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44% of workers are ‘cautiously optimistic’ about retirement: CNBC poll

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Many American workers are optimistic about their retirement goals, but most believe it will be challenging for them to retire comfortably

Almost half, 44%, of workers in a new CNBC poll are “cautiously optimistic” about their ability to meet their retirement goals, and 27% say they are “realistic” about that happening. 

Even so, 82% of workers in that survey say achieving a comfortable retirement is “much harder or somewhat harder” to achieve than it was for their parents. A majority, 69%, are concerned about being able to afford to stop working or retire fully and 80% worry that Social Security will not be enough to live on in retirement.  

The CNBC report, conducted by SurveyMonkey, polled 6,657 U.S. adults, including 2,603 who are retired and 4,054 who are working full time or part time, are self-employed or who own a business.

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The decline in traditional pensions, the rising cost of health care, and increasing life expectancy have contributed to workers’ need to rethink their retirement plans.

“Retirement itself is being retired,” said Joseph Coughlin, director of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology AgeLab. “Often, within a year, two years, they found out that, frankly, they’re either need more money or need something to do.” 

Here are smart moves you can make at every age to make it easier to meet your retirement goals: 

In your 20s & 30s: Maximize tax-advantaged savings

Personal Finance Tips 2024: Roth IRAs

Starting to invest for retirement early, especially in tax-advantaged accounts, helps you make the most of your time investing in the market and leverage the power of compound interest

Various work opportunities can offer flexibility in options to save for the future. Many people in their 20s may work a 9-to-5 job and have a “side gig” or part-time job in the evenings or weekends.

That means you could save in a 401(k) plan at work as well as a self-employed retirement plan, like a Simplified Employee Pension-Individual retirement account or Solo 401(k) on your own, said Nate Hoskin, a certified financial planner and founder of Hoskin Capital in Denver, Colorado. 

While you may have opened a 401(k) plan in your first job, aim to increase the percentage you contribute each year. Put in at least enough money to get the company’s full matching contribution.

Traditional IRAs and 401(k) plans give you an upfront tax break. Making contributions with pre-tax money lowers your taxable income now, but you’ll have to pay taxes when you withdraw the money in retirement at your future tax rate.

Roth accounts, which let you contribute after-tax dollars that then grow and can be withdrawn in retirement tax free, can also be a smart bet for young workers who qualify.

In your 40s: Monitor rising expenses 

While you’re in your peak earning years, expenses can also rise quickly. About half, 52%, of millennials and 47% of Gen Xers in the CNBC poll said “paying off debts or loans” is the main reason they feel behind in retirement planning or savings. 

In that case, “it’s probably time to reassess financial goals,” said Dorsainvil. Focus on paying down credit card and high-interest debt and boosting your emergency savings so that you won’t be forced to dip into retirement savings for unexpected expenses.

Also, be careful of “lifestyle creep.” You don’t necessarily need to spend more just because you are making more. Don’t let the cost of your lifestyle increase faster than your income. See what expenses you can reduce or cut out.

2024 Tax Tips: New 401(k) limits

In your 50s: Estimate your retirement income   

The CNBC poll finds that 48% of GenXers hope to have saved $500,000 or more for retirement, yet the same share have currently saved $50,000 or less. Nearly 20% of this age group are “not sure” how much money they will need to spend each year on living expenses and other purchases in retirement.

In your 50s, it’s time to turbocharge your savings and start crunching the numbers to determine how much income you will have in retirement.

“Not enough people actually do financial planning, so they’re not aware of the numbers that they’re faced with early enough,” said Catherine Valega, a CFP and founder of Green Bee Advisory in Winchester, Massachusetts.

Tips for mapping out your retirement plan

Starting at 50, you can boost your retirement savings with “catch-up” contributions. In 2024, the maximum you can contribute to a 401(k) is $23,000, but the IRS allows you to add an extra $7,500 if you’re 50 or older. For an individual retirement account (IRA), the maximum contribution for 2024 is $7,000, with an additional $1,000 if you’re 50 or older.

Online calculators can show you how much your retirement savings might grow between now and your anticipated retirement, and how much that balance it might provide in monthly income. Also, factor in how much money you may get from Social Security.

Even if you think you’re behind in saving, estimating your retirement income presents an opportunity to figure out how to make it work, said Valega.

“We’re not going to dwell on what you’ve done in the past. Let’s start today with what we have,” she said. “What are our assets? What are income-producing abilities, capabilities? And then we’re going to move forward.”

In your 60s: Test drive your retirement 

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While 38% of baby boomers in their 60s and 70s say they are “on schedule” with retirement planning and savings, according to the CNBC poll, 41% say they are “behind schedule.” 

As you enter your 60s, and are closer to retirement, take your retirement for a test drive. Think about what you will do, who you will do it with and where you will do it. 

For example, Coughlin said to ask yourself: “What will you do on any given Tuesday? There will be many Tuesdays with expenses, challenges and opportunities.”

