Last year, Americans’ confidence that they would have enough money to live comfortably in retirement fell the most since the global financial crisis.
New research shows both workers’ and retirees’ confidence has not recovered. But some signs of optimism have emerged, particularly as wage growth now outpaces inflation growth, according to the Employees Benefit Research Institute and Greenwald Research.
The more than 2,500 Americans surveyed said certain factors are most likely to throw them off course — for example, an increasing cost of living that will make it harder to save and the U.S. government making significant changes to the retirement system.
The latter worry comes as both retirees and workers expect to rely on three sources of income in their golden years: Social Security, workplace retirement savings plans and personal retirement savings or investments, the research found.
While 88% of workers expect Social Security will be a source of retirement income, almost all of today’s retirees, 91%, say they depend on those benefit checks.
Changes to Social Security benefits may be on the horizon, as the program’s trust funds face depletion dates in the next decade that make benefit cuts of at least 20% inevitable if Congress does not take action. Meanwhile, Medicare’s trust fund that covers Part A hospital insurance is due to run out even sooner.
Other factors, like changes in tax breaks to employment-based retirement savings or individual retirement accounts, could also upend retirement planning if they were put in place, noted Craig Copeland, director of wealth benefits research at EBRI.
“That can really change the dynamics of what would happen in retirement and how people plan for retirement,” Copeland said.
Social Security is always a top issue in polls AARP conducts of its members, Nancy LeaMond, the interest group’s executive vice president and chief advocacy and engagement officer, said during a Wednesday press briefing.
“In light of that, and the importance of Social Security, we are asking every candidate for federal office this cycle what his or her position is on Social Security,” LeaMond said.
New survey results released by the AARP this week paint a less optimistic outlook for Americans ages 50 and up, with 20% indicating they have no retirement savings. Moreover, 61% say they worry they will not have enough money in retirement.
The nonprofit organization, which represents Americans 50 and up, is also pushing for lawmakers’ positions on family caregiving, which tends to contribute to women’s economic insecurity in retirement, LeaMond said.
AARP is also backing other legislative proposals to improve retirement security by providing Americans who do not have access to employer-sponsored retirement plans with retirement savings accounts or automatic IRAs.
While Congress has also taken action to address retirement security through recent legislation, the effects may be limited for people who are close to retirement, Copeland noted. That includes changes that make it possible for savers in their 60s to make additional catch-up contributions and a match for low-income workers.
“There wasn’t a great deal that’s really change the dynamic for people near retirement,” Copeland said.
FILE PHOTO: An “Open House” sign outside of a home in Washington, DC, US, on Sunday, Nov. 19, 2023.
Nathan Howard | Bloomberg | Getty Images
When Maryland Governor Wes Moore was 8 years old, his mother told him she wanted to send him to military school to correct his behavior.
Yet it wasn’t until he was 13 that she finally did send him to a military school in Pennsylvania. He ran away five times in the first four days.
“That place ended up really helping me change my life,” said Moore while speaking about retirement security at a BlackRock conference in Washington, D.C., on March 12.
One obstacle — the tuition costs — prevented his mother from sending him sooner, he said.
Moore was able to attend the school thanks to help from his grandparents, who borrowed against the home they bought when they immigrated to the U.S., to help pay for the first year’s tuition.
“They ended up sacrificing part of their American dream so I could achieve my own,” Moore said.
“That’s what housing helps provide,” Moore said. “It’s not just shelter. It’s security; it’s an investment. It’s a chance you can tap into something if an emergency happens. It’s a chance that you now have an asset that you can hold onto, and you can pass off to future generations.”
After retirement funds, housing generally represents the second-most-valuable asset people have, Moore said.
Some now less likely to own homes than in 1980
Yet achieving that homeownership status can feel unattainable to prospective first-time buyers in today’s economy.
Around 30% of young Maryland residents are thinking of leaving the state because of high housing costs, Moore said.
Both renters and homeowners across the U.S. are struggling with high housing costs, according to a 2024 report from the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University. The number of cost-burdened renters — meaning those who spend more than 30% of their income on rent and utilities — climbed to an all-time high in 2022. At the same time, millions of prospective homebuyers have been priced out by high home prices and interest rates.
Many hopeful first-time home buyers may feel that it was easier for their parents and grandparents’ generations to reach home ownership status.
Since 1980, median home prices have increased much faster than median household incomes, according to recent research from the Urban Institute.
Across the country, today’s 35- to 44-years olds — who are in their critical homebuying years — are less likely to be homeowners than in 1980, according to the research.
For that age cohort, the homeownership rate has dropped by more than 10% compared to 45 years ago, the Urban Institute found. Because today’s 35- to 44-year-olds are also forming households at a lower rate, that number is likely understated, according to the research.
Ultimately, that can have lasting impacts on their ability to build wealth, said Jun Zhu, a non-resident fellow at the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center.
“When you have a house, when the house appreciates, you’re going to earn home equity,” Zhu said. “Earning home equity is actually a very important way to earn wealth.”
Those 35- to 44-year-olds who are in lower income quartiles have seen the biggest declines in homeownership compared to their peers. That is driven in part by the fact that people who are married are more likely to be homeowners, while lower-income individuals are less likely to be married.
Education is also a factor in widening the homeownership gap, according to the Urban Institute, as a smaller share of heads of households who have the lowest incomes are getting college degrees.
Racial divide in homeownership rates persists
Separate research from the National Association of Realtors also points to a racial divide with regard to housing affordability.
