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Trump widens trade fight to include global taxes, regulation

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President Donald Trump is embarking on what may be his most disruptive action yet for the global economy by broadening his grievances to how other countries choose to tax and regulate.

Trump on Thursday ordered top economic officials to calculate new U.S. tariffs based on the total tariffs and tax, regulatory, currency and any other barriers that U.S. exports face. The new “reciprocal” duties would be calculated country by country. They will be laid out in a series of reports due by April 1 that officials said would first examine the economies with which the U.S. has the largest trade deficits.

“The numbers are going to be very fair but staggering. They’re going to be large,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office as he signed a memorandum ordering up the new tariffs.

The move, which Trump said would replace his campaign plan for a universal tariff on imports, immediately puts the European Union and countries including China, India, Mexico and Vietnam in the potential firing line, based on U.S. trade data.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen on Friday called Trump’s plan a “step in the wrong direction” and an act of self-harm. By raising tariffs, the U.S. “is taxing its own citizens, raising costs for business, stifling growth and fueling inflation,” she said.

Reaction was swift from other major U.S. trading partners. During a joint conference with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Thursday, Trump said the two countries would start trade negotiations. Indian officials Friday said they’re looking to boost oil and gas imports from the U.S. — a vow that countries from Japan to Vietnam have already made.

Asian exporters

In Tokyo on Friday, Japan also said it’s reaching out to Washington to start discussions. Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te pledged to boost military spending in a sign of further cooperation with the US against China. South Korea— which along with Japan was singled out by a White House official on a call with reporters — released a statement highlighting the low effective tariff rate on U.S. goods.

Trump’s plan would, if implemented, mark a departure from how the U.S. has approached tariffs for almost a century and deal a major blow to global trading rules now based on countries granting each other what are known as “most favored nation” tariffs unless they sign special trade deals. It would also turn the definition on its head — reciprocity has up until now referred to lower tariffs on goods.

“Trump is essentially trying to create a justification to impose high tariffs on whoever he wants,” said Sam Lowe, a partner at Flint Global in London, where he heads their trade and market access practice.

Fundamental change, Trump advisers said, is what’s needed. “The idea here is historic and it’s really about a revolution in how the international trading system is organized,” Peter Navarro, a senior trade adviser, told Bloomberg Television.  

With his order Trump is also reaching beyond the usual boundaries of his trade fights to how countries collect taxes, apply regulations and standards, and other so-called non-tariff barriers. 

Trump singled out the use of value-added taxes, which he and his advisors argue give exporters from other countries an unfair advantage over U.S. ones. More than 160 countries in the world use VAT or similar consumption levies, according to the International Monetary Fund. The U.S., however, bases its national taxes on income.

In the EU and other economies that use them, Trump and his advisors argue, the ability to claim a VAT rebate when products are exported gives European companies an unfair advantage as imports from the U.S. are charged VAT of 15-20% or higher depending on the member country. 

“A VAT tax is a tariff,” Trump told reporters Thursday. 

Many economists disagree. “Defining a VAT to be a trade barrier isn’t just questionable economics (the VAT is the same on imports and domestic production), it also basically forecloses negotiation, as the EU and others aren’t in a fiscal position to negotiate away its tax base,” Brad Setser, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a former US Treasury official, wrote on X. 

In a note to clients, Paul Ashworth, chief North America economist at Capital Economics, said Trump’s plan was likely to have a more damaging impact on the U.S. economy than his previous universal tariff idea.

Just adding the average most-favored nation tariff rate of countries to their VATs would lead to significant reciprocal U.S. tariffs on some of the U.S.’s top trading partners, he wrote. If the U.S. imposes reciprocal tariffs that add VAT rates and MFN tariff rates together, the countries most hit would be India with a rate of 29%, Brazil and the EU. 

Such duties alone, Ashworth wrote, would lead to an increase in the average effective tariffs rate on all U.S. imports from 3% currently to around 20%. It would also lead to a temporary rebound in U.S. inflation to around 4% later this year.

The EU stipulates that countries must apply a VAT rate of no less than 15% on most goods and services, though it leaves decisions on actual levels and exemptions to member states. According to ING calculations, the VAT across the 27-nation bloc averaged 21.5% in 2023.

By targeting VAT the U.S. is relaunching a long-running trade fight. 

The U.S. and Europe have battled over the treatment of VAT and income taxes in global trading rules since the 1960s with the EU challenging multiple mechanisms the U.S. set up in the 1970s and ’80s to offer a similar export rebate on U.S. corporate taxes levied against revenues. The EU eventually won a World Trade Organization challenge to those mechanisms in the 1990s and since then the U.S. has had no similar export rebates. 

