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Trump nominates hedge fund chief Bessent to lead Treasury

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President-elect Donald Trump said he is nominating Scott Bessent, who runs macro hedge fund Key Square Group, as the next U.S. Treasury secretary, enlisting a key adviser to manage the sweeping economic agenda he has vowed to enact in a second term.

“Scott has long been a strong advocate of the America First Agenda,” Trump said in a statement Friday. “On the eve of our Great Country’s 250th Anniversary, he will help me usher in a new Golden Age for the United States, as we fortify our position as the World’s leading Economy.”

Bessent, 62, emerged as the pick after an extended search for a Treasury chief that saw Trump consider multiple candidates — and Wall Street executives and business leaders vie to influence the president-elect’s decision. Allies believed that Trump sought a candidate that would be favored both by Wall Street as well as an electoral base eager for him to implement sweeping tariffs, embrace cryptocurrencies and crack down on undocumented migration.

Scott Bessent
Scott Bessent

Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg

Bessent beat out other prominent contenders including Apollo Global Management Inc. executive Marc Rowan, former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Warsh and Tennessee Senator Bill Hagerty as well as Trump transition co-chair Howard Lutnick, who was named to lead the Commerce Department.not supported.

If confirmed by the Senate, Bessent would be the first openly gay Treasury chief, and one of the wealthiest in modern times. Bessent has said that he has always wanted to serve his country, but in the 1980s his sexual orientation prevented him from going to the U.S. Naval Academy, and after graduating from Yale University, from joining the State Department.

He joins an economic team beginning to take shape just weeks after Trump won a second presidential term. Trump announced that his former budget director, Russ Vought, would be returning to the same role in a statement to his social media platform later Friday.

“He did an excellent job serving in this role in my First Term – We cut four Regulations for every new Regulation, and it was a Great Success!” Trump said.

Vought, a key architect of Project 2025, the controversial Heritage Foundation policy document released during the campaign, will work alongside Bessent to implement Trump’s economic agenda.

Political thickets

As the nation’s highest ranking economic policymaker, Bessent will have to wade through political thickets in Washington, spearhead international economic diplomacy and bring Wall Street know-how to crisis situations. He will also be closely watched by investors and financial institutions, who are looking for predictability and stability.

He has been a proponent of realigning U.S. currency policy, but has stopped short of supporting an overt strategy of depreciating the dollar. During Trump’s first term, the then-president called out dollar appreciation for being harmful to US manufacturers and even considered government intervention to manage the greenback’s value. 

Bessent has acknowledged that while a weaker dollar would be good for some parts of the economy, some of Trump’s proposals would drive up its value. 

He has criticized President Joe Biden’s administration for its management of federal debt financing, and has talked about expanding its “friendshoring” policy to create a tiered system among trade partners.

At the Treasury, Bessent is expected to advise Trump on candidates to chair the Federal Reserve when that job opens up in May 2026. Earlier this year, he talked about the idea of nominating a new Fed chair well in advance of the expiration of current chair Jerome Powell’s term. Financial markets would turn their attention to that shadow Fed chair instead of Powell, Bessent has said.

He has said the Fed was too slow to respond to rising inflation in 2021, and criticized the US central bank for its large interest-rate cut in September.

Bessent spent part of his career managing money for billionaire George Soros. He lived in London and was part of the team, under Stan Druckenmiller, that made $1 billion in 1992 shorting the pound — a wager that helped force the currency out of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism, and made Soros famous as the man who broke the Bank of England.

He would be the second Treasury secretary, after Steven Mnuchin, who has worked for groups with close ties to Soros.

Soros’ family office made about $10 billion in profit under Bessent as investment chief, or about 13% annualized. Since then, he’s run Key Square, which started with a $2 billion investment from Soros — funds he later returned as other investors came in.

“I think he’ll be outstanding,” said Druckenmiller. “Having worked for me and George for all those years, he’s been exposed to everything a Treasury secretary has to deal with. He has a deep knowledge of markets and he’s also an intellectual who has the chops to work with academic policymakers. It’s a rare combination.” 

Bessent will be returning his hedge fund clients’ capital as soon as possible after Dec. 1, according to a person familiar with his plans. Federal rules require cabinet members to develop plans to remove their potential conflicts of interest, and then follow through on them, usually within as little as 90 days.

Here’s a look at some key areas of responsibility for the role of Treasury Secretary:

Oversight, taxes

Bessent is expected to play a key role in pushing for a renewal of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts through Congress, many of which are set to expire at the end of 2025. 

The Treasury chief could be charged with liaising with Republicans in Congress to expand the scope of the tax bill to include some of Trump’s campaign-trail tax promises, including a 15% corporate rate and exempting tipped wages from taxation.

The Treasury Secretary is also charged with running the Financial Stability Oversight Council, a panel set up after the financial crisis. Under outgoing Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, FSOC looked at the issue of climate change, triggering criticism from Republicans who have been wary of any requirement for banks to incorporate climate in their lending or capital decisions.

