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Trump’s economic confidants battle for sway on tax, Fed policy

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Economic advisers in Donald Trump’s orbit are clashing over their favored policy ideas, a fight that is spilling into public view as they jockey for influence over the presumptive Republican presidential nominee’s second-term plans.

In recent weeks, informal advisers have floated ideas such as a proposal for a flat tax; penalties for countries that shift away from the U.S. dollar; and reforms to the Federal Reserve to give the president more control over the independent central bank.

The only problem with these ideas? Trump himself has not signed off on any of them and the unauthorized policy plans are annoying his top campaign staff.

While he has groused about the Chinese yuan, the high cost of housing or the Fed’s stubbornly high interest rates in passing conversations with advisers, he hasn’t voiced support for specific ideas to tackle these problems, nor has he requested a formal plan from his cadre of informal economic advisers,

The public jockeying and extreme ideas from various factions within Republican circles undercut the strategy of a remarkably disciplined campaign that has helped Trump cruise to the party’s nomination even as he’s mired in court cases. The plans, which often embrace fringe economic ideas, reinforce Trump’s political unorthodoxy, leaving voters — and markets — uncertain on what he would do with a second term.

Donald Trump at a rally in Pennsylvania
Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally in Schnecksville, Pennsylvania on April 13.

Hannah Beier/Photographer: Hannah Beier/Bloom

These economic trial balloons have infuriated top Trump campaign officials and created distractions as they prepare for the general election. The campaign is consumed with managing Trump’s appearances at his ongoing criminal trial in New York City involving hush-money payments, and figuring out ways to generate political momentum from the days in court. They are also busy strategizing how to win key swing states in November and planning fundraisers, as they try to close a wide campaign cash gap with President Joe Biden.

One person familiar with the proposals compared the recent raft of economic ideas to Trump officials frequently appearing on TV when he was president, in the hopes he would catch their appearance and they could shape his viewpoint. 

Policy plans

A handful of conservative think tanks have been generating white papers and collecting resumes to prepare for a return of Trump, including the Heritage Foundation, America First Policy Institute, Conservative Partnership Institute and the Center for Renewing America.

Trump is also receiving economic advice from former top officials, including director of the Office of Management and Budget Russ Vought, former U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, former head of the Council of Economic Advisers Kevin Hassett and former National Economic Council director Larry Kudlow, along with wealthy donors including John Paulson and Scott Bessent, both of whom have been floated as potential candidates for Treasury secretary. Many of his key advisers don’t support ideas to meddle with the Fed.

For months, the Trump campaign has been trying to rein in proposals from various factions with limited success.

“Let us be very specific here: Unless a message is coming directly from President Trump or an authorized member of his campaign team, no aspect of future presidential staffing or policy announcements should be deemed official,” campaign managers Susie Wiles and Chris LaCivita said in a written statement to the media this winter.

Monetary policy battle

Whether and how to rein in the Federal Reserve’s power is one of the most divisive issues among Republicans. During Trump’s first term in the White House, he often tried to pressure the Fed and Chair Jerome Powell to keep interest rates low.

It’s an open question whether Trump in a second term would select Fed officials and other White House aides that would want to keep the central bank independent, said Nathan Sheets, the global chief economist at Citigroup Inc.

“Any kind of policy that eroded independence in an appreciable way would be greeted by the markets very vigorously and adversely and would be a source of great pressure and volatility,” he said. “I think it would be such a problem that any gains a political actor might think that they would glean from undercutting Fed independence would be so small compared to the potential costs that they might have.”

Trump isn’t the first president to try to exert influence over the Fed by advocating for rate cuts and more dovish policies. 

Richard Nixon famously called for rate cuts, which made inflation roar back to life in the 1970s. In a 1984 White House meeting between President Ronald Reagan, White House chief of staff James Baker and then Fed Chair Paul Volcker, Baker pressured the central bank chief not to raise interest rates before the election.

Trump repeatedly criticized the Fed and Powell in 2018, when the central bank was still raising interest rates, and into 2019, even threatening to fire Powell. The Fed started cutting rates in the summer of 2019.

Fed independence

“We act like, ‘Oh my god, this could never happen.’ But it’s not like it hasn’t been attempted or succeeded in the past. It’s just that it was always being done through subterfuge because no one would have the gall to just come out and do it. But gall is not an issue for Trump,” said Stephen Myrow, a managing partner at Beacon Policy Advisers and a former George W. Bush Treasury official.

A few outside Trump advisers have discussed ways to give the president the power to oust Powell before his term ends in 2026.

Given the Fed’s independence as an institution, Trump cannot fire or replace Powell and instantly change monetary policy. All decisions made by the Federal Reserve require approval by the Board of Governors, so even one or two potential Trump nominees could be outvoted.

“The executive branch has already taken over monetary policy. Janet Yellen has used Treasury policy to usurp monetary policy and ease financial conditions. Her actions are one reason rate hikes have been ineffective,” Bessent, a Trump donor, said in an interview, refuting the notion Trump is seeking a major change. “President Trump and his economic team understand that the one thing that anchors medium and long-term rates is the Fed’s credibility.”

