Finance
China stocks escaped much of the latest sell-off
Published
2 years agoon
The latest global market volatility has reinforced China’s status as a distinct market, even if its growth has slowed recently. While U.S. tech stocks plunged and Japanese stocks swung wildly in a historic two days of price action , Chinese stocks suffered less . As of the end of the Asia trading week Friday, before the U.S. market open, the Nasdaq 100 and Nikkei 225 were both down by about 2.5% over the last five trading days, according to Wind Information. In contrast, the Shanghai composite was down by 1.5% and the MSCI China index was up by 0.2%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was up by 0.9%. “If we continue [to have] volatile markets in the US and other developed markets, people are going to look elsewhere to generate returns,” Matt Wacher, chief investment officer, Asia-Pacific, for Morningstar Investment Management, said in a phone interview Friday. “We think the fundamentals will win out in the end and capital will come back to some of the companies in China because they’re too compelling an investment opportunity to pass up,” he said. Fund flow data from EPFR showed that international investors significantly increased their purchases of Chinese stocks on Monday, Aug. 5, before trimming holdings the next day. The investors remained net buyers of Chinese stocks for the third quarter so far as of Aug. 6, the data showed. “We believe that there are reasons for international investors to look towards redeploying some allocation back to the China equity market after being relatively lightly positioned,” William Yuen, investment director, Invesco, said in an emailed statement Friday. “Valuations of Chinese equities are near historical lows and the stock market is broad and deep enough to enable investors to search for growth opportunities,” he said. “The economy has also shown signs of stabilizing, as policy easing measures take effect. Finally, the low correlation of the China stock market with the U.S. stock market could provide investors with diversification benefits.” Chinese stocks, especially those traded on the mainland, have historically been less correlated to global market moves due to Beijing’s capital controls and other restrictions. International investors without operations in China have gradually been able to access some of those mainland stocks, called A shares, via stock-connect programs through Hong Kong. However, this year ”foreign long-only funds and hedge funds have been actively selling” A shares, HSBC analysts pointed out in an Aug. 6 report. That’s left net inflows from both fund types at 13 billion yuan ($1.81 billion) for the year through Aug. 2, the report said. On the flip side, semiconductor company Montage Technology and state-owned train company CRRC — both listed in Shanghai — led net inflows during that time, according to HSBC. Both stocks have fallen over the last five trading days. The latest global market volatility was spurred in part by the unwinding of the Japanese yen carry trade, after the Bank of Japan’s rate hike and growing expectations for U.S. rate cuts. A carry trade is a practice in which investors borrow money in a currency from a country with low interest rates, and invest in currencies with higher yields. The investors then profit from the difference in rates, but can lose money if this suddenly changes. A worrying U.S. jobs report on Aug. 2 helped fuel expectations that the Federal Reserve will soon finally cut interest rates, shifting assumptions about how much certain assets might yield in returns versus others. It hasn’t been hard for investors to choose where to put most of their money when the 10-year Treasury yield has traded above 4% — versus 2.17% for the Chinese equivalent. HSBC’s multi-asset team expects a stock market sell-off from unwinding the Japanese yen carry trade could last one month. If the Fed does cut rates, that could support the case for Chinese stocks, Steven Sun, head of research, HSBC Qianhai Securities, and a team said in the Aug. 6 report. U.S. rate cuts would mean the People’s Bank of China could then further ease its monetary policy, “which is critical for China’s nascent property market recovery,” the analysts said. They added that a weaker U.S. dollar makes the Chinese yuan more attractive to foreign inflows, while U.S. rate cuts are generally positive for emerging markets such as China. China’s latest trade and inflation data released in the last several days indicated that domestic demand is holding up, although the economy isn’t necessarily firing on all cylinders. The National Bureau of Statistics is scheduled to release additional data for July on Thursday, of which retail sales will be key to watch after it grew by just 2% in June. However, global institutions’ caution on Chinese stocks won’t likely change quickly. “Investors should still prefer the US to Chinese financial markets,” Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, said in an email. “Times of economic stress typically favor US markets, even when the US is the source of stress. We believe that’s because the US economy is more diverse than those that are export-oriented (as China’s still is).” “The real problem with China’s investment outlook isn’t the current market volatility, but the Chinese economy’s ongoing weakness and the disappointing policy response so far,” he said. “Deflation is the central problem.” He noted that last month’s ” Third Plenum ” meeting focused on “resilience to external shocks” instead of a range of domestic problems. Chinese stocks have struggled to rebound amid dour sentiment about the massive property market and other economic challenges since the Covid-19 pandemic. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is clinging to gains for the year so far — after a record losing streak of four down years. “I think what you saw over the last few days has been that some of those names, Alibaba , Tencent , have held up pretty well in the face of that global volatility,” Morningstar’s Wacher said. “I think that’s because they’re already priced pretty reasonably from a valuation perspective, not much more to fall.” Tencent, the largest stock by market capitalization in the Hang Seng Index, and Alibaba’s Hong Kong-listed shares both closed Friday with gains of more than 3% for the week. “In Alibaba’s case, it’s still got a very good management team, similar to Tencent,” Wacher said, pointing to efforts aligned with investors’ interests in balance sheets and cutting costs. “We think that their inwardly focused on China consumption, and China consumption will turn around,” he said. “They’re going to generate most of their income within China, less susceptible to trade wars and shenanigans that go on in the global economy. Compelling opportunities from that perspective.”
