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The US added 818,000 fewer jobs this year than originally estimated

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The labor market isn’t as strong as predicted, with 818,000 fewer jobs.  (iStock )

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics just reported that the U.S. added 818,000 fewer jobs over the last 12 months (through March) than they previously predicted. The -0.5% difference was reported in the preliminary estimate of the annual revision to the BLS employment series. Consumers won’t know the final numbers until February.

The largest discrepancy occurred in the professional and business services sector, with the revision showing 358,000 fewer jobs than originally reported. The retail industry had the second-largest revision at 129,000 fewer jobs. Manufacturing came in third with 115,000 fewer jobs.

The labor market isn’t in a dire place, but the unemployment rate still hovers near 4.3%, which is higher than the beginning of 2023, Jerome Powell, the Chair of the Federal Reserve, explained in recent comments.

The unemployment rate isn’t due to increased layoffs, but rather the large increase in the supply of workers. It’s also due to “slowdown from the previously frantic pace of hiring,” Powell said. Generally speaking, the job market is getting stronger.

“Overall, the economy continues to grow at a solid pace,” Powell explained. “But the inflation and labor market data show an evolving situation. The upside risks to inflation have diminished. And the downside risks to employment have increased.”

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INFLATION IS WHY MANY AMERICANS PLAN TO DELAY RETIREMENT: SURVEY

The Fed is still poised to cut rates in September

Consumers have been waiting for the Federal Reserve to cut rates since the possibility of multiple rate cuts was announced at the beginning of the year. September finally appears to be the meeting where rates will be cut.

The Fed has held off cutting rates due to consistently high inflation. When inflation drops closer to 2%, the Fed is more likely to slash rates. A large majority of Federal Reserve officials claimed the central bank is likely to cut interest rates slightly in September, according to minutes from the policy meeting in July.

“Our restrictive monetary policy helped restore balance between aggregate supply and demand, easing inflationary pressures and ensuring that inflation expectations remained well anchored,” Powell said.

With inflation on the right trajectory, after a dip in progress earlier in the year, Americans can expect rate cuts soon. These cuts affect borrowing costs for mortgages, vehicles and student loans, among other lending options. 

Using a personal loan to pay off high-interest debt may help you reduce your monthly expenses and put money back in your wallet. Credible can help you find your personalized interest rate today.

HIGHER RATES TO LINGER, FED MAY MAKE CUTS IN SEPTEMBER

Consumer sentiment stabilizes

Consumer sentiment regarding the economy has stabilized over the last month, signaling that Americans are slightly more positive about where the economy is at than they were a few years ago. In August, sentiment inched up by 2.1%, marking the fourth consecutive month sentiment remained about the same, PYMNTS reported.

The future economic outlook hasn’t remained as steady, instead shooting up to its highest level in five months, largely due to the election season. Election years don’t tend to alter the current economic sentiment but can impact American’s future thoughts on where the economy is going.

“Survey responses generally incorporate who, at the moment, consumers expect the next president will be,” explained Joanne Hsu, director of the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. “Some consumers note that if their election expectations do not come to pass, their expected trajectory of the economy would be entirely different.”

The rise in consumer sentiment for the future is thanks, in part, to Democrats feeling more confident in the new Democratic presidential nominee, Vice President Kamala Harris. Lowering inflation has also contributed to a brighter outlook, PYMNTS reported. 

If you’re concerned about the state of the economy, think about paying down your high-interest debt with a personal loan at a lower interest rate. Head to Credible to speak with a personal loan expert and get a rate quote.

HOUSING AFFORDABILITY TOP CONCERN FOR YOUNGER VOTERS THIS PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: SURVEY

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Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Cut Expectations Shift

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Treasury Yields Rise as Fed Cut Expectations Shift

Fixed-income markets recorded significant re-pricing during the week ending July 25, 2026, as a convergence of strong labor market metrics and surging energy costs drove U.S. Treasury yields higher across all maturities. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward 4.70%, reaching its highest point in several months. Institutional bond investors rapidly adjusted portfolio durations as expectations for near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve faded in response to inflation concerns.

The upward shift in sovereign yields reflects a broader fundamental reassessment of global monetary policy. Earlier in the quarter, money markets had priced in a series of rate reductions designed to support economic activity. However, with initial jobless claims falling to 187,000 and crude oil breaching $100 per barrel, fixed-income traders are pricing in a ‘higher-for-longer’ interest rate environment. The inversion between short-term Treasury bills and long-term bonds narrowed, indicating a shift toward term premium expansion.

