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7-Eleven’s parent company cuts full-year earnings forecast

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A customer is seen inside a 7-Eleven convenience store along a street in central Tokyo on September 9, 2024.  

Richard A. Brooks | Afp | Getty Images

Japanese convenience retailer Seven & i Holdings slashed its earnings forecasts and pressed ahead with restructuring plans that include spinning off non-core businesses into a standalone subsidiary.

The company slashed its profit forecast for the fiscal year ending February 2025 and now expects net income of 163 billion yen ($1.09 billion), a 44.4% reduction from its prior forecast of 293 billion yen. The reduction comes as it reported first-half net profit of 52.24 billion yen on 6.04 trillion yen in revenue. While sales came in higher than forecast, profits significantly below its own guidance for 111 billion yen.

Seven & i said it saw fewer customers at its overseas convenience stores as they took a “more prudent approach to consumption.” The company noted it recorded a charge of 45.88 billion yen related to its spin-off of Ito-Yokado Online Supermarket.

In a separate filing, the owner of 7-Eleven said it will set up an intermediate holding company for its supermarket food business, specialty store and other businesses, amid growing pressure from investors to trim down its portfolio.

The restructuring, which would consolidate 31 units, comes as the Japanese retail group resists a takeover attempt by Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard.

In September, Seven & i rejected the initial takeover offer of $14.86 per share, claiming that the bid was “not in the best interest” of its shareholders and stakeholders and also cited U.S. antitrust concerns.

After receiving that proposal, Seven & i sought and obtained a new designation as “core business” in Japan. Under Japan’s Foreign Exchange and Foreign Trade Act, foreign entities need to notify the government and submit to a national security review if they are buying a 1% stake or more in a designated company.

Revised offer

Seven & i confirmed Wednesday that it received a revised bid from ACT, but did not disclose further details. Bloomberg previously reported that the Canadian operator of Circle-K stores had raised its offer by around 20% to $18.19 per share, which would value Seven and i at 7 trillion Japanese yen. If finalized, the deal could become the biggest-ever foreign takeover of a Japanese company.

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Seven & i Holdings

It’s “entirely possible” that ACT’s buyout bid to turn into a hostile takeover attempt, Nicholas Smith, a Japan strategist at CLSA told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” on Thursday. A hostile takeover occurs when an acquiring company attempts to gain control of the target company against the wishes of its management and board of directors.

“We’ve had a lot of problems with poison pills in Japan in recent years, and the legal structure is extremely opaque,” he added. Companies trying to shake off an acquirer may opt to deploy a “poison pill” by issuing additional stock options to dilute the attempted acquirer’s stake.

However, “an outright hostile tender offer would be highly unlikely,” in the view of Jamie Halse, founder and managing director of Senjin Capital, as no banks would be willing to provide the financing.

That said, if the offer gets to a “sufficiently attractive level,” he said it may be difficult for the board to continue to reject it.

“Shareholders are likely already frustrated that no further negotiations have taken place despite the increase in the offer price,” he said, adding that an activist investor may seek to “harness those frustrations” and “effect a change in the board’s composition.”

ACT's takeover bid for Seven & i is about U.S. business and overseas operations: Portfolio manager

Seven & i shares were traded at 2,325 Japanese yen as of Thursday close. The Tokyo-listed shares have surged over 33% since the Canadian company’s buyout interest became public in August.

ACT has about 16,800 stores globally, far fewer than Seven & i Holdings’ approximately 85,800 stores.

The newly revised offer indicates ACT leaders are “committed,” Jesper Koll, head of Japan at Monex Group, told CNBC via email. He also pointed out that the new offer price suggests a 53% premium to where shares were trading before the initial offer.

“The money they offer is good, but there is more at stake than just numbers,” Koll said.

“I really can’t see ACT revising up its price tag,” Amir Anvarzadeh, a Japan equity market strategist at Asymmetric Advisors, told CNBC, “the pressure is on Seven & i management to prove that they can speed things up and stay independent.”

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Buffett denies social media rumors after Trump shares wild claim that investor backs president crashing market

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Berkshire Hathaway responds to 'false reports' on social media

Warren Buffett went on the record Friday to deny social media posts after President Donald Trump shared on Truth Social a fan video that claimed the president is tanking the stock market on purpose with the endorsement of the legendary investor.

Trump on Friday shared an outlandish social media video that defends his recent policy decisions by arguing he is deliberately taking down the market as a strategic play to force lower interest and mortgage rates.

“Trump is crashing the stock market by 20% this month, but he’s doing it on purpose,” alleged the video, which Trump posted on his Truth Social account.

The video’s narrator then falsely states, “And this is why Warren Buffett just said, ‘Trump is making the best economic moves he’s seen in over 50 years.'”

