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Gas, housing and car insurance costs soar, fueling inflation in March

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March inflation showed gas, housing and car insurance ticking up for another month (iStock)

Consumer prices rose faster than expected in March, pushing inflation up and giving the Federal Reserve more reason to delay dialing back interest rates.

On an annual basis, prices rose 3.5% in March, more than the 3.2% growth last month and above the 3.4% growth economists had expected, according to the Consumer Price Index (CPI) released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). On a monthly basis, prices increased 0.4%, the same rate of growth as the previous month. Core inflation, which excludes more volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.4%, as it has done in each of the two preceding months. On an annual basis, core CPI rose 3.8%.

Shelter and gas costs weighed heavily on consumer expenses, contributing to over half the monthly increase in the index for all items. The energy index rose 1.1% in January after increasing 2.3% in February. Shelter prices increased 0.4% over the past two months to register an annual increase of 5.7%. Consumers also face rising prices in other areas of spending; notably, car insurance prices increased 2.6% in March, following a 0.9% increase in February. The index for apparel increased by 0.7% over the month. Also rising were prices for personal care, education and household furnishings and operations.

March’s CPI reading dampens the prospect that the Fed will reduce interest rates soon. Following its March meeting, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that interest rate cuts were still on the table for this year, but the central bank revised projections of rate cuts to just three this year. Powell said that the Fed remained committed to bringing inflation down to a 2% target rate and warned that lowering rates too soon would bring the risk of bringing inflation back while holding back too long posed a risk to economic growth. 

“Prices continue to rise overall, pressuring the finances of American Households in particular,” Max Slyusarchuk, A&D Mortgage founder and CEO, said. “More and more, families are feeling the squeeze of rising home and auto insurance costs, which continue to edge higher and higher. However, the economy remains strong, so don’t expect the Fed to lower rates any time soon.”

If you are struggling with high inflation, you could consider taking out a personal loan to pay down debt at a lower interest rate, reducing your monthly payments. Visit Credible to find your personalized interest rate without affecting your credit score.

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Consumers dealing with a tough housing market

High mortgage rates and high home prices have made renting a better month-to-month deal than buying a starter home in all 50 of the largest metro markets, according to the Realtor.com February 2024 Rental Report. Yet the shelter index has remained stubbornly high despite evidence that rents are falling. 

Part of the disparity comes from how rents are measured in the index, according to Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale. CPI calculates rents based on rent trends, cash rent paid to the landlord for shelter and included utilities, plus any government subsidies paid to the landlord on the tenant’s behalf. If a unit is owner-occupied, the index computes what it would cost to rent that home in the current housing market, known as Owners’ Equivalent Rent (OER). 

“This is why shelter inflation continues to climb, even though Realtor.com data show that rents have declined for seven months in a row,” Hale said in a statement. “This is a key factor tipping households toward renting, as the monthly cost of renting a starter home is lower than buying in all 50 major markets reviewed at today’s market rates.”  

Homebuyers are unlikely to get much relief from high mortgage rates, which have not dropped below 6.6% this year.  

“While rate cuts in June already seem to be a long shot at this point, it still seems more likely than not that short-term rates will decline towards the end of this year,” First American Senior Economist Xander Snyder said in a statement. “However, there are plenty of global uncertainties that could lead to supply shocks that re-accelerate inflation, which could push the rate-cut horizon even further into the future.”

If you’re looking to become a homeowner, you could find your best mortgage rates by shopping around. Visit Credible to compare your options without affecting your credit score. 

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Get your car insurance under control with these steps

Car insurance rates have steadily increased. Drivers paid an average of $1,841 to insure a car in 2023, or 5% more than they did the previous year, according to a recent report from the Zebra. That comes after a 15% jump between 2022 and 2023. Unfortunately, 2024 will likely bring more of the same. 

Drivers can save money by looking for new opportunities to save with their current carrier or by switching. These are some other options to consider for keeping your auto insurance affordable:

  • Compare quotes from at least four to five companies before picking a policy, and reevaluate your policy every six months to ensure it still covers your needs.
  • Look into insurance discounts and savings. Policies that offer discounts for low-risk behaviors — such as AAA membership or taking a senior driving safety class — can help drivers lower their car insurance premiums. Alternatively, a telematics program can help drivers save based on their driving habits.
  • Only pay for the coverage you want and need. Understanding what your policy covers is the first step towards determining if it covers your needs. All U.S. states, except New Hampshire, require liability coverage, according to Insurify. This covers injuries and property damage sustained by other parties when you cause an accident.