Rising Treasury yields present both challenges and opportunities for institutional wealth managers. While commercial lenders and mortgage origination volumes face headwinds from elevated borrowing costs, fixed-income investors are locking in attractive real yields on high-quality sovereign and investment-grade corporate bonds. Institutional debt issuers, conversely, are recalibrating their capital structures, opting for shorter-term refinancing instruments or private credit facilities to avoid committing to elevated long-term coupon rates.

Navigating the current bond market landscape demands strict duration management and credit selection. Wealth advisors recommend maintaining flexible fixed-income allocations, combining short-duration Treasuries with inflation-protected securities (TIPS) to shield capital against potential energy-driven inflation spikes while earning dependable nominal income.

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Private Credit Expansion Transforms Corporate Loans

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Private Credit Expansion Transforms Corporate Loans

Private credit markets reached a pivotal milestone during the week ending July 25, 2026, as non-bank direct lending consortiums captured a record share of middle-market corporate debt originations. With commercial banks maintaining conservative credit standards and public bond yields remaining elevated, corporate borrowers are increasingly turning to private fund managers for customized capital solutions. This expansion marks a permanent structural shift in enterprise finance, establishing private credit as a primary pillar of institutional corporate liquidity.

The acceleration of private credit deals is driven by speed, deal certainty, and flexible terms. Unlike traditional syndicated bank loans that require lengthy underwriting, credit rating approvals, and public roadshows, private direct lenders can structure tailored financing packages within days. Middle-market firms facing upcoming debt maturities are utilizing private debt facilities to execute recapitalizations, strategic acquisitions, and growth capital deployments without risking execution delay in public markets.

However, financial regulators and central bank supervisors are scrutinizing the sector’s rapid growth. Supervisory agencies are evaluating potential systemic risks associated with non-bank leverage, valuation transparency, and liquidity mismatches during economic downturns. Despite regulatory interest, major pension funds, insurance firms, and sovereign wealth entities continue to expand capital allocations to private credit funds, attracted by reliable floating-rate yields that outperform public fixed-income benchmarks.

As private credit matures into a dominant asset class, corporate chief financial officers must evaluate non-bank lenders alongside traditional banking relationships. Direct lending partnerships provide valuable balance sheet resilience, enabling companies to secure flexible financing terms even during periods of public market turbulence.

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Finance

Tokenized Debt Shifts How Corporate Manage Short Term Liquidity

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Tokenized Debt Shifts Corporate Liquidity

The landscape of institutional debt markets is undergoing a profound structural shift on July 21, 2026, as major corporate issuers and commercial banks rapidly accelerate the deployment of tokenized debt instruments. Data published by leading capital market consortiums indicates that primary issuances of digital commercial paper and tokenized corporate bonds have reached record volumes this month. By moving legacy debt origination, underwriting, and secondary distribution onto permissioned distributed ledgers, corporate treasurers are unlocking unprecedented operational flexibility and instantaneous cross-border liquidity.

The adoption of tokenized debt is fundamentally altering how enterprise balance sheets manage short-term liquidity needs. Traditional corporate bond settlement cycles historically required multi-day clearing processes involving numerous intermediaries, custodial entities, and clearinghouses. Through programmable smart contracts on distributed ledgers, issuers can now execute atomic settlement—enabling continuous, 24/7 access to institutional capital pools. This instantaneous clearing mechanism drastically reduces counterparty risk, eliminates costly settlement friction, and allows treasury teams to dynamically optimize working capital in real time.

A major catalyst driving this institutional migration is the establishment of comprehensive digital asset regulatory frameworks across major financial hubs. Clear legal guidelines regarding ledger-based securities ownership have provided institutional compliance officers with the regulatory confidence necessary to transition multi-billion-dollar liquidity facilities onto digital platforms. Furthermore, the integration of automated regulatory reporting directly into token smart contracts simplifies ongoing compliance audits, ensuring that secondary market trades automatically enforce investor accreditation limits and tax withholding requirements.

For chief financial officers and institutional portfolio managers, tokenized debt represents a fundamental evolution in fixed-income strategy. Companies that embrace ledger-based debt structures gain direct access to a broader, global base of digital-native institutional investors while substantially reducing borrowing overhead. As ledger interoperability continues to improve across global exchanges, tokenized debt is poised to become the standard infrastructure for global corporate finance.

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