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Economics

Why Donald Trump has moved ahead in our election forecast

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2 years ago

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FOR THE first time since August, Donald Trump has overtaken Kamala Harris in The Economist’s statistical model of America’s presidential election. Our latest forecast shows that Mr Trump has a 54% chance of returning to the White House, up six percentage points during the past week. Although the race still remains more or less a coin toss, it is now weighted slightly in Mr Trump’s direction.

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Economics

Checks and Balance newsletter: Of God and MAGA

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2 weeks ago

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April 20, 2026

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Charlotte Howard, our executive editor and New York bureau chief, unpacks the blurring of church and state among Donald Trump’s circle

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The Hudson is now so clean that everyone can eat from it

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2 weeks ago

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Battery sashimi, anyone?

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Pete Hegseth’s Pentagon is a lethality-maxxing wasps’ nest

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America’s armed forces are supremely capable and roiled by infighting

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