–With assistance from Stephanie Lai and Rich Miller.

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Major tax legislation set to move on Capitol Hill

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The “big beautiful bill” touted by President Trump is getting closer, though the timeline remains imprecise. 

“There’s been some public reporting on tougher questions of spending cuts, but the difference between the tax bill this year and the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2017 is that the inclusion of a lot of spending cuts in the same bill makes it more challenging this year. From the bill itself several categories are apparent,” said Stephen Eckert, a partner in the National Tax Office of Top 25 Firm Plante Moran. “There’s the extension of the TCJA extension, campaign promises, and a catch-all category. In some ways we would expect an extension of the vast majority of TCJA provisions, plus the campaign promises as well as potentially all the other things that get thrown in that we didn’t expect.”

“For example, S.711, the Transportation Freedom Act, sponsored by [Sen. Bernie Moreno, R-Ohio], which would give a 200% deduction for wages paid to auto workers. There is a broader category of things that could be coming to support certain industries,” he continued. 

U.S. Capitol

Bloomberg/Bloomberg via Getty Images

One looming question regarding campaign promises is the potential modification of the Inflation Reduction Act and green energy incentives, Ecker noted: “There has been opposition to certain changes there from Republicans — we’re watching to see what happens to the fate of energy efficient credits and incentives and to what extent they are modified under the bill.”

The House and the Senate are working in parallel, waiting for legislative text, he observed. “The non-tax portions of the bill will be worked on earlier, but until we get the actual text from the House Ways and Means  Committee, there will be questions. For example, there are multiple versions of some of the Trump proposals, such as the proposal to exclude tips and Social Security benefits from income. Each one is a little bit different. We expect changes but it’s unclear what the changes will be.”

Principles or tactics?

For Eckert, the real questions are about where the red lines are for certain members. For example, there have been statements  by some House members that they won’t vote for the bill if it includes a cap on state and local tax deductions. 

But are those actual red lines, or negotiating positions that will be softened? 

“At this point, businesses would just like some degree of certainty going forward,” he said. “Until then, it’s hard to engage in longer term planning. Hopefully, the bill will advance relatively soon so businesses will know what will be the law for the next couple of years and have a chance to plan for the future.”

The House and Senate are both actively working on their versions, and they are constantly interacting with each other, according to Miklos Ringbauer, founder of MiklosCPA in Southern California. “So instead of having A and B and then trying to figure out what they can create out of it, they are now jointly working on it, so it has a greater chance of passing across the board,” he explained.

However, there’s a bit of a gap in the size of the budget cuts in each bill, with the Senate version pegged at less of a cut than the House. And some want to double the SALT limitation, while some would prefer to see it go away altogether. 

“Likewise,the estate tax exemption,” he continued. “There are some that would like to see the entire estate qualify as exempt from tax. Those are some of the ideas floating around, but until it’s voted on by both chambers and the president signs it, there’s no law. Everything can change until the very last minute.”

Ringbauer noted that the TCJA required technical corrections and extensive guidance when it was passed in 2017, and he anticipates the same with this year’s bill: “There’s a very short overall window because the 2017 laws are expiring at the end of this year. Between May and December we have just a few months.”

“It looks like everyone is on board with expanding the availability of the Child Tax Credit on the individual side. It helped a lot of families at that time. It helped a number of families to get out of poverty,” he noted.

The reenactment of 100% bonus depreciation and the opportunity to fully expense R&D will be boons to business if they are, as expected, part of the legislation.

“It’s an exciting year for tax accountants; we are seeing a huge transformation of tax laws all over again,” Ringbauer said. “What could happen is, they simply reenact every part of the 2017 tax law legislation, or they could figure out what really worked and what didn’t work, and start adjusting some things and letting other ones expire.”

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IESBA offers Q&A on tax planning ethical standards

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The International Ethics Standards Board for Accountants staff posted a questions and answers publication Thursday to support the adoption and implementation of its IESBA Tax Planning and Related Services Standards

The standards offer a principles-based framework and a global ethical benchmark to guide accountants in public practice and in business when they’re doing tax planning.

The Q&A publication highlights, illustrates and explains various aspects of the standards to help firms, jurisdictional standard-setters and accounting organizations adopt and implement the standards, and individual accountants apply them. The publication can also help tax authorities, the corporate governance community, investors, business preparers, educational bodies or institutions, and other stakeholders understand the standards.

The Tax Planning and Related Services standards take effect July 1, 2025.

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Firms: PMS’s, tech infrastructure, need upgrades

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Tech-forward CPA firms–including those listed in this year’s Best Firms for Technology–reported a variety of areas in need of a tech upgrade, and are planning major investments over the next year to address at least some of these pain points. 

One of the most commonly mentioned areas were firm practice management systems. 

