Wharton School Professor Jeremy Siegel is uncertain whether the “Magnificent Seven” companies can continue to enjoy the run they’ve had, and expects the other sectors could start to outperform. “We have these two markets. We have the Mag Seven, which is ex- Tesla is selling for 30, 35, and then we have the other 493 stocks that are selling more towards 19, which is, to me, very reasonable,” Siegel told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Wednesday, referring to the stocks’ valuation on a price-to-earnings basis. “I’ve often talked about 20 as an equilibrium P/E, so it really depends on what happens to that section.” “Is that sector going to be the leader in the next bull market?” he asked. The Mag Seven stocks, which account for roughly one-third of the S & P 500, drove the bulk of the benchmark’s gains over the last two years as investors piled into the artificial intelligence trade. Nvidia alone is up 84% over the last 12 months. But the companies have faltered to start 2025, especially after the unveiling of DeepSeek, a cheaper open-source AI model that raised fears of growing competition. The Mag Seven companies have split into two camps when it comes to performance. Meta Platforms is far and away the winner, up 23% this year, and last posting a 17-day win streak that’s the longest of any Nasdaq-100 constituent going back to 1985. On the other hand, Tesla is down nearly 19%, while Apple is off by more than 7%. META YTD mountain Meta Platforms Siegel said that he will wait to put any money to work on the megacap tech giants, saying he would prefer small- and mid-cap stocks that are at more attractive valuations. “I would be cautious on the Mag Seven,” Siegel said. “I like the other groups. I mean, at 19, I like them, and I know we talked about [it] a long time, and certainly they’ve lagged. You know, you go to mid-cap and you go to small-cap and you go to 15, 14, 13, you don’t need much growth to get a decent return on that.” “As long as the Mag Seven continue, 15, 18, they’ll be the leaders,” Siegel continued. “The question is, now, we see this competition, could bring down margin. Will they be the leaders in the next 12 months? I’d love to be able to give you an answer on that, but I think we just have to wait and see on the data.”
Former Walmart U.S. CEO Bill Simon contends the retailer’s stock sell-off tied to a slowing profit growth forecast and tariff fears is creating a major opportunity for investors.
“I absolutely thought their guidance was pretty strong given the fact that… nobody knows what’s going to happen with tariffs,” he told CNBC’s “Fast Money” on Thursday, the day Walmart reported fiscal fourth-quarter results.
But even if U.S. tariffs against Canada and Mexico move forward, Simon predicts “nothing” should happen to Walmart.
“Ultimately, the consumer decides whether there’s a tariff or not,” said Simon. “There’s a tariff on avocados from Mexico. Do you have guacamole with your chips or do you have salsa and queso where there is no tariff?”
Plus, Simon, who’s now on the Darden Restaurants board and is the chairman at Hanesbrands, sees Walmart as a nimble retailer.
“The big guys, Walmart,Costco,Target, Amazon… have the supply and the sourcing capability to mitigate tariffs by redirecting the product – bringing it in from different places [and] developing their own private labels,” said Simon. “Those guys will figure out tariffs.”
Walmart shares just saw their worst weekly performance since May 2022 — tumbling almost 9%. The stock price fell more than 6% on its earnings day alone. It was the stock’s worst daily performance since November 2023.
Simon thinks the sell-off is bizarre.
“I thought if you hit your numbers and did well and beat your earnings, things would usually go well for you in the market. But little do we know. You got to have some magic dust,” he said. “I don’t know how you could have done much better for the quarter.”
It’s a departure from his stance last May on “Fast Money” when he warned affluent consumers were creating a “bubble” at Walmart. It came with Walmart shares hitting record highs. He noted historical trends pointed to an eventual shift back to service from convenience and price.
But now Simon thinks the economic and geopolitical backdrop is so unprecedented, higher-income consumers may shop at Walmart permanently.
“If you liked that story yesterday before the earnings release, you should love it today because it’s… cheaper,” said Simon.
Walmart stock is now down 10% from its all-time high hit on Feb. 14. However, it’s still up about 64% over the past 52 weeks.
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Investors may want to reducetheir exposure to the world’s largest emerging market.
Perth Tolle, who’s the founder of Life + Liberty Indexes, warns China’s capitalism model is unsustainable.
“I think the thinking used to be that their capitalism would lead to democracy,” she told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “Economic freedom is a necessary, but not sufficient precondition for personal freedom.”
She runs the Freedom 100 Emerging Markets ETF — which is up more than 43% since its first day of trading on May 23, 2019. So far this year, Tolle’s ETF is up 9%, while the iShares China Large-Cap ETF, which tracks the country’s biggest stocks, is up 19%.
The fund has never invested in China, according to Tolle.
Tolle spent part of her childhood in Beijing. When she started at Fidelity Investments as a private wealth advisor in 2004, Tolle noted all of her clients wanted exposure to China’s market.
“I didn’t want to personally be investing in China at that point, but everyone else did,” she said. “Then, I had clients from Russia who said, ‘I don’t want to invest in Russia because it’s like funding terrorism.’ And, look how prescient that is today. So, my own experience and those of some of my clients led me to this idea in the end.”
She prefers emerging economies that prioritize freedom.
“Without that, the economy is going to be constrained,” she added.
ETF investor Tom Lydon, who is the former VettaFi head, also sees China as a risky investment.
“If you look at emerging markets… by not being in China from a performance standpoint, it’s provided less volatility and better performance,” Lydon said.
Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway raised its stakes in Mitsubishi Corp., Mitsui & Co., Itochu, Marubeni and Sumitomo — all to 7.4%.
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Warren Buffett released Saturday his annual letter to shareholders.
In it, the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway discussed how he still preferred stocks over cash, despite the conglomerate’s massive cash hoard. He also lauded successor Greg Able for his ability to pick opportunities — and compared him to the late Charlie Munger.