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Trump’s threatened tariffs fall far short of paying for tax cuts

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The tariffs President Donald Trump threatened against Canada, Mexico and China over the weekend roiled financial markets but they fall far short of duties the U.S. would need to offset the cost of extending his expiring 2017 tax cuts, economists estimate.

Those combined tariffs would raise less than a third of the estimated $4.6 trillion cost of extending Trump’s tax cuts over the next 10 years — if the import duties continued for a full decade, according to new projections of tariff revenue by nonpartisan tax and budget policy groups.

Trump held off on 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico ahead of a Tuesday deadline, saying he would pause the duties for a month, after both countries agreed to address his demands to do more to combat drug trafficking and illegal border crossings into the US. He proceeded with a 10% tariff on goods from China but indicated he hoped Beijing would meet demands he has made through negotiations.

The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates the tariff on Chinese imports would generate $200 billion over 10 years if maintained. And if the tariffs go into effect on imports from Mexico and Canada, those would generate $1.3 trillion. 

The Tax Foundation projects less revenue, estimating the combined tariffs on China, Mexico and Canada would generate as much as $1.1 trillion dollars over a decade. 

Republicans have promised to extend and expand the 2017 tax cuts while also reducing the deficit. Trump has pointed to revenue from higher tariffs as a way of defraying the cost of tax cuts and has even suggested that tariffs could eventually replace the income tax.

Even much more expansive tariffs Trump promoted during his election campaign — a 60% additional tariff on China and as much as 20% on all other nations — would fall short of the cost of offsetting a tax-cut extension, raising $3.8 trillion over a decade, according to the Tax Foundation.

Trump and congressional Republicans also have promised additional costly tax cuts, including exempting tips, Social Security benefits and overtime pay from the federal income tax, lowering the corporate income tax rate and raising the limit on deductions for state and local taxes, or SALT. The totality of the GOP plan could cost between $5 trillion and $11.2 trillion, according to estimates from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.

GOP lawmakers face a year-end deadline to extend the Trump tax cuts, and while the party broadly agrees that’s a priority, there is little consensus about how — or if — to offset the cost of those cuts.

‘Just negotiation threats’

Some Republicans have suggested including the tariffs in the legislation, which would allow congressional scorekeepers to count the tariff revenues as an offset for the tax cut, but it would also make it harder to use the tariffs as leverage to extract concessions in standoffs with trading partners, as Trump has demonstrated he’s keen to do.

All of the tariff revenue projections only work if no American president over the next 10 years works out a deal to resolve trade disputes and lower the duties, said Erica York, vice president of federal tax policy at the Tax Foundation.

“If they’re just negotiation threats, they’re not going to raise very much revenue at all,” York said. “If we’re looking at a three-month period of tariffs, that’s going to be a handful of billion dollars over a couple months, so not an offset by any means.”

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told senators last month part of Trump’s strategy would be to use tariffs as an option in negotiations with foreign countries.

Several economists also have raised concerns that duties on imports have greater economic costs than most other forms of taxation.

“Not only do you get the negative economic impact of the tax itself you’re imposing, you also invite foreign countries to retaliate,” York said. “That compounds the economic harm.”

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Accounting

Continuous Auditing Transforms Corporate ERPs

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continuous auditing transforms corporate erps

As corporate accounting departments cross the threshold into late July 2026, the adoption of continuous, automated auditing systems has reached a definitive turning point. Driven by advances in artificial intelligence and deep integration with modern Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) platforms, leading finance organizations are moving away from traditional, periodic post-hoc audits in favor of real-time, 100% transactional verification. This technological transition is redefining internal control environments, reducing compliance costs, and eliminating the structural delays inherent in legacy quarterly closing processes.

Unlike traditional auditing frameworks that rely on statistical sampling—a process that inevitably leaves operational blind spots—continuous auditing software monitors operational data feeds continuously. Every purchase order, electronic invoice, payroll disbursement, and cross-border wire transfer is automatically cross-referenced against established corporate governance parameters, regulatory tax schedules, and anti-fraud algorithms in real time. Anomalies or unauthorized ledger entries are flagged instantly, allowing internal audit teams to investigate and remediate compliance gaps immediately rather than months after the close of a financial period.

The implications for executive financial management are far-reaching. By embedding continuous verification directly into daily transaction workflows, chief financial officers gain uninterrupted visibility into the organization’s true financial standing. Real-time balance sheet auditing eliminates the severe operational bottlenecks associated with month-end and quarter-end financial reconciliations, freeing accounting professionals to focus on strategic financial modeling, tax planning, and capital allocation rather than manual data entry and spreadsheet consolidation.

However, implementing continuous auditing requires accounting leadership to invest heavily in data governance and technical upskilling. Internal audit teams must evolve from manual ledger reviewers into system architects capable of auditing complex algorithms and validating automated data pipelines. Accounting firms and corporate controllers that master continuous auditing will establish a resilient compliance framework capable of meeting stringent international regulatory standards with total transparency.

