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Wholesale prices rose 0.2% in December, less than expected

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Customers shop for clothing at a Costco store on December 11, 2024 in Novato, California. 

Justin Sullivan | Getty Images

A measure of wholesale prices increased less than expected in December, providing indication that pipeline inflation pressures eased to close the year.

The producer price index rose just 0.2% on the month, less than the 0.4% increase in November and below the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 0.4%, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report Tuesday.

Excluding food and energy, so-called core PPI was flat compared to the forecast for a 0.3% rise. Excluding food, energy and trade services, the measure rose just 0.1%.

Goods prices increased 0.6%, pushed by a 9.7% surge in gasoline prices. Upward moves in several food and energy related measures were offset by a 14.7% slide in prices for fresh and dry vegetables.

On the services side, prices were flat, despite a 7.2% increase in passenger transportation that was offset by a fall in prices for traveler accommodation.

Stock market futures shot higher following the report while Treasury yields moved lower after pushing sharply higher in the early days of 2025.

The release is the first of two key inflation readings this week that likely will figure in to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later in January.

On Wednesday, the BLS will release its more closely watched reading on the consumer price index. That is expected to show 0.3% monthly gains on both the headline and core readings and respective annual inflation rates of 2.9% and 3.3%.

Though the central bank focuses more on the Commerce Department’s personal consumption expenditures price index as its main inflation gauge, PPI and CPI readings figure into that calculation.

Markets pricing overwhelmingly points to the Fed staying on hold at the Jan. 28-29 meeting. However, policymakers, and Chair Jerome Powell in particular, could lay the groundwork for what is ahead as far as rates go. Fed funds futures pricing Tuesday implied just one rate cut through the rest of the year; Bank of America economists on Monday said they think the Fed could be done this year.

This is breaking news. Please check back for updates.

Economics

America’s Supreme Court tackles a thorny voting-rights case

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Louisiana v Callais, a case the Supreme Court heard on March 24th, contains a political puzzle. Why is the solidly Republican state defending a congressional map that cost the party a seat in 2024—and will likely keep that seat in Democratic hands after the 2026 midterms, when the fight to control the House of Representatives could be very close?

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Economics

Consumer confidence in where the economy is headed hits 12-year low

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Shoppers walk near a Nordstrom store at the Westfield UTC shopping center on Jan. 31, 2025 in San Diego, California.

Kevin Carter | Getty Images

Consumer confidence dimmed further in March as the view of future conditions fell to the lowest level in more than a decade, the Conference Board reported Tuesday.

The board’s monthly confidence index of current conditions slipped to 92.9, a 7.2-point decline and the fourth consecutive monthly contraction. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a reading of 93.5.

However, the measure for future expectations told an even darker story, with the index tumbling 9.6 points to 65.2, the lowest reading in 12 years and well below the 80 level that is considered a signal for a recession ahead.

The index measures respondents’ outlook for income, business and job prospects.

“Consumers’ optimism about future income — which had held up quite strongly in the past few months — largely vanished, suggesting worries about the economy and labor market have started to spread into consumers’ assessments of their personal situations,” said Stephanie Guichard, senior economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board.

The survey comes amid worries over President Donald Trump’s plans for tariffs against U.S. imports, which has coincided with a volatile stock market and other surveys showing waning sentiment.

The fall in confidence was driven by a decline in those 55 or older but was spread across income groups.

In addition to the general pessimism, the outlook for the stock market slid sharply, with just 37.4% of respondents expecting higher equity prices in the next year. That marked a 10 percentage point drop from February and was the first time the view turned negative since late-2023.

The view on the labor market also weakened, with those expecting more jobs to be available falling to 16.7%, while those expecting fewer jobs rose to 28.5%. The respective February readings were 18.8% and 26.6%.

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Economics

A shambolic leak reveals Team Trump’s contempt for allies

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MANY KNOW the mortification of sending the wrong text message to the wrong person. But when the fat thumb is that of America’s national security adviser, Mike Waltz, the message is a detailed military plan to bomb Yemen and the recipient is a prominent journalist, the error is not just a cause of shame but potentially a serious breach of national security.

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