BEIJING — Alibaba, Tencent and JD.com reported earnings this week that not only reflected improving Chinese consumer spending, but also the growing benefits of artificial intelligence in advertising.
E-commerce giant Alibaba said late Thursday its Taobao and Tmall group sales rose by 9% year on year to 101.37 billion yuan ($13.97 billion) for the three months ended March 31. That’s above the 97.94 billion yuan predicted by a FactSet analyst poll, and the quarterly growth figure was well above the 3% segment increase for the 12-month period ending March 31.
“The e-commerce and ad revenues were positive surprises as there were expectations tariffs would affect consumer behavior,” Kai Wang, Asia equity market strategist at Morningstar, said in an email regarding the three companies’ earnings results.
It’s important to note the earnings releases cover only the period before U.S.-China tensions escalated in April with new tariffs of more than 100% on products from both countries — an effective trade embargo. The two countries issued a rare joint statement Monday announcing a 90-day reduction in most of the recently added tariffs.
The U.S.-China trade dispute since April has negatively affected consumption to some extent, given the increased uncertainty for small and medium-sized businesses, Charlie Chen, managing director and head of Asia research at China Renaissance Securities, said Friday. He expects that as trade tensions ease, consumption will rise.
But despite lackluster consumption overall, sales of certain electronics and home appliances have done well since last year thanks to China’s trade-in subsidies for supporting such consumer spending.
JD.com on Tuesday said its sales of for that category surged by 17% from a year ago. Overall, the e-commerce company reported a 16.3% increase in revenue from its retail business to 263.85 billion yuan in the three months ended March 31. That was better than the 226.84 billion yuan in retail segment sales predicted by a FactSet poll.
On Wednesday, Tencent said its “fintech and business services” segment, a proxy for consumer-related business transactions, reported a 5% year-on-year revenue increase to 54.9 billion yuan in the first quarter.
While Nomura analysts said that segment revenue growth was in line with estimates, they pointed out in a note that “Tencent ads was a big outperformer in the Chinese ads industry despite the challenging macro environment.”
Tencent’s marketing services revenue surged by 20% to 31.9 billion yuan, helped by “robust advertiser demand” for short videos and other content inside its WeChat social media app. Tencent noted “ongoing AI upgrades” to its advertising platform.
AI is boosting ads
AI is helping Tencent lift its click-through rates — a measure of success for online ads — to nearly 3%, company management said on an earnings call Wednesday, according to a FactSet transcript. That’s up sharply from a 0.1% click-through rate for banner ads historically, and around 1% for feed ads, the company said.
Combined monthly average users for WeChat, known as Weixin in China, topped 1.4 billion in the first quarter for the first time. The app offers one of two major mobile payment systems used in mainland China.
Many coffee shops and online retailers also use mini-apps in WeChat for customers to place orders. Tencent said Thursday that its e-commerce operations had grown so large it was now a new unit within WeChat.
“AI ads improve efficiency and algorithm, which should translate into better targeting towards consumers even if macro conditions are not optimal,” Morningstar’s Wang said. “It is still a bit early to quantify how much incremental benefit AI ads bring compared to non-AI ads, but we have seen some monetization from AI-driven ads.”
JD said its marketing revenues climbed by 15.7% to 22.32 billion yuan for the quarter, also partly attributing that rise to AI tools.
On an earnings call Tuesday, JD management said its advertising research and development team is using large language models to improve ad conversion rates and accelerate ad revenue growth. The company added it is implementing AI tools that enable merchants to “execute complex ad campaigns” with a simple command.
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Advertisers have long sought ways to target ads at the consumers most likely to make a purchase.
Alibaba noted that marketing revenue, which it calls “customer management,” grew 12% year on year to nearly $10 billion thanks in part to increased use of the company’s AI tool for boosting merchants’ marketing efficiency, Quanzhantui.
China is set to release retail sales data for April on Monday. Analysts polled by Reuters predict a 5.5% year-on-year increase in retail sales for April, down slightly from 5.9% growth in March.
A Morgan Stanley survey from April 8 to 11, conducted immediately after the escalation in U.S.-China tensions, found that consumer confidence fell to a 2.5-year low, and 44% of respondents were concerned about job losses — the highest since 2020 when the survey began. Only 23% of consumers expect to spend more in the next quarter, the survey found, an 8 percentage point drop from the prior quarter.
Lackluster domestic demand persisted in April, with a 0.1% year-on-year drop in the consumer price index for the month — the third-straight month of decline. However, when excluding food and energy prices, the so-called core CPI rose by 0.5%, the same pace as in March.
Since the real estate market has yet to recover, and exports are restricted by geopolitics, Chen expects Chinese policymakers to focus on boosting consumption in order to achieve the year’s growth target of around 5%.
He expects related stimulus policies to include boosting spending on food and beverage, caregiving, travel, sports, and durable goods not yet included in the trade-in subsidies program.
June 18 marks the next major promotional season for shopping in China.
“I think we’re going to get a pretty good 618. Now obviously, we’re not dealing with 30% year-on-year growth anymore like we were in the first 10 years” of the shopping festival, Jacob Cooke, co-founder and CEO of WPIC Marketing + Technologies, told CNBCearlier this week. The company helps foreign brands — such as Vitamix and IS Clinical — sell online in China and other parts of Asia.
He predicts 618 sales growth will rise by “very low double-digits.”
UnitedHealth Group saw some of its insiders step in and purchase declining shares this week.