Erica York, vice president of federal tax policy at the nonpartisan Tax Foundation, said the Trump administration’s view of VAT reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of how the tax works. VATs don’t discriminate against foreign goods since domestically produced ones face the same taxes in the countries they are sold, she said.

Consumption taxes

“The goal of a value-added tax is to tax domestic consumption,” York said. “There’s no discrimination based on where something was made. It’s just a tax on the stuff that people in a country are buying.”

But Trump’s grievances with other countries go beyond that by targeting regulations and other non-tariff barriers that U.S. goods face overseas. 

“We’re going to look at everything,” Jamieson Greer, who is due to become U.S. Trade Representative, told reporters on Thursday, including what he called “fake” anti-trust regimes. 

The EU has for years targeted U.S. tech giants like Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc.’s Google for scrutiny in competition investigations that have led to hefty fines. The U.S. has also long complained about how the EU and other countries like Japan regulate food imports such as beef and chicken, as well as other U.S. exports like chemicals and genetically modified crop seeds.

In the memorandum signed Thursday, Trump ordered officials to include in their tariff calculations “any other practice that” they conclude “imposes any unfair limitation on market access or any structural impediment to fair competition with the market economy of the United States.” 

As with many of Trump’s trade actions, optimists believe that they could lead to trade agreements that will avoid the disruptive economic impact of tariffs likely to provoke retaliation by other countries and lead to higher prices and slower growth. 

John Veroneau, a partner at law firm Covington & Burling LLP who served as a senior trade official in the administration of President George W. Bush, said Trump’s latest move represents a significant broadening out of his trade conflicts. 

“He has raised the stakes. This is now a global enterprise,” Veroneau said, calling it a “huge step” away from the global trading rules first laid out in the 1947 General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. 

‘New phase’

The U.S. is signaling “the start of a new phase in global trade” in which the U.S. uses its power not to influence global rules but the bilateral trade in goods, he said. The best hope, Veroneau said, is that the U.S. can negotiate new deals that don’t lead to escalating trade wars over tariffs.

Equities rose in Asia and Europe on Friday, with traders optimistic that the timeline for reciprocal tariffs provided enough room to negotiate. Setser said that shouldn’t last long as investors “will eventually realize that this is a path to real tariff hikes,” he wrote on X. 

Jennifer Hillman, who served as both a senior U.S. trade official and a member of the WTO’s highest court, said the plan laid out by Trump and his advisors would be immensely complex to implement, would likely to lead to chaos and require more funding for border authorities

Interfering in how other countries collect taxes and impose regulations would also inevitably lead to a backlash against the U.S., said Hillman, now a senior fellow at the Council of Foreign Relations.

“We’re just going to make America hated again,” she said. “At some level, for these other countries, it’s just like ‘who are you to tell us that we can’t regulate our own economy?'”

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Tariffs collide with taxes in Trump bill

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The tax reconciliation bill making its way through Congress is expected to add trillions of dollars to the national debt, but the Trump administration hopes to offset the cost through income from tariffs. Accountants are helping worried companies deal with the possible fallout.

“Obviously, tariffs create a lot of uncertainty,” said Tom Alongi, a partner and U.S. national manufacturing practice leader at UHY, a Top 50 Firm based in Farmington Hills, Michigan. “But with uncertainty for U.S. manufacturers, it creates a lot of opportunity. And for those that are contract manufacturers that use a lot of offshoring, it creates a tremendous amount of angst, especially among the auto industry that really over the last three decades has turned into a global supply chain as we’ve been in a race to the bottom to reduce costs.”

UHY has been helping CFOs deal with the changing tariff policies coming out of the White House. “A lot of companies don’t even realize how deep some of their supply chain and where some of their raw material and purchased components ultimately originate,” said Alongi. 

That involves quantifying the impact, understanding the origin of components and raw materials, and where that fits in the Harmonized System that’s administered by the International Trade Administration, making sure everything is classified correctly. 

The Trump administration hopes to convince more companies to relocate their manufacturing operations to the U.S. But companies are also looking at changing their sourcing to other countries if they’ve been relying too heavily on Chinese-made supplies amid the ever-changing tariff pronouncements.

“That uncertainty does create challenges within our clients of allocation of capital,” said Alongi. “Do I make big bets to transition if I have a huge amount of risk that is isolated in a certain country? What do we potentially do to mitigate that risk?”

Auto manufacturers need to look at the proposed changes to tax credits in the tax bill, including reductions in electric vehicle tax credits and other tax incentives for renewable energy.

