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Trump’s $2K tariff ‘dividend’ marks throwback to COVID checks

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President Donald Trump’s idea of mailing $2,000 “dividend” payments from tariffs to U.S. citizens marks a throwback to the stimulus checks distributed during the COVID crisis, with similar economic risks.

After floating the idea of tariff dividend payouts for months, Trump on Sunday offered the specific amount of “at least $2,000 a person.” He said the recipients wouldn’t include high-income individuals, without specifying a threshold.

While the president has repeatedly touted the billions raised in tariff revenue this year, such a plan — which would likely require congressional approval — could cost the U.S. government double what it’s projected to take in for 2025, one estimate shows. It would also undercut Trump’s argument that such revenue will be used to help start paying down federal debt — a claim economists say is unlikely anytime soon, with the government running near-$2 trillion budget deficits.

Back in December 2020, Trump was pressing U.S. lawmakers to amp up pandemic-aid checks to $2,000 from the $600 that they went on to approve. His successor Joe Biden made up the $1,400 gap in his American Rescue Plan in March 2021.

Some economists now blame excess federal payouts for contributing to the 2021-22 inflation surge — the worst since the early 1980s. More than four years on, consumer-price increases still haven’t returned to pre-COVID levels, raising the risk that a fresh wave of cash-drops into U.S. households stokes inflation again.

‘Deeply irresponsible’

Trump hasn’t specified how the mechanics of a $2,000 payout would work, or whether he’s seeking legislation to approve the “dividends,” though National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said on Fox News Monday that indeed Congress would need to approve the payout.

“It’s a terrible idea,” Paul Krugman, the Nobel laureate in economics, said on Bloomberg Television Monday. “The idea that, hey, we’re going to take one source of revenue and use it to hand out money when we’re meanwhile going ever-deeper into federal debt — that’s deeply irresponsible.”

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, a centrist watchdog group, totted up a preliminary calculation of a $600 billion cost for the proposal, if the dividends were designed along COVID-payment lines. Net U.S. tariff revenue for the fiscal year through September totaled $195 billion, while many economists have penciled in around $300 billion for calendar-year 2025.

Another complication: The Supreme Court is weighing the legality of Trump’s import duties imposed using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. If those go on to be invalidated, it would take seven years before the government raised enough tariff revenue to cover the full cost of the dividend checks, the CRFB said in an email Monday.

Bessent’s framing

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested on ABC’s This Week that the $2,000 might not be a check at all, but rather could be thought of as tariff-funded tax relief embedded in Trump’s signature tax legislation enacted in July.

“It could be just the tax decreases that we are seeing on the president’s agenda — no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, no tax on Social Security – deductibility on auto loans,” Bessent said.

In other words, no net new “dividend” payout, though Bessent also said he hadn’t spoken with Trump about the matter.

On Monday, Trump again posted on the payout idea on Truth Social, saying that the tariff revenue money “left over from the $2,000 payments” would be used to “substantially pay down national debt.” 

For now, the record influx of customs revenue is going toward limiting fiscal deficits. It would take a shift to outright surpluses for federal debt to be reduced in nominal terms. The government last saw an annual surplus more than two decades ago, and deficits now are, by contrast, historically wide.

Should the Supreme Court rule that Trump’s IEEPA-invoked tariffs are unlawful and order refund payments, that could also see federal borrowing needs increase for a time as that process unfolds.

“If it was illegally collected, there is supposed to be a remedy for that,” said Lawrence Friedman, customs and export controls partner at Barnes, Richardson & Colburn, LLP.

The administration hasn’t suggested its remedy could be to offer payouts to individual American citizens.

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Accounting

Continuous Auditing Transforms Corporate ERPs

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continuous auditing transforms corporate erps

As corporate accounting departments cross the threshold into late July 2026, the adoption of continuous, automated auditing systems has reached a definitive turning point. Driven by advances in artificial intelligence and deep integration with modern Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) platforms, leading finance organizations are moving away from traditional, periodic post-hoc audits in favor of real-time, 100% transactional verification. This technological transition is redefining internal control environments, reducing compliance costs, and eliminating the structural delays inherent in legacy quarterly closing processes.

Unlike traditional auditing frameworks that rely on statistical sampling—a process that inevitably leaves operational blind spots—continuous auditing software monitors operational data feeds continuously. Every purchase order, electronic invoice, payroll disbursement, and cross-border wire transfer is automatically cross-referenced against established corporate governance parameters, regulatory tax schedules, and anti-fraud algorithms in real time. Anomalies or unauthorized ledger entries are flagged instantly, allowing internal audit teams to investigate and remediate compliance gaps immediately rather than months after the close of a financial period.

The implications for executive financial management are far-reaching. By embedding continuous verification directly into daily transaction workflows, chief financial officers gain uninterrupted visibility into the organization’s true financial standing. Real-time balance sheet auditing eliminates the severe operational bottlenecks associated with month-end and quarter-end financial reconciliations, freeing accounting professionals to focus on strategic financial modeling, tax planning, and capital allocation rather than manual data entry and spreadsheet consolidation.