Many people today live well into their 90s and beyond. While travel, pursuing hobbies and interests and spending time with family are what most people of all ages say they will “ideally” do in retirement, the CNBC poll finds those who think they will “realistically” be able to do so are much lower.

Once you identify your aspirations, do a test run of the lifestyle and the location. Use your time off from work to engage in activities you think you’d like to do and vacation in the places where you think you’d like to live. Also, test drive your retirement budget by comparing housing, transportation, food, entertainment and health care costs in that area to what you’re paying now. See if you can stick to that new budget for a few months while still working.

No matter your age, Hoskin said, stick to some basic rules to achieve financial security: “You still need to spend less than you make, save a significant portion of your income, locate that money in the correct accounts, and invest it for the future,” he said. “That is the cycle that creates generational wealth.”

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Majority of Americans are financially stressed from tariff turmoil: CNBC survey

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73% of Americans are financially stressed

Americans are growing increasingly uneasy about the state of the U.S. economy and their own personal financial situation in the face of stubborn inflation and tariff wars.

To that point, 73% of respondents said they are “financially stressed,” with 66% of that group pointing to the tariff wars as a main source, according to a new CNBC/Survey Monkey online poll.

The survey of 4,200 U.S. adults was conducted April 3 to 7.

Americans feeling financially stressed

CNBC/Survey Monkey polls from 2023, 2024, and this year have found that, on average, more than 70% of Americans said that they are stressed about their personal finances. This year’s survey found that 38% of respondents overall said they are “very stressed,” and 29% of high-earners with incomes of $100,000 or more also shared that sentiment.

Consumers are, of course, increasingly stressed by rising prices for essentials like food, energy, and shelter. This is due to a number of factors, including rising inflation, supply chain disruptions and geopolitical events.

In the new CNBC survey, 86% of Americans cite inflation as the top reason for their financial stress, while 75% pointed to interest rates and 66% cited tariffs. 

While inflation peaked at 8% in 2022, a 40-year high, it has since cooled significantly, reaching 2.4% in March. Despite this decline, the increased prices during 2022 have led to a loss of purchasing power for Americans, meaning they can buy less with the same amount of money than before.

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It would take nearly $114 today to buy what would have cost $100 in January of 2022, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

And while Inflation has eased, experts do say the fallout from President Trump’s trade war threatens to put upward pressure on prices in the months to come.

Tariffs are generally considered to be inflationary, economists say. This is because tariffs increase the cost of imported goods, which can then be passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. This can lead to a temporary increase in the overall inflation rate.

“We know that tariffs are inflationary,” said David McWilliams, an economist, podcaster and author. “We know that’s hitting on people’s expectations of how much money they’re going to have in their pocket in a couple of months time.”

So, when it comes to financial stress caused by tariffs, 59% of those surveyed by CNBC oppose President Trump’s tariff policy, with 72% concerned about the impact on their personal financial situation.

As a result, 32% said they have delayed or avoided making retail purchases, and 15% said they have “stocked up.”

What’s more, 34% of those surveyed said they have made changes to their investments due to recent stock market volatility from tariffs.

Managing your money through volatility

Handling financial stress

Many investors are concerned about their retirement savings, but financial experts say it’s important for those with a long-term perspective to understand that short-term market volatility is a distraction that’s better off ignored.

“The biggest thing is that it’s unknown, and when we don’t know things, and we can’t control things, that’s when our anxiety and our worry can spike, and it’s contagious,” said licensed therapist and executive coach George James, CNBC Global Financial Wellness Advisory Board member, a licensed therapist and executive coach.

While the market could be in for a bumpy ride over the next few months, experts say it’s best to stay the course and avoid making major portfolio changes based on the latest news.

To manage investments during the latest tariff volatility, for example, financial advisors urge investors to maintain a long-term perspective, review and potentially adjust their asset allocation, and consider diversification to mitigate risk. It’s also smart to bolster emergency funds, review your risk tolerance, and explore opportunities for tax-loss harvesting.

Financial experts also urge investors to focus on their risk appetite — and their goals.

“This is the time to evaluate short-, mid-, and long-term financial needs, concerns, and goals. Evaluation before action or inaction is essential,” said Michael Liersch, head of advice and planning at Wells Fargo, said in an e-mail to CNBC. “Getting specific on exact dollar targets, timelines around these targets, and their level of importance [priority] can create clarity around what should be done, if anything.”

SIGN UP: Money 101 is an 8-week learning course on financial freedom, delivered weekly to your inbox. Sign up here. It is also available in Spanish.

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What advisors are telling their clients after the bond market sell-off

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As investors digest the latest bond market sell-off, advisors have tips about portfolio allocation amid continued market volatility.

Typically, investors flock to fixed income like U.S. Treasurys when there’s economic turmoil. The opposite happened this week with a sharp sell-off of U.S. government bonds, which dropped bond prices as yields soared. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. 

Treasury yields then retreated Wednesday afternoon when President Donald Trump temporarily dropped tariffs to 10% for most countries but increased levies on Chinese goods. That duty now stands at 145%.