FSOC under Yellen also recommended stronger oversight of stablecoins, which the Fed has likened to bank deposits and money market funds — and which are subject to much more regulation. Trump’s advocacy of the crypto space on the campaign trail likely will put the new Treasury chief’s stance under the spotlight.

Economic diplomacy

Peppered through the year are meetings of the finance chiefs of the Group of Seven, G-20 and other international organizations, which the Treasury secretary typically attends as the chief U.S. representative.

The Treasury Department implements U.S. sanctions on foreign countries, companies and individuals, which have soared in number over the past several years. Yellen helped to lead efforts at the G-7 to isolate Russia after its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, and to step up financial assistance for Kyiv.

The secretary also has often served as point person on engagement with China. The Treasury chief tends to be a cautionary voice when it comes to proposals aimed at America’s biggest strategic rival. Mnuchin, Trump’s Treasury head in his first term, was seen as playing that role when tensions escalated in 2018 and 2019.

Debt management

In charge of the nation’s purse strings, Bessent will have to deal with a costly, and ballooning, debt load. The federal budget deficit crept up to 6.4% of GDP in fiscal 2024, historically high for a time of economic expansion and full employment. A key driver has been soaring interest costs, in the wake of Fed rate hikes in 2022 and 2023.

“No one has been more terrified about this debt stack and the coming refinance we’ve got to do,” Bessent said on a recent War Room podcast with longtime Trump adviser Stephen Bannon. What can “stabilize the bond market” is a fiscal package that reins in spending, he said.

Bessent has also complained about the Treasury’s debt financing strategy, claiming that Yellen was trying to juice the economy and help her boss ahead of the November election — a charge she rejected.

Debt managers may need to be active in managing the Treasury’s liquidity, because the federal debt ceiling is scheduled to kick back in at the start of January. That bars the department from issuing new debt, and triggers an oft-deployed sequence of maneuvers to prevent the U.S. government from running out of cash or, worse, defaulting on its debt — an event that could have catastrophic repercussions.

Glen Capelo, who spent more than three decades on Wall Street bond-trading desks and is now a managing director at Mischler Financial Group, called Bessent a “fiscal hawk.”

“He definitely will be positive overall for the economy and the markets. He wants to rein in spending. Bessent wants to get the Secretary of the Treasury back in line with the markets – because he does believe Janet Yellen has twisted the issuance around a bit,” Capelo said.

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Accounting

Gen AI will upgrade you not replace you: KPMG

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As the AI revolution continues apace, data has confirmed that generative AI is making some workers more productive and some companies more profitable, though this does not mean it’s a good idea to start cutting staff. 

During a virtual roundtable hosted by KPMG last week, Pär Edin, the US AI go-to-market leader for the Big Four firm, said that there is hard data showing that, for at least some workers, generative AI has been paying dividends in terms of productivity, referencing research from last year finding that, on average, the technology has introduced productivity gains of about 14%. He noted this is based on not some ideal future state but what can be done with the technology today, with solutions that are already out in the market. He added that, in conversations with AI researchers, there is confidence this figure will hold as a realistic expectation. 

He referenced KPMG’s own research on top of this, which found that—after analyzing 10,000 companies—generative AI has a EBITA impact ranging from 3 to 17%, which is calculated as time freed up multiplied by the labor cost of that time, which he felt was a highly significant impact. Effectively, he said, generative AI has created an entirely new driver for productivity. 

Cyborg

Kitreel – stock.adobe.com

“It varies by sector and company, but those are really, really huge numbers. This is an additional lever that didn’t exist 18 months ago. Now any company can pursue single-digit or low double-digit percentage points of improvement. Not overnight, but within a 12-36 month period using existing tools,” he said. 

While all this does mean companies can do more with less, Edin warned that this does not mean companies should start reducing headcount. In fact, he said, generative AI is pretty terrible at fully replacing people, at least right now. While AI is often touted for its automation capabilities, he said over the past few years companies have found this was a flawed conception. The promise of generative AI, he said, isn’t so much in replacing people but augmenting them. 

“It’s not a headcount-reduction tool in the sense some may have thought about. [Instead, it’s] really a task augmentation tool. We talked about how to get those numbers–you need to break down the entire workforce. I don’t mean headcount but tasks and activities. For every one of those, there are some pretty interesting benchmarks on how much time could be freed up by using better tools. Think of it more as a power tool for the mind than an automation factory,” he said. 

He understands that this might not be what certain business leaders want to hear. Edin noted that he has had many conversations with finance and accounting leaders that basically come down to ROI. This isn’t always the easiest to measure, especially when it comes to AI tools, and so sometimes it can be difficult to communicate the benefits. If it’s not reducing the cost of labor, some wonder, what’s the point? Edin, though, felt that focusing on the cost of labor was missing the point entirely. 

“The most likely case we discussed was not labor cost or headcount reduction but gradual market expansion. So, think of it as companies continuing to grow at the same or greater pace on the top line while not growing labor costs and headcount at the same rate—or even keeping them steady,” he said. 