Some, like California-based Navolio and Tallman, wanted better reporting options than were currently on offer from their practice management systems. New Jersey-based Wilken Gutenplan, meanwhile, said they needed practice management software with better billing and reporting features. And others, like top 25 firm Citrin Cooperman, wanted better solutions for internal administrative tasks. Meanwhile, top 100 firm Prager Metis, wanted better workflow and integrations. 

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“[We plan to] focus on improving inward facing practice management workflows that seamlessly provide connectivity between different vendor applications. Effectively automation from client intake to delivering the service,” said chief information officer Gurjit Singh. 

However, such upgrades are not always easy, and in fact can present a major challenge for firms such as Iowa-based Community CPA and Associates. 

“Our biggest technology challenge continues to be managing technical debt and navigating the limitations of our legacy systems—particularly the lack of interoperability and scalability in key platforms like our practice management system (PMS). This system handles many interconnected functions—client tracking, engagement and project management, time entry, billing, and collections—but its tightly integrated design makes it difficult to enhance any one area without impacting others. While we’ve made progress with some integrations and automations, we’re still working to develop and migrate these functions to more robust modern platforms that allow for greater scalability,” said CEO Ying Sa. 

Firms also reported a need to update and improve their technology infrastructure. Top 25 firm Armanino, for instance, was expanding its cloud footprint even further, with the firm wanting to move its remaining on-premise dependencies into native cloud solutions. Illinois-based Mowery and Schoenfeld, similarly, pointed to their server infrastructure as an area that needs updating. 

For others, though, the question of infrastructure was less about hardware and more about software. In particular, while firms have already made upgrades and improvements to their tech stack, getting these programs to talk to each other seems to be a consistent challenge across firms, one that firms such top 50 firm LBMC said they were eager to address in both their client-facing and back-office technology solutions. 

“Our firm’s biggest technology challenge is the ongoing effort to integrate various service-specific applications so they can work seamlessly together. This integration is crucial for enhancing collaboration and efficiency across different service lines,” said CEO Jim Meade. 

But while these were the more common answers, there were many other areas that firms said could stand some improvement. Some, such as the Florida-based Network Firm, were looking to upgrade core service solutions like audit, tax or data analytics software. Others named process efficiency as a priority, such as top 25 firm Cherry Bekaert who named automation readiness/standardization for certain practices as an area due for an upgrade, or top 50 firm UHY who said they were working to streamline the engagement life cycle. 

And of course there were those, such as top 25 firm Eisner Amper, that wanted to boost their AI capacities. 

“Our focus for technology capability additions are in Generative AI where it can help us work smarter and faster—across both client-facing services and internal operations,” said chief technology officer Sanjay Desai. 

AI, automation and infrastructure

These pain points have served to inform these firms’ plans for technology investments over the next year. While firms, just like before, provided a wide variety of plans and priorities, most seemed focused on improved efficiency and insights through automation and AI. 

However, when it came to AI tools at least, most declined to provide specifics beyond their overall intentions to invest in them. Though, they did say they were hoping to use these solutions to speed up workflows in client-facing service areas like tax or audit, or to acquire tools that would let them create or modify their own AIs. 

More expansive visions came when discussing the kinds of hardware purchases that would support these aforementioned AI tools. California-based Navolio and Tallman, for example, elaborated on its plans to purchase new laptops specifically optimized for AI applications. 

“We’re planning to invest in a new generation of laptops that come with Copilot-enabled Neural Processing Units (NPUs). These laptops are designed to accelerate AI-powered tasks, and we see them as an investment that keeps our firm aligned with the future of the tech industry. The laptops will have improved internal specs for multitasking and include touchscreen functionality to make day-to-day usage more intuitive,” said IT partner Stephanie Ringrose. Other firms also made mention of new laptops optimized for AI, including Armanino, which added that it is also considering pairing them with hardwire and storage for internal AI production. 

Beyond hardware, firms like Community CPA and Associates also said they were planning investments in their software infrastructure as well. 

“We plan to begin transitioning to a new ERP and CRM platform as well as explore agentic AI tools for saving time in our accounting services workflows for our clients. We also intend to purchase replacement hardware for routine replacement of equipment that has reached the end of their lifecycle,” said Sa. Cherry Bekaert also said they were looking into new ERPs. 

Other planned investments include virtual servers and desktops, API access for SaaS applications, resource scheduling and pricing solutions, data management and governance tools, cybersecurity solutions, and internal communications software. 

However, some firms, such as the Network Firm, are not planning to purchase new solutions but to make them in-house, and more are planning to buy some and make others, such as Cherry Bekaert, who said they were building a custom intelligent automation platform. Assurance partner Jonathan Kraftchick said the firm is looking at many different avenues to align their technology investments with business objectives. 

“As our portfolio broadens, it introduces new layers of complexity to our operations, requiring cutting-edge systems that deliver actionable insights, enhance decision-making, and streamline internal processes. This challenge propels us to implement diverse technology solutions, meticulously tailored to meet the evolving demands of our expanding portfolio and ensure the seamless integration of new acquisitions,” he said. 

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