“I always knew that it is a great alternative source that fits certain consumers, but I never believed that it was going to take over the world,” said Alongi, who has been driving an EV for over seven years. “The tax credits create a behavior, and they incentivize people to drive electric.” 

The shortcomings in the national infrastructure for charging EV batteries disincentivize broader takeup, and the disappearance of the tax credits would make the vehicles even less affordable.

CBIZ, a Top 10 Firm based in Cleveland, launched an Integrated Tariff Solutions program earlier this month for its clients nationwide, offering support across finance, operations, supply chain strategy, tax and compliance. 

“Like so many other middle-market companies, certainly the larger companies, in this environment, there’s more demand for advice on mitigating exposure,” said Mark Baran, managing director of CBIZ’s National Tax Office. “Tariffs have been relatively low for a long time, and now the supply chain, pricing, vendor relationships and locations of where goods are manufactured need a fresh look.”

Different industries are looking for help, including manufacturing, construction and import. “They’re really looking at how to mitigate these costs, which don’t appear to be slowing down,” said Baran. “It could be temporary, but it’s not right now. So we have developed a number of different avenues to assist our clients, whether it’s evaluating inventory and how to properly account for inventory, whether it’s seeking to help them find locations in the U.S. if they want to bring their manufacturing back to the U.S. and do that in a tax efficient manner. We’re looking at intercompany transactions and layering transfer pricing concepts onto customs, seeing if we could help with savings in that regard. Depending upon what a client does and their structure, there’s probably a number of ways you can tackle tariffs and get ahead of it. “

Customs valuations are important. “It’s really ensuring that you have an accurate customs valuation, and oftentimes that wasn’t looked at accurately, and there are savings that can result from that,” said Baran. “These are considered an intercompany framework, oftentimes on the businesses that are most impacted by this. Looking at that structure is another way of doing this, not just not just transfer pricing, but location-based analysis. It’s taking what has been decades of international tax knowledge and layering on customs, and that’s providing a framework that’s been tested and works and is valuable.”

Baran has also been keeping a close eye on developments with the overall tax legislation. House Republicans have come under pressure from President Trump to finalize the bill this week, but that won’t be the end of the story. “What’s waiting for them at the Senate tells me that this bill may not look the same because there’s already opposition from the Senate, and the Senate has a lot of rules that they need to follow,” said Baran. “The Senate has concerns, and the Senate instructions in the budget reconciliation concurrent resolution are very different than the House, so you may have a House and a Senate that’s producing two completely different bills. While it’s nice to report and discuss all of the changes that are coming out of the House, I think people should just keep in mind that the Senate is next, and do not assume that they will follow suit. So the ultimate bill that’s eventually produced is going to look a lot different than it does now.”

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Fastest-growing accounting firms spend double on marketing

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The fastest-growing accounting firms spend twice as much on their marketing budget than all other firms, according to a new study.

The Association for Accounting Marketing, in collaboration with the Hinge Research Institute, surveyed over 87 firms — representing 1,037 offices and 66,000 employees — about the drivers behind the marketing performance of the fastest-growing firms. 

High-growth firms invest two-thirds more in employer branding and recruiting, and they budget more for conferences and events, the data found. 

AAM logo

When it comes to marketing budgets, the fastest-growing firms spent 2.1% of their revenue versus low-growth firms, which spent 1%. Some of that money is invested in marketing teams. High-growth firms have a higher ratio of marketing staff to full-time equivalents (1:49) compared to other firms (1:57). However, the average salary of a high-growth firm team member is 27% less than at the slowest-growing firms. 

“When it comes to marketing, the accounting industry tends to be risk averse and invests less than most other professional services industries,” Liz Harr, managing partner at Hinge, said in a statement. “But the data shows that those that spend more on marketing are getting superior results.”

High-growth firms also spend 66% more on recruiting talent and developing their employer brands — the reputation, culture, employee experiences and marketing that entices potential hires to choose their firm over another — than low-growth firms. 

(Read more: “The 2025 Fastest-Growing Firms”)

Finally, the fastest-growing firms spend 21% more of their marketing budget on conferences and other in-person events than their peers, with high-growth firms allocating 30% of their budget versus low-growth firms allocating 25%. 

“Today’s high-performing accounting firms are taking a somewhat more balanced approach to marketing,” AAM president Laura Metz said in a statement. “Digital and content marketing budgets are on the rise, but perhaps more than anything, high-growth firms are focused on nurturing relationships in person, whether at industry conferences or their own client appreciation events. These gatherings aren’t just line items, they’re growth strategies where the strongest connections, best leads and boldest brand moments take shape.”