Given that, by definition, this is more about supporting future growth than directly creating it, he conceded it can be difficult to quickly make back the investment. This has led to a push and pull for accounting and finance leaders between wanting to implement AI for its productivity benefits while, at the same time, wanting to spend only on that which has a direct business case. 

“There is a tug-of-war between wanting to fund this as much as possible, because it does drive productivity, but at the same time not being too overblown about what it will do when explaining this to the board or an investor. This is a balancing act between wanting to do it and being fiscally responsible,” he said. 

It may be easier to directly communicate the need to adopt AI in the future. Edin broke AI development down into three phases: retooling, reengineering and reimagining. The first phase, retooling, is about doing the same job with the same person and role but just more efficiently than before. He noted most companies are in this phase, rolling out pilots and training their staff. The second phase, reengineering, is where workflows themselves are changed to include AI, which he said serves to free up time and enhance efficiency by not just doing the same job but faster but doing a better job overall. Some companies, he said, are just entering this phase. Finally, reimagining is something few to no companies are doing now: thinking about AI as it applies to the entire business model.

“This is when you think about disruption. Will your entire business model be wiped out? Or will you disrupt others? You might go lower in the value stack, or even enter a different market entirely using this technology,” he said. “These phases are somewhat sequential but are happening in parallel depending on the company. Most companies sit somewhere between the first two phases.” 

Agentic AI—where bots are given limited autonomy and initiative—may place companies between the second and third phase, but even then he said it will not mean the end of human involvement. 

“There will be many types of tools. Even in an automated factory, you still have wrenches and screwdrivers. It will be an ecosystem. We’ll continue to use many different tools. The AIs are great because they’re flexible—they can do things they weren’t originally designed to do, and they can get better,” he said. 

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Accounting

IRS extends research and development tax credit transition period

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The Internal Revenue Service is extending the transition period for revising claims for the research and development tax credit, which gives taxpayers 45 days to “perfect” a research credit claim for refund prior to the IRS’s final determination on the claim, through Jan. 10, 2026.  

In October 2021, in an effort to reduce dubious claims for the R&D credit, the IRS began requiring taxpayers to include more information with their claims about all the business components and research activities they’ve performed, the individuals who performed each research activity, the information each individual sought to discover, the total qualified employee wage expenses, total qualified supply expenses and total qualified contract research expenses for the claim year.  

This past June, amid complaints about the more stringent rules, the IRS made modifications to waive some requirements. For claims postmarked after June 18, 2024, the reduced set of requirements now apply, requiring taxpayers to:

  • Identify all the business components to which the Section 41 research credit claim relates for that year;
  • Identify all research activities performed for each business component; and,
  • Provide the total qualified employee wage expenses, total qualified supply expenses and total qualified contract research expenses for the claim year. This can be done using Form 6765, Credit for Increasing Research Activities.

The transition period for perfecting the claims has now been extended through Jan. 10, 2026. The IRS has twice before extended the amount of time it has given taxpayers to perfect an R&D tax credit claim to meet the proper documentation requirements. Last fall, taxpayers were given until Jan. 10, 2025 to perfect their claims.

For more information, visit this page on IRS.gov.

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GASB proposes standard on subsequent events, implementation guidance

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The Governmental Accounting Standards Board issued an exposure draft Monday of a proposed statement on subsequent events, which are transactions or other events that occur after the date of the financial statements but before the date when financials are available to be issued, along with an exposure draft of a proposed update to its implementation guidance for its other standards for 2025.

One of the main goals of the subsequent events standard is to reexamine the existing requirements in Statement No. 56, Codification of Accounting and Financial Reporting Guidance Contained in the AICPA Statements on Auditing Standards, related to subsequent events and improve the financial reporting requirements for subsequent events. GASB found the guidance was being applied in different ways by various state and local governments. GASB hopes to achieve greater consistency. The updates would clarify the different types of subsequent events, when note disclosures would be required, and the information that would be included in those note disclosures.

The proposed statement defines subsequent events as transactions or other events that occur after the date of the financial reporting statements but before the date the financial statements are available to be issued. The exposure draft describes the date the financial statements are available to be issued as the date at which (1) the financial statements are complete in a form and format that complies with GAAP and (2) all approvals necessary for issuance have been obtained. The proposed statement would clarify the subsequent events that constitute recognized and nonrecognized events and establish specific note disclosure requirements for nonrecognized events.

Headquarters of the Governmental Accounting Standards Board
Headquarters of the Governmental Accounting Standards Board

Courtesy of GASB

Implementation guidance

As for the implementation guide, the proposed guidance takes the form of questions and answers to clarify, explain or elaborate on certain GASB pronouncements. The exposure draft includes nearly 20 proposed new and amended questions and answers that address leases, accounting changes and error corrections, conduit debt obligations, cash flows reporting, compensated absences, and financial reporting model improvements.

GASB periodically issues new and updated guidance to help state and local governments apply GAAP to specific facts and circumstances they encounter. 

GASB is asking for comments on the subsequent events standard by Feb. 21, 2025, and the implementation guidance by Jan. 24, 2025.

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