In 2023, the latest data available, the Black homeownership rate of 44.7% saw the greatest year-over-year increase among racial groups but was still well behind the white homeownership rate of 72.4%. Other groups fell in between, with Asians having a 63.4% and Hispanics having a 51% homeownership rate.
Strong wage growth and younger generations reaching prime home buying age contributed to the increase in Black homeownership in 2023, said Nadia Evangelou, senior economist and director of real estate research at the National Association of Realtors.
Yet the Black homeownership rate has stayed below 50% over the past decade, Evangelou said, which means most continue to rent instead of owning. That ultimately limits their ability to grow their net worth and accumulate wealth.
Policy changescould make it easier for Americans to buy their first home. That could include providing educational opportunities for low-income households, offering down payment assistance and encouraging housing production by reducing zoning restrictions or other regulatory barriers, according to the Urban Institute.
If you’ve inherited an individual retirement account, you may have big plans for the balance — but costly mistakes can quickly shrink the windfall, experts say.
The average IRA balance was $127,534 during the fourth quarter of 2024, up 38% from 2014, based on a Fidelity analysis of 16.8 million IRA accounts as of Dec. 31.
But some inherited accounts are significantly larger, and errors can be expensive, said IRA expert Denise Appleby, CEO of Appleby Retirement Consulting in Grayson, Georgia.
Here are some big inherited IRA mistakes and how to avoid them, according to financial experts.
What to know about the ’10-year rule’
Before the Secure Act of 2019, heirs could empty inherited IRAs over their lifetime to reduce yearly taxes, known as the “stretch IRA.”
But since 2020, certain heirs must follow the “10-year rule,” and IRAs must be depleted by the 10th year after the original account owner’s death. This applies to beneficiaries who are not a spouse, minor child, disabled, chronically ill or certain trusts.
Many heirs still don’t know how the 10-year rule works, and that can cost them, Appleby said.
If you don’t drain the balance within 10 years, there’s a 25% IRS penalty on the amount you should have withdrawn, which could be reduced or eliminated if you fix the issue within two years.
Inherited IRAs are a ‘ticking tax bomb’
For pre-tax inherited IRAs, one big mistake could be waiting until the 10th year to withdraw most of the balance, said certified financial planner Trevor Ausen, founder of Authentic Life Financial Planning in Minneapolis.
“For most, it’s a ticking tax bomb,” and the extra income in a single year could push you into a “much higher tax bracket,” he said.
Similarly, some heirs cash out an inherited IRA soon after receiving it without weighing the tax consequences, according to IRA expert and certified public accountant Ed Slott. This move could also bump you into a higher tax bracket, depending on the size of your IRA.
“It’s like a smash and grab,” he said.
Rather than depleting the IRA in one year, advisors typically run multi-year tax projections to help heirs decide when to strategically take funds from the inherited account.
Generally, it’s better to spread out withdrawals over 10 years or take funds if there’s a period when your income is lower, depending on tax brackets, experts say.
Many heirs must take RMDs in 2025
Starting in 2025, most non-spouse heirs must take required minimum distributions, or RMDs, while emptying inherited IRAs over 10 years, if the original account owner reached RMD age before death, according to final regulations released in July.
That could surprise some beneficiaries since the IRS previously waived penalties for missed RMDs from inherited IRAs, experts say.
While your custodian calculates your RMD, there are instances where it could be inaccurate, Appleby explained.
For example, there may be mistakes if you rolled over a balance in December or there’s a big age difference between you and your spouse.
“You need to communicate those things to your tax advisor,” she said.
Generally, you calculate RMDs for each account by dividing your prior Dec. 31 balance by a “life expectancy factor” provided by the IRS.
If you skip RMDs or don’t withdraw enough in 2025, you could see a 25% IRS penalty on the amount you should have withdrawn, or 10% if fixed within two years.
But the agency could waive the fee “if you act quickly enough” by sending Form 5329 and attaching a letter of explanation, Appleby said.
“Fix it the first year and tell the IRS you’re going to make sure it doesn’t happen again,” she said.
Consumer confidence in where the economy is headed hit a 12-year low this week, according to the Conference Board. A fresh reading out of University of Michigan today also showed a deterioration in overall sentiment with a 12% drop from February, marking the third month of decline.
Despite Americans’ concerns about the economy, they seem to be spending more. Roughly one in five Americans are shopping out of fear of future price hikes, which some experts refer to as doom spending.
Doom spending means making impulsive purchases largely driven out of fear over what the future may bring. In some cases, it’s a kind of retail therapy, but it can also be a strategy to get ahead of economic uncertainty.
“People are worried for a number of reasons,” Wendy De La Rosa, a Wharton professor who studies consumer behavior, told CNBC. “We as humans hate uncertainty and are averse to volatility. And so when there’s whiplash happening at a national level as to what tariffs are happening with which country and how it’s going to affect our domestic industries, that makes people really nervous.”
Consumer spending came in softer than expected in last month, but overall sales continued to grow steadily amid mounting fears of an economic slowdown and inflation.
It’s not just consumers who are concerned. Major companies, such as Walmart, Delta, and American Airlines, along with the Federal Reserve and Wall Street are all signaling uncertainty. The S&P 500 dropped 10% from record highs in February, suggesting investor fears over an economic slowdown.
Watch the video above to learn why Americans are spending more even in tough times and what this pattern means for the economy.