible child, which will be adjusted annually for inflation starting in 2026. That’s up from the $2,000 maximum temporarily enacted in the 2017 tax law that would have been halved at the end of 2025.

Of the total, $1,700 will be refundable for the 2025 tax year, which is the amount that can be received if the credit exceeds the amount of taxes owed.

Earlier this year, Senator Josh Hawley of Missouri proposed increasing the credit to up to $5,000 per child while allowing parents to receive the credit in monthly checks, similar to the pandemic-era version. His plan also would have applied the credit to payroll taxes, which could have increased the benefit for some low-income households. 

Hawley said while the new expansion is “better than nothing” and praised it for being indexed to inflation, Republicans will need to do more for working families, including another child tax credit expansion in a future bill.

“It’s one of the best ways to get tax relief to working people,” Hawley said.

Julie Cai, an economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, a progressive think tank, said a more substantial expansion of the child tax credit could benefit the hardest-hit families.

“Within a year, a lot of people might lose jobs or have a relatively small spell of unemployment,” Cai said. “How we can provide measures to buffer the type of negative consequences from their unemployment spell will be crucial.”

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Accounting

Global ESG Reporting Standards and Double Materiality Compliance

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Corporate accounting departments face expanding reporting expectations as international sustainability disclosure standards achieve regulatory enforcement across major global jurisdictions. Chief Accounting Officers (CAOs) and corporate controllers are establishing rigorous internal accounting controls to treat Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) metrics with the same data precision, auditability, and governance as traditional financial statements.

Regulatory Harmonization Under Global Sustainability Frameworks
The implementation of standardized sustainability reporting frameworks—notably rules established by international sustainability accounting boards—has created unified expectations for public and large private enterprises. Corporations must report standardized metrics covering greenhouse gas emissions (Scope 1, 2, and material Scope 3), energy utilization, workforce demographics, and supply chain governance.

In Europe and other participating international jurisdictions, double materiality principles are mandatory. Under double materiality, organizations must report both how external sustainability risks impact corporate financial performance, and how internal corporate operations affect surrounding environmental and social structures.

Integrating Sustainability Metrics into Core ERP Systems
To provide auditable non-financial data, enterprise organizations are integrating specialized carbon accounting and ESG management platforms directly into core ERP systems. Automated data collectors capture energy utility invoices, logistics fuel consumption metrics, and vendor compliance records in real time.

Establishing automated, traceable data pipelines ensures that non-financial reporting is supported by clear audit trails. This structured approach allows external financial auditors to provide reasonable assurance on sustainability disclosures during annual corporate reporting cycles.

Financial Impacts and Capital Market Disclosure
Accurate ESG reporting directly influences corporate cost of capital and institutional credit ratings. Commercial lenders and institutional asset managers systematically incorporate sustainability metrics into risk pricing models. Companies that demonstrate transparent, verifiable progress in operational energy efficiency and climate risk mitigation benefit from expanded access to green bond markets and lower debt pricing.

Action Steps for Accounting Leadership
1. Implement Double Materiality Frameworks: Conduct comprehensive assessments to identify material financial and operational sustainability metrics.
2. Build Auditable Non-Financial Data Pipelines: Automate ESG data collection within core accounting software to ensure data integrity.
3. Align Sustainability with Annual Financial Filings: Prepare non-financial disclosures concurrently with financial statements to satisfy regulatory audit expectations.

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Accounting

Modernizing Internal Controls: Machine Learning and Continuous Monitoring in Auditing

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Internal audit departments and corporate risk managers are modernizing internal control frameworks by shifting from periodic sampling techniques to continuous monitoring and machine learning analytics. As operational data volumes increase across enterprise organizations, automated control testing ensures financial integrity, prevents corporate fraud, and streamlines annual audit engagements.

The Limitation of Periodic Audit Sampling
Historically, internal and external auditors evaluated internal controls by reviewing random samples of financial transactions—often analyzing less than five percent of total ledger entries. In complex enterprise environments, periodic sampling methods carry inherent risks of overlooking localized financial misstatements, unauthorized disbursements, or operational control breakdowns.

