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Market speculation picks up to start 2025 as crypto stocks jump

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Traders work at the New York Stock Exchange on Dec. 31, 2024.

NYSE

Crypto trades jumping. Roaring Kitty boosting meme stocks. Broader market ripping on no apparent catalysts.

Animal spirits are on the run at the dawn of 2025 trading.

Many speculative pockets of the stock market surged in early trading Thursday, the first session of the new year, right after the S&P 500 closed out the best two-year run since 1998.

Stocks tied to the price of bitcoin jumped as the cryptocurrency climbed back over $96,000. Microstrategy added 4% premarket after climbing more than 360% in 2024. Crypto-related companies Coinbase, Robinhood, Mara Holdings and Riot Platforms also traded higher after a big 2024.

Elsewhere, retail traders active on social media were busy playing a guessing game after online personality Roaring Kitty posted another cryptic message on X of a short clip of the late musician Rick James. Some believe the meme stock leader, AKA Keith Gill, was referring to Unity Software, whose stock soared 10% in premarket, while others think he’s back touting his original favorite GameStop, whose shares also caught a bid in premarket.

Meanwhile, semiconductor stocks — 2024’s big winners — helped lead the market again after the artificial intelligence trade lost some steam at the end of last year. Broadcom jumped 2% Thursday, while Nvidia gained 1.6%.

What’s more, golf stock Topgolf Callaway Brands jumped 8.5% on the back of an upgrade at Jefferies to buy from hold. The investment bank said shares of the golf equipment maker looked oversold and raised its price target to 65% above where the stock closed the year.

With a pickup in market speculation, broad stock futures were on the rise to kick off 2025. Dow futures advanced as much as 300 points. S&P 500 futures added 0.8%, and Nasdaq-100 futures rose 1%.

Thursday’s dramatic moves resembled the initial rallies on the back of Donald Trump’s election victory in November, as investors bet his pro-business policies would drive companies and the economy to strong growth. Those gains slowed toward the end of 2024 as concern grew that the president-elect’s protectionist policies could stir inflation or disrupt chains, and as the Federal Reserve signaled fewer interest rate cuts in 2025.

“Many investors assume that the incoming administration’s push for deregulation will unleash ‘animal spirits,'” Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, said in a recent note to clients. “But what if it only accelerates the concentration of monopoly power in the hands of a few, diluting the efficacy of broad economic measures and leaving behind even larger swaths of the populace?”

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Stocks making the biggest moves midday: FUBO, PYCR, PLUG

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Michael Barr to step down as the Fed’s head of banking supervision to avoid clash with Trump

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The Federal Reserve’s top banking regulator will be stepping down next month, paving the way for President-elect Donald Trump to name a replacement and heading off a potential confrontation between the two.

Michael Barr’s resignation from the position, which is formally called the vice chair for supervision, takes effect as of Feb. 28, though he will stay on as a governor on the Fed board. His term as Fed governor lasts until 2026.

There had been speculation that Trump might seek to replace Barr after he takes office Jan. 20, the announcement will ease that transition amid speculation that the new president wants someone who is more bank-friendly to take the role.

Though he did not specifically mention the rumors that Trump would attempt to remove him, Barr said in a statement that “the risk of a dispute over the position could be a distraction from our mission. In the current environment, I’ve determined that I would be more effective in serving the American people from my role as governor.”

“It has been an honor and a privilege to serve as the Federal Reserve Board’s vice chair for supervision, and to work with colleagues to help maintain the stability and strength of the U.S. financial system so that it can meet the needs of American families and businesses,” he said.

Bank stocks rallied following the announcement. The SPDR S&P Bank exchange-traded fund that tracks the industry’s leaders gained more than 1%.

CNBC.com has reached out to the Trump transition team for comment.

In a release announcing the decision, the Fed noted that it will not make any major decisions on rules and regulations until a successor is named. The bank has been revising a set of new rules, dubbed the Basel endgame, that has been broadly unpopular in the industry.

Because the Fed is limited to seven board members, Trump will have to name someone from current group to the new position.

The position was created following the 2008 financial crisis that saw the implosion of multiple big names on Wall Street. Under Barr’s watch, the industry saw a crisis in early 2023 in which Silicon Valley Bank and a few other names collapsed, forcing the Fed to implement a liquidity facility to keep the issues from spreading.

In recent days, speculation had swelled that Trump might seek to force Barr from office. A Reuters report in late December indicated that Barr was consulting with a law firm over his legal options should the president-elect make a move.

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FUBO, AAL, NVDA, MSFT and more

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