Kristen Gil, a director at the firm, bought 3,700 shares worth roughly $1 million on Thursday.
Shares of UnitedHealth plunged nearly 11% to $274.35 on Thursday following a report in The Wall Street Journal that the Department of Justice is conducting a criminal investigation into possible Medicare fraud.
UnitedHealth Group , whose stock has been in a tailspin amid a tumultuous period for the health-care giant, saw some of its insiders step in and purchase declining shares this week. Kristen Gil, a director at the firm, bought 3,700 shares worth roughly $1 million on Thursday, while Timothy Patrick Flynn and John Noseworthy, also directors, scooped up about 1,500 and 300 shares , respectively, on Wednesday, according to InsiderScore, which tracks regulatory filings from corporate insiders. Shares of UnitedHealth plunged nearly 11% to $274.35 on Thursday following a report in The Wall Street Journal that the Department of Justice is conducting a criminal investigation into possible Medicare fraud. The stock rebounded 6% Friday, cutting its weekly losses to 23%. UNH 5D mountain UnitedHealth The reported investigation also follows the surprise exit of UnitedHealth Group CEO Andrew Witty, who will be replaced by the company’s former longtime chief executive Stephen Hemsley. Shares of UnitedHealth Group are down roughly 43% this year following a string of setbacks for the company. The company has been grappling with a historic cyberattack, higher-than-expected medical costs and a torrent of public blowback after the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson.
U.S. Federal Reserve in Washington, DC, on January 30, 2024.
Mandel Ngan | Afp | Getty Images
The Federal Reserve will look to reduce its headcount by 10% over the next couple of years, including offering deferred resignation to some older employees, central bank chair Jerome Powell said in a memo.
“Experience here and elsewhere shows that it is healthy for any organization to periodically take a fresh look at its staffing and resources. The Fed has done that from time to time as our work, priorities, or external environment have changed,” Powell said in a memo obtained by CNBC.
The central bank chief added that he has instructed leaders throughout the Fed “to find incremental ways to consolidate functions where appropriate, modernize some business practices, and ensure that we are right-sized and able to meet our statutory mission.” One method for shrinking the staff will be to offer a voluntary deferred resignation program to employees of the Federal Reserve Board who would be fully eligible to retire at the end of 2027.
The central bank said in its 2023 annual report that it had just under 24,000 employees. A 10% reduction would bring that number below 22,000.
The memo comes as the Trump administration has pushed for cost cuts across civil service agencies, spearheaded by Elon Musk and the so-called Department of Government Efficiency. Musk has previously called the Fed “absurdly overstaffed.” Powell’s memo did not mention Musk or DOGE as a factor in the decision to shrink headcount.
The planned staff cuts were first reported by Bloomberg News.
Check out the companies making headlines in midday trading. Applied Materials — Shares of the semiconductor manufacturer dropped 6% after Applied Materials posted disappointing fiscal second-quarter revenue. The company’s revenue of $7.10 billion was below the LSEG consensus of $7.13 billion. Semiconductor revenue of $5.26 billion also disappointed the $5.31 billion analysts were looking for. Take-Two Interactive Software — The stock slid 1.8% after the video game company gave weaker-than-anticipated guidance for full-year bookings, expecting the figure to come between $5.9 billion and $6 billion. That missed the $7.82 billion StreetAccount consensus. Take-Two also projected bookings of between $1.25 billion and $1.30 billion for the current quarter, while analysts had penciled in $1.28 billion. Vistra — Shares of the power producer gained 3% after the company purchased seven natural gas facilities from Lotus Infrastructure Partners for $1.9 billion. The gas plants are located in the PJM market, New England, New York and California. Constellation Brands — Shares of the Corona and Modelo importer climbed 1.4% after Berkshire Hathaway disclosed doubling its stake in the company, putting its position at around $2.2 billion in value. Galaxy Digital — The Mike Novogratz-led crypto firm began trading at the Nasdaq on Friday, opening at $23.50 per share in a direct listing. Galaxy Digital has traded in Canada since 2020 . Cava — The eatery chain’s stock dropped more than 2% after the company reiterated its full-year guidance for same restaurant sales, implying a slowdown from first-quarter results. Cava said it achieved 10.8% same store sales growth. However, it maintained a full-year projection of 6% to 8% improvement in that category. Cava’s earnings per share of 22 cents for the period was ahead of projections for 14 cents per share, according to LSEG. Fiserv — The financial services provider jumped more than 4% as the stock recovered some of its steep losses for the week. Fiserv is down more than 9% this week and is one of the most oversold names on Wall Street, with a relative strength index below 30. Coinbase — The crypto exchange jumped more than 9%, recovering losses from the previous session. Some Wall Street analysts called the sell-off overdone and a buying opportunity . On Thursday, the company confirmed the Securities and Exchange Commission has been investigating whether it has misstated its user numbers , sending the stock down 7.2%. Novo Nordisk — Shares stumbled 3% after the pharmaceutical company announced that CEO Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen would be stepping down from his position , citing recent market challenges. Jørgensen, who was in the position for the last eight years, will remain “for a period to support a smooth transition to new leadership” as Novo Nordisk searches for a successor. Doximity — The health care platform issued weak guidance, sending the stock down 11.8%. Doximity expects adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter to come in between $71 million and $72 million. That’s short of the $74 million expected from analysts polled by StreetAccount. Revenue guidance for both the first quarter and full year also missed expectations. — CNBC’s Tanaya Macheel, Lisa Han, Jesse Pound and Michelle Fox contributed reporting.