However, implementing continuous auditing requires accounting leadership to invest heavily in data governance and technical upskilling. Internal audit teams must evolve from manual ledger reviewers into system architects capable of auditing complex algorithms and validating automated data pipelines. Accounting firms and corporate controllers that master continuous auditing will establish a resilient compliance framework capable of meeting stringent international regulatory standards with total transparency.

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Accounting

U.S. Imposes New 50% Tariffs on Canadian Imports Under Rare Legal Provision

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U.S. Imposes New 50% Tariffs on Canadian Imports Under Rare Legal Provision

WASHINGTON — In a major escalation of cross-border trade friction, U.S. President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing new 50% tariffs on a wide selection of Canadian exports, citing discriminatory practices by Ottawa targeting American auto, dairy, and beverage industries.

The new duties, announced Monday, will take effect in 30 days. They target a broad spectrum of consumer and industrial goods—ranging from wine, liquor, and milk products to commercial cement, furniture, clothing, and hockey equipment.

Untested Legal Mechanism

To enact the sweeping measures, the administration invoked Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930—a rarely used legal provision allowing the executive branch to levy additional tariffs of up to 50% on foreign nations deemed to discriminate against U.S. commerce.

White House officials noted that Section 338 addresses trade discrimination rather than national security or economic emergencies. The move comes months after prior global emergency tariffs faced legal challenges in domestic courts, signaling Washington’s pivot toward alternate statutory authorities to maintain import duties.

Senior administration officials briefed reporters that the measure directly responds to Canadian provincial bans on U.S. alcohol, restrictions on American vehicle exports, and import quota disparities affecting U.S. dairy and cheese producers relative to third-party trading partners.

“While the administration continues to secure reciprocal trade agreements globally, Canada retaliated against efforts to protect domestic industry,” U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer stated.

USMCA Impact and Carve-Outs

Significantly, the newly ordered 50% duties will apply to designated items even if they otherwise comply with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

However, the administration confirmed key targeted exemptions:

  • Energy products (including oil and natural gas)
  • Potash and critical minerals
  • Fish and seafood
  • Goods already governed by sector-specific duties (such as existing steel and aluminum tariffs)

Administration representatives emphasized that the tariffs do not stem from recent disputes concerning drifting Canadian wildfire smoke, noting that policy options regarding environmental spillover remain under separate review.

Canadian Response and Market Reaction

Following the White House announcement, the Canadian dollar experienced a sharp decline against the U.S. dollar, falling approximately 0.4% during evening trading.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney issued a statement emphasizing that Canada’s earlier counter-duties had merely matched previous U.S. trade actions. “Canada stands ready to engage intensively to address outstanding issues with the U.S. to the mutual benefit of our citizens,” Carney stated, pointing to detailed proposals Ottawa submitted to modernize the USMCA framework.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford took a firmer stance, urging a “dollar-for-dollar” reciprocal response if the measures go into effect on August 19.

With a 30-day implementation window before the duties officially lock in, industry associations and trade groups on both sides of the border are calling for urgent bilateral negotiations to avert further supply chain disruption across North America.

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Accounting

Automated Continuous Auditing: Transforming Compliance and Real-Time Financial Oversight

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Transforming Compliance and Real-Time Financial Oversight

The traditional accounting paradigm—defined by periodic monthly closures and post-hoc annual audits—is rapidly giving way to continuous, automated financial oversight. As of July 2026, forward-thinking accounting practices and multinational corporate finance departments are leveraging continuous auditing systems powered by advanced machine learning models. These systems monitor operational transactions in real time, shifting audit methodologies from sample-based post-analysis to absolute, 100% transaction-level verification.

The operational advantages of continuous auditing are transformative. Standard auditing procedures historically relied on statistical sampling, which, despite rigorous methodology, inherently left gaps where anomalies or fraudulent transactions could go undetected for months. Modern continuous auditing platforms integrate directly with enterprise resource planning (ERP) databases, instantly cross-referencing purchase orders, invoices, bank feeds, and tax records. Any deviation from established control parameters or unusual transaction behavior triggers immediate flags for internal audit teams, dramatically reducing detection lag from quarters to seconds.

Beyond fraud prevention, continuous auditing fundamentally alters internal reporting and decision-making. Executive leadership no longer has to wait weeks after the close of a quarter to evaluate precise financial standing; real-time verified ledger data provides an uninterrupted view of operating margins, tax liabilities, and cash flow dynamics. This real-time visibility enables corporate controllers to adjust capital allocation strategies dynamically, mitigating liquidity constraints and capitalizing on emerging commercial opportunities far more efficiently than competitors bound to legacy reporting cycles.

However, implementing continuous auditing requires accounting professionals to acquire new analytical capabilities. The role of the auditor is evolving from manual data reconciliation toward system validation, algorithmic model governance, and strategic risk interpretation. Accounting firms and corporate finance departments must invest in continuous technical education, ensuring that audit staff possess the data engineering skills necessary to design, maintain, and evaluate complex automated compliance systems.

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