The president shared a link to an X post from the account @AmericaPapaBear, a self-described “Trumper to the end.” The X post itself appears to be a repost of a weeks-old TikTok video from user @wnnsa11. The video has been shared more than 2,000 times on Truth Social and nearly 10,000 times on X.

Buffett, 94, didn’t single out any specific posts, but his conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway outright rejected all comments claimed to be made by him.

“There are reports currently circulating on social media (including Twitter, Facebook and Tik Tok) regarding comments allegedly made by Warren E. Buffett. All such reports are false,” the company said in a statement Friday.

CNBC’s Becky Quick spoke to Buffett Friday about this statement and he said he wanted to knock down misinformation in an age where false rumors can be blasted around instantaneously. Buffett told Quick that he won’t make any commentary related to the markets, the economy or tariffs between now and Berkshire’s annual meeting on May 3.

‘A tax on goods’

While Buffett hasn’t spoken about this week’s imposition of sweeping tariffs from the Trump administration, his view on such things has pretty much always been negative. Just in March, the Berkshire CEO and chairman called tariffs “an act of war, to some degree.”

“Over time, they are a tax on goods. I mean, the tooth fairy doesn’t pay ’em!” Buffett said in the news interview with a laugh. “And then what? You always have to ask that question in economics. You always say, ‘And then what?'”

During Trump’s first term, Buffett opined at length in 2018 and 2019 about the trade conflicts that erupted, warning that the Republican’s aggressive moves could cause negative consequences globally.

“If we actually have a trade war, it will be bad for the whole world … everything intersects in the world,” Buffett said in a CNBC interview in 2019. “A world that adjusts to something very close to free trade … more people will live better than in a world with significant tariffs and shifting tariffs over time.”

Buffett has been in a defensive mode over the past year as he rapidly dumped stocks and raised a record amount of cash exceeding $300 billion. His conglomerate has a big U.S. focus and has large businesses in insurance, railroads, manufacturing, energy and retail.

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Stocks making the biggest moves midday: PLTR, CAT, AAPL JPM

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Powell sees tariffs raising inflation and says Fed will wait before further rate moves

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US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell holds a press conference after the Monetary Policy Committee meeting, at the Federal Reserve in Washington, DC on March 19, 2025. 

Roberto Schmidt | Afp | Getty Images

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Friday that he expects President Donald Trump’s tariffs to raise inflation and lower growth, and indicated that the central bank won’t move on interest rates until it gets a clearer picture on the ultimate impacts.

In a speech delivered before business journalists in Arlington, Va., Powell said the Fed faces a “highly uncertain outlook” because of the new reciprocal levies the president announced Wednesday.

Though he said the economy currently looks strong, he stressed the threat that tariffs pose and indicated that the Fed will be focused on keeping inflation in check.

“Our obligation is to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored and to make certain that a one-time increase in the price level does not become an ongoing inflation problem,” Powell said in prepared remarks. “We are well positioned to wait for greater clarity before considering any adjustments to our policy stance. It is too soon to say what will be the appropriate path for monetary policy.”

The remarks came shortly after Trump called on Powell to “stop playing politics” and cut interest rates because inflation is down.

There’s been a torrent of selling on Wall Street following the Trump announcement of 10% across-the-board tariffs, along with a menu of reciprocal charges that are much higher for many key trading partners.

Powell noted that the announced tariffs were “significantly larger than expected.”

“The same is likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth,” he said. “The size and duration of these effects remain uncertain.”

Focused on inflation

While Powell was circumspect about how the Fed will react to the changes, markets are pricing in an aggressive set of interest rate cuts starting in June, with a rising likelihood that the central bank will slice at least a full percentage point off its key borrowing rate by the end of the year, according to CME Group data.

However, the Fed is charged with keeping inflation anchored with full employment.

Powell stressed that meeting the inflation side of its mandate will require keeping inflation expectations in check, something that might not be easy to do with Trump lobbing tariffs at U.S. trading partners, some of whom already have announced retaliatory measures.

A greater focus on inflation also would be likely to deter the Fed from easing policy until it assesses what longer-term impact tariffs will have on prices. Typically, policymakers view tariffs as just a temporary rise in prices and not a fundamental inflation driver, but the broad nature of Trump’s move could change that perspective.

“While tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation, it is also possible that the effects could be more persistent,” Powell said. “Avoiding that outcome would depend on keeping longer-term inflation expectations well anchored, on the size of the effects, and on how long it takes for them to pass through fully to prices.”

Core inflation ran at a 2.8% annual rate in February, part of a general moderating pattern that is nonetheless still well above the Fed’s 2% target.

In spite of the elevated anxiety over tariffs, Powell said the economy for now “is still in a good place,” with a solid labor market. However, he mentioned recent consumer surveys showing rising concerns about inflation and dimming expectations for future growth, pointing out that longer-term inflation expectations are still in line with the Fed’s objectives.

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