In 2026, progressive internal audit functions are utilizing automated continuous monitoring platforms that evaluate one hundred percent of financial transactions in real time. Continuous control auditing systems continuously monitor general ledger entries, procurement approvals, and expense reimbursements across all operating subsidiaries.

AI-Powered Fraud Detection and Anomaly Identification
Machine learning models trained on historical corporate financial data excel at identifying subtle transactional anomalies that indicate potential fraud or operational error. Automated systems instantly flag duplicate invoice payments, unapproved vendor creation, unusual journal entry timing, and unauthorized override of authority thresholds.

When an anomaly is detected, the automated auditing platform generates an instant risk alert, allowing internal audit teams to investigate root causes immediately. Early detection prevents minor operational errors from escalating into material weaknesses in financial reporting.

Streamlining External Audit Preparation
Continuous internal control monitoring delivers significant benefits during annual external financial audits. External audit firms can review continuous audit logs and automated control testing documentation, reducing the time required for manual field testing.

This integrated approach lowers overall audit compliance fees, reduces administrative burdens on corporate accounting staff, and provides senior management and audit committees with real-time visibility into the organization’s overall risk profile.

Core Implementation Guidelines
1. Transition to 100% Data Testing: Replace legacy sampling methods with automated continuous audit monitoring systems.
2. Deploy Anomaly Detection Algorithms: Implement machine learning models to identify unauthorized transactions and operational control overrides.
3. Align Internal and External Audit Workflows: Coordinate continuous control testing protocols with external auditors to optimize annual compliance cycles.

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Accounting

Automated Tax Compliance and Global Regulatory Harmonization in 2026

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Corporate tax accounting departments are navigating an era of unprecedented regulatory complexity as global tax harmonization frameworks take full effect alongside real-time digital tax reporting mandates. Tax directors and accounting teams are adopting cloud-based tax compliance automation tools to manage multi-jurisdictional tax liabilities and satisfy stringent reporting rules across international jurisdictions.

Implementation of Global Minimum Tax Provisions
The implementation of international tax reform agreements—notably the Pillar Two global minimum tax framework—has reshaped multinational corporate tax planning. Multinational enterprises with consolidated revenues exceeding established thresholds must ensure an effective tax rate of at least 15% across every jurisdiction in which they operate.

Accounting teams are implementing specialized tax calculation modules integrated directly into enterprise resource planning (ERP) platforms. These automated tools calculate effective tax rates per country, identify top-up tax liabilities, and generate standardized compliance documentation required by national tax authorities.

Real-Time Digital Invoicing and E-Reporting Mandates
Tax authorities across Europe, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific have enacted mandatory electronic invoicing (e-invoicing) and continuous transaction controls (CTC). Under these systems, corporate transaction data must be submitted electronically to government portals in real time at the point of sale or invoice issuance.

This shift toward continuous digital tax reporting eliminates traditional annual tax audits in favor of ongoing automated compliance monitoring. Accounting departments are upgrading invoicing software to ensure seamless XML data formatting, digital signature authentication, and real-time validation against tax authority databases.

Automation and Data Analytics in Corporate Tax Strategy
To keep pace with dynamic tax legislation, tax departments are transitioning from reactive compliance teams to proactive strategic advisors. Machine learning algorithms analyze corporate transactional data to identify tax credits, research and development (R&D) incentives, and cross-border transfer pricing adjustments.

By automating routine tax return filings and calculations, corporate tax directors can focus on long-term capital structuring, evaluating the tax implications of corporate mergers, and optimizing international supply chain networks.

Strategic Priorities for Tax Executives
1. ERP System Upgrades: Ensure enterprise software is capable of generating real-time, granular tax data required for global minimum tax compliance.
2. E-Invoicing Integration: Implement scalable e-invoicing platforms to satisfy regional continuous transaction control regulations.
3. Strategic Tax Analytics: Utilize predictive tax modeling tools to evaluate structural changes in corporate operations and cross-border trade.

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