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Finance
Why software stocks, 2026’s market dogs, have joined the rally
Published
2 weeks agoon
April 19, 2026

Cybersecurity and enterprise software stocks have been market dogs in 2026, with fears that AI will wipe out a wide range of companies in the enterprise space dominating the narrative. But they snapped a brutal losing streak this past week, joining in the broader market rally that saw all losses from the U.S.-Iran war regained by the Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500.
Cybersecurity has been “a victim of some of the AI-related headlines,” Christian Magoon, Amplify ETFs CEO, said on this week’s “ETF Edge.”
It wasn’t just niche cybersecurity names. Take Microsoft, for example, which was recently down close to 20% for the year. Its shares surged last week by 13%.
A big driver of the pummeling in software stocks was a rotation within tech by investors to AI infrastructure and semiconductors and some other names in large-cap tech, Magoon said, and since cybersecurity stocks and ETFs are heavily weighted towards software companies, they were left behind even as those businesses continue to grow on a fundamental basis.
But Wall Street now has become more bullish with the stocks at lower levels. Brent Thill, Jefferies tech analyst, said last week that the worst may be over for software stocks. “I think that this concept that software is dead, and then Anthropic and OpenAI are going to kill the entire industry, is just over-exaggerated,” he said on CNBC’s “Money Movers” on Wednesday.
“Big Short” investor Michael Burry wrote in a Substack post on Wednesday that he is becoming bullish about software stocks after the recent selloff. “Software stocks remain interesting because of accelerated extreme declines last week arising from a reflexive positive feedback loop between falling software stocks and changes in the market for their bank debt,” he wrote.
The Global X Cybersecurity ETF (BUG), is down about 12% since the beginning of the year, with top holdings including Palo Alto Networks, Fortinet, Akamai Technologies and CrowdStrike. But BUG was up 12% last week. The First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR) is down 6% for the year, but up 9% in the past week.
Piper Sandler analyst Rob Owens reiterated an “overweight” rating on Palo Alto Networks which helped the stock pop 7% — it is now down roughly 6% on the year. Its peers saw similar moves, including CrowdStrike.
Performance of Global X cybersecurity ETF versus S&P 500 over past one-year period.
Magoon said expectations may have become too high in cybersecurity, and with a crowding effect among investors, solid results were not enough to to push stocks higher. But the down-and-then-back-up 2026 for the sector is also a reminder that when stocks fall sharply in a short period of time, opportunity may knock.
“Once you’re down over 10% in some of these subsectors, you start to see the contrarians start to say, ‘well, maybe I’ll take a look at this,'” Magoon said.
He said AI does add both opportunity and uncertainty to the cybersecurity equation, increasing demand but also introducing new competition. But he added, “I think the dip is good to buy in an AI-driven world,” specifically because the risks to companies may lead to more M&A in cyber names that benefits the stocks.
For now, investors may look for opportunity on the margins rather than rush back into beaten-up tech names. “I think investors are still going to remain underweight software,” Thill said.
But Magoon advises investors to at least take the reminder to keep an eye on niches in the market during pronounced downturns. “The best-performing are often the least bought and do the best over the next 12 months versus late-in-the-game piling on,” he said.
While that may have been a mindset that worked against the last investors into cybersecurity and enterprise software in mid-2025 when the negative sentiment started building, at least for now, it’s started working for the stocks in the sector again.
Meanwhile, this year’s biggest winner is also a good example of what can be an extended trade in either a bullish or bearish direction. Last year, institutional ownership of energy was at multi-year lows, Magoon said, referencing Bank of America data. “Reverse sentiment can be a great indicator,” he said.
But he cautioned that any selective buying of stocks that have dipped does have to contend with the risk that there is a potentially bigger drawdown in the market yet to come in 2026. That is because midterm election years historically have been marked by large drawdowns. “If you think it is bad right now, it could get a lot worse,” Magoon said. But he added that there’s a silver-lining in that data, too, for the patient investor. The market has posted very strong 12-month returns after midterm election drawdowns end. So, for investors with a longer-term time horizon and no need for short-term liquidity, Magoon said, “stick in there.”
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Finance
Violent downturns could test new ETF strategies, warns MFS Investment
Published
2 weeks agoon
April 17, 2026

New innovation in the exchange-traded fund industry could come at a cost to investors during extreme conditions.