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Trump says tax bill ‘close’ as holdouts threaten to sink it

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President Donald Trump said his massive tax package is close to being finalized, having notched a deal over the state and local tax deduction, but the White House has yet to win over a faction of conservatives who want more austere spending cuts.

“We’re doing very well. It’s very close,” Trump told reporters Wednesday.

House Speaker Mike Johnson announced Wednesday that he had an agreement with lawmakers from high-tax states to increase the limit on the SALT deduction to $40,000. 

“The members of the SALT caucus negotiated yesterday in good faith,” Representative Mike Lawler, a New York Republican, told Bloomberg Television. “We settled on something that we believe in, we support.”

However, several hardline Republicans said House GOP leaders aren’t honoring concessions the White House promised them and are threatening to tank the bill. 

But the White House says they never made a deal, instead presenting some of the conservative holdouts with a menu of policy options that the Trump administration can live with, a White House official said. 

The White House made clear to conservatives they would have to persuade their moderate colleagues to sign onto those ideas, the official said, a challenging feat given Republicans’ narrow and fractious House majority.

Trump and Johnson plan to meet with some of the ultraconservative lawmakers at the White House at 3 p.m., a person familiar with the plans said. That meeting will be an opportunity to strike a deal, the Trump official said.

Ultraconservative Representative Andy Harris of Maryland cast the conversations with the White House as a “midnight deal” for deeper cuts in Medicaid and faster elimination of Biden-era clean energy tax breaks.

“I’m sorry, but that’s a pay grade above the speaker,” Harris said. 

Harris said the bill doesn’t reflect that agreement and hardliners will block the package if it comes to a vote. Representative Ralph Norman, an ultraconservative from South Carolina, said the bill “doesn’t have the votes. It’s not even close.”

Freedom Caucus members said they aren’t moving the goal posts by asking for more spending cuts than the budget outline they already voted for. They said they want to rearrange the spending cuts to focus on ending “abuse” in Medicaid and immediately ending green energy tax breaks.

House Republicans leaders are also planning to accelerate new Medicaid work requirements to December 2026 from 2029 in a bid to satisfy ultraconservatives, according to a lawmaker familiar with the discussions. 

How deeply to cut safety-net programs such as food assistance and Medicaid health coverage for the poor and disabled has been a sticking point in reaching agreement on Trump’s tax bill, as Johnson attempts to navigate a narrow and fractious majority.

Harris and Norman spoke shortly after Johnson announced the SALT agreement on CNN. 

Johnson said there is “a chance” the package could come to a vote Wednesday.

But several ultraconservatives cast doubt on that. “There’s a long way to go,” said Representative Chip Roy of Texas, another Republican hardliner.

The speaker can only lose a handful of votes and still pass the bill, which is the centerpiece of Trump’s legislative agenda.

The $40,000 SALT limit would phase out for annual incomes greater than $500,000 for the 10-year length of the bill, Lawler said. The income phaseout threshold would grow 1% a year over a decade, a person familiar with the matter said.

The cap is the same for both individual taxpayers and married couples filing jointly, the person added.

Another person described the income phase-out as gradual, so that taxpayers earning more than $500,000 would not be punished.

Several lawmakers —  New York’s Lawler, Nick LaLota, Andrew Garbarino and Elise Stefanik; New Jersey’s Tom Kean, and Young Kim of California — have threatened to reject any tax package that does not raise the SALT cap sufficiently.

The current write-off is capped at $10,000, a limit imposed in Trump’s first-term tax cut bill. Previously, there was no limit on the SALT deduction and the deduction would again be uncapped if Trump’s first-term tax law is allowed to expire at the end of this year.

Johnson’s plan expands upon the $30,000 cap for individuals and couples included in the initial version of the tax bill released last week. That draft called for phasing down the deduction for those earning $400,000 or more. That plan was quickly rejected by several lawmakers from high-tax districts who called the plan insultingly low.

The acceleration of new Medicaid work requirements could become an issue in the midterm elections — which fall just one month earlier — with Democrats eager to criticize Republicans for restricting health benefits for low-income households. 

House leaders’ initial version of legislation pushed back the new requirements until after the next presidential election.

The earlier date for the Medicaid work requirement could alienate several Republicans from swing districts concerned about cuts to the healthcare program. It is also likely to provoke a backlash in the Senate.

It will be very difficult for states to implement the work requirements in a year and a half, said Matt Salo, a consultant who advises health care companies and formerly worked for the National Association of Medicaid Directors.

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