As of Thursday afternoon, Treasury yields were down slightly.

Still, “there’s a massive amount of uncertainty,” Kent Smetters, a professor of business economics and public policy at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, told CNBC.

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Experts closely watch the 10-year Treasury yield because it’s tied to borrowing rates for products like mortgages, credit cards and auto loans. The yield climbed above 4.5% overnight on Tuesday as investors offloaded the asset. As of Thursday afternoon, the 10-year Treasury yield was around 4.4%.

Kevin Hassett, director of the U.S. National Economic Council, told CNBC on Thursday that bond market volatility likely added “a little more urgency” to Trump’s tariff decision. 

As some investors question their bond allocations, here’s what advisors are telling their clients.

Take the ‘proactive approach’

Despite the latest bond market sell-off, there hasn’t been a recent shift in client portfolios for certified financial planner Lee Baker, owner of Apex Financial Services in Atlanta. 

“I’ve been taking a proactive approach” by shifting allocations early based on the threat of future tariffs, said Baker, who is also a member of CNBC’s Financial Advisor Council.

With concerns about future inflation triggered by tariffs, Baker has increased client allocations of Treasury inflation-protected securities, or TIPS, which can provide a hedge against rising prices.

Consider ‘guardrails’

Ivory Johnson, a CFP and founder of Delancey Wealth Management in Washington, D.C., has also been defensive with client portfolios. 

“I’ve used instruments to give me guardrails,” such as buffer exchange-traded funds to limit losses while capping upside potential, said Johnson, who is also a member of CNBC’s FA Council.

Buffer ETFs use options contracts to provide a pre-defined range of outcomes over a set period. The funds are tied to an underlying index, such as the S&P 500. These assets typically have higher fees than traditional ETFs.

Seeking safety amid market volatility: Strategies to keep your money safe

Take a ‘temperature check’

With future stock market volatility expected, investors should revisit risk tolerance and portfolio allocations, Baker said. 

“This is a good time for a temperature check,” he said.

Market turmoil has happened before and will happen again. If you can’t stomach the latest drawdowns — in stocks or bonds — this is a chance to shift to more conservative holdings, Baker said. 

“We’re not selling because I’m concerned about the market,” he added. “I’m concerned about comfort level.”

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Social Security COLA projected to be lower in 2026. Tariffs may change that

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The Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2026 is projected to be the lowest increase that millions of beneficiaries have seen in recent years.

This could change, however, due to potential inflationary pressures from tariffs. 

Recent estimates for the 2026 COLA, based latest government inflation data, place the adjustment to be around 2.2% to 2.3%, which are below the 2.5% increase that went into effect in 2025.

The COLA for 2026 may be 2.2%, estimates Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare analyst. Meanwhile, the Senior Citizens League, a nonpartisan senior group, estimates next year’s adjustment could be 2.3%.

If either estimate were to go into effect, the COLA for 2026 would be the lowest increase since 2021, when beneficiaries saw a 1.3% increase.

As the Covid pandemic prompted inflation to rise, the Social Security cost-of-living adjustments rose to four-decade highs. In 2022, the COLA was 5.9%, followed by 8.7% in 2023 and 3.2% in 2024.

The 2.5% COLA for 2025, while the lowest in recent years, is closer to the 2.6% average for the annual benefit bumps over the past 20 years, according to the Senior Citizens League.

To be sure, the estimates for the 2026 COLA are indeed preliminary and subject to change, experts say.

The Social Security Administration determines the annual COLA based on third-quarter data for Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W.

New government inflation data released on Thursday shows the CPI-W has increased 2.2% over the past 12 months. As such, the 2.5% COLA is currently outpacing inflation.

Yet that may not last depending on whether the Trump administration’s plans for tariffs go into effect. Trump announced on Wednesday that tariff rates for many countries will be dropped to 10% for 90 days to allow more time for negotiations.

Tariffs may affect 2026 Social Security COLA

If the tariffs are implemented as planned, economists expect they will raise consumer prices, which may prompt a higher Social Security cost-of-living adjustment for 2026 than currently projected.

“We could see the effect of inflation in the coming months, and it could very well be by the third quarter,” Johnson said.

If that happens, the 2026 COLA could go up to 2.5% or higher, she said.

Retirees are already struggling with higher costs for day-to-day items like eggs, according to the Senior Citizens League. Meanwhile, new tariff policies may keep food prices high and increase the costs of prescription drugs, medical equipment and auto insurance, according to the senior group.

Most seniors do not feel Social Security’s annual cost-of-living adjustments keep up with the economic realities of the inflation they personally experience, the Senior Citizens League’s polls have found, according to Alex Moore, a statistician at the senior group.

“Seniors generally feel that that the inflation they experience is higher than the inflation reported by the CPI-W,” Moore said.

When costs are poised to go up and the economic outlook is uncertain, seniors may be more likely to feel financial stress because their resources are more fixed and stabilized, he said.

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