According to MFS Investment Management’s Jamie Harrison, ETFs involved in increasingly complex derivatives and less transparent markets may be in uncharted territory when it comes to violent downturns.
“Those would be something that you’d want to keep an eye on as volatility ramps up,” the firm’s head of ETF capital markets told CNBC’s “ETF Edge” this week. “As innovation continues to increase at a rapid pace within the ETF wrapper, [it’s] definitely something that we advise our clients to be really front-footed about… Lack of transparency could absolutely be an issue if we’re going to start seeing some deep sell-offs.”
His firm has been around since 1924 and is known for inventing the open-end mutual fund. Last year, ETF.com named MFS Investment Management as the best new ETF issuer.
“It’s important to do due diligence on the portfolio,” he said. “Having a firm that has deep partnerships, deep bench of subject matter experts that plays with the A-team in terms of the Street and liquidity providers available [are] super important.”
Liquidity as the real issue?
Harrison suggested the real issue is liquidity, particularly during a steep sell-off.
“We’ve all seen the news and the headlines around potential private credit ETFs. That picture becomes much more murky,” he added. “It’s up to advisors, to investors [and] to clients to really dig in and look under the hood and engage with their issuers.”
He noted investors will have to ask some tough questions.
“What does this look like in a 20% drawdown? How does this liquidity facility work? Am I going to be able to get in? Am I going to be able to get out? And if I’m able to get out, am I able to get out at a price that’s tight to NAV [net asset value], and what’s the infrastructure at your shop in terms of managing that consideration for me,” said Harrison.
Amplify ETFs’ Christian Magoon is also concerned about these newer ETF strategies could weather a monster drawdown. He listed private credit as a red flag.
“If your ETF owns private credit, I think it’s worth taking a look at, kind of what the standards are around liquidity and how that ETF is trading, because that should be a bit of a mismatch between the trading pace of ETFs and the underlying asset,” the firm’s CEO said in the same interview.
Magoon also highlighted potential issues surrounding equity-linked notes. The notes provide fixed income security while offering potentially higher returns linked to stocks or equity indexes.
“Those could potentially be in stress due to redemptions and the underlying credit risk. That’s another kind of unique derivative,” Magoon said. “I would very closely look at any ETF that has equity-linked notes should we get into a major drawdown or there be a contagion in private credit or something related to the banking system.”
Finance
Anthropic Mythos reveals ‘more vulnerabilities’ for cyberattacks
Published
3 weeks agoon
April 15, 2026
Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer of JPMorgan Chase & Co., right, departs the US Capitol in Washington, DC, US, on Wednesday, Feb. 25, 2026.
Graeme Sloan | Bloomberg | Getty Images
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday that while artificial intelligence tools could eventually help companies defend themselves from cyberattacks, they are first making them more vulnerable.
Dimon said that JPMorgan was testing Anthropic’s latest model — the Mythos preview announced by the AI firm last week — as part of its broader effort to reap the benefits of AI while protecting against bad actors wielding the same technology.
“AI’s made it worse, it’s made it harder,” Dimon told analysts on the bank’s earnings call Tuesday morning. “It does create additional vulnerabilities, and maybe down the road, better ways to strengthen yourself too.”
When asked by a reporter about Mythos, Dimon seemed to refer to Anthropic’s warning that the model had already found thousands of vulnerabilities in corporate software.
“I think you read exactly what is it,” Dimon said. “It shows a lot more vulnerabilities need to be fixed.”
The remarks reveal how artificial intelligence, a technology welcomed by corporations as a productivity boon, has also morphed into a serious threat by giving bad actors new ways to hack into technology systems. Last week, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent summoned bank CEOs to a meeting to discuss the risks posed by Mythos.
JPMorgan, the world’s largest bank by market cap, has for years invested heavily to stay ahead of threats, with dedicated teams and constant coordination with government agencies, Dimon said.
“We spend a lot of money. We’ve got top experts. We’re in constant contact with the government,” he said. “It’s a full-time job, and we’re doing it all the time.”
‘Attack mode’
Still, the CEO warned that risks extend beyond any single institution, given the interconnected nature of the financial system.
“That doesn’t mean everything that banks rely on is that well protected,” Dimon said. “Banks… are attached to exchanges and all these other things that create other layers of risk.”
JPMorgan Chief Financial Officer Jeremy Barnum said the industry has long been aware that AI cuts both ways in cybersecurity.
“These tools can make it easier to find vulnerabilities, but then also potentially be deployed by bad actors in attack mode,” Barnum said on the earnings call. Recent advances from Anthropic and others have simply intensified an existing trend, he said.
Dimon also said that while advanced AI tools are important, old-school cybersecurity practices remain essential.
“A lot of it is hygiene… how do you protect your data? How do you protect your networks, your routers, your hardware, changing your passcode?” he said. “Doing all those things right dramatically reduces the risk.”
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said Monday during an earnings call that his bank was testing Mythos, though he declined to comment further.
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