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U.S. Imposes New 50% Tariffs on Canadian Imports Under Rare Legal Provision

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U.S. Imposes New 50% Tariffs on Canadian Imports Under Rare Legal Provision

WASHINGTON — In a major escalation of cross-border trade friction, U.S. President Donald Trump has signed executive orders imposing new 50% tariffs on a wide selection of Canadian exports, citing discriminatory practices by Ottawa targeting American auto, dairy, and beverage industries.

The new duties, announced Monday, will take effect in 30 days. They target a broad spectrum of consumer and industrial goods—ranging from wine, liquor, and milk products to commercial cement, furniture, clothing, and hockey equipment.

Untested Legal Mechanism

To enact the sweeping measures, the administration invoked Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930—a rarely used legal provision allowing the executive branch to levy additional tariffs of up to 50% on foreign nations deemed to discriminate against U.S. commerce.

White House officials noted that Section 338 addresses trade discrimination rather than national security or economic emergencies. The move comes months after prior global emergency tariffs faced legal challenges in domestic courts, signaling Washington’s pivot toward alternate statutory authorities to maintain import duties.

Senior administration officials briefed reporters that the measure directly responds to Canadian provincial bans on U.S. alcohol, restrictions on American vehicle exports, and import quota disparities affecting U.S. dairy and cheese producers relative to third-party trading partners.

“While the administration continues to secure reciprocal trade agreements globally, Canada retaliated against efforts to protect domestic industry,” U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer stated.

USMCA Impact and Carve-Outs

Significantly, the newly ordered 50% duties will apply to designated items even if they otherwise comply with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA).

However, the administration confirmed key targeted exemptions:

  • Energy products (including oil and natural gas)
  • Potash and critical minerals
  • Fish and seafood
  • Goods already governed by sector-specific duties (such as existing steel and aluminum tariffs)

Administration representatives emphasized that the tariffs do not stem from recent disputes concerning drifting Canadian wildfire smoke, noting that policy options regarding environmental spillover remain under separate review.

Canadian Response and Market Reaction

Following the White House announcement, the Canadian dollar experienced a sharp decline against the U.S. dollar, falling approximately 0.4% during evening trading.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney issued a statement emphasizing that Canada’s earlier counter-duties had merely matched previous U.S. trade actions. “Canada stands ready to engage intensively to address outstanding issues with the U.S. to the mutual benefit of our citizens,” Carney stated, pointing to detailed proposals Ottawa submitted to modernize the USMCA framework.

Ontario Premier Doug Ford took a firmer stance, urging a “dollar-for-dollar” reciprocal response if the measures go into effect on August 19.

With a 30-day implementation window before the duties officially lock in, industry associations and trade groups on both sides of the border are calling for urgent bilateral negotiations to avert further supply chain disruption across North America.

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Accounting

Automated Continuous Auditing: Transforming Compliance and Real-Time Financial Oversight

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Transforming Compliance and Real-Time Financial Oversight

The traditional accounting paradigm—defined by periodic monthly closures and post-hoc annual audits—is rapidly giving way to continuous, automated financial oversight. As of July 2026, forward-thinking accounting practices and multinational corporate finance departments are leveraging continuous auditing systems powered by advanced machine learning models. These systems monitor operational transactions in real time, shifting audit methodologies from sample-based post-analysis to absolute, 100% transaction-level verification.

The operational advantages of continuous auditing are transformative. Standard auditing procedures historically relied on statistical sampling, which, despite rigorous methodology, inherently left gaps where anomalies or fraudulent transactions could go undetected for months. Modern continuous auditing platforms integrate directly with enterprise resource planning (ERP) databases, instantly cross-referencing purchase orders, invoices, bank feeds, and tax records. Any deviation from established control parameters or unusual transaction behavior triggers immediate flags for internal audit teams, dramatically reducing detection lag from quarters to seconds.

Beyond fraud prevention, continuous auditing fundamentally alters internal reporting and decision-making. Executive leadership no longer has to wait weeks after the close of a quarter to evaluate precise financial standing; real-time verified ledger data provides an uninterrupted view of operating margins, tax liabilities, and cash flow dynamics. This real-time visibility enables corporate controllers to adjust capital allocation strategies dynamically, mitigating liquidity constraints and capitalizing on emerging commercial opportunities far more efficiently than competitors bound to legacy reporting cycles.

However, implementing continuous auditing requires accounting professionals to acquire new analytical capabilities. The role of the auditor is evolving from manual data reconciliation toward system validation, algorithmic model governance, and strategic risk interpretation. Accounting firms and corporate finance departments must invest in continuous technical education, ensuring that audit staff possess the data engineering skills necessary to design, maintain, and evaluate complex automated compliance systems.

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