If you are struggling with rising prices and want to save money, you could consider finding a new auto insurance provider to lower your monthly premium. Visit Credible to compare multiple car insurance providers at once and choose the one with the best rate for you.

SECURE 2.0: OPTIONAL PROVISIONS KICK IN TO HELP RETIREMENT SAVERS WITH EMERGENCIES AND STUDENT LOAN DEBT

Have a finance-related question, but don’t know who to ask? Email The Credible Money Expert at [email protected] and your question might be answered by Credible in our Money Expert column.

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Wall Street’s fear gauge — the VIX — saw second-biggest spike ever on Wednesday

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A television station broadcasts the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cut on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, on Wednesday, Dec. 18, 2024.

Michael Nagle | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Wall Street’s fear gauge — the VIX — spiked by the second biggest percentage in its history on Wednesday, after the Federal Reserve jolted the stock market by saying it would dial back its rate-cutting campaign.

The CBOE Volatility Index surged 74% to close at 27.62, up from around 15 earlier in the day. That surge is the second-greatest in history, behind a 115% leap to above the 37 handle back in February 2018 when there was a blow-up in funds tracking the volatility index.

Wednesday’s move comes after the central bank said it will likely lower interest rates just twice next year, down from the four cuts it projected back in September, alarming investors who wanted low rates to keep fueling the bull market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled by 1,100 points to its 10th straight loss.

Typically, a value greater than 20 in the VIX indicates a higher level of fear in the market. However, for most of this year, the VIX had been suppressed below that level, worrying investors who believed the market had gotten overly complacent.

The VIX is calculated based on the prices of put and call options on the S&P 500. A spike could indicate a rush by investors to purchase put options for protection in a decline.

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CBOE Volatility Index, 5 days

Still, there have been one other significant surge in the VIX in 2024. The third-biggest surge in the VIX in history occurred in Aug. 5, 2024, when fears of a U.S. recession, and a major unwind in the yen carry trade, spurred a roughly 65% increase in the VIX to close above 38. On an intraday basis, the VIX briefly topped 65 that day.

On Thursday, the VIX was last floating just above the 20 handle, down more than 25% from the prior day.

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Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: MU, LW, DRI

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China self-driving truck company TuSimple pivots to genAI for games

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Workers setting up the TuSimple booth for CES 2022 at the Las Vegas Convention Center on Jan. 3, 2022.

Alex Wong | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Embattled Chinese autonomous trucking company TuSimple has rebranded to CreateAI, focusing on video games and animation, the company announced Thursday.

The news comes as GM folded its Cruise robotaxi business this month, and the once-hot sector of self-driving startups has started to weed out stragglers. TuSimple, which straddled the U.S. and China markets, had its own challenges: concerns over vehicle safety, a $189 million settlement of a securities fraud lawsuit and delisting from the Nasdaq in February.

Now, just over two years after CEO Cheng Lu rejoined the company in the role after being pushed out, he expects the business can break even in 2026.

That’s thanks to a video game based on the hit martial arts novels by Jin Yong that’s slated to release an initial version that year, Cheng said. He anticipates “several hundred million” in revenue in 2027 when the full version is launched.

Before the delisting, TuSimple said it lost $500,000 in the first three quarters of 2023, and spent $164.4 million on research and development during that time.

Company co-founder Mo Chen has a “long history” with the Jin Yong family and started work in 2021 to develop an animated feature based on the stories, Cheng said.

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The company claims its artificial intelligence capabilities in developing autonomous driving software give it a base from which to develop generative AI. That’s the next-level tech powering OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which generates human-like responses to user prompts.

Along with the CreateAI rebrand, the company debuted its first major AI model called Ruyi, an open-source model for visual work, available via the Hugging Face platform.

“It’s clear our shareholders see the value in this transformation and want to move forward in this direction,” Cheng said. “Our management team and Board of Directors have received overwhelming support from shareholders at the annual meeting.”

He said the company plans to increase headcount to around 500 next year, up from 300.

Cutting production costs by 70%

While still under the name TuSimple, the company in August announced a partnership with Shanghai Three Body Animation to develop the first animated feature film and video game based on the science fiction novel series “The Three-Body Problem.”

The company said at the time that it was launching a new business segment to develop generative AI applications for video games and animation.

CreateAI expects to lower the cost of top-tier, so-called triple A game production by 70% in the next five to six years, Cheng said. He declined to share whether the company was in talks with gaming giant Tencent.

When asked about the impact of U.S. restrictions, Cheng claimed there were no issues and said the company used a mix of China and non-China cloud computing providers.

The U.S. under the Biden administration has ramped up limits on Chinese businesses’ access to advanced semiconductors used to power generative AI.

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